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MLB DW Slate Preview - April 12th

MLB DW Slate Preview - April 12th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

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Jon A
Apr 12, 2024
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MLB Data Warehouse
MLB Data Warehouse
MLB DW Slate Preview - April 12th
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Join our DraftKings DFS League here, daily $5 contests running in there, no commitments.


Slate Preview - April 12th

Most Team Fantasy Point Projections

LAD (vs. Michael King): 73.36 Projected Points
STL (vs. Brandon Pfaadt): 73.11 Projected Points
PHI (vs. Bailey Falter): 73.05 Projected Points
HOU (vs. Dane Dunning): 72.35 Projected Points
CIN (vs. Chris Flexen): 71.04 Projected Points

Least Team Fantasy Point Projections

MIA (vs. Max Fried): 51.01 Projected Points
MIN (vs. Tarik Skubal): 55.67 Projected Points
CWS (vs. Andrew Abbott): 55.93 Projected Points
DET (vs. Pablo Lopez): 56.05 Projected Points
COL (vs. Kevin Gausman): 57.49 Projected Points

Team Projections vs. Season Averages

PHI: 73.05 Today, 66.07 Season Average
CIN: 71.04 Today, 64.48 Season Average
STL: 73.11 Today, 66.67 Season Average
LAD: 73.36 Today, 67.23 Season Average
HOU: 72.35 Today, 66.31 Season Average

Today Max Projection Players

Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Jake Irvin: 15.68 Today, 13.54 Previous Max
Lenyn Sosa: 6.99 Today, 6.93 Previous Max
Korey Lee: 6.58 Today, 5.86 Previous Max

DFS Top Plays by Position

Pitchers - Raw Projections

Kevin Gausman $10000 vs. COL: 17.54 points
Freddy Peralta $9300 vs. BAL: 15.9 points
Jake Irvin $5200 vs. OAK: 15.68 points
Max Fried $8700 vs. MIA: 15.37 points
Andrew Abbott $8200 vs. CWS: 14.98 points

Pitchers - Top Values

Jake Irvin $5200 vs. OAK: 15.68 points, 3.02 value
J.P. France $6400 vs. TEX: 13.01 points, 2.03 value
Andrew Abbott $8200 vs. CWS: 14.98 points, 1.83 value
Luis Severino $6800 vs. KC: 12.4 points, 1.82 value
Max Fried $8700 vs. MIA: 15.37 points, 1.77 value

Catchers

1. Willson Contreras ($4400) vs. Brandon Pfaadt: 9.08 points, 1.3 score
2. William Contreras ($4900) vs. Tyler Wells: 8.48 points, 1.12 score
3. Will Smith ($4600) vs. Michael King: 8.2 points, 1.12 score
4. Alejandro Kirk ($3200) vs. Ryan Feltner: 7.02 points, 1.08 score
5. Francisco Alvarez ($3500) vs. Michael Wacha: 7.21 points, 1.07 score

First Base

1. Shohei Ohtani ($6200) vs. Michael King: 10.61 points, 1.3 score
2. Christian Encarnacion-Strand ($4200) vs. Chris Flexen: 8.27 points, 1.19 score
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($5200) vs. Ryan Feltner: 8.77 points, 1.19 score
4. Freddie Freeman ($5800) vs. Michael King: 9.39 points, 1.19 score
5. Paul Goldschmidt ($4700) vs. Brandon Pfaadt: 8.73 points, 1.18 score

Second Base

1. Mookie Betts ($6400) vs. Michael King: 10.1 points, 1.25 score
2. Nolan Gorman ($4700) vs. Brandon Pfaadt: 9.08 points, 1.25 score
3. Zack Gelof ($4400) vs. Jake Irvin: 8.62 points, 1.25 score
4. Jose Altuve ($5500) vs. Dane Dunning: 9.09 points, 1.18 score
5. Pablo Reyes ($2800) vs. Reid Detmers: 7.43 points, 1.17 score

Third Base

1. Abraham Toro ($2700) vs. Jake Irvin: 7.33 points, 1.17 score
2. Christopher Morel ($4500) vs. Bryce Miller: 8.35 points, 1.14 score
3. Manny Machado ($4700) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 8.05 points, 1.14 score
4. Nolan Arenado ($4700) vs. Brandon Pfaadt: 8.19 points, 1.13 score
5. Oliver Dunn ($3400) vs. Tyler Wells: 8.31 points, 1.11 score

Shortstop

1. Mookie Betts ($6400) vs. Michael King: 10.1 points, 1.25 score
2. David Hamilton ($2600) vs. Reid Detmers: 8.06 points, 1.24 score
3. Bobby Witt Jr. ($6300) vs. Luis Severino: 10.02 points, 1.22 score
4. Corey Seager ($6100) vs. J.P. France: 9.3 points, 1.18 score
5. Bo Bichette ($4800) vs. Ryan Feltner: 8.54 points, 1.16 score

Outfield

1. Will Benson ($3800) vs. Chris Flexen: 9.35 points, 1.37 score
2. Yordan Alvarez ($6000) vs. Dane Dunning: 10.94 points, 1.35 score
3. Shohei Ohtani ($6200) vs. Michael King: 10.61 points, 1.3 score
4. Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6500) vs. Trevor Rogers: 10.58 points, 1.29 score
5. Fernando Tatis Jr. ($5800) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 9.54 points, 1.26 score
6. Tyler O'Neill ($5000) vs. Reid Detmers: 9.44 points, 1.24 score
7. Mike Trout ($5900) vs. Tanner Houck: 9.65 points, 1.23 score
8. Kyle Tucker ($5700) vs. Dane Dunning: 9.76 points, 1.22 score
9. Brendan Donovan ($4200) vs. Brandon Pfaadt: 8.85 points, 1.18 score
10. George Springer ($4500) vs. Ryan Feltner: 8.59 points, 1.18 score
11. Jake Fraley ($4200) vs. Chris Flexen: 8.47 points, 1.17 score
12. Seth Brown ($2800) vs. Jake Irvin: 7.06 points, 1.17 score
13. Julio Rodriguez ($5300) vs. Jordan Wicks: 9.45 points, 1.17 score
14. Corbin Carroll ($5600) vs. Steven Matz: 9.28 points, 1.16 score
15. Nelson Velazquez ($3700) vs. Luis Severino: 8.2 points, 1.15 score

Game-by-Game Previews


MIN @ DET

Projected Game Score:

MIN 3.42 - DET 3.4
MIN 50.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 6.82

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Pablo Lopez: 34 GS, 3203 Pitches, 28.6 K%, 5.7 BB%, 15.6 SwStr%, 50.2 Strike%, 32.7 Ball%, 45.1 GB%, 6 Brl%
Tarik Skubal: 16 GS, 1341 Pitches, 31.9 K%, 4.7 BB%, 16.7 SwStr%, 53.1 Strike%, 30.9 Ball%, 51.4 GB%, 4 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Pablo Lopez (MIN): 94 Pitches 6.06 IP, 5.3 H, 2.5 ER, 7.3 K, 1.5 BB, 19.68 FPts
Tarik Skubal (DET): 87 Pitches 5.83 IP, 5.0 H, 2.3 ER, 7.1 K, 1.2 BB, 19.34 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Pablo Lopez - 6.5 strikeouts
Tarik Skubal - 6.5 strikeouts

MIN Hitter Projections

1. Manuel Margot: 4.33 PA, 1.06 H, 1.55 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.88 FPts
2. Carlos Correa: 4.18 PA, 0.94 H, 1.6 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.96 FPts
3. Ryan Jeffers: 4.15 PA, 0.86 H, 1.58 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.0 FPts
4. Byron Buxton: 4.0 PA, 0.77 H, 1.59 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.01 FPts
5. Jose Miranda: 3.86 PA, 0.89 H, 1.38 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.82 FPts
6. Kyle Farmer: 3.71 PA, 0.83 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.64 FPts
7. Christian Vazquez: 3.67 PA, 0.8 H, 1.22 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.07 FPts
8. Carlos Santana: 3.62 PA, 0.77 H, 1.26 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.64 FPts
9. Austin Martin: 3.43 PA, 0.7 H, 1.08 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.65 FPts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Parker Meadows: 4.47 PA, 0.85 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.16 FPts
2. Riley Greene: 4.4 PA, 1.01 H, 1.65 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.3 FPts
3. Spencer Torkelson: 4.33 PA, 0.85 H, 1.51 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.67 FPts
4. Kerry Carpenter: 4.09 PA, 0.96 H, 1.64 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.87 FPts
5. Colt Keith: 4.13 PA, 0.82 H, 1.35 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.06 FPts
6. Mark Canha: 3.97 PA, 0.85 H, 1.3 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.99 FPts
7. Gio Urshela: 3.85 PA, 0.95 H, 1.37 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.83 FPts
8. Zach McKinstry: 3.59 PA, 0.71 H, 1.13 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.33 FPts
9. Jake Rogers: 3.44 PA, 0.63 H, 1.14 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.84 FPts

Best Bets

Pablo Lopez MIN - Strikeouts Over 6.5 (+115) - 0.128 value
Tarik Skubal DET - Pitcher Hits Over 4.5 (+115) - 0.101 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

PIT @ PHI

Projected Game Score:

PHI 5.22 - PIT 4.46
PHI 53.9% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.68

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Cristopher Sanchez: 20 GS, 1632 Pitches, 24.0 K%, 4.6 BB%, 12.6 SwStr%, 48.0 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%, 56.8 GB%, 8 Brl%
Bailey Falter: 16 GS, 1441 Pitches, 16.0 K%, 6.2 BB%, 9.4 SwStr%, 45.7 Strike%, 33.4 Ball%, 39.2 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Cristopher Sanchez (PHI): 87 Pitches 5.59 IP, 5.8 H, 2.8 ER, 5.8 K, 1.5 BB, 14.7 FPts
Bailey Falter (PIT): 77 Pitches 4.98 IP, 5.8 H, 2.8 ER, 4.1 K, 1.3 BB, 10.06 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Cristopher Sanchez - 5.5 strikeouts
Bailey Falter - 3.5 strikeouts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Connor Joe: 4.52 PA, 1.03 H, 1.68 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.1 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.41 PA, 1.09 H, 1.91 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.55 FPts
3. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4.33 PA, 1.11 H, 1.72 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.66 FPts
4. Edward Olivares: 4.21 PA, 1.05 H, 1.82 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.26 FPts
5. Andrew McCutchen: 4.12 PA, 0.86 H, 1.42 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.23 FPts
6. Michael A. Taylor: 3.74 PA, 0.79 H, 1.4 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.46 FPts
7. Oneil Cruz: 3.86 PA, 0.79 H, 1.39 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.47 FPts
8. Jared Triolo: 3.76 PA, 0.83 H, 1.28 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.5 FPts
9. Henry Davis: 3.55 PA, 0.75 H, 1.27 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.3 FPts

PHI Hitter Projections

1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.58 PA, 0.91 H, 1.99 TB, 0.3 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.7 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.44 PA, 1.18 H, 2.0 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.17 SB, 9.51 FPts
3. Bryce Harper: 4.31 PA, 1.06 H, 1.9 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.35 FPts
4. J.T. Realmuto: 4.24 PA, 1.1 H, 2.03 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.1 SB, 9.38 FPts
5. Alec Bohm: 4.16 PA, 1.07 H, 1.68 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.5 FPts
6. Nick Castellanos: 4.04 PA, 1.0 H, 1.7 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.48 FPts
7. Whit Merrifield: 3.86 PA, 0.92 H, 1.33 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.54 FPts
8. Edmundo Sosa: 3.57 PA, 0.9 H, 1.58 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.78 FPts
9. Johan Rojas: 3.46 PA, 0.86 H, 1.21 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.22 SB, 6.81 FPts

Best Bets

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

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