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MLB DW Slate Preview - April 14th

MLB DW Slate Preview - April 14th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

Jon A's avatar
Jon A
Apr 14, 2024
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MLB Data Warehouse
MLB Data Warehouse
MLB DW Slate Preview - April 14th
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Slate Preview - April 14th

Most Team Fantasy Point Projections

LAD (vs. Yu Darvish): 75.32 Projected Points
SD (vs. James Paxton): 74.69 Projected Points
HOU (vs. Nathan Eovaldi): 71.89 Projected Points
TEX (vs. Cristian Javier): 71.26 Projected Points
PHI (vs. Mitch Keller): 70.85 Projected Points

Least Team Fantasy Point Projections

CLE (vs. Nestor Cortes): 54.9 Projected Points
COL (vs. Jose Berrios): 55.85 Projected Points
PIT (vs. Zack Wheeler): 56.9 Projected Points
CWS (vs. Graham Ashcraft): 57.03 Projected Points
MIL (vs. Corbin Burnes): 57.66 Projected Points

Team Projections vs. Season Averages

LAD: 75.32 Today, 67.34 Season Average
SD: 74.69 Today, 67.0 Season Average
LAA: 68.76 Today, 62.23 Season Average
CIN: 70.8 Today, 64.49 Season Average
TEX: 71.26 Today, 65.51 Season Average

Today Max Projection Players

Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Graham Ashcraft: 14.23 Today, 13.84 Previous Max
Xander Bogaerts: 9.33 Today, 9.13 Previous Max
Evan Carter: 9.09 Today, 8.88 Previous Max
Luis Campusano: 7.57 Today, 7.42 Previous Max
Korey Lee: 6.26 Today, 5.9 Previous Max

DFS Top Plays by Position

Pitchers - Raw Projections

Zack Wheeler $9900 vs. PIT: 20.02 points
Luis Castillo $9500 vs. CHC: 19.48 points
Blake Snell $9500 vs. TB: 18.86 points
Mitch Keller $8500 vs. PHI: 17.33 points
Corbin Burnes $9700 vs. MIL: 17.28 points

Pitchers - Top Values

Shawn Armstrong $4000 vs. SF: 8.87 points, 2.22 value
Bailey Ober $6600 vs. DET: 14.0 points, 2.12 value
Luis Castillo $9500 vs. CHC: 19.48 points, 2.05 value
Mitch Keller $8500 vs. PHI: 17.33 points, 2.04 value
Zack Wheeler $9900 vs. PIT: 20.02 points, 2.02 value

Catchers

1. J.T. Realmuto ($4900) vs. Mitch Keller: 8.53 points, 1.25 score
2. Logan O'Hoppe ($3900) vs. Brayan Bello: 8.03 points, 1.21 score
3. Yainer Diaz ($4300) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 8.25 points, 1.2 score
4. Cal Raleigh ($3900) vs. Javier Assad: 7.53 points, 1.18 score
5. Willson Contreras ($4400) vs. Zac Gallen: 8.07 points, 1.18 score

First Base

1. Bryce Harper ($5900) vs. Mitch Keller: 9.7 points, 1.26 score
2. Christian Encarnacion-Strand ($4200) vs. Mike Soroka: 8.32 points, 1.25 score
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($5200) vs. Kyle Freeland: 8.75 points, 1.23 score
4. Justin Turner ($4200) vs. Kyle Freeland: 7.83 points, 1.13 score
5. Paul Goldschmidt ($4900) vs. Zac Gallen: 8.33 points, 1.12 score

Second Base

1. Jorge Polanco ($4300) vs. Javier Assad: 8.89 points, 1.32 score
2. Zack Gelof ($4600) vs. Trevor Williams: 8.69 points, 1.27 score
3. Nolan Gorman ($4500) vs. Zac Gallen: 9.01 points, 1.26 score
4. Jose Altuve ($5400) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 9.18 points, 1.25 score
5. Jonathan India ($4300) vs. Mike Soroka: 8.32 points, 1.18 score

Third Base

1. Willi Castro ($3000) vs. Jack Flaherty: 7.45 points, 1.18 score
2. Luis Rengifo ($3700) vs. Brayan Bello: 7.87 points, 1.16 score
3. Abraham Toro ($3100) vs. Trevor Williams: 7.31 points, 1.15 score
4. Pablo Reyes ($3000) vs. Tyler Anderson: 7.36 points, 1.14 score
5. Justin Turner ($4200) vs. Kyle Freeland: 7.83 points, 1.13 score

Shortstop

1. Corey Seager ($6300) vs. Cristian Javier: 10.1 points, 1.25 score
2. Bo Bichette ($4900) vs. Kyle Freeland: 8.94 points, 1.24 score
3. Gunnar Henderson ($5400) vs. Colin Rea: 9.13 points, 1.21 score
4. Anthony Volpe ($4500) vs. Logan Allen: 8.46 points, 1.16 score
5. Francisco Lindor ($4800) vs. Cole Ragans: 8.14 points, 1.15 score

Outfield

1. Yordan Alvarez ($5900) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 10.94 points, 1.43 score
2. Aaron Judge ($6200) vs. Logan Allen: 10.46 points, 1.41 score
3. Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6500) vs. Jesus Luzardo: 10.58 points, 1.39 score
4. Will Benson ($4000) vs. Mike Soroka: 9.21 points, 1.38 score
5. Mike Trout ($6000) vs. Brayan Bello: 10.08 points, 1.34 score
6. Kyle Schwarber ($5500) vs. Mitch Keller: 9.78 points, 1.33 score
7. Julio Rodriguez ($5500) vs. Javier Assad: 9.76 points, 1.32 score
8. Kyle Tucker ($5600) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 9.81 points, 1.3 score
9. Tyler O'Neill ($5000) vs. Tyler Anderson: 9.35 points, 1.26 score
10. Corbin Carroll ($5700) vs. Miles Mikolas: 9.74 points, 1.24 score
11. Dominic Canzone ($2900) vs. Javier Assad: 7.18 points, 1.21 score
12. Chas McCormick ($3900) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 8.22 points, 1.19 score
13. Taylor Ward ($4400) vs. Brayan Bello: 8.43 points, 1.19 score
14. Jake Fraley ($4400) vs. Mike Soroka: 8.35 points, 1.18 score
15. Willi Castro ($3000) vs. Jack Flaherty: 7.45 points, 1.18 score


Game by Game Previews

MIL @ BAL

Projected Game Score:

BAL 4.68 - MIL 3.52
BAL 57.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.2

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Corbin Burnes: 35 GS, 3351 Pitches, 25.8 K%, 8.0 BB%, 13.3 SwStr%, 46.9 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%, 44.4 GB%, 5 Brl%
Colin Rea: 23 GS, 2181 Pitches, 20.4 K%, 7.1 BB%, 11.4 SwStr%, 47.3 Strike%, 34.1 Ball%, 43.0 GB%, 7 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Corbin Burnes (BAL): 97 Pitches 5.66 IP, 4.6 H, 2.4 ER, 6.3 K, 2.0 BB, 17.28 FPts
Colin Rea (MIL): 82 Pitches 4.99 IP, 4.8 H, 2.5 ER, 4.6 K, 2.1 BB, 11.61 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Corbin Burnes - 6.5 strikeouts
Colin Rea - 3.5 strikeouts

MIL Hitter Projections

1. William Contreras: 4.56 PA, 1.03 H, 1.68 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.62 FPts
2. Rhys Hoskins: 4.45 PA, 0.86 H, 1.53 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.21 FPts
3. Sal Frelick: 4.29 PA, 0.96 H, 1.32 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.19 SB, 7.54 FPts
4. Willy Adames: 4.21 PA, 0.82 H, 1.43 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.57 FPts
5. Gary Sanchez: 4.08 PA, 0.73 H, 1.4 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.07 FPts
6. Brice Turang: 3.88 PA, 0.84 H, 1.21 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.24 SB, 6.7 FPts
7. Joey Ortiz: 3.93 PA, 0.89 H, 1.28 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.89 FPts
8. Joey Wiemer: 3.61 PA, 0.64 H, 1.05 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.15 FPts
9. Blake Perkins: 3.39 PA, 0.53 H, 0.8 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.1 SB, 4.91 FPts

BAL Hitter Projections

1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.51 PA, 1.05 H, 1.95 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.13 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.45 PA, 1.02 H, 1.65 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.26 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.36 PA, 0.98 H, 1.86 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.39 FPts
4. Ryan O'Hearn: 4.05 PA, 1.01 H, 1.62 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.09 FPts
5. Ryan Mountcastle: 4.08 PA, 0.95 H, 1.7 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.51 FPts
6. Colton Cowser: 3.89 PA, 0.81 H, 1.32 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.98 FPts
7. Cedric Mullins II: 3.9 PA, 0.85 H, 1.37 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.09 FPts
8. Jordan Westburg: 3.63 PA, 0.82 H, 1.36 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.34 FPts
9. Jackson Holliday: 3.57 PA, 0.67 H, 1.09 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.38 FPts

Best Bets

Colin Rea MIL - Pitcher Hits Under 6.5 (-165) - 0.172 value
Colin Rea MIL - Walks Over 1.5 (+100) - 0.126 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Gunnar Henderson (BAL) SS $5400: 9.13 Proj, 1.21 Score
Anthony Santander (BAL) OF $4600: 8.39 Proj, 1.17 Score
Adley Rutschman (BAL) C $5000: 8.26 Proj, 1.16 Score
Cedric Mullins II (BAL) OF $3700: 7.09 Proj, 1.1 Score
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 1B $3200: 7.09 Proj, 1.09 Score

LAA @ BOS

Projected Game Score:

LAA 4.96 - BOS 4.66
LAA 51.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 10.0
Projected Total: 9.62

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Tyler Anderson: 27 GS, 2605 Pitches, 18.7 K%, 9.7 BB%, 14.0 SwStr%, 45.8 Strike%, 35.8 Ball%, 31.5 GB%, 8 Brl%
Brayan Bello: 31 GS, 2878 Pitches, 19.5 K%, 6.5 BB%, 12.0 SwStr%, 44.5 Strike%, 36.9 Ball%, 55.3 GB%, 7 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Tyler Anderson (LAA): 89 Pitches 5.64 IP, 5.7 H, 2.9 ER, 4.9 K, 1.9 BB, 12.68 FPts
Brayan Bello (BOS): 89 Pitches 5.1 IP, 5.4 H, 2.7 ER, 4.6 K, 1.5 BB, 11.71 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Tyler Anderson - 5.5 strikeouts
Brayan Bello - 5.5 strikeouts

LAA Hitter Projections

1. Anthony Rendon: 4.54 PA, 0.97 H, 1.52 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.55 FPts
2. Luis Rengifo: 4.37 PA, 1.08 H, 1.67 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.87 FPts
3. Mike Trout: 4.39 PA, 1.08 H, 2.21 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.05 SB, 10.08 FPts
4. Taylor Ward: 4.34 PA, 1.05 H, 1.79 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.43 FPts
5. Aaron Hicks: 4.1 PA, 0.81 H, 1.17 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.75 FPts
6. Brandon Drury: 4.09 PA, 1.0 H, 1.71 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.35 FPts
7. Logan O'Hoppe: 3.99 PA, 1.01 H, 1.89 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.03 FPts
8. Jo Adell: 3.88 PA, 0.76 H, 1.24 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.01 FPts
9. Zach Neto: 3.57 PA, 0.85 H, 1.43 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.69 FPts

BOS Hitter Projections

1. Jarren Duran: 4.41 PA, 1.07 H, 1.64 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.39 FPts
2. Pablo Reyes: 4.12 PA, 1.01 H, 1.52 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.36 FPts
3. Tyler O'Neill: 4.35 PA, 1.02 H, 1.92 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.35 FPts
4. Triston Casas: 4.18 PA, 0.87 H, 1.54 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.74 FPts
5. Bobby Dalbec: 3.7 PA, 0.79 H, 1.49 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.05 FPts
6. Masataka Yoshida: 4.0 PA, 1.04 H, 1.55 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.99 FPts
7. Connor Wong: 3.76 PA, 0.85 H, 1.46 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.36 FPts
8. Ceddanne Rafaela: 3.7 PA, 0.89 H, 1.56 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.34 FPts
9. David Hamilton: 3.57 PA, 0.78 H, 1.23 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.28 SB, 7.29 FPts

Best Bets

Pablo Reyes BOS - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+110) - 0.162 value
Bobby Dalbec BOS - Hitter K Under 1.5 (-115) - 0.157 value
Zach Neto LAA - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+215) - 0.132 value
Brayan Bello BOS - Walks Under 1.5 (+130) - 0.11 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Mike Trout (LAA) OF $6000: 10.08 Proj, 1.34 Score
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) OF $5000: 9.35 Proj, 1.26 Score
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) C $3900: 8.03 Proj, 1.21 Score
Taylor Ward (LAA) OF $4400: 8.43 Proj, 1.19 Score
Luis Rengifo (LAA) 2B/3B $3700: 7.87 Proj, 1.16 Score

PIT @ PHI

Projected Game Score:

PHI 4.96 - PIT 3.48
PHI 58.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.44

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Zack Wheeler: 35 GS, 3444 Pitches, 26.8 K%, 4.8 BB%, 14.8 SwStr%, 49.0 Strike%, 34.1 Ball%, 42.2 GB%, 5 Brl%
Mitch Keller: 35 GS, 3386 Pitches, 25.1 K%, 6.9 BB%, 11.3 SwStr%, 48.6 Strike%, 33.7 Ball%, 43.8 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Zack Wheeler (PHI): 96 Pitches 5.85 IP, 5.0 H, 2.4 ER, 7.6 K, 1.5 BB, 20.02 FPts
Mitch Keller (PIT): 95 Pitches 6.56 IP, 6.7 H, 3.4 ER, 7.1 K, 2.2 BB, 17.33 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Zack Wheeler - 7.5 strikeouts
Mitch Keller - 6.5 strikeouts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Oneil Cruz: 4.41 PA, 0.87 H, 1.57 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.15 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.33 PA, 1.03 H, 1.81 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.94 FPts
3. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4.25 PA, 0.99 H, 1.51 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.57 FPts
4. Rowdy Tellez: 4.03 PA, 0.81 H, 1.47 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.43 FPts
5. Andrew McCutchen: 4.05 PA, 0.79 H, 1.31 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.39 FPts
6. Jack Suwinski: 3.86 PA, 0.7 H, 1.43 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.78 FPts
7. Jared Triolo: 3.82 PA, 0.77 H, 1.15 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.7 FPts
8. Michael A. Taylor: 3.45 PA, 0.67 H, 1.14 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.23 FPts
9. Joey Bart: 3.3 PA, 0.61 H, 1.04 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.71 FPts

PHI Hitter Projections

1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.51 PA, 0.89 H, 2.03 TB, 0.32 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.78 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.38 PA, 1.1 H, 1.79 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.56 FPts
3. Bryce Harper: 4.25 PA, 1.09 H, 2.0 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.7 FPts
4. J.T. Realmuto: 4.18 PA, 1.03 H, 1.85 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.53 FPts
5. Alec Bohm: 4.09 PA, 1.01 H, 1.5 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.77 FPts
6. Brandon Marsh: 3.89 PA, 0.88 H, 1.43 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.07 FPts
7. Nick Castellanos: 3.87 PA, 0.91 H, 1.55 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.78 FPts
8. Bryson Stott: 3.73 PA, 0.94 H, 1.41 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.09 FPts
9. Johan Rojas: 3.4 PA, 0.84 H, 1.18 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.22 SB, 6.57 FPts

Best Bets

Mitch Keller PIT - Pitcher Hits Over 5.5 (+100) - 0.157 value
Mitch Keller PIT - Strikeouts Over 6.5 (+135) - 0.143 value
Michael A. Taylor PIT - Hitter K Under 1.5 (-115) - 0.113 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) OF $5500: 9.78 Proj, 1.33 Score
Bryce Harper (PHI) 1B $5900: 9.7 Proj, 1.26 Score
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) C $4900: 8.53 Proj, 1.25 Score
Trea Turner (PHI) SS $5800: 8.56 Proj, 1.1 Score
Johan Rojas (PHI) OF $2700: 6.57 Proj, 1.06 Score

COL @ TOR

Projected Game Score:

TOR 4.3 - COL 3.28
TOR 56.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.58

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Jose Berrios: 35 GS, 3217 Pitches, 23.3 K%, 6.2 BB%, 11.7 SwStr%, 46.6 Strike%, 35.1 Ball%, 42.8 GB%, 8 Brl%
Kyle Freeland: 31 GS, 2633 Pitches, 13.4 K%, 6.5 BB%, 8.8 SwStr%, 43.0 Strike%, 34.6 Ball%, 41.3 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Jose Berrios (TOR): 92 Pitches 5.87 IP, 5.9 H, 2.7 ER, 6.1 K, 1.4 BB, 16.09 FPts
Kyle Freeland (COL): 87 Pitches 5.82 IP, 7.0 H, 3.1 ER, 3.0 K, 1.7 BB, 7.68 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Jose Berrios - 6.5 strikeouts
Kyle Freeland - 2.5 strikeouts

COL Hitter Projections

1. Charlie Blackmon: 4.38 PA, 1.04 H, 1.61 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.97 FPts
2. Ezequiel Tovar: 4.26 PA, 0.98 H, 1.61 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.69 FPts
3. Ryan McMahon: 4.16 PA, 0.93 H, 1.68 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.5 FPts
4. Elias Diaz: 4.07 PA, 0.91 H, 1.46 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.06 FPts
5. Nolan Jones: 4.0 PA, 0.94 H, 1.69 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.89 FPts
6. Brenton Doyle: 3.78 PA, 0.72 H, 1.25 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.6 FPts
7. Brendan Rodgers: 3.8 PA, 0.91 H, 1.47 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.13 FPts
8. Elehuris Montero: 3.67 PA, 0.73 H, 1.22 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.8 FPts
9. Jacob Stallings: 3.24 PA, 0.63 H, 0.97 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.21 FPts

TOR Hitter Projections

1. George Springer: 4.45 PA, 1.05 H, 1.76 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.34 FPts
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.35 PA, 1.16 H, 1.97 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.75 FPts
3. Bo Bichette: 4.24 PA, 1.24 H, 2.05 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.94 FPts
4. Justin Turner: 4.07 PA, 1.04 H, 1.74 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.83 FPts
5. Davis Schneider: 4.03 PA, 0.85 H, 1.52 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.56 FPts
6. Ernie Clement: 3.57 PA, 0.89 H, 1.3 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.95 FPts
7. Alejandro Kirk: 3.83 PA, 0.95 H, 1.39 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.52 FPts
8. Isiah Kiner-Falefa: 3.6 PA, 0.91 H, 1.22 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.19 FPts
9. Kevin Kiermaier: 3.33 PA, 0.78 H, 1.07 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.31 FPts

Best Bets

Kevin Kiermaier TOR - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+140) - 0.105 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Bo Bichette (TOR) SS $4900: 8.94 Proj, 1.24 Score
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 1B $5200: 8.75 Proj, 1.23 Score
George Springer (TOR) OF $4600: 8.34 Proj, 1.18 Score
Davis Schneider (TOR) OF $3800: 7.56 Proj, 1.16 Score
Justin Turner (TOR) 1B/3B $4200: 7.83 Proj, 1.13 Score

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