MLB DW Slate Preview - April 24th
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
My quest to bag this 50 cent tournament is not going well. Brutal result yesterday, only two of my 50 lineups cashed last night. I played all Pablo Lopez and hardly any Max Fried. The Fried fade really killed me. I just didn’t see him having the strikeout upside right now, and really that was right - he struck out just six in nine innings. The problem was that he went nine innings and didn’t give up a run - which means he got all of those DraftKings bonuses and bankrupted me while Pablo Lopez somehow only lasted four innings against the White Sox.
But it just takes one night, right? So let’s try it again tonight! Another seven game slate, and I don’t have a ton of time here to write down all my thoughts. But quickly, here’s what I’m looking at for my builds:
SP: Joe Ryan ($10,400), Clarke Schmidt ($8,900), Garrett Crochet ($8,600), Spencer Arrighetti ($6,500), Jon Gray ($8,300)
C: Nick Fortes ($2,200), Danny Janse ($3,400), Luis Campusano ($3,900), Austin Wells ($3,000)
1B: Ryan Noda ($2,800), Matt Mervis ($2,500), Matt Olson ($5,900)
2B: Kyle Farmer ($2,300), Xander Bogaerts ($5,000, Davis Schneider ($3,900), Michael Massey ($3,000)
3B: Kyle Farmer ($2,300), Eguy Rosario ($3,100), Ryan McMahon ($5,200), Austin Riley ($5,800)
SS: Corey Seager ($5,700), Ha-Seong Kim ($4,500), J.P. Crawford ($3,800), Bobby Witt Jr. ($6,300)
OF: Lawrence Butler ($2,200), Jose Azocar ($2,700), Seth Brown ($3,100), Daulton Varsho ($3,500), Jesus Sanchez ($3,000), Fernando Tatis Jr. ($6,100), George Springer ($4,100), Manuel Margot ($3,000), Jarred Kelenic ($3,200), Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6,500), Yordan Alvarez ($5,400), Juan Soto ($6,200), Aaron Judge ($6,000), Kyle Tucker ($5,600), Julio Rodriguez ($5,000)
Slate Preview
Most Team Fantasy Point Projections
SD (vs. Ty Blach): 76.33 Projected Points
LAD (vs. Jake Irvin): 75.85 Projected Points
ATL (vs. Sixto Sanchez): 75.75 Projected Points
HOU (vs. Jameson Taillon): 75.59 Projected Points
COL (vs. Matt Waldron): 73.38 Projected Points
Least Team Fantasy Point Projections
CWS (vs. Joe Ryan): 49.14 Projected Points
DET (vs. Shawn Armstrong): 55.56 Projected Points
MIA (vs. Reynaldo Lopez): 55.59 Projected Points
WSH (vs. Landon Knack): 57.2 Projected Points
PIT (vs. Bryse Wilson): 58.68 Projected Points
Team Projections vs. Season Averages
COL: 73.38 Today, 61.08 Season Average
SD: 76.33 Today, 67.05 Season Average
HOU: 75.59 Today, 66.55 Season Average
LAD: 75.85 Today, 67.64 Season Average
CIN: 71.01 Today, 64.63 Season Average
Today Max Projection Players
None
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Garrett Crochet: 15.89 Today, 15.72 Previous Max
Yordan Alvarez: 11.78 Today, 11.63 Previous Max
Luis Campusano: 8.06 Today, 8.0 Previous Max
Jose Azocar: 6.75 Today, 6.67 Previous Max
DFS Top Plays by Position
Pitchers - Raw Projections
Joe Ryan $10400 vs. CWS: 19.68 points
Clarke Schmidt $8900 vs. OAK: 16.01 points
Garrett Crochet $8600 vs. MIN: 15.89 points
Jon Gray $8300 vs. SEA: 14.29 points
Reynaldo Lopez $9200 vs. MIA: 13.95 points
Pitchers - Top Values
Joe Boyle $6200 vs. NYY: 13.26 points, 2.14 value
Spencer Arrighetti $6500 vs. CHC: 13.04 points, 2.01 value
Joe Ryan $10400 vs. CWS: 19.68 points, 1.89 value
Garrett Crochet $8600 vs. MIN: 15.89 points, 1.85 value
Clarke Schmidt $8900 vs. OAK: 16.01 points, 1.8 value
Catchers
1. Cal Raleigh ($4000) vs. Jon Gray: 8.24 points, 1.18 score
2. Ryan Jeffers ($4100) vs. Garrett Crochet: 8.33 points, 1.15 score
3. Luis Campusano ($3900) vs. Ty Blach: 8.06 points, 1.14 score
4. Danny Jansen ($3400) vs. Alec Marsh: 7.16 points, 1.13 score
5. Yainer Diaz ($4200) vs. Jameson Taillon: 8.15 points, 1.09 score
First Base
1. Ryan Noda ($2800) vs. Clarke Schmidt: 7.86 points, 1.18 score
2. Matt Olson ($5900) vs. Sixto Sanchez: 9.55 points, 1.18 score
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($4600) vs. Alec Marsh: 8.24 points, 1.16 score
4. Vinnie Pasquantino ($4800) vs. Yariel Rodriguez: 8.64 points, 1.09 score
5. Jake Cronenworth ($4400) vs. Ty Blach: 8.19 points, 1.07 score
Second Base
1. Xander Bogaerts ($5000) vs. Ty Blach: 9.34 points, 1.22 score
2. Jose Altuve ($5500) vs. Jameson Taillon: 9.48 points, 1.2 score
3. Kyle Farmer ($2300) vs. Garrett Crochet: 7.04 points, 1.2 score
4. Davis Schneider ($3900) vs. Alec Marsh: 7.88 points, 1.18 score
5. Marcus Semien ($5300) vs. Bryce Miller: 8.53 points, 1.09 score
Third Base
1. Kyle Farmer ($2300) vs. Garrett Crochet: 7.04 points, 1.2 score
2. Ryan McMahon ($5200) vs. Matt Waldron: 9.55 points, 1.15 score
3. Eguy Rosario ($3100) vs. Ty Blach: 8.12 points, 1.12 score
4. Austin Riley ($5800) vs. Sixto Sanchez: 8.88 points, 1.08 score
5. Alex Bregman ($4600) vs. Jameson Taillon: 8.24 points, 1.06 score
Shortstop
1. Bobby Witt Jr. ($6300) vs. Yariel Rodriguez: 10.41 points, 1.26 score
2. Corey Seager ($5700) vs. Bryce Miller: 9.89 points, 1.22 score
3. Bo Bichette ($4400) vs. Alec Marsh: 8.32 points, 1.16 score
4. Ha-Seong Kim ($4500) vs. Ty Blach: 8.89 points, 1.16 score
5. Anthony Volpe ($4800) vs. Joe Boyle: 8.48 points, 1.1 score
Outfield
1. Yordan Alvarez ($5400) vs. Jameson Taillon: 11.78 points, 1.48 score
2. Fernando Tatis Jr. ($6100) vs. Ty Blach: 11.25 points, 1.45 score
3. Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6500) vs. Sixto Sanchez: 11.73 points, 1.44 score
4. Aaron Judge ($6000) vs. Joe Boyle: 10.15 points, 1.35 score
5. Michael Harris II ($4600) vs. Sixto Sanchez: 10.11 points, 1.33 score
6. Juan Soto ($6200) vs. Joe Boyle: 10.38 points, 1.28 score
7. Kyle Tucker ($5600) vs. Jameson Taillon: 10.39 points, 1.27 score
8. Nolan Jones ($4800) vs. Matt Waldron: 9.51 points, 1.24 score
9. Julio Rodriguez ($5000) vs. Jon Gray: 9.49 points, 1.22 score
10. Davis Schneider ($3900) vs. Alec Marsh: 7.88 points, 1.18 score
11. George Springer ($4100) vs. Alec Marsh: 8.05 points, 1.15 score
12. Lawrence Butler ($2200) vs. Clarke Schmidt: 7.07 points, 1.15 score
13. Manuel Margot ($3000) vs. Garrett Crochet: 7.85 points, 1.15 score
14. Byron Buxton ($4200) vs. Garrett Crochet: 8.05 points, 1.13 score
15. Adolis Garcia ($5400) vs. Bryce Miller: 9.11 points, 1.12 score
Game-by-Game Previews
ARI @ STL
Projected Game Score:
ARI 4.53 - STL 4.46
ARI 50.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 8.99
2023-2024 Pitcher Stats
Jordan Montgomery: 32 GS, 2998 Pitches, 21.1 K%, 6.0 BB%, 12.3 SwStr%, 45.1 Strike%, 35.7 Ball%, 44.1 GB%, 7 Brl%
Kyle Gibson: 37 GS, 3410 Pitches, 18.9 K%, 7.2 BB%, 11.2 SwStr%, 42.2 Strike%, 38.3 Ball%, 49.9 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Jordan Montgomery (ARI): 91 Pitches 5.54 IP, 6.0 H, 2.7 ER, 4.4 K, 1.6 BB, 11.96 FPts
Kyle Gibson (STL): 94 Pitches 5.79 IP, 6.2 H, 2.9 ER, 4.2 K, 2.0 BB, 11.19 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Jordan Montgomery - 4.5 strikeouts
Kyle Gibson - 4.5 strikeouts
ARI Hitter Projections
1. Ketel Marte: 4.63 PA, 1.12 H, 1.81 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.47 FPts
2. Corbin Carroll: 4.49 PA, 1.09 H, 1.82 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.27 SB, 9.9 FPts
3. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: 4.41 PA, 1.13 H, 1.78 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.84 FPts
4. Christian Walker: 4.28 PA, 0.99 H, 1.83 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.49 FPts
5. Joc Pederson: 4.03 PA, 0.97 H, 1.76 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.19 FPts
6. Eugenio Suarez: 4.12 PA, 0.86 H, 1.58 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.16 FPts
7. Jake McCarthy: 3.89 PA, 0.94 H, 1.28 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.21 SB, 6.91 FPts
8. Kevin Newman: 3.74 PA, 0.89 H, 1.16 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.58 FPts
9. Tucker Barnhart: 3.3 PA, 0.67 H, 0.93 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.65 FPts
STL Hitter Projections
1. Brendan Donovan: 4.51 PA, 1.15 H, 1.63 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.9 FPts
2. Willson Contreras: 4.39 PA, 1.04 H, 1.87 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.73 FPts
3. Nolan Arenado: 4.27 PA, 1.13 H, 1.97 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.28 FPts
4. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.17 PA, 1.02 H, 1.75 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.4 FPts
5. Ivan Herrera: 4.14 PA, 0.97 H, 1.58 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.05 FPts
6. Lars Nootbaar: 3.96 PA, 0.86 H, 1.36 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.06 FPts
7. Masyn Winn: 3.87 PA, 0.88 H, 1.16 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.12 FPts
8. Jordan Walker: 3.71 PA, 0.95 H, 1.55 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.04 FPts
9. Mike Siani: 3.56 PA, 0.72 H, 1.04 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.54 FPts
Best Bets
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
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