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MLB DW Slate Preview - April 6th

MLB DW Slate Preview - April 6th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

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Jon A
Apr 06, 2024
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MLB Data Warehouse
MLB Data Warehouse
MLB DW Slate Preview - April 6th
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If you play DraftKings DFS, join our league here. Daily contests are running in there.


Slate Preview - April 6th

Most Team Fantasy Point Projections

NYM (vs. Nick Martinez): 78.17 Projected Points
ATL (vs. Brandon Pfaadt): 78.17 Projected Points
TB (vs. Ryan Feltner): 75.9 Projected Points
KC (vs. Chris Flexen): 74.47 Projected Points
MIL (vs. Bryce Miller): 73.46 Projected Points

Least Team Fantasy Point Projections

OAK (vs. Kenta Maeda): 56.93 Projected Points
SF (vs. Michael King): 58.42 Projected Points
WSH (vs. Ranger Suarez): 58.62 Projected Points
CWS (vs. Michael Wacha): 58.67 Projected Points
DET (vs. Paul Blackburn): 58.71 Projected Points

Team Projections vs. Season Averages

NYM: 78.17 Today, 64.13 Season Average
TB: 75.9 Today, 63.85 Season Average
KC: 74.47 Today, 63.96 Season Average
MIL: 73.46 Today, 63.37 Season Average
MIN: 70.35 Today, 61.96 Season Average

Today Max Projection Players

Players with their highest projection of the season (or 2023) coming today
Michael King: 17.76 Today, 17.27 Previous Max
Bobby Witt Jr.: 11.47 Today, 11.36 Previous Max
Brandon Lowe: 9.66 Today, 9.32 Previous Max
Francisco Alvarez: 9.3 Today, 8.97 Previous Max
Nelson Velazquez: 9.22 Today, 8.91 Previous Max
Richie Palacios: 8.26 Today, 7.74 Previous Max
Ben Rortvedt: 5.98 Today, 5.8 Previous Max

DFS Top Plays by Position

Pitchers - Raw Projections

Kevin Gausman $9800 vs. NYY: 18.23 points
Michael King $8400 vs. SF: 17.76 points
Garrett Whitlock $8600 vs. LAA: 16.75 points
Reid Detmers $8200 vs. BOS: 16.65 points
DL Hall $6100 vs. SEA: 14.42 points

Pitchers - Top Values

DL Hall $6100 vs. SEA: 14.42 points, 2.36 value
Tyler Alexander $6300 vs. COL: 13.53 points, 2.15 value
Michael King $8400 vs. SF: 17.76 points, 2.11 value
Reid Detmers $8200 vs. BOS: 16.65 points, 2.03 value
Garrett Whitlock $8600 vs. LAA: 16.75 points, 1.95 value

Catchers

1. William Contreras ($4400) vs. Bryce Miller: 9.18 points, 1.31 score
2. Mitch Garver ($4000) vs. DL Hall: 7.67 points, 1.12 score
3. Salvador Perez ($4200) vs. Chris Flexen: 8.17 points, 1.11 score
4. Yainer Diaz ($4100) vs. Jon Gray: 7.94 points, 1.1 score
5. Cal Raleigh ($3800) vs. DL Hall: 6.9 points, 1.03 score

First Base

1. Matt Olson ($5700) vs. Brandon Pfaadt: 10.02 points, 1.25 score
2. Vinnie Pasquantino ($4200) vs. Chris Flexen: 9.16 points, 1.21 score
3. Yandy Diaz ($5700) vs. Ryan Feltner: 9.58 points, 1.18 score
4. Rhys Hoskins ($4300) vs. Bryce Miller: 8.4 points, 1.16 score
5. Salvador Perez ($4200) vs. Chris Flexen: 8.17 points, 1.11 score

Second Base

1. Brandon Lowe ($4800) vs. Ryan Feltner: 9.66 points, 1.33 score
2. Jorge Polanco ($4100) vs. DL Hall: 8.23 points, 1.19 score
3. Jose Altuve ($5200) vs. Jon Gray: 8.94 points, 1.18 score
4. Brendan Rodgers ($3900) vs. Tyler Alexander: 8.52 points, 1.14 score
5. Marcus Semien ($4900) vs. J.P. France: 8.41 points, 1.13 score

Third Base

1. Oliver Dunn ($2100) vs. Bryce Miller: 8.0 points, 1.42 score
2. Maikel Garcia ($4100) vs. Chris Flexen: 9.18 points, 1.24 score
3. Austin Riley ($5500) vs. Brandon Pfaadt: 9.24 points, 1.16 score
4. Isaac Paredes ($5000) vs. Ryan Feltner: 8.79 points, 1.15 score
5. Manny Machado ($4900) vs. Keaton Winn: 7.78 points, 1.08 score

Shortstop

1. Bobby Witt Jr. ($6200) vs. Chris Flexen: 11.47 points, 1.44 score
2. Corey Seager ($5800) vs. J.P. France: 9.88 points, 1.27 score
3. Willy Adames ($4100) vs. Bryce Miller: 8.41 points, 1.19 score
4. Jose Caballero ($3200) vs. Ryan Feltner: 7.69 points, 1.16 score
5. Manny Machado ($4900) vs. Keaton Winn: 7.78 points, 1.08 score

Outfield

1. Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6400) vs. Brandon Pfaadt: 11.67 points, 1.45 score
2. Aaron Judge ($6000) vs. Kevin Gausman: 10.95 points, 1.39 score
3. Yordan Alvarez ($5600) vs. Jon Gray: 10.69 points, 1.34 score
4. Nelson Velazquez ($3600) vs. Chris Flexen: 9.22 points, 1.34 score
5. MJ Melendez ($3400) vs. Chris Flexen: 8.46 points, 1.25 score
6. Christian Yelich ($4900) vs. Bryce Miller: 9.61 points, 1.24 score
7. Michael Harris II ($4400) vs. Brandon Pfaadt: 9.21 points, 1.24 score
8. Juan Soto ($6100) vs. Kevin Gausman: 10.37 points, 1.24 score
9. Randy Arozarena ($5900) vs. Ryan Feltner: 10.07 points, 1.23 score
10. Julio Rodriguez ($5700) vs. DL Hall: 9.61 points, 1.22 score
11. Fernando Tatis Jr. ($5600) vs. Keaton Winn: 9.03 points, 1.21 score
12. Tyler O'Neill ($4400) vs. Reid Detmers: 8.81 points, 1.21 score
13. Marcell Ozuna ($4400) vs. Brandon Pfaadt: 8.9 points, 1.19 score
14. Kyle Tucker ($5500) vs. Jon Gray: 9.4 points, 1.19 score
15. Jose Siri ($4400) vs. Ryan Feltner: 8.43 points, 1.13 score

Game-By-Game Previews


OAK @ DET

Projected Game Score:

DET 3.72 - OAK 3.56
DET 51.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.28

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Kenta Maeda: 21 GS, 1771 Pitches, 26.7 K%, 6.5 BB%, 13.6 SwStr%, 47.8 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%, 34.0 GB%, 9 Brl%
Paul Blackburn: 21 GS, 1963 Pitches, 21.9 K%, 8.8 BB%, 10.9 SwStr%, 44.4 Strike%, 38.6 Ball%, 42.2 GB%, 5 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Kenta Maeda (DET): 83 Pitches 5.27 IP, 3.9 H, 2.2 ER, 6.2 K, 2.4 BB, 16.54 FPts
Paul Blackburn (OAK): 91 Pitches 5.21 IP, 5.0 H, 2.4 ER, 5.0 K, 1.7 BB, 13.58 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Kenta Maeda - 6.5 strikeouts
Paul Blackburn - 4.5 strikeouts

OAK Hitter Projections

1. Ryan Noda: 4.37 PA, 0.75 H, 1.33 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.17 FPts
2. Zack Gelof: 4.39 PA, 0.94 H, 1.7 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.94 FPts
3. JJ Bleday: 4.09 PA, 0.68 H, 1.13 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.29 FPts
4. Brent Rooker: 4.06 PA, 0.76 H, 1.46 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.69 FPts
5. Seth Brown: 3.85 PA, 0.79 H, 1.47 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.61 FPts
6. J.D. Davis: 3.89 PA, 0.82 H, 1.37 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.11 FPts
7. Shea Langeliers: 3.85 PA, 0.73 H, 1.39 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.93 FPts
8. Lawrence Butler: 3.52 PA, 0.7 H, 1.14 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.75 FPts
9. Nick Allen: 3.41 PA, 0.69 H, 0.89 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.1 SB, 4.44 FPts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Parker Meadows: 4.4 PA, 0.9 H, 1.46 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.84 FPts
2. Spencer Torkelson: 4.31 PA, 0.88 H, 1.54 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.03 FPts
3. Kerry Carpenter: 4.09 PA, 1.01 H, 1.72 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.5 FPts
4. Riley Greene: 4.1 PA, 0.97 H, 1.54 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.35 FPts
5. Mark Canha: 3.96 PA, 0.87 H, 1.31 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.6 FPts
6. Colt Keith: 3.92 PA, 0.81 H, 1.31 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.02 FPts
7. Gio Urshela: 3.76 PA, 0.95 H, 1.36 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.05 FPts
8. Javier Baez: 3.61 PA, 0.81 H, 1.26 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.55 FPts
9. Carson Kelly: 3.26 PA, 0.67 H, 1.03 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.77 FPts

Best Bets

Kenta Maeda DET - Walks Over 1.5 (-115) - 0.148 value
Kenta Maeda DET - Pitcher Hits Under 4.5 (-120) - 0.107 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

CLE @ MIN

Projected Game Score:

MIN 5.12 - CLE 3.78
MIN 57.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.9

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Joe Ryan: 30 GS, 2764 Pitches, 29.1 K%, 5.1 BB%, 14.7 SwStr%, 52.6 Strike%, 31.2 Ball%, 33.0 GB%, 9 Brl%
Carlos Carrasco: 20 GS, 1666 Pitches, 15.8 K%, 8.9 BB%, 11.7 SwStr%, 42.5 Strike%, 38.1 Ball%, 45.5 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Joe Ryan (MIN): 93 Pitches 5.7 IP, 5.4 H, 2.5 ER, 4.8 K, 1.3 BB, 13.77 FPts
Carlos Carrasco (CLE): 91 Pitches 5.9 IP, 5.8 H, 3.2 ER, 5.2 K, 2.8 BB, 12.61 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Joe Ryan - 5.5 strikeouts
Carlos Carrasco - 4.5 strikeouts

CLE Hitter Projections

1. Steven Kwan: 4.42 PA, 1.06 H, 1.37 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.07 FPts
2. Andres Gimenez: 4.29 PA, 1.0 H, 1.59 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.59 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.21 PA, 1.08 H, 1.81 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.36 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.12 PA, 1.12 H, 1.92 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.11 FPts
5. Tyler Freeman: 3.79 PA, 0.87 H, 1.31 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.47 FPts
6. Will Brennan: 3.8 PA, 1.01 H, 1.43 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.41 FPts
7. Bo Naylor: 3.73 PA, 0.71 H, 1.24 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.04 FPts
8. David Fry: 3.41 PA, 0.75 H, 1.36 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.7 FPts
9. Brayan Rocchio: 3.46 PA, 0.67 H, 1.06 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.07 SB, 4.87 FPts

MIN Hitter Projections

1. Edouard Julien: 4.32 PA, 0.87 H, 1.54 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.7 FPts
2. Carlos Correa: 4.38 PA, 1.04 H, 1.77 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.29 FPts
3. Alex Kirilloff: 4.16 PA, 1.07 H, 1.7 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.81 FPts
4. Byron Buxton: 4.19 PA, 0.92 H, 1.92 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.07 SB, 9.05 FPts
5. Max Kepler: 4.02 PA, 0.96 H, 1.73 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.08 FPts
6. Carlos Santana: 4.05 PA, 0.86 H, 1.44 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.3 FPts
7. Matt Wallner: 3.64 PA, 0.74 H, 1.49 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.03 FPts
8. Ryan Jeffers: 3.79 PA, 0.85 H, 1.54 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.14 FPts
9. Willi Castro: 3.57 PA, 0.81 H, 1.28 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.95 FPts

Best Bets

Jose Ramirez CLE - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+125) - 0.127 value
Willi Castro MIN - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+210) - 0.126 value
Steven Kwan CLE - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+110) - 0.113 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

MIA @ STL

Projected Game Score:

STL 4.68 - MIA 3.78
STL 55.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.46

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Trevor Rogers: 5 GS, 427 Pitches, 23.8 K%, 9.5 BB%, 13.1 SwStr%, 47.5 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%, 50.7 GB%, 6 Brl%
Steven Matz: 17 GS, 1947 Pitches, 21.4 K%, 7.2 BB%, 12.2 SwStr%, 48.1 Strike%, 34.9 Ball%, 45.5 GB%, 5 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Trevor Rogers (MIA): 93 Pitches 5.68 IP, 5.5 H, 2.8 ER, 5.0 K, 2.6 BB, 12.67 FPts
Steven Matz (STL): 90 Pitches 5.31 IP, 5.7 H, 2.5 ER, 4.6 K, 1.3 BB, 12.49 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Trevor Rogers - 5.5 strikeouts
Steven Matz - 5.5 strikeouts

MIA Hitter Projections

1. Luis Arraez: 4.48 PA, 1.25 H, 1.6 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.89 FPts
2. Josh Bell: 4.41 PA, 1.04 H, 1.76 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.91 FPts
3. Jake Burger: 4.22 PA, 1.1 H, 2.18 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.74 FPts
4. Bryan De La Cruz: 4.22 PA, 1.03 H, 1.68 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.24 FPts
5. Jazz Chisholm: 3.96 PA, 0.83 H, 1.41 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.94 FPts
6. Tim Anderson: 3.94 PA, 1.03 H, 1.37 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.12 FPts
7. Avisail Garcia: 3.7 PA, 0.84 H, 1.42 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.86 FPts
8. Emmanuel Rivera: 3.57 PA, 0.87 H, 1.36 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.78 FPts
9. Nick Fortes: 3.5 PA, 0.77 H, 1.14 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.11 FPts

STL Hitter Projections

1. Brendan Donovan: 4.47 PA, 1.09 H, 1.53 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.0 FPts
2. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.33 PA, 0.99 H, 1.72 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.76 FPts
3. Willson Contreras: 4.25 PA, 0.96 H, 1.75 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.54 FPts
4. Nolan Arenado: 4.15 PA, 1.06 H, 1.86 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.25 FPts
5. Ivan Herrera: 4.11 PA, 0.86 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.5 FPts
6. Nolan Gorman: 3.94 PA, 0.75 H, 1.4 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.0 FPts
7. Jordan Walker: 3.83 PA, 0.93 H, 1.49 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.06 FPts
8. Masyn Winn: 3.74 PA, 0.77 H, 1.03 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.13 SB, 5.95 FPts
9. Victor Scott II: 3.53 PA, 0.76 H, 1.06 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.3 SB, 6.84 FPts

Best Bets

Steven Matz STL - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (+105) - 0.205 value
Brendan Donovan STL - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+170) - 0.147 value
Victor Scott II STL - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+180) - 0.14 value
Masyn Winn STL - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+160) - 0.137 value
Avisail Garcia MIA - Hitter K Under 1.5 (-150) - 0.128 value
Trevor Rogers MIA - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (+105) - 0.126 value
Josh Bell MIA - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+190) - 0.118 value
Tim Anderson MIA - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+180) - 0.101 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

PHI @ WSH

Projected Game Score:

PHI 4.82 - WSH 3.56
PHI 57.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.38

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Ranger Suarez: 23 GS, 2106 Pitches, 22.6 K%, 8.8 BB%, 10.4 SwStr%, 44.9 Strike%, 37.0 Ball%, 49.3 GB%, 7 Brl%
Jake Irvin: 25 GS, 2227 Pitches, 18.7 K%, 10.2 BB%, 7.8 SwStr%, 44.9 Strike%, 37.9 Ball%, 42.4 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Ranger Suarez (PHI): 97 Pitches 6.36 IP, 6.3 H, 2.8 ER, 5.0 K, 1.8 BB, 14.67 FPts
Jake Irvin (WSH): 86 Pitches 5.18 IP, 5.2 H, 2.8 ER, 4.8 K, 2.1 BB, 11.83 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Ranger Suarez - 4.5 strikeouts
Jake Irvin - 5.5 strikeouts

PHI Hitter Projections

1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.59 PA, 0.84 H, 1.91 TB, 0.3 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.47 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.45 PA, 1.08 H, 1.76 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.56 FPts
3. Bryce Harper: 4.31 PA, 1.05 H, 1.92 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.1 SB, 9.56 FPts
4. J.T. Realmuto: 4.26 PA, 1.02 H, 1.86 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.59 FPts
5. Bryson Stott: 4.15 PA, 1.01 H, 1.49 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.61 FPts
6. Alec Bohm: 4.06 PA, 0.98 H, 1.46 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.57 FPts
7. Nick Castellanos: 3.93 PA, 0.9 H, 1.54 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.77 FPts
8. Brandon Marsh: 3.71 PA, 0.78 H, 1.23 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.36 FPts
9. Johan Rojas: 3.5 PA, 0.77 H, 1.06 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.22 SB, 6.02 FPts

WSH Hitter Projections

1. C.J. Abrams: 4.47 PA, 1.03 H, 1.5 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.27 SB, 7.76 FPts
2. Lane Thomas: 4.39 PA, 1.04 H, 1.74 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.96 FPts
3. Joey Meneses: 4.31 PA, 1.11 H, 1.68 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.06 FPts
4. Joey Gallo: 3.89 PA, 0.5 H, 1.07 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.6 FPts
5. Keibert Ruiz: 4.09 PA, 1.03 H, 1.46 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.25 FPts
6. Jesse Winker: 3.69 PA, 0.68 H, 0.98 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.44 FPts
7. Ildemaro Vargas: 3.87 PA, 0.98 H, 1.34 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.93 FPts
8. Trey Lipscomb: 3.75 PA, 0.92 H, 1.49 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.27 FPts
9. Jacob Young: 3.51 PA, 0.83 H, 1.2 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.2 SB, 6.35 FPts

Best Bets

Ranger Suarez PHI - Pitcher Hits Over 5.5 (+110) - 0.128 value
Ildemaro Vargas WSH - Hitter K Under 0.5 (-145) - 0.12 value
J.T. Realmuto PHI - Hitter K Under 1.5 (-170) - 0.109 value
Jacob Young WSH - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+130) - 0.108 value
Trey Lipscomb WSH - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+170) - 0.102 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

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