MLB DW Slate Preview - April 9th
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
Slate Preview - April 9
Most Team Fantasy Point Projections
ARI (vs. Cal Quantrill): 79.49 Projected Points
LAD (vs. Louie Varland): 76.69 Projected Points
MIL (vs. Frankie Montas): 74.41 Projected Points
ATL (vs. Adrian Houser): 74.12 Projected Points
CIN (vs. Joe Ross): 70.31 Projected Points
Least Team Fantasy Point Projections
CWS (vs. Logan Allen): 52.59 Projected Points
MIN (vs. Tyler Glasnow): 57.76 Projected Points
WSH (vs. Kyle Harrison): 58.03 Projected Points
MIA (vs. Carlos Rodon): 59.11 Projected Points
NYM (vs. Reynaldo Lopez): 59.33 Projected Points
Team Projections vs. Season Averages
ARI: 79.49 Today, 63.56 Season Average
MIL: 74.41 Today, 63.52 Season Average
LAD: 76.69 Today, 67.17 Season Average
CIN: 70.31 Today, 64.4 Season Average
DET: 60.88 Today, 56.11 Season Average
DFS Top Plays by Position
Pitchers - Raw Projections
Tyler Glasnow $10100 vs. MIN: 21.59 points
Nathan Eovaldi $8800 vs. OAK: 16.78 points
Merrill Kelly $8400 vs. COL: 16.72 points
Carlos Rodon $7900 vs. MIA: 15.39 points
Aaron Civale $7700 vs. LAA: 14.86 points
Pitchers - Top Values
Ben Brown $4000 vs. SD: 9.19 points, 2.3 value
Josiah Gray $6400 vs. SF: 13.82 points, 2.16 value
Tyler Glasnow $10100 vs. MIN: 21.59 points, 2.14 value
A.J. Puk $6700 vs. NYY: 14.23 points, 2.12 value
Merrill Kelly $8400 vs. COL: 16.72 points, 1.99 value
Catchers
1. Will Smith ($4700) vs. Louie Varland: 8.24 points, 1.18 score
2. Cal Raleigh ($3700) vs. Chris Bassitt: 7.49 points, 1.13 score
3. J.T. Realmuto ($4700) vs. Sonny Gray: 7.97 points, 1.1 score
4. Shea Langeliers ($2700) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 6.47 points, 1.1 score
5. Gabriel Moreno ($4100) vs. Cal Quantrill: 7.63 points, 1.08 score
First Base
1. Shohei Ohtani ($6000) vs. Louie Varland: 11.36 points, 1.48 score
2. Freddie Freeman ($5800) vs. Louie Varland: 9.89 points, 1.3 score
3. Christian Walker ($5000) vs. Cal Quantrill: 9.65 points, 1.25 score
4. Vinnie Pasquantino ($4200) vs. Cristian Javier: 8.82 points, 1.17 score
5. Matt Olson ($5900) vs. Adrian Houser: 9.23 points, 1.15 score
Second Base
1. Mookie Betts ($6300) vs. Louie Varland: 10.4 points, 1.36 score
2. Zack Gelof ($4000) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 8.76 points, 1.31 score
3. Ketel Marte ($5300) vs. Cal Quantrill: 9.55 points, 1.21 score
4. Jorge Polanco ($4000) vs. Chris Bassitt: 8.3 points, 1.21 score
5. Jose Altuve ($5200) vs. Cole Ragans: 8.62 points, 1.18 score
Third Base
1. Abraham Toro ($2200) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 7.43 points, 1.32 score
2. Ezequiel Duran ($2600) vs. Alex Wood: 7.12 points, 1.17 score
3. Eugenio Suarez ($4300) vs. Cal Quantrill: 8.38 points, 1.15 score
4. Jake Burger ($4200) vs. Carlos Rodon: 8.24 points, 1.14 score
5. Max Muncy ($4500) vs. Louie Varland: 8.1 points, 1.13 score
Shortstop
1. Mookie Betts ($6300) vs. Louie Varland: 10.4 points, 1.36 score
2. Bobby Witt Jr. ($6100) vs. Cristian Javier: 10.49 points, 1.32 score
3. Corey Seager ($5800) vs. Alex Wood: 8.88 points, 1.14 score
4. Manny Machado ($5100) vs. Ben Brown: 7.63 points, 1.08 score
5. Anthony Volpe ($4200) vs. A.J. Puk: 7.5 points, 1.06 score
Outfield
1. Shohei Ohtani ($6000) vs. Louie Varland: 11.36 points, 1.48 score
2. Corbin Carroll ($5700) vs. Cal Quantrill: 11.04 points, 1.42 score
3. Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6600) vs. Adrian Houser: 11.23 points, 1.4 score
4. Aaron Judge ($6200) vs. A.J. Puk: 10.33 points, 1.39 score
5. Joc Pederson ($4200) vs. Cal Quantrill: 9.48 points, 1.29 score
6. Fernando Tatis Jr. ($5800) vs. Ben Brown: 9.17 points, 1.25 score
7. Mike Trout ($5700) vs. Aaron Civale: 9.25 points, 1.23 score
8. Michael Harris II ($4400) vs. Adrian Houser: 8.9 points, 1.21 score
9. Juan Soto ($6000) vs. A.J. Puk: 9.32 points, 1.2 score
10. Yordan Alvarez ($5600) vs. Cole Ragans: 9.22 points, 1.2 score
11. Julio Rodriguez ($5600) vs. Chris Bassitt: 9.04 points, 1.16 score
12. Kyle Tucker ($5500) vs. Cole Ragans: 8.8 points, 1.16 score
13. Taylor Trammell ($2000) vs. Louie Varland: 6.33 points, 1.16 score
14. Nelson Velazquez ($3600) vs. Cristian Javier: 7.94 points, 1.15 score
15. MJ Melendez ($3400) vs. Cristian Javier: 7.64 points, 1.13 score
Game-by-Game Previews
BAL @ BOS
Projected Game Score:
BAL 4.97 - BOS 4.64
BAL 51.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 9.61
2023-2024 Pitcher Stats
Corbin Burnes: 34 GS, 3261 Pitches, 25.8 K%, 8.0 BB%, 13.3 SwStr%, 46.9 Strike%, 36.5 Ball%, 44.4 GB%, 5 Brl%
Brayan Bello: 30 GS, 2789 Pitches, 19.7 K%, 6.5 BB%, 12.0 SwStr%, 44.5 Strike%, 36.9 Ball%, 55.7 GB%, 7 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Corbin Burnes (BAL): 96 Pitches 5.5 IP, 5.1 H, 2.6 ER, 5.8 K, 1.8 BB, 15.53 FPts
Brayan Bello (BOS): 90 Pitches 5.03 IP, 5.6 H, 2.7 ER, 3.7 K, 1.7 BB, 9.61 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Corbin Burnes - 7.5 strikeouts
Brayan Bello - 4.5 strikeouts
BAL Hitter Projections
1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.62 PA, 1.17 H, 2.09 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.58 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.56 PA, 1.1 H, 1.73 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.44 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.47 PA, 1.06 H, 1.92 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.64 FPts
4. Ryan O'Hearn: 4.14 PA, 1.11 H, 1.73 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.49 FPts
5. Ryan Mountcastle: 4.18 PA, 1.02 H, 1.77 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.87 FPts
6. Cedric Mullins II: 4.11 PA, 0.97 H, 1.54 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.69 FPts
7. Colton Cowser: 4.03 PA, 0.9 H, 1.43 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.4 FPts
8. Ramon Urias: 3.82 PA, 0.86 H, 1.3 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.98 FPts
9. Tony Kemp: 3.55 PA, 0.81 H, 1.1 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.9 FPts
BOS Hitter Projections
1. Jarren Duran: 4.54 PA, 1.07 H, 1.67 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.54 FPts
2. Rafael Devers: 4.54 PA, 1.15 H, 2.1 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.03 SB, 9.14 FPts
3. Tyler O'Neill: 4.49 PA, 0.96 H, 1.69 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.18 FPts
4. Triston Casas: 4.31 PA, 0.86 H, 1.53 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.81 FPts
5. Masataka Yoshida: 4.23 PA, 1.11 H, 1.66 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.61 FPts
6. Ceddanne Rafaela: 4.09 PA, 0.87 H, 1.47 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.08 FPts
7. Enmanuel Valdez: 3.62 PA, 0.78 H, 1.35 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.22 FPts
8. Reese McGuire: 3.69 PA, 0.86 H, 1.22 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.57 FPts
9. David Hamilton: 3.69 PA, 0.77 H, 1.21 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.29 SB, 7.33 FPts
Best Bets
Corbin Burnes BAL - Strikeouts Under 7.5 (-150) - 0.166 value
Brayan Bello BOS - Strikeouts Under 4.5 (-115) - 0.144 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
CWS @ CLE
Projected Game Score:
CLE 4.12 - CWS 2.96
CLE 58.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 7.08
2023-2024 Pitcher Stats
Logan Allen: 26 GS, 2309 Pitches, 21.9 K%, 8.7 BB%, 11.6 SwStr%, 46.7 Strike%, 35.9 Ball%, 43.7 GB%, 7 Brl%
Michael Soroka: 8 GS, 705 Pitches, 16.2 K%, 7.9 BB%, 9.5 SwStr%, 41.4 Strike%, 38.6 Ball%, 49.6 GB%, 10 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Logan Allen (CLE): 87 Pitches 5.48 IP, 5.2 H, 2.3 ER, 5.0 K, 1.8 BB, 14.22 FPts
Mike Soroka (CWS): 82 Pitches 5.23 IP, 6.0 H, 2.7 ER, 3.2 K, 1.4 BB, 8.18 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Logan Allen - 5.5 strikeouts
Mike Soroka - Prop Not Found
CWS Hitter Projections
1. Robbie Grossman: 4.36 PA, 0.8 H, 1.26 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.57 FPts
2. Yoan Moncada: 4.33 PA, 0.93 H, 1.49 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.42 FPts
3. Andrew Vaughn: 4.3 PA, 0.97 H, 1.58 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.71 FPts
4. Paul DeJong: 4.13 PA, 0.73 H, 1.26 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.66 FPts
5. Andrew Benintendi: 4.08 PA, 0.96 H, 1.28 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.97 FPts
6. Kevin Pillar: 3.72 PA, 0.8 H, 1.35 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.63 FPts
7. Lenyn Sosa: 3.85 PA, 0.88 H, 1.47 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.74 FPts
8. Martin Maldonado: 3.57 PA, 0.63 H, 1.14 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.82 FPts
9. Nicky Lopez: 3.39 PA, 0.79 H, 1.0 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.07 FPts
CLE Hitter Projections
1. Steven Kwan: 4.45 PA, 1.11 H, 1.43 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.4 FPts
2. Andres Gimenez: 4.32 PA, 1.08 H, 1.7 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.19 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.24 PA, 1.1 H, 1.86 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.69 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.15 PA, 1.15 H, 1.96 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.5 FPts
5. Tyler Freeman: 3.82 PA, 0.93 H, 1.37 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.89 FPts
6. Will Brennan: 3.83 PA, 1.06 H, 1.48 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.65 FPts
7. Ramon Laureano: 3.71 PA, 0.8 H, 1.42 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.72 FPts
8. Bo Naylor: 3.63 PA, 0.7 H, 1.22 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.22 FPts
9. Brayan Rocchio: 3.48 PA, 0.74 H, 1.17 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.48 FPts
Best Bets
Brayan Rocchio CLE - Hitter Hits Under 0.5 (+170) - 0.107 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
The rest of this post is behind the paywall. Become a paid member to get the full game previews, daily notes, projections, dashboards, and so much more. Check out the about page here for more information.