MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

Share this post

MLB Data Warehouse
MLB Data Warehouse
MLB DW Slate Preview - August 2nd

MLB DW Slate Preview - August 2nd

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

Jon A's avatar
Jon A
Aug 02, 2024
∙ Paid
2

Share this post

MLB Data Warehouse
MLB Data Warehouse
MLB DW Slate Preview - August 2nd
Share

I’m making this totally free for all today, but starting tomorrow or next week they’ll go back to paid only.


Jon’s DFS Preview

Pitchers

Joe Ryan $9,700 vs. White Sox:

There are a lot of good options on this slate, but Ryan stands out above the rest. The White Sox lineup only got slightly worse at the deadline (Pham), but they have been an elite matchup for SPs all year. They have lost their last 17 games. Ryan has the top projection and value score tonight, so he’s a lock for me in my single-lineup build tonight.

Spencer Schwellenbach $8,800 vs. Marlins:

This is a very interesting spot. Schwellenbach is coming off of a spike game where he struck out 11 Mets in seven shutout innings. He now has a 25.5% K% in the Majors this year with a 4.3% BB% - and you know how I feel about pitchers with a 20%+ K-BB%. The icing on the cake is the matchup here with Miami. The lineup they roll out there now after the deadline is even less threatening than before. The one snag I could see here is that Marlins don’t project to strike out all that much, and Schwelly’s strikeout rate is middling. I can’t see him having a bad outing here, but I could see something like 14-18 points which would be a bit disappointing and not really justify the ownership.

Tyler Phillips $8,400 vs. Mariners:

There’s no chance I go to Phillips for $400 less than Schwellenbach, but the model likes him here so I wanted to make the case for him. In four outings, he’s thrown 25 innings with a 21.3% K% and a 2.2% BB%. So he throws a lot of strikes, and that has led him to 20+ fantasy points in his last two outings. The Mariners bleed strikeouts, as you know, so the projection on him is for a solid 5.8 strikeouts. The reason I don’t like the play is that I don’t think the price should be quite this high. He had just a 20% K% in the minors, so I could see him being a sub-18% guy moving forward, and the Mariners did add a couple of lower-strikeout bats to their lineup, so they might not be quite as bad on that front over these last two months. So I’m off of Phillips in my single lineup for sure, but I think you could include him in the PP pool if you just can’t find the extra $400 for Schwellenbach.

Randy Vasquez $6,100 vs. Rockies:

Here’s the punt option. Vasquez has not been good this year, averaging 8.1 DraftKings points per start. His 15% K% is egregious, and that is typically disqualifying for him. But the road rockies matchup is here, and we have seen over and over again what that can do for a guy. Some names that have scored 20+ points on the road rockies this year:

  • Andre Pallante (25)

  • Andrew Abbott (33)

  • Carson Fulmer (23)

  • Drew Thorpe (20)

  • Hayden Birdsong (28)

  • Javier Assad (25)

  • Jose Berrios (31)

  • Kyle Harrison (37)

  • Merrill Kelly (31)

  • Rodder Munoz (27)

  • Sean Manaea (28)

  • Spencer Arrighetti (38)

So we certainly boost Vasquez’s projection tonight. I’m still not going to do it given how crazy low his K% is, I really want 50+ points from my SPs in a single-lineup, but if you desperately need someone under $7,000 - this is your guy.

Yusei Kikuchi $8,600 vs. Rays:

This is the JA special. The model isn’t crazy about him (15.7 point projection, 1.8 value. But we’re leaning into a bit of narrative street here, saying that Kikuchi wants to make a big splash with his new team. But no. Really, the reason to play him is the 26% K% and 6% BB% he has on the year and the matchup. The Rays shipped off Randy Arozarena about a week ago, and now their lineup looks like this:

  1. Yandy Diaz

  2. Curtis Mead

  3. Christopher Morel

  4. Jonny DeLuca

  5. Jose Caballero

  6. Jose Siri

  7. Dylan Carlson

  8. Taylor Walls

  9. Alex Jackson

There’s just not much there that threatens you. I think Kikuchi has an enormous ceiling here if he can keep the ball in the yard. Do I like it enough to put him in over Schwellenbach as SP2 who the model is much more recommending? That’s a question I’ll have to go back and forth on all day today and let it completely ruin my productivity!


Team Offense

There are a lot of pitchers to like, which sometimes mean there isn’t much offense to like, but that’s not the case today. We have some really hittable pitchers here as well.

Red Sox vs. Jose Urena

If you’ve played DFS for any length of time, you know how bad Urena is. Since last year, eh’s given up a .779 OPS with a 16% K%, a 9% BB%, an 8.5% Brl%, and a 40% hard-hit rate. The Red Sox lineup is in good shape, it’s tough to not get Rafael Devers in our lineup tonight.

Reds vs. Kyle Harrison

We have a Great American Ballpark series, so the model is popping for that game. Harrison is not made for this kind of ballpark with his 9.8% Brl% and 31% FB% allowed since his made his Major League debut. He has a mediocre 14.5% K-BB% in that time, so he’s very hittable. Somehow he’s been way worse against left-handed batters. I don’t think that will stick long-term, but it is enough to make us not cross of the left-handed bats or anything like that.

Braves vs. Shaun Anderson

The Marlins will roll out Anderson tonight. He’s not been in the Majors much lately, but between AAA and MLB this year he has a 4.26 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP on a 21.1% K% and 4.9% BB%. There’s a reason he’s not been able to stay in the Major Leagues, so the Braves are in a fantastic spot here against him and the depleted Marlins bullpen (they lost Puk and Scott at the deadline).

Giants vs. Andrew Abbott

Harrison vs. Abbott tonight, the matchup of clones. Both fly-ball lefties came up last year after posting ridiculous strikeout rate in the minors, but haven’t been very good in the Majors in terms of strikeouts.

The Giants are less of a priority offense because they have fewer upside bats. But this is a pretty great spot for Matt Chapman, Heliot Ramos, Patrick Bailey, Tyler Fitzgerald, and maybe even someone cheap like Marco Luciano.


Priority Plays

We have some potential weather issues for Blue Jays vs. Yankees, so we’ll have to keep an eye on that. Either way, I don’t really want to pay the big Soto/Judge prices against Gausman, so I think it’s safe to just scratch that game off from the jump. Here are the model’s favorite plays, considering price, projection, and ceiling:

  • Shohei Ohtani $6,500 vs. Joey Estes

  • Matt Chapman $4,800 vs. Andrew Abbott

  • Spencer Steer $5,100 vs. Kyle Harrison

  • Elly De La Cruz $6,300 vs. Kyle Harrison

  • Heliot Ramos $4,900 vs. Andrew Abbott

  • Francisco Lindor $5,600 vs. Tyler Anderson

  • Jarren Duran $5,800 vs. Jose Urena

  • Rafael Devers $5,900 vs. Jose Urena

Some other guys with cheaper price tags:

  • Jonathan India $4,500 vs. Kyle Harrison

  • Marco Luciano $2,800 vs. Andrew Abbott

  • Tyler Stephenson $3,700 vs. Kyle Harrison

  • Willi Castro $4,500 vs. Davis Martin

  • Noelvi Marte $3,100 vs. Kyle Harrison

  • Max Kepler $3,900 vs. Davis Martin

  • Jorge Soler $4,400 vs. Shaun Anderson

  • Christopher Morel $4,200 vs. Yusei Kikuchi

  • Jose Siri $3,500 vs. Yusei Kikuchi

  • Stuart Fairchild $2,900 vs. Kyle Harrison

  • Casey Schmitt $2,700 vs. Andrew Abbott


Lineup Talk

Just plugging the projections into the optimizer and making no edits:

It’s interesting to me that it’s going after Verdugo and Soto against Gausman. It’s not the usual Gausman this year, so I see that, but given the weather and the fact that I don’t want to spend that price tag on Soto in a sub-optimal matchup, I’ll scratch that game off the list and re-run it.

That puts the Soto money towards Ohtani, which is much better. This lineup doesn’t give us any Red Sox, which is a bit scary against Urena because we know how bad he can be.

So I’m not going to commit to anything here right now, I’ll let you all make your own choices.


Player Props

DraftKings brought the hitter strikeout lines back. We had a 10.3% ROI on those bets before they took them away from us (+85 units on 827 recommended bets). Here are the four of those bets currently hitting above the 0.10 value mark:

The rest of the bet types haven’t been great this year, I’ll admit it. Things have slowed down quite a bit. Here’s the current tracker when we look at bets above a 0.13 value threshold:

So we’re under water on pitcher strikeouts and walks and hitter walks. Pitcher and hitter hits have worked, but they don’t show up very often.

Here are the bets above 0.15 tonight:

But I can no longer truly recommend these, since the bigger data sample points to us still losing money on these. I do kind of like the idea of betting against Randy Vasquez there at 4.5


Automated Slate Preview

Most Team Fantasy Point Projections

NYY (vs. Kevin Gausman): 78.62 Projected Points
CIN (vs. Kyle Harrison): 77.68 Projected Points
SF (vs. Andrew Abbott): 74.66 Projected Points
STL (vs. Javier Assad): 71.3 Projected Points
NYM (vs. Tyler Anderson): 70.82 Projected Points

Least Team Fantasy Point Projections

MIA (vs. Spencer Schwellenbach): 51.38 Projected Points
DET (vs. Cole Ragans): 52.03 Projected Points
CWS (vs. Joe Ryan): 52.54 Projected Points
PIT (vs. Brandon Pfaadt): 57.21 Projected Points
KC (vs. Tarik Skubal): 59.4 Projected Points

Team Projections vs. Season Averages

SF: 74.66 Today, 62.46 Season Average
CIN: 77.68 Today, 66.22 Season Average
NYY: 78.62 Today, 67.19 Season Average
MIN: 69.12 Today, 62.37 Season Average
NYM: 70.82 Today, 64.48 Season Average

Today Max Projection Players

Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Spencer Schwellenbach: 17.98 Today, 14.87 Previous Max
Jonathan India: 9.83 Today, 9.83 Previous Max
Tyler Fitzgerald: 8.88 Today, 8.44 Previous Max
Masyn Winn: 8.22 Today, 8.18 Previous Max
Marco Luciano: 7.99 Today, 7.66 Previous Max
Matt Wallner: 7.93 Today, 7.72 Previous Max
Joey Loperfido: 7.68 Today, 7.53 Previous Max

DFS Top Plays by Position

Pitchers - Raw Projections

Joe Ryan $9700 vs. CWS: 20.1 points
Spencer Schwellenbach $8800 vs. MIA: 17.98 points
Tyler Phillips $8400 vs. SEA: 16.24 points
Yusei Kikuchi $8600 vs. TB: 15.66 points
Kevin Gausman $9100 vs. NYY: 15.63 points

Pitchers - Top Values

Joe Ryan $9700 vs. CWS: 20.1 points, 2.07 value
Spencer Schwellenbach $8800 vs. MIA: 17.98 points, 2.04 value
Tyler Phillips $8400 vs. SEA: 16.24 points, 1.93 value
Gavin Stone $7600 vs. OAK: 14.68 points, 1.93 value
Shaun Anderson $5100 vs. ATL: 9.56 points, 1.87 value

Catchers

1. Travis d'Arnaud ($3700) vs. Shaun Anderson: 7.72 points, 1.1 score
2. Logan O'Hoppe ($4100) vs. Paul Blackburn: 7.52 points, 1.07 score
3. Adley Rutschman ($5600) vs. Carlos Carrasco: 7.79 points, 1.0 score
4. Bo Naylor ($2600) vs. Dean Kremer: 5.53 points, 0.84 score
5. David Fry ($4500) vs. Dean Kremer: 6.52 points, 0.84 score

First Base

1. Matt Olson ($4800) vs. Shaun Anderson: 9.02 points, 1.14 score
2. Nolan Schanuel ($3400) vs. Paul Blackburn: 7.64 points, 1.08 score
3. Jake Burger ($3600) vs. Spencer Schwellenbach: 6.44 points, 1.0 score
4. Josh Naylor ($5100) vs. Dean Kremer: 8.39 points, 1.0 score
5. Ryan O'Hearn ($4300) vs. Carlos Carrasco: 7.15 points, 0.98 score

Second Base

1. Andres Gimenez ($4000) vs. Dean Kremer: 6.95 points, 0.97 score
2. Whit Merrifield ($2900) vs. Shaun Anderson: 6.07 points, 0.96 score
3. Luis Rengifo ($4800) vs. Paul Blackburn: 7.9 points, 0.95 score
4. Brendan Rodgers ($3300) vs. Randy Vasquez: 6.28 points, 0.9 score
5. Jackson Holliday ($3200) vs. Carlos Carrasco: 6.46 points, 0.88 score

Third Base

1. Jose Ramirez ($6200) vs. Dean Kremer: 8.95 points, 1.18 score
2. Austin Riley ($5000) vs. Shaun Anderson: 8.92 points, 1.16 score
3. Ryan McMahon ($4300) vs. Randy Vasquez: 8.03 points, 1.05 score
4. Jake Burger ($3600) vs. Spencer Schwellenbach: 6.44 points, 1.0 score
5. Luis Rengifo ($4800) vs. Paul Blackburn: 7.9 points, 0.95 score

Shortstop

1. Gunnar Henderson ($6100) vs. Carlos Carrasco: 9.49 points, 1.21 score
2. Ezequiel Tovar ($4100) vs. Randy Vasquez: 7.34 points, 0.98 score
3. Zach Neto ($4000) vs. Paul Blackburn: 6.98 points, 0.95 score
4. Orlando Arcia ($2800) vs. Shaun Anderson: 6.08 points, 0.91 score
5. Xavier Edwards ($3900) vs. Spencer Schwellenbach: 6.74 points, 0.87 score

Outfield

1. Marcell Ozuna ($5700) vs. Shaun Anderson: 9.99 points, 1.22 score
2. Jorge Soler ($4400) vs. Shaun Anderson: 8.64 points, 1.14 score
3. Colton Cowser ($4200) vs. Carlos Carrasco: 8.15 points, 1.13 score
4. Lane Thomas ($4800) vs. Dean Kremer: 8.28 points, 1.07 score
5. Anthony Santander ($5400) vs. Carlos Carrasco: 8.03 points, 1.06 score
6. Taylor Ward ($4300) vs. Paul Blackburn: 7.33 points, 1.01 score
7. Jesus Sanchez ($3300) vs. Spencer Schwellenbach: 6.51 points, 1.0 score
8. Charlie Blackmon ($4500) vs. Randy Vasquez: 7.44 points, 0.99 score
9. Angel Martinez ($3600) vs. Dean Kremer: 7.31 points, 0.98 score
10. Brenton Doyle ($5000) vs. Randy Vasquez: 7.93 points, 0.97 score
11. Eddie Rosario ($3000) vs. Shaun Anderson: 6.89 points, 0.97 score
12. Whit Merrifield ($2900) vs. Shaun Anderson: 6.07 points, 0.96 score
13. Jarred Kelenic ($3800) vs. Shaun Anderson: 7.08 points, 0.92 score
14. Cedric Mullins II ($3800) vs. Carlos Carrasco: 6.65 points, 0.92 score
15. Mickey Moniak ($3000) vs. Paul Blackburn: 5.74 points, 0.91 score

Game by Game Previews

MIA @ ATL

Projected Game Score:

ATL 5.03 - MIA 2.84
ATL 63.9% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 7.87

2024 Pitcher Stats

Spencer Schwellenbach: 10 GS, 884 Pitches, 25.6 K%, 3.8 BB%, 14.6 SwStr%, 52.4 Strike%, 29.4 Ball%, 39.8 GB%, 5 Brl%
Shaun Anderson: 2 GS, 163 Pitches, 13.5 K%, 1.9 BB%, 6.7 SwStr%, 41.7 Strike%, 31.9 Ball%, 37.2 GB%, 7 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL): 84 Pitches 5.74 IP, 5.3 H, 2.3 ER, 6.1 K, 1.0 BB, 17.98 FPts
Shaun Anderson (MIA): 75 Pitches 5.01 IP, 5.7 H, 2.8 ER, 3.8 K, 1.7 BB, 9.56 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Spencer Schwellenbach - 6.5 strikeouts
Shaun Anderson - Prop Not Found

MIA Hitter Projections

1. Xavier Edwards: 4.2 PA, 0.97 H, 1.31 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.18 SB, 6.74 FPts
2. Jake Burger: 4.1 PA, 0.93 H, 1.65 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.44 FPts
3. Jesus Sanchez: 3.85 PA, 0.91 H, 1.56 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.51 FPts
4. Jonah Bride: 3.92 PA, 0.84 H, 1.19 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.34 FPts
5. Kyle Stowers: 3.81 PA, 0.86 H, 1.47 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.92 FPts
6. Otto Lopez: 3.64 PA, 0.91 H, 1.34 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.69 FPts
7. Nick Gordon: 3.35 PA, 0.79 H, 1.21 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.1 FPts
8. Forrest Wall: 3.49 PA, 0.73 H, 1.15 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.19 SB, 5.92 FPts
9. Nick Fortes: 3.1 PA, 0.63 H, 0.88 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.02 SB, 3.72 FPts

ATL Hitter Projections

1. Jorge Soler: 4.53 PA, 1.01 H, 1.87 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.64 FPts
2. Austin Riley: 4.41 PA, 1.12 H, 2.01 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.92 FPts
3. Marcell Ozuna: 4.33 PA, 1.16 H, 2.26 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.99 FPts
4. Matt Olson: 4.25 PA, 1.01 H, 1.9 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.02 FPts
5. Travis d'Arnaud: 4.07 PA, 1.02 H, 1.78 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.72 FPts
6. Eddie Rosario: 3.83 PA, 0.91 H, 1.51 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.89 FPts
7. Orlando Arcia: 3.85 PA, 0.89 H, 1.39 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.08 FPts
8. Jarred Kelenic: 3.64 PA, 0.87 H, 1.48 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.08 FPts
9. Whit Merrifield: 3.5 PA, 0.82 H, 1.15 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.07 FPts

Best Bets

Spencer Schwellenbach ATL - Pitcher Outs Under 17.5 (+160) - 0.158 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Marcell Ozuna (ATL) OF $5700: 9.99 Proj, 1.26 Score
Austin Riley (ATL) 3B $5000: 8.92 Proj, 1.22 Score
Matt Olson (ATL) 1B $4800: 9.02 Proj, 1.21 Score
Jorge Soler (ATL) OF $4400: 8.64 Proj, 1.18 Score
Travis d'Arnaud (ATL) C $3700: 7.72 Proj, 1.11 Score

STL @ CHC

Projected Game Score:

STL 5.2 - CHC 4.84
STL 51.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 10.04

2024 Pitcher Stats

Erick Fedde: 21 GS, 1972 Pitches, 21.5 K%, 6.8 BB%, 10.2 SwStr%, 43.5 Strike%, 38.3 Ball%, 44.4 GB%, 8 Brl%
Javier Assad: 19 GS, 1645 Pitches, 21.0 K%, 10.2 BB%, 8.0 SwStr%, 44.4 Strike%, 38.7 Ball%, 42.2 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Erick Fedde (STL): 94 Pitches 5.64 IP, 5.6 H, 2.8 ER, 4.8 K, 2.0 BB, 13.34 FPts
Javier Assad (CHC): 87 Pitches 5.44 IP, 5.3 H, 2.8 ER, 4.6 K, 2.6 BB, 12.19 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Erick Fedde - 4.5 strikeouts
Javier Assad - 4.5 strikeouts

STL Hitter Projections

1. Masyn Winn: 4.6 PA, 1.11 H, 1.61 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.22 FPts
2. Alec Burleson: 4.34 PA, 1.12 H, 1.82 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.33 FPts
3. Willson Contreras: 4.34 PA, 0.98 H, 1.82 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.28 FPts
4. Brendan Donovan: 4.3 PA, 1.06 H, 1.58 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.23 FPts
5. Nolan Arenado: 4.13 PA, 0.98 H, 1.6 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.51 FPts
6. Lars Nootbaar: 4.04 PA, 0.87 H, 1.54 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.73 FPts
7. Paul Goldschmidt: 3.94 PA, 0.86 H, 1.5 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.44 FPts
8. Nolan Gorman: 3.83 PA, 0.79 H, 1.67 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.2 FPts
9. Mike Siani: 3.3 PA, 0.74 H, 1.03 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.36 FPts

CHC Hitter Projections

1. Ian Happ: 4.57 PA, 1.03 H, 1.83 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.35 FPts
2. Michael Busch: 4.33 PA, 0.97 H, 1.63 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.92 FPts
3. Seiya Suzuki: 4.41 PA, 1.11 H, 1.96 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.12 FPts
4. Cody Bellinger: 4.27 PA, 1.04 H, 1.68 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.14 FPts
5. Isaac Paredes: 4.19 PA, 0.9 H, 1.6 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.57 FPts
6. Nico Hoerner: 4.06 PA, 1.03 H, 1.43 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.4 FPts
7. Dansby Swanson: 3.92 PA, 0.93 H, 1.54 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.14 FPts
8. Pete Crow-Armstrong: 3.71 PA, 0.77 H, 1.26 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.22 SB, 6.71 FPts
9. Christian Bethancourt: 3.48 PA, 0.82 H, 1.35 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.68 FPts

Best Bets

Erick Fedde STL - Pitcher Hits Over 4.5 (-120) - 0.119 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

KC @ DET

Projected Game Score:

KC 3.6 - DET 2.94
KC 55.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.0
Projected Total: 6.54

2024 Pitcher Stats

Cole Ragans: 22 GS, 2136 Pitches, 29.0 K%, 7.6 BB%, 16.2 SwStr%, 48.2 Strike%, 36.3 Ball%, 41.0 GB%, 6 Brl%
Tarik Skubal: 21 GS, 1917 Pitches, 30.0 K%, 4.7 BB%, 16.7 SwStr%, 52.9 Strike%, 29.9 Ball%, 47.6 GB%, 7 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Cole Ragans (KC): 96 Pitches 5.92 IP, 4.8 H, 2.2 ER, 7.7 K, 1.6 BB, 21.42 FPts
Tarik Skubal (DET): 91 Pitches 6.27 IP, 5.6 H, 2.6 ER, 7.5 K, 1.0 BB, 21.03 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Cole Ragans - 6.5 strikeouts
Tarik Skubal - 7.5 strikeouts

KC Hitter Projections

1. Maikel Garcia: 4.38 PA, 1.11 H, 1.71 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.76 FPts
2. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.28 PA, 1.22 H, 2.29 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.18 SB, 9.89 FPts
3. Vinnie Pasquantino: 4.15 PA, 0.97 H, 1.48 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.5 FPts
4. Salvador Perez: 4.08 PA, 0.96 H, 1.77 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.05 FPts
5. Freddy Fermin: 3.94 PA, 0.92 H, 1.49 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.07 FPts
6. Hunter Renfroe: 3.78 PA, 0.79 H, 1.36 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.6 FPts
7. Garrett Hampson: 3.37 PA, 0.7 H, 1.09 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.27 FPts
8. Paul DeJong: 3.59 PA, 0.68 H, 1.22 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.88 FPts
9. Dairon Blanco: 3.33 PA, 0.68 H, 1.08 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.31 SB, 6.38 FPts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Andy Ibanez: 3.98 PA, 0.97 H, 1.51 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.14 FPts
2. Justyn-Henry Malloy: 4.2 PA, 0.65 H, 1.09 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.56 FPts
3. Matt Vierling: 4.01 PA, 0.93 H, 1.48 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.33 FPts
4. Jake Rogers: 3.89 PA, 0.75 H, 1.41 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.96 FPts
5. Wenceel Perez: 3.94 PA, 0.91 H, 1.37 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.45 FPts
6. Javier Baez: 3.82 PA, 0.81 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.63 FPts
7. Gio Urshela: 3.7 PA, 0.9 H, 1.27 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.32 FPts
8. Ryan Vilade: 3.6 PA, 0.75 H, 1.17 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.39 FPts
9. Ryan Kreidler: 3.4 PA, 0.62 H, 1.09 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.25 FPts

Best Bets

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

ARI @ PIT

Projected Game Score:

ARI 4.4 - PIT 3.5
ARI 55.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.9

2024 Pitcher Stats

Brandon Pfaadt: 21 GS, 1845 Pitches, 22.5 K%, 5.1 BB%, 12.1 SwStr%, 47.6 Strike%, 32.5 Ball%, 43.5 GB%, 7 Brl%
Luis F. Ortiz: 0 GS, 10 Pitches, 0.0 K%, 0.0 BB%, 30.0 SwStr%, 50.0 Strike%, 10.0 Ball%, 75.0 GB%, 0 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 85 Pitches 5.92 IP, 5.8 H, 2.7 ER, 6.0 K, 1.5 BB, 16.89 FPts
Luis L. Ortiz (PIT): 83 Pitches 5.39 IP, 5.5 H, 2.7 ER, 4.1 K, 2.1 BB, 11.17 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Brandon Pfaadt - 6.5 strikeouts
Luis L. Ortiz - 3.5 strikeouts

ARI Hitter Projections

1. Corbin Carroll: 4.5 PA, 1.03 H, 1.66 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.25 SB, 9.32 FPts
2. Ketel Marte: 4.35 PA, 1.06 H, 1.81 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.66 FPts
3. Joc Pederson: 4.06 PA, 0.93 H, 1.61 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.91 FPts
4. Josh Bell: 4.15 PA, 0.91 H, 1.51 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.03 FPts
5. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: 4.07 PA, 0.96 H, 1.5 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.57 FPts
6. Jake McCarthy: 3.91 PA, 0.91 H, 1.22 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.2 SB, 7.02 FPts
7. Eugenio Suarez: 3.81 PA, 0.74 H, 1.26 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.92 FPts
8. Gabriel Moreno: 3.72 PA, 0.94 H, 1.43 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.7 FPts
9. Geraldo Perdomo: 3.51 PA, 0.69 H, 0.97 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.56 FPts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Andrew McCutchen: 4.26 PA, 0.85 H, 1.44 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.8 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.15 PA, 1.1 H, 1.93 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.25 FPts
3. Bryan De La Cruz: 4.09 PA, 0.98 H, 1.64 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.69 FPts
4. Oneil Cruz: 3.98 PA, 1.0 H, 1.88 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.15 FPts
5. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 3.89 PA, 0.95 H, 1.4 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.0 FPts
6. Rowdy Tellez: 3.53 PA, 0.78 H, 1.32 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.61 FPts
7. Jared Triolo: 3.65 PA, 0.77 H, 1.1 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.2 FPts
8. Yasmani Grandal: 3.49 PA, 0.75 H, 1.2 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.24 FPts
9. Michael A. Taylor: 3.24 PA, 0.69 H, 1.14 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.27 FPts

Best Bets

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

MIL @ WSH

Projected Game Score:

MIL 4.16 - WSH 3.69
MIL 53.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.5
Projected Total: 7.85

2024 Pitcher Stats

Frankie Montas: 19 GS, 1613 Pitches, 19.0 K%, 10.0 BB%, 11.5 SwStr%, 45.6 Strike%, 36.6 Ball%, 41.8 GB%, 9 Brl%
Jake Irvin: 22 GS, 2042 Pitches, 21.6 K%, 5.7 BB%, 11.0 SwStr%, 47.6 Strike%, 34.3 Ball%, 44.3 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Frankie Montas (MIL): 96 Pitches 6.05 IP, 6.3 H, 2.8 ER, 4.5 K, 1.6 BB, 13.3 FPts
Jake Irvin (WSH): 91 Pitches 5.17 IP, 5.2 H, 2.6 ER, 4.6 K, 1.6 BB, 12.54 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Frankie Montas - 4.5 strikeouts
Jake Irvin - 4.5 strikeouts

MIL Hitter Projections

1. Brice Turang: 4.35 PA, 1.04 H, 1.47 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.26 SB, 8.13 FPts
2. William Contreras: 4.33 PA, 1.11 H, 1.89 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.33 FPts
3. Jake Bauers: 4.09 PA, 0.84 H, 1.48 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.29 FPts
4. Willy Adames: 4.11 PA, 0.9 H, 1.66 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.76 FPts
5. Jackson Chourio: 3.85 PA, 0.95 H, 1.49 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.19 FPts
6. Sal Frelick: 3.76 PA, 0.9 H, 1.22 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.69 FPts
7. Rhys Hoskins: 3.75 PA, 0.83 H, 1.61 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.0 FPts
8. Garrett Mitchell: 3.7 PA, 0.68 H, 1.16 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.16 FPts
9. Joey Ortiz: 3.35 PA, 0.76 H, 1.21 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.9 FPts

WSH Hitter Projections

1. C.J. Abrams: 4.41 PA, 1.12 H, 1.88 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.23 SB, 9.07 FPts
2. Juan Yepez: 4.36 PA, 0.99 H, 1.73 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.14 FPts
3. James Wood: 4.21 PA, 0.81 H, 1.23 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.65 FPts
4. Harold Ramirez: 3.91 PA, 1.0 H, 1.4 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.09 FPts
5. Luis Garcia: 4.04 PA, 1.1 H, 1.73 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.67 FPts
6. Alex Call: 3.96 PA, 0.77 H, 1.19 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.26 FPts
7. Keibert Ruiz: 3.82 PA, 0.96 H, 1.51 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.23 FPts
8. Jacob Young: 3.65 PA, 0.86 H, 1.15 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.21 SB, 6.24 FPts
9. Trey Lipscomb: 3.35 PA, 0.74 H, 0.96 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.09 SB, 4.75 FPts

Best Bets

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

TOR @ NYY

Projected Game Score:

NYY 5.96 - TOR 4.58
NYY 56.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 10.54

2024 Pitcher Stats

Kevin Gausman: 21 GS, 1998 Pitches, 22.8 K%, 6.5 BB%, 12.1 SwStr%, 47.8 Strike%, 34.3 Ball%, 39.0 GB%, 11 Brl%
Marcus Stroman: 21 GS, 1925 Pitches, 17.1 K%, 9.9 BB%, 9.5 SwStr%, 42.4 Strike%, 39.6 Ball%, 49.6 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Kevin Gausman (TOR): 96 Pitches 5.99 IP, 5.5 H, 3.1 ER, 6.2 K, 2.8 BB, 15.63 FPts
Marcus Stroman (NYY): 93 Pitches 5.39 IP, 5.4 H, 2.7 ER, 3.4 K, 2.5 BB, 10.01 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Kevin Gausman - 5.5 strikeouts
Marcus Stroman - 3.5 strikeouts

TOR Hitter Projections

1. George Springer: 4.37 PA, 1.04 H, 1.69 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.52 FPts
2. Joey Loperfido: 4.05 PA, 0.84 H, 1.48 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.68 FPts
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.18 PA, 1.11 H, 1.92 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.89 FPts
4. Spencer Horwitz: 4.11 PA, 1.09 H, 1.81 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.66 FPts
5. Alejandro Kirk: 4.01 PA, 0.99 H, 1.47 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.18 FPts
6. Daulton Varsho: 3.8 PA, 0.78 H, 1.39 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.27 FPts
7. Ernie Clement: 3.69 PA, 0.91 H, 1.29 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.99 FPts
8. Addison Barger: 3.65 PA, 0.8 H, 1.31 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.77 FPts
9. Leo Jimenez: 3.47 PA, 0.75 H, 1.13 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.97 FPts

NYY Hitter Projections

1. Alex Verdugo: 4.56 PA, 1.1 H, 1.76 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.23 FPts
2. Juan Soto: 4.44 PA, 1.07 H, 2.15 TB, 0.29 HR, 0.07 SB, 11.82 FPts
3. Aaron Judge: 4.33 PA, 1.04 H, 2.35 TB, 0.37 HR, 0.05 SB, 11.87 FPts
4. Austin Wells: 4.04 PA, 0.9 H, 1.64 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.43 FPts
5. Giancarlo Stanton: 4.14 PA, 0.84 H, 1.79 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.12 FPts
6. Jazz Chisholm: 3.96 PA, 0.9 H, 1.65 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.55 FPts
7. Gleyber Torres: 3.89 PA, 0.88 H, 1.42 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.03 FPts
8. Ben Rice: 3.75 PA, 0.79 H, 1.46 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.67 FPts
9. Anthony Volpe: 3.59 PA, 0.81 H, 1.34 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.9 FPts

Best Bets

Marcus Stroman NYY - Walks Over 1.5 (-110) - 0.18 value
Alejandro Kirk TOR - Hitter BB Over 0.5 (+280) - 0.112 value
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR - Hitter BB Over 0.5 (+260) - 0.103 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Juan Soto (NYY) OF $6000: 11.82 Proj, 1.5 Score
Aaron Judge (NYY) OF $6400: 11.87 Proj, 1.42 Score
Austin Wells (NYY) C $3900: 8.43 Proj, 1.22 Score
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 1B/2B $3700: 8.66 Proj, 1.21 Score
Joey Loperfido (TOR) OF $2900: 7.68 Proj, 1.2 Score

SF @ CIN

Projected Game Score:

CIN 5.82 - SF 5.64
CIN 50.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 11.46

2024 Pitcher Stats

Andrew Abbott: 21 GS, 1963 Pitches, 18.1 K%, 9.1 BB%, 10.4 SwStr%, 45.4 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%, 33.6 GB%, 9 Brl%
Kyle Harrison: 18 GS, 1592 Pitches, 21.8 K%, 8.0 BB%, 11.1 SwStr%, 46.5 Strike%, 35.8 Ball%, 41.1 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Andrew Abbott (CIN): 91 Pitches 5.24 IP, 5.0 H, 2.8 ER, 4.8 K, 2.5 BB, 12.34 FPts
Kyle Harrison (SF): 87 Pitches 5.17 IP, 5.2 H, 3.0 ER, 4.6 K, 2.2 BB, 11.05 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Andrew Abbott - 4.5 strikeouts
Kyle Harrison - Prop Not Found

SF Hitter Projections

1. Tyler Fitzgerald: 4.37 PA, 0.86 H, 1.5 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.2 SB, 8.88 FPts
2. Heliot Ramos: 4.36 PA, 1.07 H, 2.15 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.94 FPts
3. Mark Canha: 4.23 PA, 0.89 H, 1.5 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.29 FPts
4. Matt Chapman: 4.21 PA, 0.97 H, 1.94 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.79 FPts
5. Patrick Bailey: 4.05 PA, 0.97 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.12 FPts
6. Casey Schmitt: 4.0 PA, 0.9 H, 1.6 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.2 FPts
7. Marco Luciano: 3.88 PA, 0.83 H, 1.52 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.99 FPts
8. Jerar Encarnacion: 3.75 PA, 0.89 H, 1.72 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.33 FPts
9. Derek Hill: 3.54 PA, 0.79 H, 1.24 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.12 FPts

CIN Hitter Projections

1. Jonathan India: 4.67 PA, 1.08 H, 1.81 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.12 SB, 9.83 FPts
2. Elly De La Cruz: 4.62 PA, 0.98 H, 1.8 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.36 SB, 10.81 FPts
3. Spencer Steer: 4.52 PA, 1.06 H, 1.88 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.13 SB, 9.99 FPts
4. Tyler Stephenson: 4.38 PA, 1.04 H, 1.82 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.65 FPts
5. Jeimer Candelario: 4.3 PA, 0.98 H, 1.75 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.32 FPts
6. TJ Friedl: 4.0 PA, 0.92 H, 1.36 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.53 FPts
7. Stuart Fairchild: 3.75 PA, 0.8 H, 1.42 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.69 FPts
8. Noelvi Marte: 3.93 PA, 0.94 H, 1.56 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.05 FPts
9. Santiago Espinal: 3.67 PA, 0.93 H, 1.38 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.81 FPts

Best Bets

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Matt Chapman (SF) 3B $4800: 9.79 Proj, 1.38 Score
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) SS $6300: 10.81 Proj, 1.34 Score
Spencer Steer (CIN) 1B/OF $5100: 9.99 Proj, 1.34 Score
Heliot Ramos (SF) OF $4900: 9.94 Proj, 1.33 Score
Jonathan India (CIN) 2B $4500: 9.83 Proj, 1.32 Score

BAL @ CLE

Projected Game Score:

BAL 4.36 - CLE 4.2
BAL 51.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.56

2024 Pitcher Stats

Dean Kremer: 14 GS, 1270 Pitches, 22.7 K%, 9.0 BB%, 10.4 SwStr%, 46.0 Strike%, 36.9 Ball%, 40.8 GB%, 12 Brl%
Carlos Carrasco: 19 GS, 1535 Pitches, 19.3 K%, 6.6 BB%, 10.7 SwStr%, 45.4 Strike%, 35.2 Ball%, 46.0 GB%, 7 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Dean Kremer (BAL): 87 Pitches 5.34 IP, 5.6 H, 2.8 ER, 4.0 K, 2.0 BB, 10.94 FPts
Carlos Carrasco (CLE): 83 Pitches 4.78 IP, 5.4 H, 2.5 ER, 3.6 K, 1.4 BB, 9.83 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Dean Kremer - 3.5 strikeouts
Carlos Carrasco - 3.5 strikeouts

BAL Hitter Projections

1. Colton Cowser: 4.31 PA, 0.98 H, 1.78 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.15 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.32 PA, 1.07 H, 1.77 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.79 FPts
3. Gunnar Henderson: 4.24 PA, 1.12 H, 2.13 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.49 FPts
4. Anthony Santander: 4.15 PA, 0.98 H, 1.9 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.03 FPts
5. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.88 PA, 1.02 H, 1.68 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.15 FPts
6. Ryan Mountcastle: 3.93 PA, 0.98 H, 1.66 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.81 FPts
7. Cedric Mullins II: 3.72 PA, 0.82 H, 1.34 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.65 FPts
8. Ramon Urias: 3.53 PA, 0.78 H, 1.2 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.15 FPts
9. Jackson Holliday: 3.49 PA, 0.74 H, 1.23 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.46 FPts

CLE Hitter Projections

1. Steven Kwan: 4.29 PA, 1.12 H, 1.57 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.7 FPts
2. Lane Thomas: 4.28 PA, 0.98 H, 1.7 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.28 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.17 PA, 1.03 H, 1.79 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.95 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.12 PA, 1.05 H, 1.85 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.39 FPts
5. Angel Martinez: 4.0 PA, 0.9 H, 1.55 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.31 FPts
6. David Fry: 3.81 PA, 0.85 H, 1.4 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.52 FPts
7. Andres Gimenez: 3.79 PA, 0.94 H, 1.44 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.95 FPts
8. Daniel Schneemann: 3.41 PA, 0.64 H, 1.05 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.2 FPts
9. Bo Naylor: 3.36 PA, 0.63 H, 1.1 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.53 FPts

Best Bets

Ryan Mountcastle BAL - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+180) - 0.101 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Gunnar Henderson (BAL) SS $6100: 9.49 Proj, 1.15 Score
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $6200: 8.95 Proj, 1.15 Score
Colton Cowser (BAL) OF $4200: 8.15 Proj, 1.09 Score
Anthony Santander (BAL) OF $5400: 8.03 Proj, 1.06 Score
Lane Thomas (CLE) OF $4800: 8.28 Proj, 1.06 Score

BOS @ TEX

Projected Game Score:

BOS 4.97 - TEX 4.84
BOS 50.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.81

2024 Pitcher Stats

Kutter Crawford: 21 GS, 1833 Pitches, 23.4 K%, 5.8 BB%, 13.5 SwStr%, 50.2 Strike%, 30.8 Ball%, 35.6 GB%, 11 Brl%
Jose Urena: 6 GS, 1243 Pitches, 16.8 K%, 7.9 BB%, 11.3 SwStr%, 42.2 Strike%, 38.8 Ball%, 50.4 GB%, 7 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Kutter Crawford (BOS): 84 Pitches 5.87 IP, 5.9 H, 2.9 ER, 5.5 K, 1.5 BB, 15.08 FPts
Jose Urena (TEX): 69 Pitches 3.86 IP, 4.4 H, 2.2 ER, 2.8 K, 1.4 BB, 7.56 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Kutter Crawford - 4.5 strikeouts
Jose Urena - 3.5 strikeouts

BOS Hitter Projections

1. Jarren Duran: 4.56 PA, 1.13 H, 1.85 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.45 FPts
2. Wilyer Abreu: 4.22 PA, 1.0 H, 1.76 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.55 FPts
3. Masataka Yoshida: 4.31 PA, 1.15 H, 1.75 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.9 FPts
4. Rafael Devers: 4.24 PA, 1.02 H, 1.99 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.03 SB, 9.26 FPts
5. Tyler O'Neill: 4.14 PA, 0.89 H, 1.77 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.24 FPts
6. Dominic Smith: 3.92 PA, 0.87 H, 1.32 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.32 FPts
7. Connor Wong: 3.98 PA, 0.94 H, 1.5 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.81 FPts
8. David Hamilton: 3.59 PA, 0.81 H, 1.21 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.31 SB, 7.46 FPts
9. Ceddanne Rafaela: 3.62 PA, 0.82 H, 1.35 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.39 FPts

TEX Hitter Projections

1. Josh Smith: 4.54 PA, 1.0 H, 1.6 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.87 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.41 PA, 1.18 H, 2.25 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.79 FPts
3. Marcus Semien: 4.34 PA, 1.05 H, 1.76 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.03 FPts
4. Wyatt Langford: 4.24 PA, 1.02 H, 1.74 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.99 FPts
5. Adolis Garcia: 4.15 PA, 0.91 H, 1.75 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.9 FPts
6. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.02 PA, 0.93 H, 1.43 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.01 FPts
7. Josh Jung: 3.93 PA, 0.92 H, 1.72 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.05 FPts
8. Jonah Heim: 3.78 PA, 0.87 H, 1.46 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.31 FPts
9. Leody Taveras: 3.54 PA, 0.84 H, 1.31 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.26 FPts

Best Bets

Jose Urena TEX - Walks Under 1.5 (+140) - 0.178 value
Kutter Crawford BOS - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (+112) - 0.172 value
Jose Urena TEX - Strikeouts Under 3.5 (-110) - 0.166 value
Masataka Yoshida BOS - Hitter BB Under 0.5 (-185) - 0.122 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Jarren Duran (BOS) OF $5800: 9.45 Proj, 1.24 Score
Corey Seager (TEX) SS $5500: 9.79 Proj, 1.19 Score
Rafael Devers (BOS) 3B $5900: 9.26 Proj, 1.12 Score
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) OF $4500: 8.55 Proj, 1.07 Score
Marcus Semien (TEX) 2B $4900: 8.03 Proj, 1.06 Score

TB @ HOU

Projected Game Score:

HOU 4.76 - TB 4.16
HOU 53.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 8.92

2024 Pitcher Stats

Yusei Kikuchi: 22 GS, 1955 Pitches, 26.2 K%, 6.0 BB%, 13.5 SwStr%, 48.0 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%, 41.2 GB%, 10 Brl%
Shane Baz: 4 GS, 322 Pitches, 22.4 K%, 10.6 BB%, 10.9 SwStr%, 46.0 Strike%, 36.3 Ball%, 36.8 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Yusei Kikuchi (HOU): 90 Pitches 5.44 IP, 5.3 H, 2.6 ER, 5.7 K, 1.5 BB, 15.66 FPts
Shane Baz (TB): 78 Pitches 5.18 IP, 5.2 H, 2.5 ER, 4.3 K, 1.8 BB, 11.8 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Yusei Kikuchi - 6.5 strikeouts
Shane Baz - 4.5 strikeouts

TB Hitter Projections

1. Yandy Diaz: 4.65 PA, 1.27 H, 2.08 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.94 FPts
2. Curtis Mead: 4.34 PA, 0.99 H, 1.51 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.85 FPts
3. Christopher Morel: 4.42 PA, 0.92 H, 1.78 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.44 FPts
4. Jonny DeLuca: 4.24 PA, 0.91 H, 1.5 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.04 FPts
5. Jose Caballero: 4.12 PA, 0.84 H, 1.32 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.27 SB, 7.72 FPts
6. Jose Siri: 4.07 PA, 0.82 H, 1.69 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.88 FPts
7. Dylan Carlson: 3.97 PA, 0.85 H, 1.34 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.32 FPts
8. Taylor Walls: 3.8 PA, 0.63 H, 0.93 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.17 SB, 5.92 FPts
9. Alex Jackson: 3.3 PA, 0.52 H, 0.98 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.21 FPts

HOU Hitter Projections

1. Jose Altuve: 4.67 PA, 1.13 H, 1.82 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.84 FPts
2. Alex Bregman: 4.64 PA, 1.05 H, 1.67 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.11 FPts
3. Yordan Alvarez: 4.45 PA, 1.1 H, 2.04 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.73 FPts
4. Yainer Diaz: 4.43 PA, 1.16 H, 1.93 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.06 FPts
5. Jeremy Pena: 4.33 PA, 1.05 H, 1.58 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.49 FPts
6. Jon Singleton: 4.03 PA, 0.76 H, 1.2 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.32 FPts
7. Jake Meyers: 4.02 PA, 0.88 H, 1.48 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.93 FPts
8. Victor Caratini: 3.81 PA, 0.83 H, 1.32 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.29 FPts
9. Chas McCormick: 3.53 PA, 0.75 H, 1.26 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.52 FPts

Best Bets

Yusei Kikuchi HOU - Strikeouts Under 6.5 (-105) - 0.138 value
Christopher Morel TB - Hitter K Under 1.5 (-140) - 0.101 value
Jose Siri TB - Hitter K Under 1.5 (+115) - 0.1 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Yordan Alvarez (HOU) OF $5800: 9.73 Proj, 1.2 Score
Christopher Morel (TB) 2B/3B $4200: 8.44 Proj, 1.18 Score
Jose Siri (TB) OF $3500: 7.88 Proj, 1.17 Score
Yandy Diaz (TB) 1B $4300: 8.94 Proj, 1.16 Score
Jose Altuve (HOU) 2B $5200: 8.84 Proj, 1.12 Score

CWS @ MIN

Projected Game Score:

MIN 4.94 - CWS 2.94
MIN 62.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.88

2024 Pitcher Stats

Joe Ryan: 21 GS, 1970 Pitches, 27.2 K%, 3.9 BB%, 13.5 SwStr%, 50.6 Strike%, 31.9 Ball%, 36.0 GB%, 8 Brl%
Davis Martin: 0 GS, 60 Pitches, 21.4 K%, 21.4 BB%, 11.7 SwStr%, 45.0 Strike%, 41.7 Ball%, 25.0 GB%, 12 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Joe Ryan (MIN): 93 Pitches 6.09 IP, 5.2 H, 2.3 ER, 6.6 K, 1.0 BB, 20.1 FPts
Davis Martin (CWS): 62 Pitches 3.78 IP, 3.7 H, 1.9 ER, 3.4 K, 1.4 BB, 8.74 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Joe Ryan - 6.5 strikeouts
Davis Martin - 3.5 strikeouts

CWS Hitter Projections

1. Nicky Lopez: 4.32 PA, 0.96 H, 1.29 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.01 FPts
2. Miguel Vargas: 4.15 PA, 0.81 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.31 FPts
3. Luis Robert: 4.18 PA, 0.95 H, 1.84 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.6 FPts
4. Gavin Sheets: 3.97 PA, 0.86 H, 1.43 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.16 FPts
5. Andrew Vaughn: 4.05 PA, 0.9 H, 1.55 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.11 FPts
6. Andrew Benintendi: 3.86 PA, 0.9 H, 1.29 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.58 FPts
7. Nick Senzel: 3.66 PA, 0.75 H, 1.2 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.15 FPts
8. Brooks Baldwin: 3.71 PA, 0.78 H, 1.21 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.6 FPts
9. Korey Lee: 3.44 PA, 0.58 H, 0.96 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 4.02 FPts

MIN Hitter Projections

1. Willi Castro: 4.59 PA, 1.03 H, 1.65 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.98 FPts
2. Max Kepler: 4.42 PA, 1.04 H, 1.81 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.25 FPts
3. Royce Lewis: 4.2 PA, 1.05 H, 1.89 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.38 FPts
4. Matt Wallner: 3.85 PA, 0.79 H, 1.63 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.93 FPts
5. Byron Buxton: 4.05 PA, 0.9 H, 1.76 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.2 FPts
6. Carlos Santana: 4.05 PA, 0.87 H, 1.46 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.32 FPts
7. Trevor Larnach: 3.64 PA, 0.78 H, 1.37 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.73 FPts
8. Ryan Jeffers: 3.81 PA, 0.85 H, 1.48 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.81 FPts
9. Brooks Lee: 3.61 PA, 0.87 H, 1.38 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.52 FPts

Best Bets

Davis Martin CWS - Pitcher Hits Under 4.5 (-125) - 0.131 value
Luis Robert CWS - Hitter K Under 1.5 (+120) - 0.12 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Willi Castro (MIN) 2B/SS $4500: 8.98 Proj, 1.21 Score
Max Kepler (MIN) OF $3900: 8.25 Proj, 1.19 Score
Royce Lewis (MIN) 3B $5200: 8.38 Proj, 1.13 Score
Matt Wallner (MIN) OF $3500: 7.93 Proj, 1.12 Score
Byron Buxton (MIN) OF $4700: 8.2 Proj, 1.08 Score

NYM @ LAA

Projected Game Score:

NYM 5.12 - LAA 3.9
NYM 56.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.02

2024 Pitcher Stats

Paul Blackburn: 9 GS, 804 Pitches, 18.3 K%, 6.7 BB%, 11.9 SwStr%, 42.9 Strike%, 37.8 Ball%, 46.5 GB%, 9 Brl%
Tyler Anderson: 21 GS, 2000 Pitches, 18.7 K%, 9.1 BB%, 13.0 SwStr%, 45.0 Strike%, 36.1 Ball%, 38.0 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Paul Blackburn (NYM): 87 Pitches 5.37 IP, 5.5 H, 2.6 ER, 4.8 K, 1.6 BB, 13.42 FPts
Tyler Anderson (LAA): 93 Pitches 5.63 IP, 5.7 H, 3.0 ER, 4.9 K, 2.0 BB, 12.86 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Paul Blackburn - 3.5 strikeouts
Tyler Anderson - 3.5 strikeouts

NYM Hitter Projections

1. Francisco Lindor: 4.37 PA, 1.09 H, 2.05 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.16 SB, 10.04 FPts
2. Brandon Nimmo: 4.29 PA, 0.95 H, 1.62 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.26 FPts
3. J.D. Martinez: 4.23 PA, 0.95 H, 1.78 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.26 FPts
4. Pete Alonso: 4.1 PA, 0.9 H, 1.79 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.49 FPts
5. Mark Vientos: 3.96 PA, 0.97 H, 1.92 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.31 FPts
6. Francisco Alvarez: 3.91 PA, 0.88 H, 1.69 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.71 FPts
7. Tyrone Taylor: 3.69 PA, 0.84 H, 1.52 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.01 FPts
8. Jose Iglesias: 3.57 PA, 0.97 H, 1.36 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.93 FPts
9. Harrison Bader: 3.34 PA, 0.83 H, 1.37 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.81 FPts

LAA Hitter Projections

1. Nolan Schanuel: 4.39 PA, 1.03 H, 1.5 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.64 FPts
2. Luis Rengifo: 4.26 PA, 1.07 H, 1.6 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.9 FPts
3. Taylor Ward: 4.21 PA, 0.9 H, 1.59 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.33 FPts
4. Willie Calhoun: 4.02 PA, 0.95 H, 1.38 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.44 FPts
5. Logan O'Hoppe: 3.97 PA, 1.0 H, 1.79 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.52 FPts
6. Mickey Moniak: 3.72 PA, 0.78 H, 1.33 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.74 FPts
7. Zach Neto: 3.78 PA, 0.89 H, 1.52 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.98 FPts
8. Brandon Drury: 3.65 PA, 0.83 H, 1.37 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.73 FPts
9. Jo Adell: 3.47 PA, 0.65 H, 1.16 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.53 FPts

Best Bets

Tyler Anderson LAA - Pitcher Outs Under 17.5 (+128) - 0.136 value
Paul Blackburn NYM - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (-142) - 0.117 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Francisco Lindor (NYM) SS $5600: 10.04 Proj, 1.28 Score
J.D. Martinez (NYM) 1B/OF $4600: 8.26 Proj, 1.15 Score
Mark Vientos (NYM) 3B $4400: 8.31 Proj, 1.12 Score
Nolan Schanuel (LAA) 1B $3400: 7.64 Proj, 1.11 Score
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) OF $4700: 8.26 Proj, 1.09 Score

LAD @ OAK

Projected Game Score:

LAD 4.4 - OAK 3.72
LAD 54.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.12

2024 Pitcher Stats

Gavin Stone: 19 GS, 1644 Pitches, 18.3 K%, 6.7 BB%, 12.3 SwStr%, 45.3 Strike%, 34.2 Ball%, 44.0 GB%, 5 Brl%
Joey Estes: 13 GS, 1109 Pitches, 17.6 K%, 6.0 BB%, 11.5 SwStr%, 49.9 Strike%, 29.9 Ball%, 23.2 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Gavin Stone (LAD): 86 Pitches 5.62 IP, 5.7 H, 2.6 ER, 5.0 K, 1.3 BB, 14.68 FPts
Joey Estes (OAK): 81 Pitches 5.19 IP, 5.1 H, 2.6 ER, 4.3 K, 1.5 BB, 11.81 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Gavin Stone - 4.5 strikeouts
Joey Estes - 4.5 strikeouts

LAD Hitter Projections

1. Shohei Ohtani: 4.41 PA, 1.16 H, 2.43 TB, 0.31 HR, 0.17 SB, 11.77 FPts
2. Will Smith: 4.32 PA, 0.99 H, 1.69 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.88 FPts
3. Gavin Lux: 4.08 PA, 0.97 H, 1.51 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.14 FPts
4. Teoscar Hernandez: 4.01 PA, 0.98 H, 1.8 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.94 FPts
5. Jason Heyward: 3.71 PA, 0.8 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.18 FPts
6. Andy Pages: 3.93 PA, 0.97 H, 1.75 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.43 FPts
7. Cavan Biggio: 3.63 PA, 0.74 H, 1.19 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.96 FPts
8. Enrique Hernandez: 3.54 PA, 0.76 H, 1.2 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.41 FPts
9. Nick Ahmed: 3.36 PA, 0.69 H, 1.04 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.04 SB, 4.7 FPts

OAK Hitter Projections

1. Lawrence Butler: 4.28 PA, 1.03 H, 1.79 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.08 FPts
2. Miguel Andujar: 4.34 PA, 1.07 H, 1.57 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.5 FPts
3. JJ Bleday: 4.21 PA, 0.87 H, 1.45 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.87 FPts
4. Brent Rooker: 4.16 PA, 0.9 H, 1.77 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.92 FPts
5. Shea Langeliers: 4.03 PA, 0.83 H, 1.64 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.77 FPts
6. Abraham Toro: 3.83 PA, 0.88 H, 1.39 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.87 FPts
7. Seth Brown: 3.69 PA, 0.78 H, 1.39 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.06 FPts
8. Zack Gelof: 3.71 PA, 0.75 H, 1.31 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.15 FPts
9. Max Schuemann: 3.38 PA, 0.73 H, 1.09 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.61 FPts

Best Bets

Gavin Stone LAD - Pitcher Outs Under 17.5 (+135) - 0.152 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 1B/OF $6500: 11.77 Proj, 1.48 Score
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) OF $4800: 7.94 Proj, 1.04 Score
Gavin Lux (LAD) 2B $3200: 7.14 Proj, 1.04 Score
Lawrence Butler (OAK) OF $4100: 8.08 Proj, 1.04 Score
Will Smith (LAD) C $5600: 7.88 Proj, 1.02 Score

COL @ SD

Projected Game Score:

SD 4.39 - COL 3.8
SD 53.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.19

2024 Pitcher Stats

Randy Vasquez: 15 GS, 1237 Pitches, 14.8 K%, 6.1 BB%, 9.3 SwStr%, 44.3 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%, 39.3 GB%, 9 Brl%
Austin Gomber: 20 GS, 1776 Pitches, 17.0 K%, 5.9 BB%, 9.1 SwStr%, 45.0 Strike%, 35.0 Ball%, 41.2 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Randy Vasquez (SD): 85 Pitches 5.25 IP, 5.9 H, 2.7 ER, 3.8 K, 1.4 BB, 10.93 FPts
Austin Gomber (COL): 85 Pitches 5.15 IP, 6.2 H, 2.6 ER, 3.0 K, 1.3 BB, 8.73 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Randy Vasquez - 4.5 strikeouts
Austin Gomber - 3.5 strikeouts

COL Hitter Projections

1. Charlie Blackmon: 4.32 PA, 1.03 H, 1.63 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.44 FPts
2. Ezequiel Tovar: 4.31 PA, 1.07 H, 1.8 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.34 FPts
3. Brenton Doyle: 4.19 PA, 0.96 H, 1.65 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.93 FPts
4. Ryan McMahon: 4.08 PA, 0.98 H, 1.74 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.03 FPts
5. Kris Bryant: 3.88 PA, 0.87 H, 1.4 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.32 FPts
6. Brendan Rodgers: 3.87 PA, 0.95 H, 1.47 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.28 FPts
7. Michael Toglia: 3.79 PA, 0.8 H, 1.48 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.39 FPts
8. Elias Diaz: 3.56 PA, 0.83 H, 1.3 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.52 FPts
9. Jake Cave: 3.25 PA, 0.73 H, 1.11 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.17 FPts

SD Hitter Projections

1. Luis Arraez: 4.39 PA, 1.27 H, 1.63 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.97 FPts
2. Jurickson Profar: 4.31 PA, 1.09 H, 1.73 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.06 FPts
3. Xander Bogaerts: 4.23 PA, 1.12 H, 1.77 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.24 FPts
4. Manny Machado: 4.13 PA, 1.03 H, 1.79 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.08 FPts
5. Donovan Solano: 4.05 PA, 1.07 H, 1.52 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.95 FPts
6. Jackson Merrill: 3.97 PA, 1.15 H, 1.84 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.83 FPts
7. Ha-Seong Kim: 3.83 PA, 0.9 H, 1.42 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.19 SB, 7.73 FPts
8. Kyle Higashioka: 3.39 PA, 0.83 H, 1.63 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.6 FPts
9. Bryce Johnson: 3.53 PA, 0.84 H, 1.3 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.66 FPts

Best Bets

Randy Vasquez SD - Strikeouts Under 4.5 (+125) - 0.22 value
Austin Gomber COL - Pitcher Outs Under 17.5 (-135) - 0.136 value
Randy Vasquez SD - Pitcher Hits Over 4.5 (-139) - 0.122 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Xander Bogaerts (SD) 2B $3900: 8.24 Proj, 1.11 Score
Jackson Merrill (SD) OF $4000: 7.83 Proj, 1.1 Score
Bryce Johnson (SD) OF $2100: 6.66 Proj, 1.09 Score
Ryan McMahon (COL) 3B $4300: 8.03 Proj, 1.06 Score
Ha-Seong Kim (SD) SS $3800: 7.73 Proj, 1.03 Score

PHI @ SEA

Projected Game Score:

SEA 4.18 - PHI 4.08
SEA 50.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.26

2024 Pitcher Stats

Tyler Phillips: 3 GS, 322 Pitches, 21.3 K%, 2.2 BB%, 12.1 SwStr%, 44.1 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%, 41.2 GB%, 12 Brl%
Bryan Woo: 11 GS, 772 Pitches, 17.8 K%, 2.9 BB%, 10.9 SwStr%, 51.2 Strike%, 27.7 Ball%, 44.2 GB%, 2 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Tyler Phillips (PHI): 88 Pitches 5.58 IP, 4.9 H, 2.5 ER, 5.8 K, 1.8 BB, 16.24 FPts
Bryan Woo (SEA): 78 Pitches 5.2 IP, 5.1 H, 2.3 ER, 4.6 K, 1.1 BB, 13.69 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Tyler Phillips - 4.5 strikeouts
Bryan Woo - 4.5 strikeouts

PHI Hitter Projections

1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.5 PA, 0.85 H, 1.73 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.23 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.36 PA, 1.1 H, 1.76 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.06 FPts
3. Bryce Harper: 4.26 PA, 1.01 H, 1.8 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.55 FPts
4. Alec Bohm: 4.19 PA, 1.04 H, 1.57 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.93 FPts
5. Brandon Marsh: 4.07 PA, 0.91 H, 1.47 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.02 FPts
6. J.T. Realmuto: 4.0 PA, 0.92 H, 1.56 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.76 FPts
7. Nick Castellanos: 3.87 PA, 0.89 H, 1.48 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.2 FPts
8. Bryson Stott: 3.74 PA, 0.89 H, 1.35 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.54 FPts
9. Austin Hays: 3.39 PA, 0.77 H, 1.28 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.36 FPts

SEA Hitter Projections

1. Josh Rojas: 4.23 PA, 0.97 H, 1.53 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.38 FPts
2. Randy Arozarena: 4.32 PA, 0.97 H, 1.71 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.46 FPts
3. Cal Raleigh: 4.24 PA, 0.95 H, 2.0 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.72 FPts
4. Justin Turner: 4.06 PA, 0.95 H, 1.49 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.86 FPts
5. Jorge Polanco: 4.01 PA, 0.86 H, 1.65 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.52 FPts
6. Luke Raley: 3.83 PA, 0.83 H, 1.52 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.86 FPts
7. Dylan Moore: 3.75 PA, 0.67 H, 1.22 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.36 FPts
8. Jason Vosler: 3.71 PA, 0.74 H, 1.32 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.66 FPts
9. Mitch Haniger: 3.44 PA, 0.72 H, 1.3 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.56 FPts

Best Bets

Tyler Phillips PHI - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-140) - 0.104 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Cal Raleigh (SEA) C $4600: 8.72 Proj, 1.2 Score
Randy Arozarena (SEA) OF $4800: 8.46 Proj, 1.17 Score
Bryce Harper (PHI) 1B $5700: 8.55 Proj, 1.12 Score
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 2B $3600: 7.52 Proj, 1.1 Score
Josh Rojas (SEA) 3B $3400: 7.38 Proj, 1.1 Score

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Jon A
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share