I’m making this totally free for all today, but starting tomorrow or next week they’ll go back to paid only.
Joe Ryan $9,700 vs. White Sox:
There are a lot of good options on this slate, but Ryan stands out above the rest. The White Sox lineup only got slightly worse at the deadline (Pham), but they have been an elite matchup for SPs all year. They have lost their last 17 games. Ryan has the top projection and value score tonight, so he’s a lock for me in my single-lineup build tonight.
Spencer Schwellenbach $8,800 vs. Marlins:
This is a very interesting spot. Schwellenbach is coming off of a spike game where he struck out 11 Mets in seven shutout innings. He now has a 25.5% K% in the Majors this year with a 4.3% BB% - and you know how I feel about pitchers with a 20%+ K-BB%. The icing on the cake is the matchup here with Miami. The lineup they roll out there now after the deadline is even less threatening than before. The one snag I could see here is that Marlins don’t project to strike out all that much, and Schwelly’s strikeout rate is middling. I can’t see him having a bad outing here, but I could see something like 14-18 points which would be a bit disappointing and not really justify the ownership.
Tyler Phillips $8,400 vs. Mariners:
There’s no chance I go to Phillips for $400 less than Schwellenbach, but the model likes him here so I wanted to make the case for him. In four outings, he’s thrown 25 innings with a 21.3% K% and a 2.2% BB%. So he throws a lot of strikes, and that has led him to 20+ fantasy points in his last two outings. The Mariners bleed strikeouts, as you know, so the projection on him is for a solid 5.8 strikeouts. The reason I don’t like the play is that I don’t think the price should be quite this high. He had just a 20% K% in the minors, so I could see him being a sub-18% guy moving forward, and the Mariners did add a couple of lower-strikeout bats to their lineup, so they might not be quite as bad on that front over these last two months. So I’m off of Phillips in my single lineup for sure, but I think you could include him in the PP pool if you just can’t find the extra $400 for Schwellenbach.
Randy Vasquez $6,100 vs. Rockies:
Here’s the punt option. Vasquez has not been good this year, averaging 8.1 DraftKings points per start. His 15% K% is egregious, and that is typically disqualifying for him. But the road rockies matchup is here, and we have seen over and over again what that can do for a guy. Some names that have scored 20+ points on the road rockies this year:
Andre Pallante (25)
Andrew Abbott (33)
Carson Fulmer (23)
Drew Thorpe (20)
Hayden Birdsong (28)
Javier Assad (25)
Jose Berrios (31)
Kyle Harrison (37)
Merrill Kelly (31)
Rodder Munoz (27)
Sean Manaea (28)
Spencer Arrighetti (38)
So we certainly boost Vasquez’s projection tonight. I’m still not going to do it given how crazy low his K% is, I really want 50+ points from my SPs in a single-lineup, but if you desperately need someone under $7,000 - this is your guy.
Yusei Kikuchi $8,600 vs. Rays:
This is the JA special. The model isn’t crazy about him (15.7 point projection, 1.8 value. But we’re leaning into a bit of narrative street here, saying that Kikuchi wants to make a big splash with his new team. But no. Really, the reason to play him is the 26% K% and 6% BB% he has on the year and the matchup. The Rays shipped off Randy Arozarena about a week ago, and now their lineup looks like this:
Yandy Diaz
Curtis Mead
Christopher Morel
Jonny DeLuca
Jose Caballero
Jose Siri
Dylan Carlson
Taylor Walls
Alex Jackson
There’s just not much there that threatens you. I think Kikuchi has an enormous ceiling here if he can keep the ball in the yard. Do I like it enough to put him in over Schwellenbach as SP2 who the model is much more recommending? That’s a question I’ll have to go back and forth on all day today and let it completely ruin my productivity!
There are a lot of pitchers to like, which sometimes mean there isn’t much offense to like, but that’s not the case today. We have some really hittable pitchers here as well.
Red Sox vs. Jose Urena
If you’ve played DFS for any length of time, you know how bad Urena is. Since last year, eh’s given up a .779 OPS with a 16% K%, a 9% BB%, an 8.5% Brl%, and a 40% hard-hit rate. The Red Sox lineup is in good shape, it’s tough to not get Rafael Devers in our lineup tonight.
Reds vs. Kyle Harrison
We have a Great American Ballpark series, so the model is popping for that game. Harrison is not made for this kind of ballpark with his 9.8% Brl% and 31% FB% allowed since his made his Major League debut. He has a mediocre 14.5% K-BB% in that time, so he’s very hittable. Somehow he’s been way worse against left-handed batters. I don’t think that will stick long-term, but it is enough to make us not cross of the left-handed bats or anything like that.
Braves vs. Shaun Anderson
The Marlins will roll out Anderson tonight. He’s not been in the Majors much lately, but between AAA and MLB this year he has a 4.26 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP on a 21.1% K% and 4.9% BB%. There’s a reason he’s not been able to stay in the Major Leagues, so the Braves are in a fantastic spot here against him and the depleted Marlins bullpen (they lost Puk and Scott at the deadline).
Giants vs. Andrew Abbott
Harrison vs. Abbott tonight, the matchup of clones. Both fly-ball lefties came up last year after posting ridiculous strikeout rate in the minors, but haven’t been very good in the Majors in terms of strikeouts.
The Giants are less of a priority offense because they have fewer upside bats. But this is a pretty great spot for Matt Chapman, Heliot Ramos, Patrick Bailey, Tyler Fitzgerald, and maybe even someone cheap like Marco Luciano.
We have some potential weather issues for Blue Jays vs. Yankees, so we’ll have to keep an eye on that. Either way, I don’t really want to pay the big Soto/Judge prices against Gausman, so I think it’s safe to just scratch that game off from the jump. Here are the model’s favorite plays, considering price, projection, and ceiling:
Shohei Ohtani $6,500 vs. Joey Estes
Matt Chapman $4,800 vs. Andrew Abbott
Spencer Steer $5,100 vs. Kyle Harrison
Elly De La Cruz $6,300 vs. Kyle Harrison
Heliot Ramos $4,900 vs. Andrew Abbott
Francisco Lindor $5,600 vs. Tyler Anderson
Jarren Duran $5,800 vs. Jose Urena
Rafael Devers $5,900 vs. Jose Urena
Some other guys with cheaper price tags:
Jonathan India $4,500 vs. Kyle Harrison
Marco Luciano $2,800 vs. Andrew Abbott
Tyler Stephenson $3,700 vs. Kyle Harrison
Willi Castro $4,500 vs. Davis Martin
Noelvi Marte $3,100 vs. Kyle Harrison
Max Kepler $3,900 vs. Davis Martin
Jorge Soler $4,400 vs. Shaun Anderson
Christopher Morel $4,200 vs. Yusei Kikuchi
Jose Siri $3,500 vs. Yusei Kikuchi
Stuart Fairchild $2,900 vs. Kyle Harrison
Casey Schmitt $2,700 vs. Andrew Abbott
Just plugging the projections into the optimizer and making no edits:
It’s interesting to me that it’s going after Verdugo and Soto against Gausman. It’s not the usual Gausman this year, so I see that, but given the weather and the fact that I don’t want to spend that price tag on Soto in a sub-optimal matchup, I’ll scratch that game off the list and re-run it.
That puts the Soto money towards Ohtani, which is much better. This lineup doesn’t give us any Red Sox, which is a bit scary against Urena because we know how bad he can be.
So I’m not going to commit to anything here right now, I’ll let you all make your own choices.
DraftKings brought the hitter strikeout lines back. We had a 10.3% ROI on those bets before they took them away from us (+85 units on 827 recommended bets). Here are the four of those bets currently hitting above the 0.10 value mark:
The rest of the bet types haven’t been great this year, I’ll admit it. Things have slowed down quite a bit. Here’s the current tracker when we look at bets above a 0.13 value threshold:
So we’re under water on pitcher strikeouts and walks and hitter walks. Pitcher and hitter hits have worked, but they don’t show up very often.
Here are the bets above 0.15 tonight:
But I can no longer truly recommend these, since the bigger data sample points to us still losing money on these. I do kind of like the idea of betting against Randy Vasquez there at 4.5
NYY (vs. Kevin Gausman): 78.62 Projected Points
CIN (vs. Kyle Harrison): 77.68 Projected Points
SF (vs. Andrew Abbott): 74.66 Projected Points
STL (vs. Javier Assad): 71.3 Projected Points
NYM (vs. Tyler Anderson): 70.82 Projected Points
MIA (vs. Spencer Schwellenbach): 51.38 Projected Points
DET (vs. Cole Ragans): 52.03 Projected Points
CWS (vs. Joe Ryan): 52.54 Projected Points
PIT (vs. Brandon Pfaadt): 57.21 Projected Points
KC (vs. Tarik Skubal): 59.4 Projected Points
SF: 74.66 Today, 62.46 Season Average
CIN: 77.68 Today, 66.22 Season Average
NYY: 78.62 Today, 67.19 Season Average
MIN: 69.12 Today, 62.37 Season Average
NYM: 70.82 Today, 64.48 Season Average
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Spencer Schwellenbach: 17.98 Today, 14.87 Previous Max
Jonathan India: 9.83 Today, 9.83 Previous Max
Tyler Fitzgerald: 8.88 Today, 8.44 Previous Max
Masyn Winn: 8.22 Today, 8.18 Previous Max
Marco Luciano: 7.99 Today, 7.66 Previous Max
Matt Wallner: 7.93 Today, 7.72 Previous Max
Joey Loperfido: 7.68 Today, 7.53 Previous Max
Joe Ryan $9700 vs. CWS: 20.1 points
Spencer Schwellenbach $8800 vs. MIA: 17.98 points
Tyler Phillips $8400 vs. SEA: 16.24 points
Yusei Kikuchi $8600 vs. TB: 15.66 points
Kevin Gausman $9100 vs. NYY: 15.63 points
Joe Ryan $9700 vs. CWS: 20.1 points, 2.07 value
Spencer Schwellenbach $8800 vs. MIA: 17.98 points, 2.04 value
Tyler Phillips $8400 vs. SEA: 16.24 points, 1.93 value
Gavin Stone $7600 vs. OAK: 14.68 points, 1.93 value
Shaun Anderson $5100 vs. ATL: 9.56 points, 1.87 value
1. Travis d'Arnaud ($3700) vs. Shaun Anderson: 7.72 points, 1.1 score
2. Logan O'Hoppe ($4100) vs. Paul Blackburn: 7.52 points, 1.07 score
3. Adley Rutschman ($5600) vs. Carlos Carrasco: 7.79 points, 1.0 score
4. Bo Naylor ($2600) vs. Dean Kremer: 5.53 points, 0.84 score
5. David Fry ($4500) vs. Dean Kremer: 6.52 points, 0.84 score
1. Matt Olson ($4800) vs. Shaun Anderson: 9.02 points, 1.14 score
2. Nolan Schanuel ($3400) vs. Paul Blackburn: 7.64 points, 1.08 score
3. Jake Burger ($3600) vs. Spencer Schwellenbach: 6.44 points, 1.0 score
4. Josh Naylor ($5100) vs. Dean Kremer: 8.39 points, 1.0 score
5. Ryan O'Hearn ($4300) vs. Carlos Carrasco: 7.15 points, 0.98 score
1. Andres Gimenez ($4000) vs. Dean Kremer: 6.95 points, 0.97 score
2. Whit Merrifield ($2900) vs. Shaun Anderson: 6.07 points, 0.96 score
3. Luis Rengifo ($4800) vs. Paul Blackburn: 7.9 points, 0.95 score
4. Brendan Rodgers ($3300) vs. Randy Vasquez: 6.28 points, 0.9 score
5. Jackson Holliday ($3200) vs. Carlos Carrasco: 6.46 points, 0.88 score
1. Jose Ramirez ($6200) vs. Dean Kremer: 8.95 points, 1.18 score
2. Austin Riley ($5000) vs. Shaun Anderson: 8.92 points, 1.16 score
3. Ryan McMahon ($4300) vs. Randy Vasquez: 8.03 points, 1.05 score
4. Jake Burger ($3600) vs. Spencer Schwellenbach: 6.44 points, 1.0 score
5. Luis Rengifo ($4800) vs. Paul Blackburn: 7.9 points, 0.95 score
1. Gunnar Henderson ($6100) vs. Carlos Carrasco: 9.49 points, 1.21 score
2. Ezequiel Tovar ($4100) vs. Randy Vasquez: 7.34 points, 0.98 score
3. Zach Neto ($4000) vs. Paul Blackburn: 6.98 points, 0.95 score
4. Orlando Arcia ($2800) vs. Shaun Anderson: 6.08 points, 0.91 score
5. Xavier Edwards ($3900) vs. Spencer Schwellenbach: 6.74 points, 0.87 score
1. Marcell Ozuna ($5700) vs. Shaun Anderson: 9.99 points, 1.22 score
2. Jorge Soler ($4400) vs. Shaun Anderson: 8.64 points, 1.14 score
3. Colton Cowser ($4200) vs. Carlos Carrasco: 8.15 points, 1.13 score
4. Lane Thomas ($4800) vs. Dean Kremer: 8.28 points, 1.07 score
5. Anthony Santander ($5400) vs. Carlos Carrasco: 8.03 points, 1.06 score
6. Taylor Ward ($4300) vs. Paul Blackburn: 7.33 points, 1.01 score
7. Jesus Sanchez ($3300) vs. Spencer Schwellenbach: 6.51 points, 1.0 score
8. Charlie Blackmon ($4500) vs. Randy Vasquez: 7.44 points, 0.99 score
9. Angel Martinez ($3600) vs. Dean Kremer: 7.31 points, 0.98 score
10. Brenton Doyle ($5000) vs. Randy Vasquez: 7.93 points, 0.97 score
11. Eddie Rosario ($3000) vs. Shaun Anderson: 6.89 points, 0.97 score
12. Whit Merrifield ($2900) vs. Shaun Anderson: 6.07 points, 0.96 score
13. Jarred Kelenic ($3800) vs. Shaun Anderson: 7.08 points, 0.92 score
14. Cedric Mullins II ($3800) vs. Carlos Carrasco: 6.65 points, 0.92 score
15. Mickey Moniak ($3000) vs. Paul Blackburn: 5.74 points, 0.91 score
ATL 5.03 - MIA 2.84
ATL 63.9% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 7.87
Spencer Schwellenbach: 10 GS, 884 Pitches, 25.6 K%, 3.8 BB%, 14.6 SwStr%, 52.4 Strike%, 29.4 Ball%, 39.8 GB%, 5 Brl%
Shaun Anderson: 2 GS, 163 Pitches, 13.5 K%, 1.9 BB%, 6.7 SwStr%, 41.7 Strike%, 31.9 Ball%, 37.2 GB%, 7 Brl%
Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL): 84 Pitches 5.74 IP, 5.3 H, 2.3 ER, 6.1 K, 1.0 BB, 17.98 FPts
Shaun Anderson (MIA): 75 Pitches 5.01 IP, 5.7 H, 2.8 ER, 3.8 K, 1.7 BB, 9.56 FPts
Spencer Schwellenbach - 6.5 strikeouts
Shaun Anderson - Prop Not Found
1. Xavier Edwards: 4.2 PA, 0.97 H, 1.31 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.18 SB, 6.74 FPts
2. Jake Burger: 4.1 PA, 0.93 H, 1.65 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.44 FPts
3. Jesus Sanchez: 3.85 PA, 0.91 H, 1.56 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.51 FPts
4. Jonah Bride: 3.92 PA, 0.84 H, 1.19 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.34 FPts
5. Kyle Stowers: 3.81 PA, 0.86 H, 1.47 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.92 FPts
6. Otto Lopez: 3.64 PA, 0.91 H, 1.34 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.69 FPts
7. Nick Gordon: 3.35 PA, 0.79 H, 1.21 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.1 FPts
8. Forrest Wall: 3.49 PA, 0.73 H, 1.15 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.19 SB, 5.92 FPts
9. Nick Fortes: 3.1 PA, 0.63 H, 0.88 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.02 SB, 3.72 FPts
1. Jorge Soler: 4.53 PA, 1.01 H, 1.87 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.64 FPts
2. Austin Riley: 4.41 PA, 1.12 H, 2.01 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.92 FPts
3. Marcell Ozuna: 4.33 PA, 1.16 H, 2.26 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.99 FPts
4. Matt Olson: 4.25 PA, 1.01 H, 1.9 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.02 FPts
5. Travis d'Arnaud: 4.07 PA, 1.02 H, 1.78 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.72 FPts
6. Eddie Rosario: 3.83 PA, 0.91 H, 1.51 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.89 FPts
7. Orlando Arcia: 3.85 PA, 0.89 H, 1.39 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.08 FPts
8. Jarred Kelenic: 3.64 PA, 0.87 H, 1.48 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.08 FPts
9. Whit Merrifield: 3.5 PA, 0.82 H, 1.15 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.07 FPts
Spencer Schwellenbach ATL - Pitcher Outs Under 17.5 (+160) - 0.158 value
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) OF $5700: 9.99 Proj, 1.26 Score
Austin Riley (ATL) 3B $5000: 8.92 Proj, 1.22 Score
Matt Olson (ATL) 1B $4800: 9.02 Proj, 1.21 Score
Jorge Soler (ATL) OF $4400: 8.64 Proj, 1.18 Score
Travis d'Arnaud (ATL) C $3700: 7.72 Proj, 1.11 Score
STL 5.2 - CHC 4.84
STL 51.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 10.04
Erick Fedde: 21 GS, 1972 Pitches, 21.5 K%, 6.8 BB%, 10.2 SwStr%, 43.5 Strike%, 38.3 Ball%, 44.4 GB%, 8 Brl%
Javier Assad: 19 GS, 1645 Pitches, 21.0 K%, 10.2 BB%, 8.0 SwStr%, 44.4 Strike%, 38.7 Ball%, 42.2 GB%, 9 Brl%
Erick Fedde (STL): 94 Pitches 5.64 IP, 5.6 H, 2.8 ER, 4.8 K, 2.0 BB, 13.34 FPts
Javier Assad (CHC): 87 Pitches 5.44 IP, 5.3 H, 2.8 ER, 4.6 K, 2.6 BB, 12.19 FPts
Erick Fedde - 4.5 strikeouts
Javier Assad - 4.5 strikeouts
1. Masyn Winn: 4.6 PA, 1.11 H, 1.61 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.22 FPts
2. Alec Burleson: 4.34 PA, 1.12 H, 1.82 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.33 FPts
3. Willson Contreras: 4.34 PA, 0.98 H, 1.82 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.28 FPts
4. Brendan Donovan: 4.3 PA, 1.06 H, 1.58 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.23 FPts
5. Nolan Arenado: 4.13 PA, 0.98 H, 1.6 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.51 FPts
6. Lars Nootbaar: 4.04 PA, 0.87 H, 1.54 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.73 FPts
7. Paul Goldschmidt: 3.94 PA, 0.86 H, 1.5 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.44 FPts
8. Nolan Gorman: 3.83 PA, 0.79 H, 1.67 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.2 FPts
9. Mike Siani: 3.3 PA, 0.74 H, 1.03 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.36 FPts
1. Ian Happ: 4.57 PA, 1.03 H, 1.83 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.35 FPts
2. Michael Busch: 4.33 PA, 0.97 H, 1.63 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.92 FPts
3. Seiya Suzuki: 4.41 PA, 1.11 H, 1.96 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.12 FPts
4. Cody Bellinger: 4.27 PA, 1.04 H, 1.68 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.14 FPts
5. Isaac Paredes: 4.19 PA, 0.9 H, 1.6 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.57 FPts
6. Nico Hoerner: 4.06 PA, 1.03 H, 1.43 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.4 FPts
7. Dansby Swanson: 3.92 PA, 0.93 H, 1.54 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.14 FPts
8. Pete Crow-Armstrong: 3.71 PA, 0.77 H, 1.26 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.22 SB, 6.71 FPts
9. Christian Bethancourt: 3.48 PA, 0.82 H, 1.35 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.68 FPts
Erick Fedde STL - Pitcher Hits Over 4.5 (-120) - 0.119 value
Game not on slate
KC 3.6 - DET 2.94
KC 55.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.0
Projected Total: 6.54
Cole Ragans: 22 GS, 2136 Pitches, 29.0 K%, 7.6 BB%, 16.2 SwStr%, 48.2 Strike%, 36.3 Ball%, 41.0 GB%, 6 Brl%
Tarik Skubal: 21 GS, 1917 Pitches, 30.0 K%, 4.7 BB%, 16.7 SwStr%, 52.9 Strike%, 29.9 Ball%, 47.6 GB%, 7 Brl%
Cole Ragans (KC): 96 Pitches 5.92 IP, 4.8 H, 2.2 ER, 7.7 K, 1.6 BB, 21.42 FPts
Tarik Skubal (DET): 91 Pitches 6.27 IP, 5.6 H, 2.6 ER, 7.5 K, 1.0 BB, 21.03 FPts
Cole Ragans - 6.5 strikeouts
Tarik Skubal - 7.5 strikeouts
1. Maikel Garcia: 4.38 PA, 1.11 H, 1.71 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.76 FPts
2. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.28 PA, 1.22 H, 2.29 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.18 SB, 9.89 FPts
3. Vinnie Pasquantino: 4.15 PA, 0.97 H, 1.48 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.5 FPts
4. Salvador Perez: 4.08 PA, 0.96 H, 1.77 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.05 FPts
5. Freddy Fermin: 3.94 PA, 0.92 H, 1.49 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.07 FPts
6. Hunter Renfroe: 3.78 PA, 0.79 H, 1.36 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.6 FPts
7. Garrett Hampson: 3.37 PA, 0.7 H, 1.09 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.27 FPts
8. Paul DeJong: 3.59 PA, 0.68 H, 1.22 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.88 FPts
9. Dairon Blanco: 3.33 PA, 0.68 H, 1.08 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.31 SB, 6.38 FPts
1. Andy Ibanez: 3.98 PA, 0.97 H, 1.51 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.14 FPts
2. Justyn-Henry Malloy: 4.2 PA, 0.65 H, 1.09 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.56 FPts
3. Matt Vierling: 4.01 PA, 0.93 H, 1.48 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.33 FPts
4. Jake Rogers: 3.89 PA, 0.75 H, 1.41 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.96 FPts
5. Wenceel Perez: 3.94 PA, 0.91 H, 1.37 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.45 FPts
6. Javier Baez: 3.82 PA, 0.81 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.63 FPts
7. Gio Urshela: 3.7 PA, 0.9 H, 1.27 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.32 FPts
8. Ryan Vilade: 3.6 PA, 0.75 H, 1.17 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.39 FPts
9. Ryan Kreidler: 3.4 PA, 0.62 H, 1.09 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.25 FPts
Game not on slate
ARI 4.4 - PIT 3.5
ARI 55.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.9
Brandon Pfaadt: 21 GS, 1845 Pitches, 22.5 K%, 5.1 BB%, 12.1 SwStr%, 47.6 Strike%, 32.5 Ball%, 43.5 GB%, 7 Brl%
Luis F. Ortiz: 0 GS, 10 Pitches, 0.0 K%, 0.0 BB%, 30.0 SwStr%, 50.0 Strike%, 10.0 Ball%, 75.0 GB%, 0 Brl%
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 85 Pitches 5.92 IP, 5.8 H, 2.7 ER, 6.0 K, 1.5 BB, 16.89 FPts
Luis L. Ortiz (PIT): 83 Pitches 5.39 IP, 5.5 H, 2.7 ER, 4.1 K, 2.1 BB, 11.17 FPts
Brandon Pfaadt - 6.5 strikeouts
Luis L. Ortiz - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Corbin Carroll: 4.5 PA, 1.03 H, 1.66 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.25 SB, 9.32 FPts
2. Ketel Marte: 4.35 PA, 1.06 H, 1.81 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.66 FPts
3. Joc Pederson: 4.06 PA, 0.93 H, 1.61 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.91 FPts
4. Josh Bell: 4.15 PA, 0.91 H, 1.51 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.03 FPts
5. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: 4.07 PA, 0.96 H, 1.5 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.57 FPts
6. Jake McCarthy: 3.91 PA, 0.91 H, 1.22 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.2 SB, 7.02 FPts
7. Eugenio Suarez: 3.81 PA, 0.74 H, 1.26 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.92 FPts
8. Gabriel Moreno: 3.72 PA, 0.94 H, 1.43 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.7 FPts
9. Geraldo Perdomo: 3.51 PA, 0.69 H, 0.97 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.56 FPts
1. Andrew McCutchen: 4.26 PA, 0.85 H, 1.44 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.8 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.15 PA, 1.1 H, 1.93 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.25 FPts
3. Bryan De La Cruz: 4.09 PA, 0.98 H, 1.64 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.69 FPts
4. Oneil Cruz: 3.98 PA, 1.0 H, 1.88 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.15 FPts
5. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 3.89 PA, 0.95 H, 1.4 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.0 FPts
6. Rowdy Tellez: 3.53 PA, 0.78 H, 1.32 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.61 FPts
7. Jared Triolo: 3.65 PA, 0.77 H, 1.1 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.2 FPts
8. Yasmani Grandal: 3.49 PA, 0.75 H, 1.2 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.24 FPts
9. Michael A. Taylor: 3.24 PA, 0.69 H, 1.14 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.27 FPts
Game not on slate
MIL 4.16 - WSH 3.69
MIL 53.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.5
Projected Total: 7.85
Frankie Montas: 19 GS, 1613 Pitches, 19.0 K%, 10.0 BB%, 11.5 SwStr%, 45.6 Strike%, 36.6 Ball%, 41.8 GB%, 9 Brl%
Jake Irvin: 22 GS, 2042 Pitches, 21.6 K%, 5.7 BB%, 11.0 SwStr%, 47.6 Strike%, 34.3 Ball%, 44.3 GB%, 9 Brl%
Frankie Montas (MIL): 96 Pitches 6.05 IP, 6.3 H, 2.8 ER, 4.5 K, 1.6 BB, 13.3 FPts
Jake Irvin (WSH): 91 Pitches 5.17 IP, 5.2 H, 2.6 ER, 4.6 K, 1.6 BB, 12.54 FPts
Frankie Montas - 4.5 strikeouts
Jake Irvin - 4.5 strikeouts
1. Brice Turang: 4.35 PA, 1.04 H, 1.47 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.26 SB, 8.13 FPts
2. William Contreras: 4.33 PA, 1.11 H, 1.89 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.33 FPts
3. Jake Bauers: 4.09 PA, 0.84 H, 1.48 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.29 FPts
4. Willy Adames: 4.11 PA, 0.9 H, 1.66 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.76 FPts
5. Jackson Chourio: 3.85 PA, 0.95 H, 1.49 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.19 FPts
6. Sal Frelick: 3.76 PA, 0.9 H, 1.22 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.69 FPts
7. Rhys Hoskins: 3.75 PA, 0.83 H, 1.61 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.0 FPts
8. Garrett Mitchell: 3.7 PA, 0.68 H, 1.16 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.16 FPts
9. Joey Ortiz: 3.35 PA, 0.76 H, 1.21 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.9 FPts
1. C.J. Abrams: 4.41 PA, 1.12 H, 1.88 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.23 SB, 9.07 FPts
2. Juan Yepez: 4.36 PA, 0.99 H, 1.73 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.14 FPts
3. James Wood: 4.21 PA, 0.81 H, 1.23 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.65 FPts
4. Harold Ramirez: 3.91 PA, 1.0 H, 1.4 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.09 FPts
5. Luis Garcia: 4.04 PA, 1.1 H, 1.73 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.67 FPts
6. Alex Call: 3.96 PA, 0.77 H, 1.19 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.26 FPts
7. Keibert Ruiz: 3.82 PA, 0.96 H, 1.51 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.23 FPts
8. Jacob Young: 3.65 PA, 0.86 H, 1.15 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.21 SB, 6.24 FPts
9. Trey Lipscomb: 3.35 PA, 0.74 H, 0.96 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.09 SB, 4.75 FPts
Game not on slate
NYY 5.96 - TOR 4.58
NYY 56.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 10.54
Kevin Gausman: 21 GS, 1998 Pitches, 22.8 K%, 6.5 BB%, 12.1 SwStr%, 47.8 Strike%, 34.3 Ball%, 39.0 GB%, 11 Brl%
Marcus Stroman: 21 GS, 1925 Pitches, 17.1 K%, 9.9 BB%, 9.5 SwStr%, 42.4 Strike%, 39.6 Ball%, 49.6 GB%, 8 Brl%
Kevin Gausman (TOR): 96 Pitches 5.99 IP, 5.5 H, 3.1 ER, 6.2 K, 2.8 BB, 15.63 FPts
Marcus Stroman (NYY): 93 Pitches 5.39 IP, 5.4 H, 2.7 ER, 3.4 K, 2.5 BB, 10.01 FPts
Kevin Gausman - 5.5 strikeouts
Marcus Stroman - 3.5 strikeouts
1. George Springer: 4.37 PA, 1.04 H, 1.69 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.52 FPts
2. Joey Loperfido: 4.05 PA, 0.84 H, 1.48 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.68 FPts
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.18 PA, 1.11 H, 1.92 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.89 FPts
4. Spencer Horwitz: 4.11 PA, 1.09 H, 1.81 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.66 FPts
5. Alejandro Kirk: 4.01 PA, 0.99 H, 1.47 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.18 FPts
6. Daulton Varsho: 3.8 PA, 0.78 H, 1.39 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.27 FPts
7. Ernie Clement: 3.69 PA, 0.91 H, 1.29 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.99 FPts
8. Addison Barger: 3.65 PA, 0.8 H, 1.31 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.77 FPts
9. Leo Jimenez: 3.47 PA, 0.75 H, 1.13 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.97 FPts
1. Alex Verdugo: 4.56 PA, 1.1 H, 1.76 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.23 FPts
2. Juan Soto: 4.44 PA, 1.07 H, 2.15 TB, 0.29 HR, 0.07 SB, 11.82 FPts
3. Aaron Judge: 4.33 PA, 1.04 H, 2.35 TB, 0.37 HR, 0.05 SB, 11.87 FPts
4. Austin Wells: 4.04 PA, 0.9 H, 1.64 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.43 FPts
5. Giancarlo Stanton: 4.14 PA, 0.84 H, 1.79 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.12 FPts
6. Jazz Chisholm: 3.96 PA, 0.9 H, 1.65 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.55 FPts
7. Gleyber Torres: 3.89 PA, 0.88 H, 1.42 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.03 FPts
8. Ben Rice: 3.75 PA, 0.79 H, 1.46 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.67 FPts
9. Anthony Volpe: 3.59 PA, 0.81 H, 1.34 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.9 FPts
Marcus Stroman NYY - Walks Over 1.5 (-110) - 0.18 value
Alejandro Kirk TOR - Hitter BB Over 0.5 (+280) - 0.112 value
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR - Hitter BB Over 0.5 (+260) - 0.103 value
Juan Soto (NYY) OF $6000: 11.82 Proj, 1.5 Score
Aaron Judge (NYY) OF $6400: 11.87 Proj, 1.42 Score
Austin Wells (NYY) C $3900: 8.43 Proj, 1.22 Score
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 1B/2B $3700: 8.66 Proj, 1.21 Score
Joey Loperfido (TOR) OF $2900: 7.68 Proj, 1.2 Score
CIN 5.82 - SF 5.64
CIN 50.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 11.46
Andrew Abbott: 21 GS, 1963 Pitches, 18.1 K%, 9.1 BB%, 10.4 SwStr%, 45.4 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%, 33.6 GB%, 9 Brl%
Kyle Harrison: 18 GS, 1592 Pitches, 21.8 K%, 8.0 BB%, 11.1 SwStr%, 46.5 Strike%, 35.8 Ball%, 41.1 GB%, 10 Brl%
Andrew Abbott (CIN): 91 Pitches 5.24 IP, 5.0 H, 2.8 ER, 4.8 K, 2.5 BB, 12.34 FPts
Kyle Harrison (SF): 87 Pitches 5.17 IP, 5.2 H, 3.0 ER, 4.6 K, 2.2 BB, 11.05 FPts
Andrew Abbott - 4.5 strikeouts
Kyle Harrison - Prop Not Found
1. Tyler Fitzgerald: 4.37 PA, 0.86 H, 1.5 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.2 SB, 8.88 FPts
2. Heliot Ramos: 4.36 PA, 1.07 H, 2.15 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.94 FPts
3. Mark Canha: 4.23 PA, 0.89 H, 1.5 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.29 FPts
4. Matt Chapman: 4.21 PA, 0.97 H, 1.94 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.79 FPts
5. Patrick Bailey: 4.05 PA, 0.97 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.12 FPts
6. Casey Schmitt: 4.0 PA, 0.9 H, 1.6 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.2 FPts
7. Marco Luciano: 3.88 PA, 0.83 H, 1.52 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.99 FPts
8. Jerar Encarnacion: 3.75 PA, 0.89 H, 1.72 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.33 FPts
9. Derek Hill: 3.54 PA, 0.79 H, 1.24 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.12 FPts
1. Jonathan India: 4.67 PA, 1.08 H, 1.81 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.12 SB, 9.83 FPts
2. Elly De La Cruz: 4.62 PA, 0.98 H, 1.8 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.36 SB, 10.81 FPts
3. Spencer Steer: 4.52 PA, 1.06 H, 1.88 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.13 SB, 9.99 FPts
4. Tyler Stephenson: 4.38 PA, 1.04 H, 1.82 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.65 FPts
5. Jeimer Candelario: 4.3 PA, 0.98 H, 1.75 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.32 FPts
6. TJ Friedl: 4.0 PA, 0.92 H, 1.36 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.53 FPts
7. Stuart Fairchild: 3.75 PA, 0.8 H, 1.42 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.69 FPts
8. Noelvi Marte: 3.93 PA, 0.94 H, 1.56 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.05 FPts
9. Santiago Espinal: 3.67 PA, 0.93 H, 1.38 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.81 FPts
Matt Chapman (SF) 3B $4800: 9.79 Proj, 1.38 Score
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) SS $6300: 10.81 Proj, 1.34 Score
Spencer Steer (CIN) 1B/OF $5100: 9.99 Proj, 1.34 Score
Heliot Ramos (SF) OF $4900: 9.94 Proj, 1.33 Score
Jonathan India (CIN) 2B $4500: 9.83 Proj, 1.32 Score
BAL 4.36 - CLE 4.2
BAL 51.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.56
Dean Kremer: 14 GS, 1270 Pitches, 22.7 K%, 9.0 BB%, 10.4 SwStr%, 46.0 Strike%, 36.9 Ball%, 40.8 GB%, 12 Brl%
Carlos Carrasco: 19 GS, 1535 Pitches, 19.3 K%, 6.6 BB%, 10.7 SwStr%, 45.4 Strike%, 35.2 Ball%, 46.0 GB%, 7 Brl%
Dean Kremer (BAL): 87 Pitches 5.34 IP, 5.6 H, 2.8 ER, 4.0 K, 2.0 BB, 10.94 FPts
Carlos Carrasco (CLE): 83 Pitches 4.78 IP, 5.4 H, 2.5 ER, 3.6 K, 1.4 BB, 9.83 FPts
Dean Kremer - 3.5 strikeouts
Carlos Carrasco - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Colton Cowser: 4.31 PA, 0.98 H, 1.78 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.15 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.32 PA, 1.07 H, 1.77 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.79 FPts
3. Gunnar Henderson: 4.24 PA, 1.12 H, 2.13 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.49 FPts
4. Anthony Santander: 4.15 PA, 0.98 H, 1.9 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.03 FPts
5. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.88 PA, 1.02 H, 1.68 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.15 FPts
6. Ryan Mountcastle: 3.93 PA, 0.98 H, 1.66 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.81 FPts
7. Cedric Mullins II: 3.72 PA, 0.82 H, 1.34 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.65 FPts
8. Ramon Urias: 3.53 PA, 0.78 H, 1.2 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.15 FPts
9. Jackson Holliday: 3.49 PA, 0.74 H, 1.23 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.46 FPts
1. Steven Kwan: 4.29 PA, 1.12 H, 1.57 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.7 FPts
2. Lane Thomas: 4.28 PA, 0.98 H, 1.7 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.28 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.17 PA, 1.03 H, 1.79 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.95 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.12 PA, 1.05 H, 1.85 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.39 FPts
5. Angel Martinez: 4.0 PA, 0.9 H, 1.55 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.31 FPts
6. David Fry: 3.81 PA, 0.85 H, 1.4 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.52 FPts
7. Andres Gimenez: 3.79 PA, 0.94 H, 1.44 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.95 FPts
8. Daniel Schneemann: 3.41 PA, 0.64 H, 1.05 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.2 FPts
9. Bo Naylor: 3.36 PA, 0.63 H, 1.1 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.53 FPts
Ryan Mountcastle BAL - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+180) - 0.101 value
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) SS $6100: 9.49 Proj, 1.15 Score
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $6200: 8.95 Proj, 1.15 Score
Colton Cowser (BAL) OF $4200: 8.15 Proj, 1.09 Score
Anthony Santander (BAL) OF $5400: 8.03 Proj, 1.06 Score
Lane Thomas (CLE) OF $4800: 8.28 Proj, 1.06 Score
BOS 4.97 - TEX 4.84
BOS 50.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.81
Kutter Crawford: 21 GS, 1833 Pitches, 23.4 K%, 5.8 BB%, 13.5 SwStr%, 50.2 Strike%, 30.8 Ball%, 35.6 GB%, 11 Brl%
Jose Urena: 6 GS, 1243 Pitches, 16.8 K%, 7.9 BB%, 11.3 SwStr%, 42.2 Strike%, 38.8 Ball%, 50.4 GB%, 7 Brl%
Kutter Crawford (BOS): 84 Pitches 5.87 IP, 5.9 H, 2.9 ER, 5.5 K, 1.5 BB, 15.08 FPts
Jose Urena (TEX): 69 Pitches 3.86 IP, 4.4 H, 2.2 ER, 2.8 K, 1.4 BB, 7.56 FPts
Kutter Crawford - 4.5 strikeouts
Jose Urena - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Jarren Duran: 4.56 PA, 1.13 H, 1.85 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.45 FPts
2. Wilyer Abreu: 4.22 PA, 1.0 H, 1.76 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.55 FPts
3. Masataka Yoshida: 4.31 PA, 1.15 H, 1.75 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.9 FPts
4. Rafael Devers: 4.24 PA, 1.02 H, 1.99 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.03 SB, 9.26 FPts
5. Tyler O'Neill: 4.14 PA, 0.89 H, 1.77 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.24 FPts
6. Dominic Smith: 3.92 PA, 0.87 H, 1.32 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.32 FPts
7. Connor Wong: 3.98 PA, 0.94 H, 1.5 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.81 FPts
8. David Hamilton: 3.59 PA, 0.81 H, 1.21 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.31 SB, 7.46 FPts
9. Ceddanne Rafaela: 3.62 PA, 0.82 H, 1.35 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.39 FPts
1. Josh Smith: 4.54 PA, 1.0 H, 1.6 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.87 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.41 PA, 1.18 H, 2.25 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.79 FPts
3. Marcus Semien: 4.34 PA, 1.05 H, 1.76 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.03 FPts
4. Wyatt Langford: 4.24 PA, 1.02 H, 1.74 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.99 FPts
5. Adolis Garcia: 4.15 PA, 0.91 H, 1.75 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.9 FPts
6. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.02 PA, 0.93 H, 1.43 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.01 FPts
7. Josh Jung: 3.93 PA, 0.92 H, 1.72 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.05 FPts
8. Jonah Heim: 3.78 PA, 0.87 H, 1.46 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.31 FPts
9. Leody Taveras: 3.54 PA, 0.84 H, 1.31 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.26 FPts
Jose Urena TEX - Walks Under 1.5 (+140) - 0.178 value
Kutter Crawford BOS - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (+112) - 0.172 value
Jose Urena TEX - Strikeouts Under 3.5 (-110) - 0.166 value
Masataka Yoshida BOS - Hitter BB Under 0.5 (-185) - 0.122 value
Jarren Duran (BOS) OF $5800: 9.45 Proj, 1.24 Score
Corey Seager (TEX) SS $5500: 9.79 Proj, 1.19 Score
Rafael Devers (BOS) 3B $5900: 9.26 Proj, 1.12 Score
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) OF $4500: 8.55 Proj, 1.07 Score
Marcus Semien (TEX) 2B $4900: 8.03 Proj, 1.06 Score
HOU 4.76 - TB 4.16
HOU 53.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 8.92
Yusei Kikuchi: 22 GS, 1955 Pitches, 26.2 K%, 6.0 BB%, 13.5 SwStr%, 48.0 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%, 41.2 GB%, 10 Brl%
Shane Baz: 4 GS, 322 Pitches, 22.4 K%, 10.6 BB%, 10.9 SwStr%, 46.0 Strike%, 36.3 Ball%, 36.8 GB%, 10 Brl%
Yusei Kikuchi (HOU): 90 Pitches 5.44 IP, 5.3 H, 2.6 ER, 5.7 K, 1.5 BB, 15.66 FPts
Shane Baz (TB): 78 Pitches 5.18 IP, 5.2 H, 2.5 ER, 4.3 K, 1.8 BB, 11.8 FPts
Yusei Kikuchi - 6.5 strikeouts
Shane Baz - 4.5 strikeouts
1. Yandy Diaz: 4.65 PA, 1.27 H, 2.08 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.94 FPts
2. Curtis Mead: 4.34 PA, 0.99 H, 1.51 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.85 FPts
3. Christopher Morel: 4.42 PA, 0.92 H, 1.78 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.44 FPts
4. Jonny DeLuca: 4.24 PA, 0.91 H, 1.5 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.04 FPts
5. Jose Caballero: 4.12 PA, 0.84 H, 1.32 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.27 SB, 7.72 FPts
6. Jose Siri: 4.07 PA, 0.82 H, 1.69 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.88 FPts
7. Dylan Carlson: 3.97 PA, 0.85 H, 1.34 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.32 FPts
8. Taylor Walls: 3.8 PA, 0.63 H, 0.93 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.17 SB, 5.92 FPts
9. Alex Jackson: 3.3 PA, 0.52 H, 0.98 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.21 FPts
1. Jose Altuve: 4.67 PA, 1.13 H, 1.82 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.84 FPts
2. Alex Bregman: 4.64 PA, 1.05 H, 1.67 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.11 FPts
3. Yordan Alvarez: 4.45 PA, 1.1 H, 2.04 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.73 FPts
4. Yainer Diaz: 4.43 PA, 1.16 H, 1.93 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.06 FPts
5. Jeremy Pena: 4.33 PA, 1.05 H, 1.58 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.49 FPts
6. Jon Singleton: 4.03 PA, 0.76 H, 1.2 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.32 FPts
7. Jake Meyers: 4.02 PA, 0.88 H, 1.48 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.93 FPts
8. Victor Caratini: 3.81 PA, 0.83 H, 1.32 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.29 FPts
9. Chas McCormick: 3.53 PA, 0.75 H, 1.26 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.52 FPts
Yusei Kikuchi HOU - Strikeouts Under 6.5 (-105) - 0.138 value
Christopher Morel TB - Hitter K Under 1.5 (-140) - 0.101 value
Jose Siri TB - Hitter K Under 1.5 (+115) - 0.1 value
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) OF $5800: 9.73 Proj, 1.2 Score
Christopher Morel (TB) 2B/3B $4200: 8.44 Proj, 1.18 Score
Jose Siri (TB) OF $3500: 7.88 Proj, 1.17 Score
Yandy Diaz (TB) 1B $4300: 8.94 Proj, 1.16 Score
Jose Altuve (HOU) 2B $5200: 8.84 Proj, 1.12 Score
MIN 4.94 - CWS 2.94
MIN 62.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.88
Joe Ryan: 21 GS, 1970 Pitches, 27.2 K%, 3.9 BB%, 13.5 SwStr%, 50.6 Strike%, 31.9 Ball%, 36.0 GB%, 8 Brl%
Davis Martin: 0 GS, 60 Pitches, 21.4 K%, 21.4 BB%, 11.7 SwStr%, 45.0 Strike%, 41.7 Ball%, 25.0 GB%, 12 Brl%
Joe Ryan (MIN): 93 Pitches 6.09 IP, 5.2 H, 2.3 ER, 6.6 K, 1.0 BB, 20.1 FPts
Davis Martin (CWS): 62 Pitches 3.78 IP, 3.7 H, 1.9 ER, 3.4 K, 1.4 BB, 8.74 FPts
Joe Ryan - 6.5 strikeouts
Davis Martin - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Nicky Lopez: 4.32 PA, 0.96 H, 1.29 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.01 FPts
2. Miguel Vargas: 4.15 PA, 0.81 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.31 FPts
3. Luis Robert: 4.18 PA, 0.95 H, 1.84 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.6 FPts
4. Gavin Sheets: 3.97 PA, 0.86 H, 1.43 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.16 FPts
5. Andrew Vaughn: 4.05 PA, 0.9 H, 1.55 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.11 FPts
6. Andrew Benintendi: 3.86 PA, 0.9 H, 1.29 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.58 FPts
7. Nick Senzel: 3.66 PA, 0.75 H, 1.2 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.15 FPts
8. Brooks Baldwin: 3.71 PA, 0.78 H, 1.21 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.6 FPts
9. Korey Lee: 3.44 PA, 0.58 H, 0.96 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 4.02 FPts
1. Willi Castro: 4.59 PA, 1.03 H, 1.65 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.98 FPts
2. Max Kepler: 4.42 PA, 1.04 H, 1.81 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.25 FPts
3. Royce Lewis: 4.2 PA, 1.05 H, 1.89 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.38 FPts
4. Matt Wallner: 3.85 PA, 0.79 H, 1.63 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.93 FPts
5. Byron Buxton: 4.05 PA, 0.9 H, 1.76 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.2 FPts
6. Carlos Santana: 4.05 PA, 0.87 H, 1.46 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.32 FPts
7. Trevor Larnach: 3.64 PA, 0.78 H, 1.37 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.73 FPts
8. Ryan Jeffers: 3.81 PA, 0.85 H, 1.48 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.81 FPts
9. Brooks Lee: 3.61 PA, 0.87 H, 1.38 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.52 FPts
Davis Martin CWS - Pitcher Hits Under 4.5 (-125) - 0.131 value
Luis Robert CWS - Hitter K Under 1.5 (+120) - 0.12 value
Willi Castro (MIN) 2B/SS $4500: 8.98 Proj, 1.21 Score
Max Kepler (MIN) OF $3900: 8.25 Proj, 1.19 Score
Royce Lewis (MIN) 3B $5200: 8.38 Proj, 1.13 Score
Matt Wallner (MIN) OF $3500: 7.93 Proj, 1.12 Score
Byron Buxton (MIN) OF $4700: 8.2 Proj, 1.08 Score
NYM 5.12 - LAA 3.9
NYM 56.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.02
Paul Blackburn: 9 GS, 804 Pitches, 18.3 K%, 6.7 BB%, 11.9 SwStr%, 42.9 Strike%, 37.8 Ball%, 46.5 GB%, 9 Brl%
Tyler Anderson: 21 GS, 2000 Pitches, 18.7 K%, 9.1 BB%, 13.0 SwStr%, 45.0 Strike%, 36.1 Ball%, 38.0 GB%, 8 Brl%
Paul Blackburn (NYM): 87 Pitches 5.37 IP, 5.5 H, 2.6 ER, 4.8 K, 1.6 BB, 13.42 FPts
Tyler Anderson (LAA): 93 Pitches 5.63 IP, 5.7 H, 3.0 ER, 4.9 K, 2.0 BB, 12.86 FPts
Paul Blackburn - 3.5 strikeouts
Tyler Anderson - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Francisco Lindor: 4.37 PA, 1.09 H, 2.05 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.16 SB, 10.04 FPts
2. Brandon Nimmo: 4.29 PA, 0.95 H, 1.62 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.26 FPts
3. J.D. Martinez: 4.23 PA, 0.95 H, 1.78 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.26 FPts
4. Pete Alonso: 4.1 PA, 0.9 H, 1.79 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.49 FPts
5. Mark Vientos: 3.96 PA, 0.97 H, 1.92 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.31 FPts
6. Francisco Alvarez: 3.91 PA, 0.88 H, 1.69 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.71 FPts
7. Tyrone Taylor: 3.69 PA, 0.84 H, 1.52 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.01 FPts
8. Jose Iglesias: 3.57 PA, 0.97 H, 1.36 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.93 FPts
9. Harrison Bader: 3.34 PA, 0.83 H, 1.37 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.81 FPts
1. Nolan Schanuel: 4.39 PA, 1.03 H, 1.5 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.64 FPts
2. Luis Rengifo: 4.26 PA, 1.07 H, 1.6 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.9 FPts
3. Taylor Ward: 4.21 PA, 0.9 H, 1.59 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.33 FPts
4. Willie Calhoun: 4.02 PA, 0.95 H, 1.38 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.44 FPts
5. Logan O'Hoppe: 3.97 PA, 1.0 H, 1.79 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.52 FPts
6. Mickey Moniak: 3.72 PA, 0.78 H, 1.33 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.74 FPts
7. Zach Neto: 3.78 PA, 0.89 H, 1.52 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.98 FPts
8. Brandon Drury: 3.65 PA, 0.83 H, 1.37 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.73 FPts
9. Jo Adell: 3.47 PA, 0.65 H, 1.16 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.53 FPts
Tyler Anderson LAA - Pitcher Outs Under 17.5 (+128) - 0.136 value
Paul Blackburn NYM - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (-142) - 0.117 value
Francisco Lindor (NYM) SS $5600: 10.04 Proj, 1.28 Score
J.D. Martinez (NYM) 1B/OF $4600: 8.26 Proj, 1.15 Score
Mark Vientos (NYM) 3B $4400: 8.31 Proj, 1.12 Score
Nolan Schanuel (LAA) 1B $3400: 7.64 Proj, 1.11 Score
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) OF $4700: 8.26 Proj, 1.09 Score
LAD 4.4 - OAK 3.72
LAD 54.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.12
Gavin Stone: 19 GS, 1644 Pitches, 18.3 K%, 6.7 BB%, 12.3 SwStr%, 45.3 Strike%, 34.2 Ball%, 44.0 GB%, 5 Brl%
Joey Estes: 13 GS, 1109 Pitches, 17.6 K%, 6.0 BB%, 11.5 SwStr%, 49.9 Strike%, 29.9 Ball%, 23.2 GB%, 8 Brl%
Gavin Stone (LAD): 86 Pitches 5.62 IP, 5.7 H, 2.6 ER, 5.0 K, 1.3 BB, 14.68 FPts
Joey Estes (OAK): 81 Pitches 5.19 IP, 5.1 H, 2.6 ER, 4.3 K, 1.5 BB, 11.81 FPts
Gavin Stone - 4.5 strikeouts
Joey Estes - 4.5 strikeouts
1. Shohei Ohtani: 4.41 PA, 1.16 H, 2.43 TB, 0.31 HR, 0.17 SB, 11.77 FPts
2. Will Smith: 4.32 PA, 0.99 H, 1.69 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.88 FPts
3. Gavin Lux: 4.08 PA, 0.97 H, 1.51 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.14 FPts
4. Teoscar Hernandez: 4.01 PA, 0.98 H, 1.8 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.94 FPts
5. Jason Heyward: 3.71 PA, 0.8 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.18 FPts
6. Andy Pages: 3.93 PA, 0.97 H, 1.75 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.43 FPts
7. Cavan Biggio: 3.63 PA, 0.74 H, 1.19 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.96 FPts
8. Enrique Hernandez: 3.54 PA, 0.76 H, 1.2 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.41 FPts
9. Nick Ahmed: 3.36 PA, 0.69 H, 1.04 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.04 SB, 4.7 FPts
1. Lawrence Butler: 4.28 PA, 1.03 H, 1.79 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.08 FPts
2. Miguel Andujar: 4.34 PA, 1.07 H, 1.57 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.5 FPts
3. JJ Bleday: 4.21 PA, 0.87 H, 1.45 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.87 FPts
4. Brent Rooker: 4.16 PA, 0.9 H, 1.77 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.92 FPts
5. Shea Langeliers: 4.03 PA, 0.83 H, 1.64 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.77 FPts
6. Abraham Toro: 3.83 PA, 0.88 H, 1.39 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.87 FPts
7. Seth Brown: 3.69 PA, 0.78 H, 1.39 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.06 FPts
8. Zack Gelof: 3.71 PA, 0.75 H, 1.31 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.15 FPts
9. Max Schuemann: 3.38 PA, 0.73 H, 1.09 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.61 FPts
Gavin Stone LAD - Pitcher Outs Under 17.5 (+135) - 0.152 value
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 1B/OF $6500: 11.77 Proj, 1.48 Score
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) OF $4800: 7.94 Proj, 1.04 Score
Gavin Lux (LAD) 2B $3200: 7.14 Proj, 1.04 Score
Lawrence Butler (OAK) OF $4100: 8.08 Proj, 1.04 Score
Will Smith (LAD) C $5600: 7.88 Proj, 1.02 Score
SD 4.39 - COL 3.8
SD 53.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.19
Randy Vasquez: 15 GS, 1237 Pitches, 14.8 K%, 6.1 BB%, 9.3 SwStr%, 44.3 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%, 39.3 GB%, 9 Brl%
Austin Gomber: 20 GS, 1776 Pitches, 17.0 K%, 5.9 BB%, 9.1 SwStr%, 45.0 Strike%, 35.0 Ball%, 41.2 GB%, 10 Brl%
Randy Vasquez (SD): 85 Pitches 5.25 IP, 5.9 H, 2.7 ER, 3.8 K, 1.4 BB, 10.93 FPts
Austin Gomber (COL): 85 Pitches 5.15 IP, 6.2 H, 2.6 ER, 3.0 K, 1.3 BB, 8.73 FPts
Randy Vasquez - 4.5 strikeouts
Austin Gomber - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Charlie Blackmon: 4.32 PA, 1.03 H, 1.63 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.44 FPts
2. Ezequiel Tovar: 4.31 PA, 1.07 H, 1.8 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.34 FPts
3. Brenton Doyle: 4.19 PA, 0.96 H, 1.65 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.93 FPts
4. Ryan McMahon: 4.08 PA, 0.98 H, 1.74 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.03 FPts
5. Kris Bryant: 3.88 PA, 0.87 H, 1.4 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.32 FPts
6. Brendan Rodgers: 3.87 PA, 0.95 H, 1.47 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.28 FPts
7. Michael Toglia: 3.79 PA, 0.8 H, 1.48 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.39 FPts
8. Elias Diaz: 3.56 PA, 0.83 H, 1.3 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.52 FPts
9. Jake Cave: 3.25 PA, 0.73 H, 1.11 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.17 FPts
1. Luis Arraez: 4.39 PA, 1.27 H, 1.63 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.97 FPts
2. Jurickson Profar: 4.31 PA, 1.09 H, 1.73 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.06 FPts
3. Xander Bogaerts: 4.23 PA, 1.12 H, 1.77 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.24 FPts
4. Manny Machado: 4.13 PA, 1.03 H, 1.79 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.08 FPts
5. Donovan Solano: 4.05 PA, 1.07 H, 1.52 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.95 FPts
6. Jackson Merrill: 3.97 PA, 1.15 H, 1.84 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.83 FPts
7. Ha-Seong Kim: 3.83 PA, 0.9 H, 1.42 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.19 SB, 7.73 FPts
8. Kyle Higashioka: 3.39 PA, 0.83 H, 1.63 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.6 FPts
9. Bryce Johnson: 3.53 PA, 0.84 H, 1.3 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.66 FPts
Randy Vasquez SD - Strikeouts Under 4.5 (+125) - 0.22 value
Austin Gomber COL - Pitcher Outs Under 17.5 (-135) - 0.136 value
Randy Vasquez SD - Pitcher Hits Over 4.5 (-139) - 0.122 value
Xander Bogaerts (SD) 2B $3900: 8.24 Proj, 1.11 Score
Jackson Merrill (SD) OF $4000: 7.83 Proj, 1.1 Score
Bryce Johnson (SD) OF $2100: 6.66 Proj, 1.09 Score
Ryan McMahon (COL) 3B $4300: 8.03 Proj, 1.06 Score
Ha-Seong Kim (SD) SS $3800: 7.73 Proj, 1.03 Score
SEA 4.18 - PHI 4.08
SEA 50.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.26
Tyler Phillips: 3 GS, 322 Pitches, 21.3 K%, 2.2 BB%, 12.1 SwStr%, 44.1 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%, 41.2 GB%, 12 Brl%
Bryan Woo: 11 GS, 772 Pitches, 17.8 K%, 2.9 BB%, 10.9 SwStr%, 51.2 Strike%, 27.7 Ball%, 44.2 GB%, 2 Brl%
Tyler Phillips (PHI): 88 Pitches 5.58 IP, 4.9 H, 2.5 ER, 5.8 K, 1.8 BB, 16.24 FPts
Bryan Woo (SEA): 78 Pitches 5.2 IP, 5.1 H, 2.3 ER, 4.6 K, 1.1 BB, 13.69 FPts
Tyler Phillips - 4.5 strikeouts
Bryan Woo - 4.5 strikeouts
1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.5 PA, 0.85 H, 1.73 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.23 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.36 PA, 1.1 H, 1.76 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.06 FPts
3. Bryce Harper: 4.26 PA, 1.01 H, 1.8 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.55 FPts
4. Alec Bohm: 4.19 PA, 1.04 H, 1.57 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.93 FPts
5. Brandon Marsh: 4.07 PA, 0.91 H, 1.47 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.02 FPts
6. J.T. Realmuto: 4.0 PA, 0.92 H, 1.56 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.76 FPts
7. Nick Castellanos: 3.87 PA, 0.89 H, 1.48 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.2 FPts
8. Bryson Stott: 3.74 PA, 0.89 H, 1.35 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.54 FPts
9. Austin Hays: 3.39 PA, 0.77 H, 1.28 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.36 FPts
1. Josh Rojas: 4.23 PA, 0.97 H, 1.53 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.38 FPts
2. Randy Arozarena: 4.32 PA, 0.97 H, 1.71 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.46 FPts
3. Cal Raleigh: 4.24 PA, 0.95 H, 2.0 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.72 FPts
4. Justin Turner: 4.06 PA, 0.95 H, 1.49 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.86 FPts
5. Jorge Polanco: 4.01 PA, 0.86 H, 1.65 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.52 FPts
6. Luke Raley: 3.83 PA, 0.83 H, 1.52 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.86 FPts
7. Dylan Moore: 3.75 PA, 0.67 H, 1.22 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.36 FPts
8. Jason Vosler: 3.71 PA, 0.74 H, 1.32 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.66 FPts
9. Mitch Haniger: 3.44 PA, 0.72 H, 1.3 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.56 FPts
Tyler Phillips PHI - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-140) - 0.104 value
Cal Raleigh (SEA) C $4600: 8.72 Proj, 1.2 Score
Randy Arozarena (SEA) OF $4800: 8.46 Proj, 1.17 Score
Bryce Harper (PHI) 1B $5700: 8.55 Proj, 1.12 Score
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 2B $3600: 7.52 Proj, 1.1 Score
Josh Rojas (SEA) 3B $3400: 7.38 Proj, 1.1 Score
