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MLB DW Slate Preview - June 28th

MLB DW Slate Preview - June 28th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

Jon A's avatar
Jon A
Jun 28, 2024
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MLB Data Warehouse
MLB Data Warehouse
MLB DW Slate Preview - June 28th
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I’m running a special for the next few days: a yearly membership is just $50. That is $30 off the usual price. For that $50, you will get everything I do here for the rest of this season, all of the off-season stuff, and even the first three months of next year. This is my first time doing something like this, and I don’t suspect I’ll do it often. So take advantage now if you’ve been on the fence about joining on as a full member.

If you’re a mobile user, I also really recommend the Substack app, it’s really well done and a much better experience than reading via mobile browser.

Get more from Jon A in the Substack app
Available for iOS and Android

Let’s get into this Friday night slate! I will typically give my own typed-out thoughts on the slate in the first section, and then there’s an automated part that Python writes for me which you’ll see below.


Jon’s DFS Preview

There are 13 games on this bad boy. The weather spots to monitor are

  • Rockies at White Sox

  • Pirates at Braves

  • Guardians at Royals

None of them are looking too bad, so we should have see this full slate play out as expected. As always, I recommend following Kevin Roth for MLB weather updates.

I typically just play one lineup and stick to smaller contests, so that’s the approach I take here with my analysis. I’m not cooking up low-owned stacks or anything like that, I’m just talking about the best plays as recommended by my own projection model.

Pitchers

Logan Gilbert $9,900 vs. Twins

I’m one day removed from hyping up Gilbert on this analysis, so I’m all gung-ho to play him tonight. The Twins aren’t a great matchup, but they aren’t one to avoid either. They rank #20 in the league in my matchup rankings. The reason to play Gilbert is that the price is right, if not a little bit too cheap, and he’s one of the few pitchers on this slate that projects for 95+ pitches, so the floor on Gilbert hits extra nicely.

Bailey Ober $8,800 vs. Mariners

First, a quick reminder that the Mariners’ team strikeout rate is nearly 28%. That is two full points ahead of the Athletics, who are second-worst at 26%. That’s crazy, crazy stuff. We have seen some bad outings from Ober this year, but mostly, he’s been strong.

He has a 25.2% K% and a strong 6.1% BB% on the year. The way he gets himself into some trouble is with the long ball (23.6 PA/HR). The Mariners do hit their share of homers (92, that’s eight-highest in the league), but the good outweighs the bad here, and the projection model likes Ober a lot relative to the price.

Playing two pitchers against each other loses you some ceiling since you eliminate the possibility of getting two wins, but it does raise the chance that you’ll get one win, and these two are clearly the best plays on the board. They are #1 and #2 in raw projection and #4 and #5 in value projection.


Charlie Morton $9,500 vs. Pirates

This is my #3 recommendation, and it’s a long way away from how much I like Gilbert and Ober. Morton’s been inconsistent, although if you look at the graph he’s actually been consistently inconsistent.

The up-and-down thing means nothing; it’s just random. Don’t get fooled by that expecting an up tonight just because of the recent trend. But the model does like the spot against a mediocre Pirates lineup.


Frankie Montas $7,300 vs. STL

I’m not going anywhere near Montas, but for $7,300, it’s not all that bad. The Cardinals are a good matchup, and Montas isn’t an awful pitcher. The model has him for 14.4 points, a 2.2 value that is good for second-best in my model. In reality, it’s probably #1 since the top value is Drew Thorpe, who my model is likely too high on, given what we’ve seen from his command early on.


It’s pretty simple to me; the plays in small-field stuff are Ober and Gilbert. The projected ownership seems to agree with that as well:

Projected Ownership

  1. Gilbert 32%

  2. Ober 30%

  3. Morton 21%

  4. Cecconi 19%

  5. Thorpe 15%

  6. Webb 14%

  7. Pivetta 12%

  8. Montas 12%


Team Offense - Top Projections

  • Yankees vs. Yusei Kikuchi: I think Kikuchi is good, but this a brutal matchup for him. He is a fly-ball pitcher with a history of giving up homers, and now he has to face Juan Soto and Aaron Judge. The top of the Yankees lineup is a good place to go.

  • Brewers vs. Jameson Taillon: The Brew Crew is #2 in projected points in this spot, although it is all pretty close at the top. Taillon has just a 14% K-BB% with a .730 OPS allowed over the last two seasons, and he has really struggled against lefties, allowing an .803 OPS with a homer every 21 PAs. So the Brewers you would really want to go after would be Yelich ($5,500), Bauers ($3,600), and Turang ($4,900).

  • Diamondbacks vs. JP Sears: Sears has his moments, but since 2023 he has given up a high .783 OPS with a 10.7% Brl% on a poor 12.6% K-BB%. That will get you excited for lefty-mashers Ketel Marte ($5,100), Christian Walker ($5,000), and, to a lesser extent, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($4,000) and Randal Grichuk ($3,100).

  • Braves vs. Martin Perez: The model doesn’t love the Braves relative to their expensive prices. Perez hasn’t been all that horrible the last couple of years, but he is coming off an IL stint here and I doubt he’s up to the task here.


Team Offense - Top Values

  • Tigers vs. Zach Plesac: We have not seen much of Plesac recently, because he has been in the minor leagues. But in seven starts (30 innings) since last season, he has just an 11% K% with a .989 OPS allowed. He’s not good. The Tigers aren’t good either, but there are some cheap bats to take advantage of, such as Colt Keith ($2,600), Justyn-Henry Malloy ($2,200), Wenceel Perez ($3,600), Matt Vierling ($4,000), and most especially Riley Greene ($4,900).

  • White Sox vs. Dakota Hudson: The White Sox are not a good lineup, but Dakota Hudson is not a good pitcher. So what happens? I don’t know, but I can say that when cheap hitters face bad pitchers, there is a chance for profit there in the DFS game. The model loves Luis Robert ($4,800), and doesn’t mind Andrew Benintendi ($2,800), Tommy Pham ($4,200), and Eloy Jimenez ($3,800) either.

  • Athletics vs. Slade Cecconi: We have the trifecta here. Probably the league’s three worst lineups are facing off against three of the league’s worst pitchers. Oakland can at least hit some homers between their strikeouts, and they don’t project to strike out a ton tonight either against Cecconi and his 18% K%. The top plays here are Brent Rooker ($4,800), Shea Langeliers ($3,700), JJ Bleday ($3,600), Tyler Soderstrom ($2,700), and Lawrence Butler ($2,200).


Top Plays by Position

This will largely be a repeat of the automated section below, but here are my top plays from the model with some slight tweaks.

Catcher

  1. Francisco Alvarez $3,700 vs. Blanco

  2. Shea Langeliers $3,700 vs. Cecconi

  3. Logan O’Hoppe $4,000 vs. Maeda

  4. Yainer Diaz $4,100 vs. Quintana

First Base

  1. Christian Walker $5,000 vs. Sears

  2. Michael Busch $3,900 vs. Rea

  3. Jake Bauers $3,600 vs. Taillon

Second Base

  1. Ketel Marte $5,100 vs. Sears

  2. Colt Keith $2,600 vs. Plesac

  3. Ozzie Albies $5,500 vs. Perez

Third Base

  1. Jose Ramirez $6,300 vs. Marsh

  2. Matt Vierling $4,000 vs. Plesac

  3. Rafael Devers $5,700 vs. Vasquez

  4. Austin Riley $5,200 vs. Perez

  5. Daniel Schneemann $2,900 vs. Marsh

Shortstop

  1. Bobby Witt Jr. $6,600 vs. McKenzie

  2. David Hamilton $4,200 vs. Vasquez

  3. Zach Neto $3,500 vs. Maeda

Outfield

  1. Aaron Judge $6,700 vs. Kikuchi

  2. Luis Robert $4,800 vs. Hudson

  3. Christian Yelich $5,500 vs. Taillon

  4. Bryan Reynolds $4,700 vs. Morton

  5. Juan Soto $6,100 vs. Kikuchi

  6. Riley Greene $4,900 vs. Plesac

  7. Justyn-Henry Malloy $2,200 vs. Plesac

  8. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. $4,000 vs. Sears

  9. Ian Happ $3,900 vs. Rea


The Lineup

SP1: Gilbert $9,900
SP2: Ober $8,800
C: Alvarez $3,700
1B: Walker $5,000
2B: Marte $5,100
3B: Vierling $4,000
SS: Hamilton $4,200
OF1: Happ $3,900
OF2: Crow-Armstrong $2,900
OF3: Malloy $2,200


Prop Betting

There are five bets hitting the 15% edge threshold.

Bets of these types this year above 15% have a 7% ROI. There are no guarantees, of course, but here’s some extra analysis of the plays.


Triston McKenzie Under 2.5 Walks (-135)

He has a 14% BB% on the year and has gone for three or more walks 10 times in 15 starts. That would make the over seem like the better play here, but projection models factor in regression. Very few pitchers will maintain a 14% BB% for long, and the main reason the model is on here is because of the recent pitch counts. He has thrown 86, 75, 59, and 74 pitches in his last four outings. So the expectation is at 84 pitches, which projects out to 1.7 walks, well below the 2.5 mark here. The Royals are also in the bottom third of the league in terms of walk rate (7.6%). The Bat X agrees with the same projection of 1.7 walks, by the way. So this is a nice play.

Randy Vasquez Under 1.5 Walks (+115)

Vasquez has just a 5.6% BB% this year, and my projection models have a baseline walk rate of 6.2% for him, given his full history. The Red Sox have an 8.3% team walk rate, which is right in the middle of the pack. Vasquez’s walk rate has been coming up lately, and he’s gone over 1.5 walks in his last three starts. Maybe the book is incorporating some recency bias here, but my model isn’t going to fall for that. I’m into this line.

Zach Eflin Under 0.5 Walks (+140)

Prop bets are all about the prices. Eflin is one of the lowest walk rate pitchers in the league, and my model has him for just 0.57 walks against the Nationals. That makes it about a 50/50 chance to hit, but the price gives us more than a 1:1 return. To be specific, my model’s implied chance of hitting this is 57%. The +140 price tag implies a 42% chance. It’s very easy to walk one hitter, and this bet could be a loser in a hurry, but the math works out as +EV play.

Drew Thorpe Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-155)

I don’t like betting on rookies or players with small recent sample sizes, and that’s what the model is doing here. It’s just so much easier for my model to have an incorrect skill projection on guys we haven’t seen much of. So, if you’re being very careful, this isn’t a bet to take. But if we assume Thorpe is a league-average strikeout pitcher (which is basically what my model is doing right now), it’s a good line against a Rockies lineup that strikes out a good bit on the road (26%).


I get a lot of questions about home run bets, people like those. The truth is that market is a huge rip-off, they really take advantage of people on that. But my best over 0.5 homer bets are:

  1. Pete Crow-Armstrong +750

  2. Francisco Alvarez +750

  3. Gunnar Henderson +400

  4. Otto Lopez +1200

  5. Juan Soto +475

  6. Teoscar Hernandez +800

  7. Andy Pages +800

  8. Josh Bell +650

  9. Bryan De La Cruz +650

  10. Jose Siri +500


The players most likely to go deep:

  1. Judge 34%

  2. Henderson 24%

  3. Raleigh 23%

  4. Rooker 22%

  5. Seager 21%

  6. Walker 21%

  7. Alvarez 21%

  8. Soto 21%

  9. Alonso 21%

  10. Langeliers 21%

  11. Devers 21%


And now, we get to the automated portion. Thanks for reading, and welcome to the club if you’re a new subscriber!


Automated Slate Preview

Most Team Fantasy Point Projections

CHC (vs. Colin Rea): 74.03 Projected Points
MIL (vs. Jameson Taillon): 73.64 Projected Points
NYY (vs. Yusei Kikuchi): 70.84 Projected Points
ATL (vs. Martin Perez): 68.93 Projected Points
ARI (vs. JP Sears): 67.78 Projected Points

Least Team Fantasy Point Projections

COL (vs. Drew Thorpe): 57.2 Projected Points
TB (vs. Mitchell Parker): 59.85 Projected Points
WSH (vs. Zach Eflin): 59.93 Projected Points
MIN (vs. Logan Gilbert): 60.33 Projected Points
SF (vs. Landon Knack): 60.42 Projected Points

Team Projections vs. Season Averages

CHC: 74.03 Today, 64.37 Season Average
MIL: 73.64 Today, 64.45 Season Average
DET: 64.72 Today, 57.08 Season Average
OAK: 62.99 Today, 57.49 Season Average
CWS: 64.09 Today, 59.18 Season Average

Today Max Projection Players

Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Mitchell Parker: 14.12 Today, 13.78 Previous Max
Jackson Merrill: 9.06 Today, 8.98 Previous Max
Michael Busch: 8.56 Today, 7.83 Previous Max
Colt Keith: 7.85 Today, 7.54 Previous Max
Otto Lopez: 7.63 Today, 7.56 Previous Max

DFS Top Plays by Position

Pitchers - Raw Projections

Logan Gilbert $9900 vs. MIN: 20.05 points
Bailey Ober $8800 vs. SEA: 18.17 points
Drew Thorpe $7300 vs. COL: 17.83 points
Charlie Morton $9500 vs. PIT: 16.97 points
Ronel Blanco $9800 vs. NYM: 14.97 points

Pitchers - Top Values

Drew Thorpe $7300 vs. COL: 17.83 points, 2.44 value
Frankie Montas $6500 vs. STL: 14.38 points, 2.21 value
Slade Cecconi $6200 vs. OAK: 13.19 points, 2.13 value
Bailey Ober $8800 vs. SEA: 18.17 points, 2.06 value
Logan Gilbert $9900 vs. MIN: 20.05 points, 2.03 value

Catchers

1. William Contreras ($5600) vs. Jameson Taillon: 9.29 points, 1.21 score
2. Francisco Alvarez ($3700) vs. Ronel Blanco: 7.94 points, 1.18 score
3. Logan O'Hoppe ($4000) vs. Kenta Maeda: 7.61 points, 1.13 score
4. Willson Contreras ($4900) vs. Frankie Montas: 7.97 points, 1.12 score
5. Yainer Diaz ($4100) vs. Jose Quintana: 7.89 points, 1.12 score

First Base

1. Michael Busch ($3900) vs. Colin Rea: 8.56 points, 1.24 score
2. Christian Walker ($5000) vs. JP Sears: 9.16 points, 1.2 score
3. Rhys Hoskins ($3900) vs. Jameson Taillon: 8.21 points, 1.19 score
4. Jake Bauers ($3600) vs. Jameson Taillon: 7.84 points, 1.16 score
5. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($4700) vs. Marcus Stroman: 8.41 points, 1.13 score

Second Base

1. Ketel Marte ($5100) vs. JP Sears: 9.54 points, 1.29 score
2. Colt Keith ($2600) vs. Zach Plesac: 7.85 points, 1.27 score
3. Nico Hoerner ($4000) vs. Colin Rea: 8.64 points, 1.19 score
4. Brice Turang ($4900) vs. Jameson Taillon: 9.41 points, 1.19 score
5. Jonathan India ($3700) vs. Andre Pallante: 8.29 points, 1.17 score

Third Base

1. Jose Ramirez ($6300) vs. Alec Marsh: 9.41 points, 1.27 score
2. Daniel Schneemann ($2900) vs. Alec Marsh: 7.68 points, 1.21 score
3. Rafael Devers ($5700) vs. Randy Vasquez: 9.08 points, 1.18 score
4. Matt Vierling ($4000) vs. Zach Plesac: 7.92 points, 1.18 score
5. Christopher Morel ($4700) vs. Colin Rea: 8.5 points, 1.16 score

Shortstop

1. Bobby Witt Jr. ($6600) vs. Triston McKenzie: 10.5 points, 1.27 score
2. Elly De La Cruz ($6400) vs. Andre Pallante: 9.98 points, 1.19 score
3. Corey Seager ($5200) vs. Albert Suarez: 9.03 points, 1.17 score
4. Willy Adames ($4800) vs. Jameson Taillon: 8.82 points, 1.17 score
5. Francisco Lindor ($5000) vs. Ronel Blanco: 9.1 points, 1.17 score

Outfield

1. Aaron Judge ($6700) vs. Yusei Kikuchi: 12.2 points, 1.48 score
2. Pete Crow-Armstrong ($2900) vs. Colin Rea: 8.16 points, 1.36 score
3. Ian Happ ($3900) vs. Colin Rea: 8.9 points, 1.32 score
4. Seiya Suzuki ($5000) vs. Colin Rea: 9.37 points, 1.26 score
5. Luis Robert ($4800) vs. Dakota Hudson: 9.03 points, 1.26 score
6. Bryan Reynolds ($4700) vs. Charlie Morton: 9.15 points, 1.25 score
7. Justyn-Henry Malloy ($2200) vs. Zach Plesac: 6.7 points, 1.23 score
8. Corbin Carroll ($5000) vs. JP Sears: 9.05 points, 1.23 score
9. Wenceel Perez ($3600) vs. Zach Plesac: 8.28 points, 1.22 score
10. Jarren Duran ($5700) vs. Randy Vasquez: 9.19 points, 1.22 score
11. Daniel Schneemann ($2900) vs. Alec Marsh: 7.68 points, 1.21 score
12. Riley Greene ($4900) vs. Zach Plesac: 8.8 points, 1.21 score
13. Juan Soto ($6100) vs. Yusei Kikuchi: 10.07 points, 1.21 score
14. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($4000) vs. JP Sears: 8.13 points, 1.19 score
15. Matt Vierling ($4000) vs. Zach Plesac: 7.92 points, 1.18 score

Game by Game Previews


MIA @ PHI

Projected Game Score:

PHI 4.32 - MIA 4.08
PHI 51.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.4

2024 Pitcher Stats

Cristopher Sanchez: 15 GS, 1301 Pitches, 20.2 K%, 6.9 BB%, 11.1 SwStr%, 46.6 Strike%, 34.0 Ball%, 60.5 GB%, 5 Brl%
Kyle Tyler: 1 GS, 86 Pitches, 12.5 K%, 12.5 BB%, 5.8 SwStr%, 36.0 Strike%, 44.2 Ball%, 70.6 GB%, 6 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Cristopher Sanchez (PHI): 89 Pitches 5.76 IP, 6.2 H, 2.8 ER, 5.2 K, 1.3 BB, 14.82 FPts
Kyle Tyler (MIA): 81 Pitches 5.62 IP, 5.7 H, 2.7 ER, 3.7 K, 1.9 BB, 10.75 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Cristopher Sanchez - 5.5 strikeouts
Kyle Tyler - 2.5 strikeouts

MIA Hitter Projections

1. Jazz Chisholm: 4.48 PA, 1.03 H, 1.68 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.22 FPts
2. Bryan De La Cruz: 4.48 PA, 1.1 H, 1.86 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.88 FPts
3. Josh Bell: 4.35 PA, 1.03 H, 1.76 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.65 FPts
4. Jake Burger: 4.27 PA, 1.07 H, 1.96 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.13 FPts
5. Tim Anderson: 4.05 PA, 1.04 H, 1.38 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.27 FPts
6. Otto Lopez: 3.96 PA, 1.13 H, 1.72 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.63 FPts
7. Dane Myers: 3.95 PA, 0.83 H, 1.27 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.27 FPts
8. Emmanuel Rivera: 3.61 PA, 0.89 H, 1.38 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.09 FPts
9. Nick Fortes: 3.38 PA, 0.75 H, 1.08 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.91 FPts

PHI Hitter Projections

1. Bryson Stott: 4.57 PA, 1.12 H, 1.69 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.94 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.43 PA, 1.15 H, 1.81 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.77 FPts
3. Brandon Marsh: 4.34 PA, 1.03 H, 1.67 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.64 FPts
4. Alec Bohm: 4.25 PA, 1.09 H, 1.7 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.79 FPts
5. Nick Castellanos: 4.15 PA, 0.99 H, 1.68 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.44 FPts
6. David Dahl: 4.05 PA, 1.03 H, 1.7 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.07 FPts
7. Edmundo Sosa: 3.65 PA, 0.92 H, 1.54 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.56 FPts
8. Garrett Stubbs: 3.76 PA, 0.71 H, 1.0 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.65 FPts
9. Cristian Pache: 3.22 PA, 0.59 H, 0.91 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.04 SB, 4.64 FPts

Best Bets

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

WSH @ TB

Projected Game Score:

TB 3.74 - WSH 3.65
TB 50.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 7.39

2024 Pitcher Stats

Zach Eflin: 14 GS, 1150 Pitches, 18.7 K%, 1.8 BB%, 10.9 SwStr%, 45.4 Strike%, 31.4 Ball%, 43.1 GB%, 8 Brl%
Mitchell Parker: 13 GS, 1105 Pitches, 19.4 K%, 5.7 BB%, 11.0 SwStr%, 47.9 Strike%, 31.9 Ball%, 42.6 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Zach Eflin (TB): 88 Pitches 6.18 IP, 6.9 H, 2.8 ER, 4.9 K, 0.6 BB, 14.89 FPts
Mitchell Parker (WSH): 85 Pitches 5.42 IP, 5.4 H, 2.5 ER, 5.1 K, 1.3 BB, 14.12 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Zach Eflin - 4.5 strikeouts
Mitchell Parker - 4.5 strikeouts

WSH Hitter Projections

1. C.J. Abrams: 4.28 PA, 1.16 H, 1.97 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.21 SB, 8.88 FPts
2. Lane Thomas: 4.18 PA, 1.01 H, 1.78 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.81 FPts
3. Jesse Winker: 4.01 PA, 0.94 H, 1.51 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.04 FPts
4. Joey Meneses: 4.01 PA, 0.99 H, 1.45 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.03 FPts
5. Eddie Rosario: 3.72 PA, 0.87 H, 1.51 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.27 FPts
6. Keibert Ruiz: 3.82 PA, 0.98 H, 1.56 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.21 FPts
7. Nick Senzel: 3.57 PA, 0.8 H, 1.25 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.47 FPts
8. Luis Garcia: 3.6 PA, 0.97 H, 1.54 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.41 FPts
9. Jacob Young: 3.32 PA, 0.86 H, 1.16 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.18 SB, 5.81 FPts

TB Hitter Projections

1. Yandy Diaz: 4.31 PA, 1.16 H, 1.84 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.8 FPts
2. Randy Arozarena: 4.19 PA, 0.92 H, 1.64 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.07 FPts
3. Amed Rosario: 4.0 PA, 1.07 H, 1.61 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.16 FPts
4. Isaac Paredes: 4.03 PA, 0.9 H, 1.53 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.78 FPts
5. Jose Siri: 3.85 PA, 0.84 H, 1.69 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.53 FPts
6. Jonny DeLuca: 3.68 PA, 0.78 H, 1.27 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.75 FPts
7. Taylor Walls: 3.72 PA, 0.7 H, 1.08 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.07 FPts
8. Jose Caballero: 3.49 PA, 0.77 H, 1.16 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.23 SB, 6.5 FPts
9. Alex Jackson: 3.06 PA, 0.56 H, 1.02 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.19 FPts

Best Bets

Zach Eflin TB - Walks Under 0.5 (+140) - 0.149 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

TEX @ BAL

Projected Game Score:

TEX 4.18 - BAL 3.98
TEX 51.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.16

2024 Pitcher Stats

Max Scherzer: 1 GS, 57 Pitches, 25.0 K%, 0.0 BB%, 12.3 SwStr%, 47.4 Strike%, 31.6 Ball%, 33.3 GB%, 0 Brl%
Albert Suarez: 9 GS, 931 Pitches, 18.8 K%, 9.2 BB%, 12.2 SwStr%, 44.1 Strike%, 38.3 Ball%, 35.0 GB%, 5 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Max Scherzer (TEX): 72 Pitches 4.6 IP, 4.0 H, 2.1 ER, 5.1 K, 1.2 BB, 14.33 FPts
Albert Suarez (BAL): 87 Pitches 5.19 IP, 5.1 H, 2.5 ER, 3.9 K, 2.0 BB, 11.43 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Max Scherzer - 4.5 strikeouts
Albert Suarez - 3.5 strikeouts

TEX Hitter Projections

1. Marcus Semien: 4.49 PA, 1.06 H, 1.67 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.78 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.35 PA, 1.12 H, 2.09 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.03 FPts
3. Josh Smith: 4.26 PA, 0.91 H, 1.42 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.29 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.19 PA, 0.87 H, 1.57 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.44 FPts
5. Wyatt Langford: 4.05 PA, 0.9 H, 1.41 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.25 FPts
6. Nathaniel Lowe: 3.96 PA, 0.9 H, 1.35 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.63 FPts
7. Jonah Heim: 3.85 PA, 0.86 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.32 FPts
8. Derek Hill: 3.74 PA, 0.8 H, 1.08 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.58 FPts
9. Leody Taveras: 3.52 PA, 0.81 H, 1.23 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.92 FPts

BAL Hitter Projections

1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.42 PA, 1.03 H, 2.07 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.35 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.31 PA, 1.02 H, 1.69 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.54 FPts
3. Ryan O'Hearn: 4.03 PA, 0.96 H, 1.58 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.73 FPts
4. Anthony Santander: 4.12 PA, 0.89 H, 1.72 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.46 FPts
5. Jordan Westburg: 3.97 PA, 0.92 H, 1.6 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.95 FPts
6. Heston Kjerstad: 3.91 PA, 0.84 H, 1.5 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.66 FPts
7. Jorge Mateo: 3.64 PA, 0.72 H, 1.16 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.2 SB, 6.07 FPts
8. Cedric Mullins II: 3.56 PA, 0.75 H, 1.25 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.32 FPts
9. James McCann: 3.4 PA, 0.7 H, 1.11 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.04 SB, 4.73 FPts

Best Bets

Max Scherzer TEX - Pitcher Hits Under 5.5 (-170) - 0.15 value
Ryan O'Hearn BAL - Hitter BB Under 0.5 (-215) - 0.144 value
Corey Seager TEX - Hitter BB Under 0.5 (-125) - 0.121 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Corey Seager (TEX) SS $5200: 9.03 Proj, 1.17 Score
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) SS $6500: 9.35 Proj, 1.12 Score
Heston Kjerstad (BAL) OF $2200: 6.66 Proj, 1.11 Score
Wyatt Langford (TEX) OF $3900: 7.25 Proj, 1.05 Score
Marcus Semien (TEX) 2B $5400: 7.78 Proj, 1.02 Score

NYY @ TOR

Projected Game Score:

NYY 5.06 - TOR 4.08
NYY 55.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 9.14

2024 Pitcher Stats

Yusei Kikuchi: 16 GS, 1400 Pitches, 24.2 K%, 5.6 BB%, 13.1 SwStr%, 48.1 Strike%, 34.1 Ball%, 42.6 GB%, 10 Brl%
Marcus Stroman: 16 GS, 1507 Pitches, 17.6 K%, 10.5 BB%, 9.3 SwStr%, 42.1 Strike%, 40.0 Ball%, 50.9 GB%, 7 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Yusei Kikuchi (TOR): 90 Pitches 5.1 IP, 5.4 H, 2.7 ER, 4.8 K, 1.8 BB, 12.58 FPts
Marcus Stroman (NYY): 95 Pitches 5.81 IP, 6.1 H, 2.9 ER, 3.7 K, 2.4 BB, 10.6 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Yusei Kikuchi - 5.5 strikeouts
Marcus Stroman - 3.5 strikeouts

NYY Hitter Projections

1. Anthony Volpe: 4.64 PA, 1.05 H, 1.7 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.48 FPts
2. Juan Soto: 4.52 PA, 1.06 H, 1.97 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.07 SB, 10.07 FPts
3. Aaron Judge: 4.39 PA, 1.12 H, 2.58 TB, 0.41 HR, 0.05 SB, 12.2 FPts
4. Gleyber Torres: 4.3 PA, 1.0 H, 1.65 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.88 FPts
5. Alex Verdugo: 4.22 PA, 1.02 H, 1.51 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.02 FPts
6. J.D. Davis: 3.93 PA, 0.89 H, 1.5 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.83 FPts
7. D.J. LeMahieu: 4.0 PA, 0.9 H, 1.35 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.51 FPts
8. Jahmai Jones: 3.86 PA, 0.73 H, 1.24 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.24 FPts
9. Jose Trevino: 3.53 PA, 0.84 H, 1.34 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.61 FPts

TOR Hitter Projections

1. Bo Bichette: 4.43 PA, 1.18 H, 1.78 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.72 FPts
2. Spencer Horwitz: 4.36 PA, 1.05 H, 1.64 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.89 FPts
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.24 PA, 1.06 H, 1.79 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.41 FPts
4. Justin Turner: 4.05 PA, 0.95 H, 1.43 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.86 FPts
5. George Springer: 4.04 PA, 0.93 H, 1.45 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.36 FPts
6. Daulton Varsho: 3.85 PA, 0.78 H, 1.35 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.89 FPts
7. Danny Jansen: 3.81 PA, 0.82 H, 1.48 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.61 FPts
8. Isiah Kiner-Falefa: 3.63 PA, 0.88 H, 1.23 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.94 FPts
9. Kevin Kiermaier: 3.24 PA, 0.75 H, 1.06 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.33 FPts

Best Bets

Aaron Judge NYY - Hitter BB Under 0.5 (+145) - 0.114 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Aaron Judge (NYY) OF $6700: 12.2 Proj, 1.48 Score
Juan Soto (NYY) OF $6100: 10.07 Proj, 1.21 Score
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 1B $4700: 8.41 Proj, 1.13 Score
Anthony Volpe (NYY) SS $4700: 8.48 Proj, 1.08 Score
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 1B/2B $3900: 7.89 Proj, 1.08 Score

SD @ BOS

Projected Game Score:

BOS 4.61 - SD 4.56
BOS 50.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.5
Projected Total: 9.17

2024 Pitcher Stats

Nick Pivetta: 11 GS, 944 Pitches, 27.4 K%, 6.0 BB%, 13.2 SwStr%, 49.8 Strike%, 33.7 Ball%, 32.7 GB%, 10 Brl%
Randy Vasquez: 10 GS, 872 Pitches, 14.6 K%, 5.6 BB%, 9.5 SwStr%, 45.1 Strike%, 35.7 Ball%, 41.1 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Nick Pivetta (BOS): 89 Pitches 5.07 IP, 5.5 H, 2.5 ER, 4.6 K, 1.3 BB, 12.9 FPts
Randy Vasquez (SD): 83 Pitches 4.65 IP, 5.9 H, 2.8 ER, 3.6 K, 1.3 BB, 8.44 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Nick Pivetta - 4.5 strikeouts
Randy Vasquez - 3.5 strikeouts

SD Hitter Projections

1. Luis Arraez: 4.63 PA, 1.44 H, 1.98 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.29 FPts
2. Jurickson Profar: 4.52 PA, 1.11 H, 1.75 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.19 FPts
3. Jake Cronenworth: 4.49 PA, 1.12 H, 1.85 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.37 FPts
4. Manny Machado: 4.34 PA, 1.03 H, 1.7 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.58 FPts
5. Jackson Merrill: 4.29 PA, 1.25 H, 2.05 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.11 SB, 9.06 FPts
6. Donovan Solano: 4.16 PA, 0.95 H, 1.37 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.18 FPts
7. David Peralta: 4.07 PA, 0.98 H, 1.49 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.42 FPts
8. Ha-Seong Kim: 3.88 PA, 0.81 H, 1.28 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.99 FPts
9. Kyle Higashioka: 3.28 PA, 0.68 H, 1.22 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.0 FPts

BOS Hitter Projections

1. Jarren Duran: 4.38 PA, 1.17 H, 1.89 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.19 FPts
2. David Hamilton: 4.0 PA, 0.96 H, 1.46 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.35 SB, 8.69 FPts
3. Wilyer Abreu: 3.96 PA, 0.95 H, 1.68 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.92 FPts
4. Rafael Devers: 4.1 PA, 1.11 H, 2.11 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.03 SB, 9.08 FPts
5. Tyler O'Neill: 3.95 PA, 0.91 H, 1.76 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.89 FPts
6. Masataka Yoshida: 3.87 PA, 1.04 H, 1.59 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.97 FPts
7. Connor Wong: 3.8 PA, 0.94 H, 1.48 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.41 FPts
8. Dominic Smith: 3.47 PA, 0.82 H, 1.22 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.55 FPts
9. Ceddanne Rafaela: 3.46 PA, 0.79 H, 1.24 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.14 SB, 5.89 FPts

Best Bets

Randy Vasquez SD - Walks Under 1.5 (+120) - 0.179 value
Rafael Devers BOS - Hitter BB Under 0.5 (-150) - 0.148 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Jarren Duran (BOS) OF $5700: 9.19 Proj, 1.22 Score
Rafael Devers (BOS) 3B $5700: 9.08 Proj, 1.18 Score
Jackson Merrill (SD) OF $4500: 9.06 Proj, 1.17 Score
David Hamilton (BOS) SS $4200: 8.69 Proj, 1.14 Score
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) OF $4100: 7.92 Proj, 1.13 Score

HOU @ NYM

Projected Game Score:

HOU 4.51 - NYM 4.46
HOU 50.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.97

2024 Pitcher Stats

Ronel Blanco: 14 GS, 1328 Pitches, 23.7 K%, 10.2 BB%, 14.3 SwStr%, 48.1 Strike%, 35.5 Ball%, 39.9 GB%, 9 Brl%
Jose Quintana: 15 GS, 1304 Pitches, 17.2 K%, 7.7 BB%, 8.6 SwStr%, 40.9 Strike%, 40.1 Ball%, 46.0 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Ronel Blanco (HOU): 93 Pitches 5.76 IP, 5.3 H, 2.8 ER, 5.6 K, 2.4 BB, 14.97 FPts
Jose Quintana (NYM): 90 Pitches 5.67 IP, 6.5 H, 2.8 ER, 3.6 K, 1.7 BB, 10.37 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Ronel Blanco - 5.5 strikeouts
Jose Quintana - 3.5 strikeouts

HOU Hitter Projections

1. Jose Altuve: 4.47 PA, 1.14 H, 1.87 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.86 FPts
2. Alex Bregman: 4.45 PA, 1.01 H, 1.55 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.66 FPts
3. Yordan Alvarez: 4.27 PA, 1.04 H, 1.83 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.66 FPts
4. Yainer Diaz: 4.25 PA, 1.13 H, 1.89 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.89 FPts
5. Jeremy Pena: 4.15 PA, 1.07 H, 1.56 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.35 FPts
6. Jake Meyers: 3.95 PA, 0.9 H, 1.48 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.84 FPts
7. Mauricio Dubon: 3.86 PA, 0.97 H, 1.44 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.31 FPts
8. Chas McCormick: 3.6 PA, 0.86 H, 1.5 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.46 FPts
9. Joey Loperfido: 3.58 PA, 0.74 H, 1.24 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.33 FPts

NYM Hitter Projections

1. Francisco Lindor: 4.22 PA, 1.0 H, 1.84 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.16 SB, 9.1 FPts
2. Brandon Nimmo: 4.16 PA, 0.91 H, 1.61 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.3 FPts
3. J.D. Martinez: 4.08 PA, 0.9 H, 1.73 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.7 FPts
4. Pete Alonso: 3.97 PA, 0.83 H, 1.7 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.16 FPts
5. Francisco Alvarez: 3.88 PA, 0.86 H, 1.74 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.94 FPts
6. Tyrone Taylor: 3.64 PA, 0.76 H, 1.33 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.25 FPts
7. Mark Vientos: 3.66 PA, 0.81 H, 1.52 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.52 FPts
8. Jeff McNeil: 3.56 PA, 0.86 H, 1.23 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.93 FPts
9. Harrison Bader: 3.22 PA, 0.75 H, 1.18 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.14 SB, 5.93 FPts

Best Bets

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Francisco Alvarez (NYM) C $3700: 7.94 Proj, 1.18 Score
Francisco Lindor (NYM) SS $5000: 9.1 Proj, 1.17 Score
Jose Altuve (HOU) 2B $5300: 8.86 Proj, 1.14 Score
Yainer Diaz (HOU) C $4100: 7.89 Proj, 1.12 Score
Chas McCormick (HOU) OF $3000: 7.46 Proj, 1.1 Score

COL @ CWS

Projected Game Score:

CWS 4.16 - COL 3.52
CWS 54.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.68

2024 Pitcher Stats

Drew Thorpe: 3 GS, 252 Pitches, 13.6 K%, 16.7 BB%, 9.5 SwStr%, 37.7 Strike%, 44.4 Ball%, 42.2 GB%, 2 Brl%
Dakota Hudson: 15 GS, 1280 Pitches, 11.9 K%, 11.0 BB%, 7.9 SwStr%, 40.1 Strike%, 39.5 Ball%, 52.1 GB%, 6 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Drew Thorpe (CWS): 86 Pitches 5.53 IP, 5.0 H, 2.4 ER, 6.4 K, 1.6 BB, 17.83 FPts
Dakota Hudson (COL): 87 Pitches 5.73 IP, 6.4 H, 2.9 ER, 3.3 K, 1.8 BB, 9.63 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Drew Thorpe - 4.5 strikeouts
Dakota Hudson - 3.5 strikeouts

COL Hitter Projections

1. Brenton Doyle: 4.49 PA, 0.92 H, 1.53 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.18 SB, 7.37 FPts
2. Ezequiel Tovar: 4.38 PA, 1.01 H, 1.7 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.01 FPts
3. Ryan McMahon: 4.26 PA, 0.92 H, 1.67 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.62 FPts
4. Brendan Rodgers: 4.15 PA, 0.99 H, 1.55 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.79 FPts
5. Michael Toglia: 4.05 PA, 0.72 H, 1.24 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.54 FPts
6. Jacob Stallings: 3.9 PA, 0.75 H, 1.18 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.3 FPts
7. Nolan Jones: 3.81 PA, 0.78 H, 1.4 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.93 FPts
8. Hunter Goodman: 3.57 PA, 0.73 H, 1.42 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.72 FPts
9. Jake Cave: 3.31 PA, 0.65 H, 1.06 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 4.92 FPts

CWS Hitter Projections

1. Tommy Pham: 4.44 PA, 1.04 H, 1.64 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.35 FPts
2. Andrew Benintendi: 4.27 PA, 1.05 H, 1.46 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.2 FPts
3. Luis Robert: 4.17 PA, 1.12 H, 2.06 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.11 SB, 9.03 FPts
4. Eloy Jimenez: 4.14 PA, 1.07 H, 1.77 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.9 FPts
5. Andrew Vaughn: 4.07 PA, 1.0 H, 1.63 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.09 FPts
6. Paul DeJong: 3.87 PA, 0.89 H, 1.56 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.68 FPts
7. Korey Lee: 3.82 PA, 0.83 H, 1.29 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.03 FPts
8. Nicky Lopez: 3.6 PA, 0.87 H, 1.13 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.95 FPts
9. Lenyn Sosa: 3.49 PA, 0.86 H, 1.44 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.86 FPts

Best Bets

Drew Thorpe CWS - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-135) - 0.194 value
Nolan Jones COL - Hitter BB Under 0.5 (-110) - 0.114 value
Dakota Hudson COL - Pitcher Hits Over 5.5 (+100) - 0.109 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Luis Robert (CWS) OF $4800: 9.03 Proj, 1.26 Score
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) OF $2800: 7.2 Proj, 1.16 Score
Tommy Pham (CWS) OF $4200: 8.35 Proj, 1.13 Score
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) OF $3800: 7.9 Proj, 1.11 Score
Brenton Doyle (COL) OF $4100: 7.37 Proj, 1.07 Score

PIT @ ATL

Projected Game Score:

ATL 4.94 - PIT 4.34
ATL 53.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.28

2024 Pitcher Stats

Charlie Morton: 14 GS, 1313 Pitches, 24.1 K%, 10.5 BB%, 12.7 SwStr%, 47.9 Strike%, 36.3 Ball%, 44.7 GB%, 9 Brl%
Martin Perez: 11 GS, 924 Pitches, 18.0 K%, 7.5 BB%, 9.1 SwStr%, 45.3 Strike%, 34.3 Ball%, 42.6 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Charlie Morton (ATL): 96 Pitches 5.65 IP, 4.7 H, 2.6 ER, 6.4 K, 2.6 BB, 16.97 FPts
Martin Perez (PIT): 78 Pitches 4.86 IP, 5.2 H, 2.6 ER, 4.2 K, 1.5 BB, 10.95 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Charlie Morton - 5.5 strikeouts
Martin Perez - 3.5 strikeouts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Andrew McCutchen: 4.63 PA, 0.89 H, 1.53 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.99 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.48 PA, 1.08 H, 1.89 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.15 FPts
3. Oneil Cruz: 4.41 PA, 0.92 H, 1.67 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.13 FPts
4. Rowdy Tellez: 4.07 PA, 0.83 H, 1.36 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.69 FPts
5. Nick Gonzales: 4.21 PA, 0.9 H, 1.48 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.42 FPts
6. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4.1 PA, 0.92 H, 1.4 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.55 FPts
7. Connor Joe: 3.94 PA, 0.77 H, 1.22 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.23 FPts
8. Jack Suwinski: 3.81 PA, 0.65 H, 1.22 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.96 FPts
9. Yasmani Grandal: 3.58 PA, 0.69 H, 1.04 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.25 FPts

ATL Hitter Projections

1. Jarred Kelenic: 4.28 PA, 0.95 H, 1.54 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.42 FPts
2. Ozzie Albies: 4.42 PA, 1.15 H, 1.9 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.66 FPts
3. Marcell Ozuna: 4.3 PA, 1.08 H, 2.04 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.35 FPts
4. Matt Olson: 4.22 PA, 0.93 H, 1.72 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.45 FPts
5. Austin Riley: 4.06 PA, 0.99 H, 1.76 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.12 FPts
6. Travis d'Arnaud: 3.92 PA, 0.96 H, 1.68 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.24 FPts
7. Adam Duvall: 3.89 PA, 0.81 H, 1.56 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.94 FPts
8. Ramon Laureano: 3.6 PA, 0.81 H, 1.36 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.68 FPts
9. Orlando Arcia: 3.51 PA, 0.81 H, 1.32 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.07 FPts

Best Bets

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Bryan Reynolds (PIT) OF $4700: 9.15 Proj, 1.25 Score
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) OF $6000: 9.35 Proj, 1.18 Score
Ozzie Albies (ATL) 2B $5500: 8.66 Proj, 1.15 Score
Matt Olson (ATL) 1B $4800: 8.45 Proj, 1.13 Score
Jarred Kelenic (ATL) OF $3600: 7.42 Proj, 1.12 Score

CHC @ MIL

Projected Game Score:

CHC 5.32 - MIL 5.16
CHC 50.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 10.48

2024 Pitcher Stats

Jameson Taillon: 12 GS, 1060 Pitches, 18.3 K%, 5.5 BB%, 9.0 SwStr%, 45.7 Strike%, 33.6 Ball%, 38.6 GB%, 7 Brl%
Colin Rea: 13 GS, 1253 Pitches, 15.6 K%, 7.5 BB%, 7.7 SwStr%, 44.3 Strike%, 34.6 Ball%, 41.3 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Jameson Taillon (CHC): 88 Pitches 5.63 IP, 5.7 H, 2.8 ER, 4.8 K, 2.0 BB, 13.14 FPts
Colin Rea (MIL): 86 Pitches 5.65 IP, 5.6 H, 2.9 ER, 4.4 K, 2.3 BB, 12.05 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Jameson Taillon - 4.5 strikeouts
Colin Rea - 4.5 strikeouts

CHC Hitter Projections

1. Nico Hoerner: 4.58 PA, 1.12 H, 1.54 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.2 SB, 8.64 FPts
2. Michael Busch: 4.33 PA, 0.92 H, 1.66 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.56 FPts
3. Cody Bellinger: 4.38 PA, 1.04 H, 1.75 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.47 FPts
4. Seiya Suzuki: 4.3 PA, 1.1 H, 1.91 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.37 FPts
5. Ian Happ: 4.17 PA, 0.93 H, 1.64 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.9 FPts
6. Christopher Morel: 4.09 PA, 0.93 H, 1.73 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.5 FPts
7. Dansby Swanson: 3.94 PA, 0.94 H, 1.6 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.63 FPts
8. Pete Crow-Armstrong: 3.76 PA, 0.86 H, 1.58 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.23 SB, 8.16 FPts
9. Miguel Amaya: 3.53 PA, 0.76 H, 1.24 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.8 FPts

MIL Hitter Projections

1. Brice Turang: 4.51 PA, 1.09 H, 1.62 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.3 SB, 9.41 FPts
2. William Contreras: 4.49 PA, 1.15 H, 1.96 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.29 FPts
3. Christian Yelich: 4.29 PA, 1.07 H, 1.7 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.18 SB, 9.47 FPts
4. Willy Adames: 4.26 PA, 0.94 H, 1.73 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.82 FPts
5. Jake Bauers: 4.03 PA, 0.84 H, 1.54 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.84 FPts
6. Rhys Hoskins: 4.01 PA, 0.91 H, 1.78 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.21 FPts
7. Sal Frelick: 3.74 PA, 0.89 H, 1.25 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.05 FPts
8. Joey Ortiz: 3.65 PA, 0.86 H, 1.39 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.3 FPts
9. Jackson Chourio: 3.41 PA, 0.78 H, 1.24 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.25 FPts

Best Bets

Colin Rea MIL - Walks Over 1.5 (-120) - 0.126 value
Colin Rea MIL - Pitcher Hits Over 4.5 (-125) - 0.103 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) OF $2900: 8.16 Proj, 1.36 Score
Ian Happ (CHC) OF $3900: 8.9 Proj, 1.32 Score
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) OF $5000: 9.37 Proj, 1.26 Score
Michael Busch (CHC) 1B $3900: 8.56 Proj, 1.24 Score
William Contreras (MIL) C $5600: 9.29 Proj, 1.21 Score

CLE @ KC

Projected Game Score:

CLE 4.62 - KC 4.16
CLE 52.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.5
Projected Total: 8.78

2024 Pitcher Stats

Triston McKenzie: 15 GS, 1246 Pitches, 21.8 K%, 13.8 BB%, 10.0 SwStr%, 43.2 Strike%, 40.2 Ball%, 35.3 GB%, 13 Brl%
Alec Marsh: 14 GS, 1224 Pitches, 21.8 K%, 7.0 BB%, 11.4 SwStr%, 46.5 Strike%, 35.3 Ball%, 37.2 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Triston McKenzie (CLE): 84 Pitches 5.44 IP, 5.3 H, 2.7 ER, 4.5 K, 1.6 BB, 12.85 FPts
Alec Marsh (KC): 85 Pitches 5.05 IP, 5.6 H, 2.8 ER, 3.6 K, 1.8 BB, 9.58 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Triston McKenzie - 3.5 strikeouts
Alec Marsh - 3.5 strikeouts

CLE Hitter Projections

1. Steven Kwan: 4.29 PA, 1.16 H, 1.63 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.05 FPts
2. Daniel Schneemann: 4.27 PA, 0.89 H, 1.47 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.68 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.18 PA, 1.06 H, 1.85 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.16 SB, 9.41 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.08 PA, 1.1 H, 1.94 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.65 FPts
5. David Fry: 3.89 PA, 0.95 H, 1.64 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.62 FPts
6. Andres Gimenez: 3.87 PA, 0.98 H, 1.52 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.37 FPts
7. Gabriel Arias: 3.56 PA, 0.78 H, 1.34 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.37 FPts
8. Bo Naylor: 3.53 PA, 0.7 H, 1.22 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.91 FPts
9. Tyler Freeman: 3.34 PA, 0.76 H, 1.16 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.86 FPts

KC Hitter Projections

1. Maikel Garcia: 4.36 PA, 1.01 H, 1.54 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.74 FPts
2. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.27 PA, 1.18 H, 2.25 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.22 SB, 10.5 FPts
3. Vinnie Pasquantino: 4.13 PA, 0.97 H, 1.65 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.88 FPts
4. Salvador Perez: 4.03 PA, 0.97 H, 1.77 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.36 FPts
5. Michael Massey: 3.87 PA, 0.87 H, 1.45 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.22 FPts
6. MJ Melendez: 3.68 PA, 0.74 H, 1.36 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.49 FPts
7. Hunter Renfroe: 3.63 PA, 0.71 H, 1.18 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.36 FPts
8. CJ Alexander: 3.64 PA, 0.81 H, 1.47 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.2 FPts
9. Kyle Isbel: 3.25 PA, 0.71 H, 1.12 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.25 FPts

Best Bets

Triston McKenzie CLE - Walks Under 2.5 (-140) - 0.187 value
Bobby Witt Jr. KC - Hitter BB Under 0.5 (-180) - 0.12 value
Tyler Freeman CLE - Hitter Hits Under 0.5 (+180) - 0.111 value
Jose Ramirez CLE - Hitter Hits Under 1.5 (-155) - 0.106 value
Steven Kwan CLE - Hitter Hits Under 1.5 (-135) - 0.103 value
Hunter Renfroe KC - Hitter BB Under 0.5 (-190) - 0.101 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $6300: 9.41 Proj, 1.27 Score
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) SS $6600: 10.5 Proj, 1.27 Score
Daniel Schneemann (CLE) 3B/OF $2900: 7.68 Proj, 1.21 Score
Josh Naylor (CLE) 1B $5100: 8.65 Proj, 1.13 Score
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 1B $4400: 7.88 Proj, 1.08 Score

CIN @ STL

Projected Game Score:

CIN 4.42 - STL 3.94
CIN 52.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.36

2024 Pitcher Stats

Frankie Montas: 14 GS, 1135 Pitches, 18.4 K%, 9.4 BB%, 10.8 SwStr%, 46.0 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%, 40.2 GB%, 6 Brl%
Andre Pallante: 5 GS, 570 Pitches, 17.8 K%, 10.3 BB%, 8.6 SwStr%, 43.7 Strike%, 38.1 Ball%, 59.6 GB%, 4 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Frankie Montas (CIN): 96 Pitches 5.87 IP, 5.9 H, 2.8 ER, 5.4 K, 2.0 BB, 14.38 FPts
Andre Pallante (STL): 85 Pitches 5.38 IP, 5.5 H, 2.7 ER, 3.8 K, 2.4 BB, 10.49 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Frankie Montas - 3.5 strikeouts
Andre Pallante - 3.5 strikeouts

CIN Hitter Projections

1. Jonathan India: 4.49 PA, 1.06 H, 1.58 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.29 FPts
2. Elly De La Cruz: 4.4 PA, 0.98 H, 1.63 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.36 SB, 9.98 FPts
3. Jeimer Candelario: 4.31 PA, 0.96 H, 1.52 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.43 FPts
4. Spencer Steer: 4.21 PA, 0.96 H, 1.49 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.98 FPts
5. Nick Martini: 3.96 PA, 0.9 H, 1.38 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.04 FPts
6. Tyler Stephenson: 3.97 PA, 0.92 H, 1.35 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.29 FPts
7. Noelvi Marte: 3.88 PA, 0.93 H, 1.43 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.26 FPts
8. Will Benson: 3.38 PA, 0.69 H, 1.15 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.2 SB, 6.86 FPts
9. Stuart Fairchild: 3.26 PA, 0.68 H, 1.07 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.75 FPts

STL Hitter Projections

1. Masyn Winn: 4.47 PA, 1.06 H, 1.49 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.14 FPts
2. Alec Burleson: 4.22 PA, 1.08 H, 1.7 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.51 FPts
3. Willson Contreras: 4.18 PA, 0.94 H, 1.72 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.97 FPts
4. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.19 PA, 0.91 H, 1.53 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.36 FPts
5. Brendan Donovan: 4.09 PA, 1.06 H, 1.61 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.31 FPts
6. Nolan Arenado: 3.91 PA, 0.93 H, 1.49 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.4 FPts
7. Nolan Gorman: 3.86 PA, 0.8 H, 1.62 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.41 FPts
8. Matt Carpenter: 3.41 PA, 0.6 H, 1.09 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.58 FPts
9. Mike Siani: 3.2 PA, 0.65 H, 0.89 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.11 SB, 4.77 FPts

Best Bets

Frankie Montas CIN - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (-180) - 0.14 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Elly De La Cruz (CIN) SS $6400: 9.98 Proj, 1.19 Score
Jonathan India (CIN) 2B $3700: 8.29 Proj, 1.17 Score
Willson Contreras (STL) C $4900: 7.97 Proj, 1.12 Score
Alec Burleson (STL) OF $3900: 7.51 Proj, 1.06 Score
Spencer Steer (CIN) 1B/OF $4700: 7.98 Proj, 1.02 Score

DET @ LAA

Projected Game Score:

DET 4.36 - LAA 4.2
DET 51.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.56

2024 Pitcher Stats

Zach Plesac: 2 GS, 151 Pitches, 4.9 K%, 7.3 BB%, 7.3 SwStr%, 39.7 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%, 19.4 GB%, 28 Brl%
Kenta Maeda: 13 GS, 958 Pitches, 17.6 K%, 7.7 BB%, 10.1 SwStr%, 43.6 Strike%, 38.4 Ball%, 34.7 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Zach Plesac (LAA): 88 Pitches 5.56 IP, 5.9 H, 2.7 ER, 4.6 K, 1.6 BB, 12.84 FPts
Kenta Maeda (DET): 85 Pitches 4.95 IP, 4.9 H, 2.4 ER, 4.5 K, 1.4 BB, 12.68 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Zach Plesac - 3.5 strikeouts
Kenta Maeda - 4.5 strikeouts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Matt Vierling: 4.35 PA, 1.09 H, 1.85 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.92 FPts
2. Colt Keith: 4.15 PA, 1.09 H, 1.77 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.85 FPts
3. Riley Greene: 4.24 PA, 1.05 H, 1.88 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.8 FPts
4. Mark Canha: 4.15 PA, 0.92 H, 1.41 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.07 FPts
5. Wenceel Perez: 4.1 PA, 1.07 H, 1.65 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.28 FPts
6. Gio Urshela: 3.92 PA, 1.02 H, 1.48 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.4 FPts
7. Justyn-Henry Malloy: 3.88 PA, 0.78 H, 1.34 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.7 FPts
8. Zach McKinstry: 3.4 PA, 0.72 H, 1.16 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.72 FPts
9. Jake Rogers: 3.39 PA, 0.75 H, 1.39 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.98 FPts

LAA Hitter Projections

1. Nolan Schanuel: 4.46 PA, 1.02 H, 1.47 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.29 FPts
2. Luis Rengifo: 4.37 PA, 1.1 H, 1.67 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.14 FPts
3. Taylor Ward: 4.25 PA, 0.98 H, 1.79 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.15 FPts
4. Miguel Sano: 3.97 PA, 0.76 H, 1.47 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.73 FPts
5. Willie Calhoun: 3.99 PA, 1.02 H, 1.47 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.75 FPts
6. Logan O'Hoppe: 3.93 PA, 0.98 H, 1.84 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.61 FPts
7. Zach Neto: 3.81 PA, 0.91 H, 1.61 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.22 FPts
8. Mickey Moniak: 3.5 PA, 0.77 H, 1.32 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.73 FPts
9. Jo Adell: 3.5 PA, 0.69 H, 1.24 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.8 FPts

Best Bets

Zach Plesac LAA - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (+115) - 0.214 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Colt Keith (DET) 2B $2600: 7.85 Proj, 1.27 Score
Justyn-Henry Malloy (DET) OF $2200: 6.7 Proj, 1.23 Score
Wenceel Perez (DET) OF $3600: 8.28 Proj, 1.22 Score
Riley Greene (DET) OF $4900: 8.8 Proj, 1.21 Score
Matt Vierling (DET) 3B/OF $4000: 7.92 Proj, 1.18 Score

OAK @ ARI

Projected Game Score:

ARI 4.8 - OAK 4.24
ARI 53.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.04

2024 Pitcher Stats

Slade Cecconi: 10 GS, 823 Pitches, 18.5 K%, 4.1 BB%, 8.1 SwStr%, 45.7 Strike%, 33.8 Ball%, 33.7 GB%, 11 Brl%
JP Sears: 16 GS, 1372 Pitches, 15.4 K%, 7.7 BB%, 10.1 SwStr%, 45.2 Strike%, 35.1 Ball%, 38.0 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Slade Cecconi (ARI): 81 Pitches 5.11 IP, 5.4 H, 2.7 ER, 4.8 K, 1.0 BB, 13.19 FPts
JP Sears (OAK): 88 Pitches 5.76 IP, 6.2 H, 3.2 ER, 3.8 K, 1.8 BB, 9.97 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Slade Cecconi - 4.5 strikeouts
JP Sears - 3.5 strikeouts

OAK Hitter Projections

1. JJ Bleday: 4.35 PA, 0.98 H, 1.73 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.73 FPts
2. Miguel Andujar: 4.31 PA, 1.1 H, 1.72 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.15 FPts
3. Brent Rooker: 4.2 PA, 0.97 H, 1.99 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.51 FPts
4. Tyler Soderstrom: 3.91 PA, 0.87 H, 1.62 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.06 FPts
5. Shea Langeliers: 3.99 PA, 0.9 H, 1.89 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.56 FPts
6. Tyler Nevin: 3.8 PA, 0.81 H, 1.34 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.06 FPts
7. Zack Gelof: 3.8 PA, 0.85 H, 1.55 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.91 FPts
8. Lawrence Butler: 3.52 PA, 0.79 H, 1.38 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.2 FPts
9. Max Schuemann: 3.33 PA, 0.66 H, 1.16 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.81 FPts

ARI Hitter Projections

1. Ketel Marte: 4.43 PA, 1.17 H, 2.13 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.05 SB, 9.54 FPts
2. Corbin Carroll: 4.37 PA, 1.03 H, 1.66 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.23 SB, 9.05 FPts
3. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: 4.27 PA, 1.1 H, 1.85 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.13 FPts
4. Christian Walker: 4.12 PA, 0.99 H, 1.96 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.16 FPts
5. Randal Grichuk: 4.01 PA, 1.08 H, 1.85 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.84 FPts
6. Eugenio Suarez: 3.92 PA, 0.83 H, 1.48 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.07 FPts
7. Blaze Alexander: 3.67 PA, 0.81 H, 1.24 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.82 FPts
8. Kevin Newman: 3.57 PA, 0.92 H, 1.35 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.34 FPts
9. Jose Herrera: 3.52 PA, 0.65 H, 0.85 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.83 FPts

Best Bets

Slade Cecconi ARI - Walks Under 1.5 (-180) - 0.1 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Ketel Marte (ARI) 2B $5100: 9.54 Proj, 1.29 Score
Corbin Carroll (ARI) OF $5000: 9.05 Proj, 1.23 Score
Christian Walker (ARI) 1B $5000: 9.16 Proj, 1.2 Score
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) OF $4000: 8.13 Proj, 1.19 Score
Randal Grichuk (ARI) OF $3100: 7.84 Proj, 1.16 Score

MIN @ SEA

Projected Game Score:

SEA 4.39 - MIN 3.86
SEA 53.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.0
Projected Total: 8.25

2024 Pitcher Stats

Logan Gilbert: 16 GS, 1484 Pitches, 24.7 K%, 5.0 BB%, 15.2 SwStr%, 47.2 Strike%, 33.8 Ball%, 43.4 GB%, 7 Brl%
Bailey Ober: 15 GS, 1284 Pitches, 25.2 K%, 6.1 BB%, 14.2 SwStr%, 49.7 Strike%, 32.9 Ball%, 32.6 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Logan Gilbert (SEA): 94 Pitches 6.32 IP, 5.5 H, 2.6 ER, 7.0 K, 1.5 BB, 20.05 FPts
Bailey Ober (MIN): 89 Pitches 5.61 IP, 4.8 H, 2.5 ER, 6.8 K, 1.7 BB, 18.17 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Logan Gilbert - 6.5 strikeouts
Bailey Ober - 6.5 strikeouts

MIN Hitter Projections

1. Willi Castro: 4.5 PA, 0.98 H, 1.67 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.06 FPts
2. Trevor Larnach: 4.05 PA, 0.84 H, 1.51 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.82 FPts
3. Royce Lewis: 4.22 PA, 1.03 H, 1.86 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.8 FPts
4. Max Kepler: 4.14 PA, 0.93 H, 1.76 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.57 FPts
5. Carlos Correa: 3.99 PA, 0.9 H, 1.55 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.63 FPts
6. Carlos Santana: 3.97 PA, 0.82 H, 1.44 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.58 FPts
7. Byron Buxton: 3.74 PA, 0.75 H, 1.44 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.26 FPts
8. Christian Vazquez: 3.65 PA, 0.8 H, 1.19 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.99 FPts
9. Austin Martin: 3.26 PA, 0.7 H, 1.09 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.62 FPts

SEA Hitter Projections

1. J.P. Crawford: 4.48 PA, 1.01 H, 1.74 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.39 FPts
2. Julio Rodriguez: 4.38 PA, 1.04 H, 1.87 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.64 FPts
3. Cal Raleigh: 4.31 PA, 0.9 H, 1.89 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.34 FPts
4. Luke Raley: 4.07 PA, 0.82 H, 1.51 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.13 FPts
5. Mitch Garver: 4.07 PA, 0.76 H, 1.45 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.73 FPts
6. Jorge Polanco: 3.94 PA, 0.75 H, 1.44 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.85 FPts
7. Dominic Canzone: 3.5 PA, 0.76 H, 1.53 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.27 FPts
8. Ty France: 3.74 PA, 0.88 H, 1.46 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.21 FPts
9. Josh Rojas: 3.41 PA, 0.77 H, 1.23 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.9 FPts

Best Bets

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Julio Rodriguez (SEA) OF $5200: 8.64 Proj, 1.13 Score
Cal Raleigh (SEA) C $4500: 8.34 Proj, 1.07 Score
J.P. Crawford (SEA) SS $4400: 8.39 Proj, 1.0 Score
Willi Castro (MIN) 2B/OF $4600: 8.06 Proj, 0.99 Score
Luke Raley (SEA) OF $3900: 7.13 Proj, 0.97 Score-

LAD @ SF

Projected Game Score:

LAD 3.92 - SF 3.88
LAD 50.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 7.8

2024 Pitcher Stats

Logan Webb: 17 GS, 1664 Pitches, 21.1 K%, 4.9 BB%, 8.7 SwStr%, 46.2 Strike%, 34.7 Ball%, 57.1 GB%, 8 Brl%
Landon Knack: 5 GS, 370 Pitches, 17.6 K%, 7.8 BB%, 11.1 SwStr%, 43.5 Strike%, 36.5 Ball%, 37.8 GB%, 5 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Logan Webb (SF): 97 Pitches 5.94 IP, 6.7 H, 2.9 ER, 5.2 K, 1.5 BB, 14.01 FPts
Landon Knack (LAD): 80 Pitches 5.24 IP, 5.0 H, 2.4 ER, 4.8 K, 2.0 BB, 13.26 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Logan Webb - 5.5 strikeouts
Landon Knack - 3.5 strikeouts

LAD Hitter Projections

1. Shohei Ohtani: 4.35 PA, 1.14 H, 2.12 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.13 SB, 9.77 FPts
2. Will Smith: 4.26 PA, 1.01 H, 1.59 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.11 FPts
3. Freddie Freeman: 4.11 PA, 1.12 H, 1.77 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.18 FPts
4. Teoscar Hernandez: 3.98 PA, 0.97 H, 1.67 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.12 FPts
5. Andy Pages: 3.96 PA, 0.97 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.99 FPts
6. Jason Heyward: 3.7 PA, 0.82 H, 1.25 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.63 FPts
7. Miguel Rojas: 3.56 PA, 0.88 H, 1.21 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.32 FPts
8. Gavin Lux: 3.56 PA, 0.89 H, 1.27 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.8 FPts
9. Cavan Biggio: 3.3 PA, 0.68 H, 1.01 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.01 FPts

SF Hitter Projections

1. Brett Wisely: 4.38 PA, 0.93 H, 1.5 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.76 FPts
2. Heliot Ramos: 4.4 PA, 0.97 H, 1.71 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.77 FPts
3. LaMonte Wade Jr.: 3.94 PA, 0.86 H, 1.37 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.09 FPts
4. Matt Chapman: 4.23 PA, 0.91 H, 1.62 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.6 FPts
5. Patrick Bailey: 4.05 PA, 0.95 H, 1.44 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.63 FPts
6. Jorge Soler: 3.99 PA, 0.8 H, 1.45 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.52 FPts
7. Michael Conforto: 3.77 PA, 0.84 H, 1.36 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.3 FPts
8. Thairo Estrada: 3.74 PA, 0.88 H, 1.36 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.03 FPts
9. Luis Matos: 3.43 PA, 0.85 H, 1.22 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.72 FPts

Best Bets

Landon Knack LAD - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (-150) - 0.1 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 1B/OF $6900: 9.77 Proj, 1.13 Score
Heliot Ramos (SF) OF $4800: 7.77 Proj, 1.04 Score
Matt Chapman (SF) 3B $4800: 7.6 Proj, 1.01 Score
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 1B $5800: 8.18 Proj, 0.98 Score
Andy Pages (LAD) OF $3900: 6.99 Proj, 0.92 Score

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