MLB DW Slate Preview - March 30th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

Mar 30, 2024

∙ Paid

Ignore that last post, it was yesterday’s which I mis-scheduled. This one is today’s version, and I even got it out in time!

Slate Preview

Most Team Fantasy Point Projections

ATL (vs. Aaron Nola): 78.08 Projected Points

LAD (vs. Lance Lynn): 76.08 Projected Points

CIN (vs. Patrick Corbin): 74.58 Projected Points

STL (vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto): 70.24 Projected Points

CHC (vs. Cody Bradford): 70.07 Projected Points

Least Team Fantasy Point Projections

OAK (vs. Tanner Bibee): 55.93 Projected Points

PHI (vs. Max Fried): 58.79 Projected Points

NYM (vs. DL Hall): 58.87 Projected Points

CLE (vs. JP Sears): 59.51 Projected Points

KC (vs. Joe Ryan): 59.62 Projected Points

Team Projections vs. Season Averages

DET: 66.91 Today, 55.8 Season Average

CIN: 74.58 Today, 64.1 Season Average

LAD: 76.08 Today, 66.86 Season Average

PIT: 69.56 Today, 60.63 Season Average

WSH: 66.75 Today, 58.99 Season Average

Today Max Projection Players

Players with their highest projection of the season coming today

Tommy Henry: 12.4 Today, 12.24 Previous Max

Spencer Torkelson: 9.39 Today, 9.19 Previous Max

Jonathan India: 9.39 Today, 9.32 Previous Max

Parker Meadows: 8.82 Today, 7.39 Previous Max

Jose Siri: 8.77 Today, 8.54 Previous Max

Edward Olivares: 8.56 Today, 8.44 Previous Max

Sal Frelick: 8.31 Today, 8.09 Previous Max

Isaac Paredes: 7.98 Today, 7.72 Previous Max

Luke Maile: 7.67 Today, 7.54 Previous Max

DFS Top Plays by Position

Pitchers - Raw Projections

Hunter Greene $8500 vs. WSH: 18.34 points

Tanner Bibee $9700 vs. OAK: 17.78 points

Logan Gilbert $9500 vs. BOS: 17.68 points

Dylan Cease $9300 vs. SF: 17.17 points

Max Fried $9100 vs. PHI: 15.68 points

Pitchers - Top Values

DL Hall $4600 vs. NYM: 13.32 points, 2.9 value

Jordan Hicks $5000 vs. SD: 13.25 points, 2.65 value

Hunter Greene $8500 vs. WSH: 18.34 points, 2.16 value

Ryan Weathers $5200 vs. PIT: 9.78 points, 1.88 value

Luis Severino $6100 vs. MIL: 11.32 points, 1.86 value

Catchers

1. Luke Maile ($2400) vs. Patrick Corbin: 7.67 points, 1.35 score

2. Willson Contreras ($4100) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 8.38 points, 1.21 score

3. Mitch Garver ($4000) vs. Kutter Crawford: 8.19 points, 1.2 score

4. Henry Davis ($3100) vs. Ryan Weathers: 7.34 points, 1.16 score

5. Adley Rutschman ($5000) vs. Griffin Canning: 8.76 points, 1.15 score

First Base

1. Christian Encarnacion-Strand ($4100) vs. Patrick Corbin: 9.51 points, 1.43 score

2. Shohei Ohtani ($6200) vs. Lance Lynn: 10.91 points, 1.33 score

3. Connor Joe ($3400) vs. Ryan Weathers: 8.6 points, 1.26 score

4. Freddie Freeman ($5800) vs. Lance Lynn: 9.78 points, 1.22 score

5. Spencer Steer ($4900) vs. Patrick Corbin: 9.19 points, 1.19 score

Second Base

1. Jonathan India ($3900) vs. Patrick Corbin: 9.39 points, 1.38 score

2. Nolan Gorman ($4100) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 9.44 points, 1.36 score

3. Mookie Betts ($6300) vs. Lance Lynn: 10.43 points, 1.29 score

4. Edouard Julien ($3200) vs. Seth Lugo: 8.35 points, 1.26 score

5. Jorge Polanco ($4300) vs. Kutter Crawford: 8.64 points, 1.22 score

Third Base

1. Christian Encarnacion-Strand ($4100) vs. Patrick Corbin: 9.51 points, 1.43 score

2. Christopher Morel ($4400) vs. Cody Bradford: 9.95 points, 1.4 score

3. Jorge Polanco ($4300) vs. Kutter Crawford: 8.64 points, 1.22 score

4. Jake Burger ($4000) vs. Jared Jones: 8.42 points, 1.2 score

5. Rafael Devers ($5400) vs. Logan Gilbert: 9.72 points, 1.19 score

Shortstop

1. Mookie Betts ($6300) vs. Lance Lynn: 10.43 points, 1.29 score

2. C.J. Abrams ($4800) vs. Hunter Greene: 9.93 points, 1.29 score

3. Corey Seager ($6100) vs. Kyle Hendricks: 10.02 points, 1.27 score

4. Elly De La Cruz ($5700) vs. Patrick Corbin: 9.05 points, 1.22 score

5. Braden Shewmake ($2000) vs. Kenta Maeda: 7.05 points, 1.18 score

Outfield

1. Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6500) vs. Aaron Nola: 12.4 points, 1.5 score

2. Christopher Morel ($4400) vs. Cody Bradford: 9.95 points, 1.4 score

3. Seiya Suzuki ($4200) vs. Cody Bradford: 9.6 points, 1.38 score

4. Aaron Judge ($6000) vs. Hunter Brown: 10.41 points, 1.34 score

5. Shohei Ohtani ($6200) vs. Lance Lynn: 10.91 points, 1.33 score

6. Parker Meadows ($3400) vs. Mike Soroka: 8.82 points, 1.27 score

7. Michael Harris II ($4000) vs. Aaron Nola: 9.23 points, 1.26 score

8. Victor Scott II ($2000) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 7.48 points, 1.26 score

9. Brendan Donovan ($3500) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 8.82 points, 1.26 score

10. Connor Joe ($3400) vs. Ryan Weathers: 8.6 points, 1.26 score

11. Juan Soto ($5900) vs. Hunter Brown: 10.13 points, 1.24 score

12. Julio Rodriguez ($5900) vs. Kutter Crawford: 9.7 points, 1.22 score

13. Edward Olivares ($3200) vs. Ryan Weathers: 8.56 points, 1.22 score

14. Max Kepler ($3700) vs. Seth Lugo: 8.75 points, 1.21 score

15. Jose Siri ($3900) vs. Yusei Kikuchi: 8.77 points, 1.21 score

Team-by-Team Previews

MIL @ NYM

Projected Game Score:

MIL 4.5 - NYM 3.62

MIL 55.4% To Win

Vegas O/U: 7.5

Projected Total: 8.12

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

DL Hall: 0 GS, 371 Pitches, 28.4 K%, 6.2 BB%, 15.1 SwStr%, 51.2 Strike%, 34.5 Ball%, 50.9 GB%, 8 Brl%

Luis Severino: 18 GS, 1636 Pitches, 19.0 K%, 7.9 BB%, 10.7 SwStr%, 48.2 Strike%, 33.6 Ball%, 43.3 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

DL Hall (MIL): 85 Pitches 4.83 IP, 4.3 H, 2.1 ER, 4.8 K, 1.5 BB, 13.32 FPts

Luis Severino (NYM): 82 Pitches 4.73 IP, 4.6 H, 2.3 ER, 4.3 K, 1.9 BB, 11.32 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

DL Hall - 4.5 strikeouts

Luis Severino - 5.5 strikeouts

MIL Hitter Projections

1. Sal Frelick: 4.47 PA, 1.1 H, 1.55 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.2 SB, 8.31 FPts

2. William Contreras: 4.42 PA, 1.03 H, 1.82 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.49 FPts

3. Christian Yelich: 4.27 PA, 1.02 H, 1.6 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.85 FPts

4. Willy Adames: 4.17 PA, 0.88 H, 1.61 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.71 FPts

5. Jake Bauers: 3.8 PA, 0.7 H, 1.27 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.71 FPts

6. Rhys Hoskins: 4.01 PA, 0.84 H, 1.59 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.66 FPts

7. Oliver Dunn: 3.9 PA, 0.75 H, 1.27 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.24 FPts

8. Brice Turang: 3.61 PA, 0.8 H, 1.16 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.21 SB, 6.67 FPts

9. Jackson Chourio: 3.54 PA, 0.82 H, 1.37 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.72 FPts

NYM Hitter Projections

1. Brandon Nimmo: 4.37 PA, 0.97 H, 1.53 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.13 FPts

2. Francisco Lindor: 4.28 PA, 0.97 H, 1.7 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.12 FPts

3. Pete Alonso: 4.2 PA, 0.88 H, 1.75 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.77 FPts

4. Tyrone Taylor: 3.97 PA, 0.81 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.15 FPts

5. Starling Marte: 3.95 PA, 0.93 H, 1.32 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.18 SB, 6.7 FPts

6. Jeff McNeil: 3.9 PA, 0.96 H, 1.24 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.8 FPts

7. Francisco Alvarez: 3.74 PA, 0.73 H, 1.43 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.3 FPts

8. Zack Short: 3.41 PA, 0.57 H, 1.0 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.06 FPts

9. Harrison Bader: 3.34 PA, 0.76 H, 1.19 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.16 SB, 5.84 FPts

Best Bets

Luis Severino NYM - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (-120) - 0.197 value

Jackson Chourio MIL - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+200) - 0.13 value

Sal Frelick MIL - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+145) - 0.109 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Oliver Dunn (MIL) 2B $2100: 7.24 Proj, 1.2 Score

William Contreras (MIL) C $4700: 8.49 Proj, 1.13 Score

Francisco Lindor (NYM) SS $5100: 8.12 Proj, 1.11 Score

Sal Frelick (MIL) OF $3800: 8.31 Proj, 1.1 Score

Christian Yelich (MIL) OF $4900: 8.85 Proj, 1.1 Score

DET @ CWS

Projected Game Score:

DET 4.68 - CWS 3.78

DET 55.4% To Win

Vegas O/U: 8.5

Projected Total: 8.46

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Kenta Maeda: 20 GS, 1700 Pitches, 27.3 K%, 6.5 BB%, 13.7 SwStr%, 47.9 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%, 33.6 GB%, 8 Brl%

Michael Soroka: 6 GS, 537 Pitches, 20.0 K%, 8.3 BB%, 10.6 SwStr%, 43.2 Strike%, 38.2 Ball%, 46.0 GB%, 11 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Kenta Maeda (DET): 83 Pitches 4.97 IP, 4.8 H, 2.3 ER, 4.7 K, 1.5 BB, 12.84 FPts

Mike Soroka (CWS): 79 Pitches 5.15 IP, 5.3 H, 2.8 ER, 4.8 K, 1.8 BB, 11.65 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Kenta Maeda - 5.5 strikeouts

Mike Soroka - Prop Not Found

DET Hitter Projections

1. Parker Meadows: 4.49 PA, 0.95 H, 1.68 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.82 FPts

2. Spencer Torkelson: 4.37 PA, 1.03 H, 2.13 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.03 SB, 9.39 FPts

3. Riley Greene: 4.25 PA, 1.09 H, 1.83 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.59 FPts

4. Kerry Carpenter: 4.07 PA, 1.07 H, 1.95 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.74 FPts

5. Mark Canha: 4.02 PA, 0.88 H, 1.37 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.0 FPts

6. Colt Keith: 3.98 PA, 0.87 H, 1.48 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.74 FPts

7. Carson Kelly: 3.63 PA, 0.75 H, 1.19 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.59 FPts

8. Javier Baez: 3.65 PA, 0.83 H, 1.31 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.93 FPts

9. Zach McKinstry: 3.34 PA, 0.69 H, 1.23 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.11 FPts

CWS Hitter Projections

1. Andrew Benintendi: 4.45 PA, 1.06 H, 1.42 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.92 FPts

2. Yoan Moncada: 4.3 PA, 0.98 H, 1.61 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.97 FPts

3. Luis Robert: 4.18 PA, 1.04 H, 2.04 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.62 FPts

4. Eloy Jimenez: 4.17 PA, 0.99 H, 1.72 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.36 FPts

5. Andrew Vaughn: 4.07 PA, 0.95 H, 1.6 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.68 FPts

6. Dominic Fletcher: 3.9 PA, 0.92 H, 1.56 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.74 FPts

7. Braden Shewmake: 3.88 PA, 0.86 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.2 SB, 7.05 FPts

8. Nicky Lopez: 3.58 PA, 0.84 H, 1.08 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.74 FPts

9. Martin Maldonado: 3.34 PA, 0.55 H, 0.99 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.48 FPts

Best Bets

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Parker Meadows (DET) OF $3400: 8.82 Proj, 1.27 Score

Braden Shewmake (CWS) SS $2000: 7.05 Proj, 1.18 Score

Kerry Carpenter (DET) OF $3900: 8.74 Proj, 1.16 Score

Spencer Torkelson (DET) 1B $5000: 9.39 Proj, 1.09 Score

Luis Robert (CWS) OF $5300: 8.62 Proj, 1.09 Score

LAA @ BAL

Projected Game Score:

BAL 4.5 - LAA 4.39

BAL 50.6% To Win

Vegas O/U: 8.5

Projected Total: 8.89

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Griffin Canning: 22 GS, 2177 Pitches, 26.0 K%, 6.5 BB%, 14.1 SwStr%, 48.8 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%, 43.0 GB%, 10 Brl%

Grayson Rodriguez: 23 GS, 2104 Pitches, 25.0 K%, 8.2 BB%, 13.3 SwStr%, 49.7 Strike%, 34.1 Ball%, 46.9 GB%, 7 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Griffin Canning (LAA): 91 Pitches 5.46 IP, 5.2 H, 2.7 ER, 5.2 K, 2.2 BB, 13.26 FPts

Grayson Rodriguez (BAL): 80 Pitches 4.83 IP, 4.3 H, 2.3 ER, 4.8 K, 2.2 BB, 12.67 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Griffin Canning - 5.5 strikeouts

Grayson Rodriguez - 6.5 strikeouts

LAA Hitter Projections

1. Anthony Rendon: 4.43 PA, 0.88 H, 1.28 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.98 FPts

2. Aaron Hicks: 4.31 PA, 0.79 H, 1.14 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.89 FPts

3. Mike Trout: 4.29 PA, 0.98 H, 1.83 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.57 FPts

4. Taylor Ward: 4.24 PA, 0.92 H, 1.44 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.19 FPts

5. Brandon Drury: 4.09 PA, 0.97 H, 1.69 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.25 FPts

6. Nolan Schanuel: 3.93 PA, 0.87 H, 1.36 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.91 FPts

7. Miguel Sano: 3.93 PA, 0.64 H, 1.24 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.54 FPts

8. Logan O'Hoppe: 3.77 PA, 0.89 H, 1.75 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.45 FPts

9. Zach Neto: 3.48 PA, 0.78 H, 1.35 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.24 FPts

BAL Hitter Projections

1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.46 PA, 1.03 H, 1.9 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.07 SB, 9.01 FPts

2. Adley Rutschman: 4.41 PA, 1.05 H, 1.78 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.76 FPts

3. Anthony Santander: 4.31 PA, 0.99 H, 1.87 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.4 FPts

4. Ryan Mountcastle: 4.14 PA, 0.95 H, 1.63 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.41 FPts

5. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.9 PA, 0.99 H, 1.6 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.91 FPts

6. Austin Hays: 3.94 PA, 0.91 H, 1.53 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.68 FPts

7. Cedric Mullins II: 3.86 PA, 0.86 H, 1.35 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.09 FPts

8. Jordan Westburg: 3.58 PA, 0.83 H, 1.34 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.29 FPts

9. Ramon Urias: 3.46 PA, 0.75 H, 1.12 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.11 FPts

Best Bets

Grayson Rodriguez BAL - Strikeouts Under 6.5 (-155) - 0.177 value

Nolan Schanuel LAA - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+140) - 0.121 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 3B/SS $5300: 9.01 Proj, 1.16 Score

Adley Rutschman (BAL) C $5000: 8.76 Proj, 1.15 Score

Miguel Sano (LAA) 3B/OF $2000: 6.54 Proj, 1.13 Score

Anthony Santander (BAL) OF $4500: 8.4 Proj, 1.13 Score

Cedric Mullins II (BAL) OF $3800: 7.09 Proj, 1.05 Score

ATL @ PHI

Projected Game Score:

ATL 5.96 - PHI 3.54

ATL 62.8% To Win

Vegas O/U: 8.0

Projected Total: 9.5

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Max Fried: 14 GS, 1244 Pitches, 25.7 K%, 5.8 BB%, 12.6 SwStr%, 46.2 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%, 59.2 GB%, 4 Brl%

Aaron Nola: 32 GS, 3087 Pitches, 25.2 K%, 5.7 BB%, 12.8 SwStr%, 49.6 Strike%, 32.8 Ball%, 43.1 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Max Fried (ATL): 87 Pitches 5.45 IP, 5.3 H, 2.4 ER, 5.7 K, 1.3 BB, 15.68 FPts

Aaron Nola (PHI): 87 Pitches 5.31 IP, 5.7 H, 2.9 ER, 5.7 K, 1.3 BB, 13.91 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Max Fried - 5.5 strikeouts

Aaron Nola - 5.5 strikeouts

ATL Hitter Projections

1. Ronald Acuna Jr.: 4.47 PA, 1.31 H, 2.47 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.27 SB, 12.4 FPts

2. Ozzie Albies: 4.38 PA, 1.12 H, 2.05 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.07 SB, 9.17 FPts

3. Austin Riley: 4.29 PA, 1.06 H, 1.95 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.7 FPts

4. Matt Olson: 4.18 PA, 0.98 H, 2.04 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.6 FPts

5. Marcell Ozuna: 4.06 PA, 0.99 H, 2.03 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.68 FPts

6. Michael Harris II: 3.97 PA, 1.17 H, 2.06 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.13 SB, 9.23 FPts

7. Travis d'Arnaud: 3.85 PA, 0.87 H, 1.53 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.49 FPts

8. Orlando Arcia: 3.73 PA, 0.84 H, 1.49 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.61 FPts

9. Jarred Kelenic: 3.45 PA, 0.77 H, 1.45 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.2 FPts

PHI Hitter Projections

1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.36 PA, 0.73 H, 1.48 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.99 FPts

2. Trea Turner: 4.23 PA, 1.05 H, 1.7 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.71 FPts

3. Alec Bohm: 4.16 PA, 1.0 H, 1.52 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.46 FPts

4. Bryce Harper: 4.01 PA, 0.9 H, 1.57 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.43 FPts

5. Nick Castellanos: 3.95 PA, 0.93 H, 1.58 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.6 FPts

6. J.T. Realmuto: 3.84 PA, 0.87 H, 1.52 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.64 FPts

7. Whit Merrifield: 3.68 PA, 0.84 H, 1.16 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.53 FPts

8. Bryson Stott: 3.61 PA, 0.86 H, 1.25 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.01 FPts

9. Johan Rojas: 3.35 PA, 0.74 H, 1.03 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.19 SB, 5.42 FPts

Best Bets

Max Fried ATL - Walks Under 1.5 (+125) - 0.179 value

Austin Riley ATL - Hitter K Under 1.5 (-125) - 0.114 value

Orlando Arcia ATL - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+205) - 0.104 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) OF $6500: 12.4 Proj, 1.5 Score

Michael Harris II (ATL) OF $4000: 9.23 Proj, 1.26 Score

Matt Olson (ATL) 1B $5900: 9.6 Proj, 1.15 Score

Ozzie Albies (ATL) 2B $5200: 9.17 Proj, 1.11 Score

Marcell Ozuna (ATL) OF $4600: 8.68 Proj, 1.1 Score

CLE @ OAK

Projected Game Score:

CLE 3.68 - OAK 3.44

CLE 51.7% To Win

Vegas O/U: 7.5

Projected Total: 7.12

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Tanner Bibee: 25 GS, 2326 Pitches, 24.1 K%, 7.7 BB%, 12.4 SwStr%, 46.6 Strike%, 36.5 Ball%, 37.3 GB%, 6 Brl%

JP Sears: 32 GS, 2867 Pitches, 22.0 K%, 7.0 BB%, 12.7 SwStr%, 47.7 Strike%, 34.7 Ball%, 30.5 GB%, 11 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Tanner Bibee (CLE): 83 Pitches 5.54 IP, 4.0 H, 2.3 ER, 6.5 K, 2.6 BB, 17.78 FPts

JP Sears (OAK): 88 Pitches 5.85 IP, 6.0 H, 2.8 ER, 4.4 K, 1.5 BB, 12.29 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Tanner Bibee - 6.5 strikeouts

JP Sears - 4.5 strikeouts

CLE Hitter Projections

1. Steven Kwan: 4.39 PA, 1.04 H, 1.31 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.8 FPts

2. Jose Ramirez: 4.27 PA, 1.13 H, 1.98 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.86 FPts

3. Ramon Laureano: 4.07 PA, 0.88 H, 1.51 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.24 FPts

4. Josh Naylor: 4.09 PA, 1.02 H, 1.66 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.5 FPts

5. David Fry: 3.71 PA, 0.86 H, 1.57 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.5 FPts

6. Tyler Freeman: 3.65 PA, 0.88 H, 1.29 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.46 FPts

7. Andres Gimenez: 3.75 PA, 0.89 H, 1.41 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.7 FPts

8. Austin Hedges: 3.27 PA, 0.6 H, 0.76 TB, 0.01 HR, 0.02 SB, 3.8 FPts

9. Brayan Rocchio: 3.43 PA, 0.74 H, 1.18 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.65 FPts

OAK Hitter Projections

1. Ryan Noda: 4.2 PA, 0.73 H, 1.31 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.36 FPts

2. Zack Gelof: 4.23 PA, 0.91 H, 1.62 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.72 FPts

3. JJ Bleday: 3.94 PA, 0.63 H, 1.06 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.22 FPts

4. Brent Rooker: 3.9 PA, 0.74 H, 1.39 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.57 FPts

5. Seth Brown: 3.7 PA, 0.77 H, 1.39 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.28 FPts

6. J.D. Davis: 3.75 PA, 0.79 H, 1.3 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.96 FPts

7. Shea Langeliers: 3.72 PA, 0.7 H, 1.31 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.56 FPts

8. Lawrence Butler: 3.38 PA, 0.68 H, 1.14 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.9 FPts

9. Nick Allen: 3.31 PA, 0.66 H, 0.86 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.11 SB, 4.36 FPts

Best Bets

Brayan Rocchio CLE - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+190) - 0.147 value

Tanner Bibee CLE - Walks Over 1.5 (-165) - 0.113 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $5900: 8.86 Proj, 1.12 Score

David Fry (CLE) C $2100: 6.5 Proj, 1.05 Score

Tyler Freeman (CLE) 3B/OF $2400: 6.46 Proj, 1.0 Score

Ramon Laureano (CLE) OF $3700: 7.24 Proj, 1.0 Score

Josh Naylor (CLE) 1B $4600: 7.5 Proj, 0.98 Score

MIN @ KC

Projected Game Score:

MIN 4.78 - KC 3.74

MIN 56.1% To Win

Vegas O/U: 8.0

Projected Total: 8.52

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Seth Lugo: 26 GS, 2377 Pitches, 23.2 K%, 6.0 BB%, 10.1 SwStr%, 47.2 Strike%, 35.0 Ball%, 45.4 GB%, 10 Brl%

Joe Ryan: 29 GS, 2683 Pitches, 29.2 K%, 5.1 BB%, 14.8 SwStr%, 52.6 Strike%, 31.2 Ball%, 33.1 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Seth Lugo (KC): 91 Pitches 5.67 IP, 5.6 H, 2.9 ER, 5.9 K, 1.8 BB, 14.7 FPts

Joe Ryan (MIN): 88 Pitches 5.18 IP, 5.2 H, 2.5 ER, 5.0 K, 1.0 BB, 13.78 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Seth Lugo - 4.5 strikeouts

Joe Ryan - 5.5 strikeouts

MIN Hitter Projections

1. Edouard Julien: 4.3 PA, 0.93 H, 1.72 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.35 FPts

2. Byron Buxton: 4.38 PA, 0.92 H, 1.89 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.41 FPts

3. Max Kepler: 4.2 PA, 1.05 H, 1.99 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.75 FPts

4. Carlos Correa: 4.18 PA, 0.98 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.21 FPts

5. Carlos Santana: 4.14 PA, 0.87 H, 1.45 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.81 FPts

6. Matt Wallner: 3.76 PA, 0.77 H, 1.61 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.06 FPts

7. Ryan Jeffers: 3.91 PA, 0.9 H, 1.64 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.13 FPts

8. Alex Kirilloff: 3.59 PA, 0.94 H, 1.57 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.73 FPts

9. Willi Castro: 3.55 PA, 0.78 H, 1.28 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.45 FPts

KC Hitter Projections

1. Maikel Garcia: 4.34 PA, 1.01 H, 1.51 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.23 FPts

2. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.26 PA, 1.14 H, 2.21 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.84 FPts

3. Vinnie Pasquantino: 4.15 PA, 1.05 H, 1.78 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.97 FPts

4. Salvador Perez: 4.01 PA, 0.95 H, 1.69 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.6 FPts

5. MJ Melendez: 3.95 PA, 0.79 H, 1.48 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.72 FPts

6. Hunter Renfroe: 3.86 PA, 0.74 H, 1.22 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.22 FPts

7. Adam Frazier: 3.49 PA, 0.8 H, 1.11 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.22 FPts

8. Nick Loftin: 3.64 PA, 0.81 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.81 FPts

9. Kyle Isbel: 3.3 PA, 0.69 H, 1.11 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.01 FPts

Best Bets

Adam Frazier KC - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+105) - 0.107 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Edouard Julien (MIN) 2B $3200: 8.35 Proj, 1.26 Score

Max Kepler (MIN) OF $3700: 8.75 Proj, 1.21 Score

Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) SS $6300: 9.84 Proj, 1.15 Score

Byron Buxton (MIN) OF $4700: 8.41 Proj, 1.14 Score

Matt Wallner (MIN) OF $2900: 7.06 Proj, 1.08 Score

WSH @ CIN

Projected Game Score:

CIN 5.5 - WSH 4.66

CIN 54.1% To Win

Vegas O/U: 10.0

Projected Total: 10.16

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Hunter Greene: 21 GS, 2089 Pitches, 30.6 K%, 9.5 BB%, 15.1 SwStr%, 49.8 Strike%, 36.3 Ball%, 35.9 GB%, 9 Brl%

Patrick Corbin: 32 GS, 2922 Pitches, 15.7 K%, 7.2 BB%, 9.7 SwStr%, 40.8 Strike%, 38.5 Ball%, 45.3 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Hunter Greene (CIN): 92 Pitches 5.92 IP, 4.8 H, 2.7 ER, 7.1 K, 2.4 BB, 18.34 FPts

Patrick Corbin (WSH): 84 Pitches 4.95 IP, 5.9 H, 3.0 ER, 4.2 K, 1.7 BB, 9.42 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Hunter Greene - 6.5 strikeouts

Patrick Corbin - 4.5 strikeouts

WSH Hitter Projections

1. C.J. Abrams: 4.6 PA, 1.09 H, 2.02 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.26 SB, 9.93 FPts

2. Lane Thomas: 4.51 PA, 0.98 H, 1.91 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.84 FPts

3. Jesse Winker: 4.1 PA, 0.68 H, 0.98 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.4 FPts

4. Joey Meneses: 4.33 PA, 1.0 H, 1.65 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.36 FPts

5. Joey Gallo: 3.88 PA, 0.44 H, 1.11 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.38 FPts

6. Keibert Ruiz: 4.1 PA, 1.02 H, 1.81 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.75 FPts

7. Eddie Rosario: 3.76 PA, 0.83 H, 1.64 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.21 FPts

8. Ildemaro Vargas: 3.86 PA, 0.89 H, 1.33 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.36 FPts

9. Luis Garcia: 3.59 PA, 0.88 H, 1.47 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.52 FPts

CIN Hitter Projections

1. Jonathan India: 4.35 PA, 1.1 H, 1.93 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.11 SB, 9.39 FPts

2. Spencer Steer: 4.33 PA, 1.07 H, 1.83 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.1 SB, 9.19 FPts

3. Christian Encarnacion-Strand: 4.18 PA, 1.19 H, 2.21 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.03 SB, 9.51 FPts

4. Jeimer Candelario: 4.1 PA, 1.03 H, 1.92 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.7 FPts

5. Santiago Espinal: 3.66 PA, 0.97 H, 1.28 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.38 FPts

6. Elly De La Cruz: 3.92 PA, 0.98 H, 1.76 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.24 SB, 9.05 FPts

7. Stuart Fairchild: 3.46 PA, 0.82 H, 1.51 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.47 FPts

8. Luke Maile: 3.4 PA, 0.89 H, 1.69 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.67 FPts

9. Will Benson: 3.25 PA, 0.75 H, 1.29 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.19 SB, 7.22 FPts

Best Bets

Jonathan India CIN - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+190) - 0.1 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) 1B/3B $4100: 9.51 Proj, 1.43 Score

Jonathan India (CIN) 2B $3900: 9.39 Proj, 1.38 Score

Luke Maile (CIN) C $2400: 7.67 Proj, 1.35 Score

C.J. Abrams (WSH) SS $4800: 9.93 Proj, 1.29 Score

Elly De La Cruz (CIN) SS $5700: 9.05 Proj, 1.22 Score

The rest of the previews are behind the paywall. Become a paid subscriber to get these previews and everything else offered at MLB Data Warehouse.

This post is for paid subscribers