MLB DW Slate Preview - March 30th
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
Ignore that last post, it was yesterday’s which I mis-scheduled. This one is today’s version, and I even got it out in time!
Slate Preview
Most Team Fantasy Point Projections
ATL (vs. Aaron Nola): 78.08 Projected Points
LAD (vs. Lance Lynn): 76.08 Projected Points
CIN (vs. Patrick Corbin): 74.58 Projected Points
STL (vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto): 70.24 Projected Points
CHC (vs. Cody Bradford): 70.07 Projected Points
Least Team Fantasy Point Projections
OAK (vs. Tanner Bibee): 55.93 Projected Points
PHI (vs. Max Fried): 58.79 Projected Points
NYM (vs. DL Hall): 58.87 Projected Points
CLE (vs. JP Sears): 59.51 Projected Points
KC (vs. Joe Ryan): 59.62 Projected Points
Team Projections vs. Season Averages
DET: 66.91 Today, 55.8 Season Average
CIN: 74.58 Today, 64.1 Season Average
LAD: 76.08 Today, 66.86 Season Average
PIT: 69.56 Today, 60.63 Season Average
WSH: 66.75 Today, 58.99 Season Average
Today Max Projection Players
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Tommy Henry: 12.4 Today, 12.24 Previous Max
Spencer Torkelson: 9.39 Today, 9.19 Previous Max
Jonathan India: 9.39 Today, 9.32 Previous Max
Parker Meadows: 8.82 Today, 7.39 Previous Max
Jose Siri: 8.77 Today, 8.54 Previous Max
Edward Olivares: 8.56 Today, 8.44 Previous Max
Sal Frelick: 8.31 Today, 8.09 Previous Max
Isaac Paredes: 7.98 Today, 7.72 Previous Max
Luke Maile: 7.67 Today, 7.54 Previous Max
DFS Top Plays by Position
Pitchers - Raw Projections
Hunter Greene $8500 vs. WSH: 18.34 points
Tanner Bibee $9700 vs. OAK: 17.78 points
Logan Gilbert $9500 vs. BOS: 17.68 points
Dylan Cease $9300 vs. SF: 17.17 points
Max Fried $9100 vs. PHI: 15.68 points
Pitchers - Top Values
DL Hall $4600 vs. NYM: 13.32 points, 2.9 value
Jordan Hicks $5000 vs. SD: 13.25 points, 2.65 value
Hunter Greene $8500 vs. WSH: 18.34 points, 2.16 value
Ryan Weathers $5200 vs. PIT: 9.78 points, 1.88 value
Luis Severino $6100 vs. MIL: 11.32 points, 1.86 value
Catchers
1. Luke Maile ($2400) vs. Patrick Corbin: 7.67 points, 1.35 score
2. Willson Contreras ($4100) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 8.38 points, 1.21 score
3. Mitch Garver ($4000) vs. Kutter Crawford: 8.19 points, 1.2 score
4. Henry Davis ($3100) vs. Ryan Weathers: 7.34 points, 1.16 score
5. Adley Rutschman ($5000) vs. Griffin Canning: 8.76 points, 1.15 score
First Base
1. Christian Encarnacion-Strand ($4100) vs. Patrick Corbin: 9.51 points, 1.43 score
2. Shohei Ohtani ($6200) vs. Lance Lynn: 10.91 points, 1.33 score
3. Connor Joe ($3400) vs. Ryan Weathers: 8.6 points, 1.26 score
4. Freddie Freeman ($5800) vs. Lance Lynn: 9.78 points, 1.22 score
5. Spencer Steer ($4900) vs. Patrick Corbin: 9.19 points, 1.19 score
Second Base
1. Jonathan India ($3900) vs. Patrick Corbin: 9.39 points, 1.38 score
2. Nolan Gorman ($4100) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 9.44 points, 1.36 score
3. Mookie Betts ($6300) vs. Lance Lynn: 10.43 points, 1.29 score
4. Edouard Julien ($3200) vs. Seth Lugo: 8.35 points, 1.26 score
5. Jorge Polanco ($4300) vs. Kutter Crawford: 8.64 points, 1.22 score
Third Base
1. Christian Encarnacion-Strand ($4100) vs. Patrick Corbin: 9.51 points, 1.43 score
2. Christopher Morel ($4400) vs. Cody Bradford: 9.95 points, 1.4 score
3. Jorge Polanco ($4300) vs. Kutter Crawford: 8.64 points, 1.22 score
4. Jake Burger ($4000) vs. Jared Jones: 8.42 points, 1.2 score
5. Rafael Devers ($5400) vs. Logan Gilbert: 9.72 points, 1.19 score
Shortstop
1. Mookie Betts ($6300) vs. Lance Lynn: 10.43 points, 1.29 score
2. C.J. Abrams ($4800) vs. Hunter Greene: 9.93 points, 1.29 score
3. Corey Seager ($6100) vs. Kyle Hendricks: 10.02 points, 1.27 score
4. Elly De La Cruz ($5700) vs. Patrick Corbin: 9.05 points, 1.22 score
5. Braden Shewmake ($2000) vs. Kenta Maeda: 7.05 points, 1.18 score
Outfield
1. Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6500) vs. Aaron Nola: 12.4 points, 1.5 score
2. Christopher Morel ($4400) vs. Cody Bradford: 9.95 points, 1.4 score
3. Seiya Suzuki ($4200) vs. Cody Bradford: 9.6 points, 1.38 score
4. Aaron Judge ($6000) vs. Hunter Brown: 10.41 points, 1.34 score
5. Shohei Ohtani ($6200) vs. Lance Lynn: 10.91 points, 1.33 score
6. Parker Meadows ($3400) vs. Mike Soroka: 8.82 points, 1.27 score
7. Michael Harris II ($4000) vs. Aaron Nola: 9.23 points, 1.26 score
8. Victor Scott II ($2000) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 7.48 points, 1.26 score
9. Brendan Donovan ($3500) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 8.82 points, 1.26 score
10. Connor Joe ($3400) vs. Ryan Weathers: 8.6 points, 1.26 score
11. Juan Soto ($5900) vs. Hunter Brown: 10.13 points, 1.24 score
12. Julio Rodriguez ($5900) vs. Kutter Crawford: 9.7 points, 1.22 score
13. Edward Olivares ($3200) vs. Ryan Weathers: 8.56 points, 1.22 score
14. Max Kepler ($3700) vs. Seth Lugo: 8.75 points, 1.21 score
15. Jose Siri ($3900) vs. Yusei Kikuchi: 8.77 points, 1.21 score
Team-by-Team Previews
MIL @ NYM
Projected Game Score:
MIL 4.5 - NYM 3.62
MIL 55.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 8.12
2023-2024 Pitcher Stats
DL Hall: 0 GS, 371 Pitches, 28.4 K%, 6.2 BB%, 15.1 SwStr%, 51.2 Strike%, 34.5 Ball%, 50.9 GB%, 8 Brl%
Luis Severino: 18 GS, 1636 Pitches, 19.0 K%, 7.9 BB%, 10.7 SwStr%, 48.2 Strike%, 33.6 Ball%, 43.3 GB%, 10 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
DL Hall (MIL): 85 Pitches 4.83 IP, 4.3 H, 2.1 ER, 4.8 K, 1.5 BB, 13.32 FPts
Luis Severino (NYM): 82 Pitches 4.73 IP, 4.6 H, 2.3 ER, 4.3 K, 1.9 BB, 11.32 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
DL Hall - 4.5 strikeouts
Luis Severino - 5.5 strikeouts
MIL Hitter Projections
1. Sal Frelick: 4.47 PA, 1.1 H, 1.55 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.2 SB, 8.31 FPts
2. William Contreras: 4.42 PA, 1.03 H, 1.82 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.49 FPts
3. Christian Yelich: 4.27 PA, 1.02 H, 1.6 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.85 FPts
4. Willy Adames: 4.17 PA, 0.88 H, 1.61 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.71 FPts
5. Jake Bauers: 3.8 PA, 0.7 H, 1.27 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.71 FPts
6. Rhys Hoskins: 4.01 PA, 0.84 H, 1.59 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.66 FPts
7. Oliver Dunn: 3.9 PA, 0.75 H, 1.27 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.24 FPts
8. Brice Turang: 3.61 PA, 0.8 H, 1.16 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.21 SB, 6.67 FPts
9. Jackson Chourio: 3.54 PA, 0.82 H, 1.37 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.72 FPts
NYM Hitter Projections
1. Brandon Nimmo: 4.37 PA, 0.97 H, 1.53 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.13 FPts
2. Francisco Lindor: 4.28 PA, 0.97 H, 1.7 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.12 FPts
3. Pete Alonso: 4.2 PA, 0.88 H, 1.75 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.77 FPts
4. Tyrone Taylor: 3.97 PA, 0.81 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.15 FPts
5. Starling Marte: 3.95 PA, 0.93 H, 1.32 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.18 SB, 6.7 FPts
6. Jeff McNeil: 3.9 PA, 0.96 H, 1.24 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.8 FPts
7. Francisco Alvarez: 3.74 PA, 0.73 H, 1.43 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.3 FPts
8. Zack Short: 3.41 PA, 0.57 H, 1.0 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.06 FPts
9. Harrison Bader: 3.34 PA, 0.76 H, 1.19 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.16 SB, 5.84 FPts
Best Bets
Luis Severino NYM - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (-120) - 0.197 value
Jackson Chourio MIL - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+200) - 0.13 value
Sal Frelick MIL - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+145) - 0.109 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Oliver Dunn (MIL) 2B $2100: 7.24 Proj, 1.2 Score
William Contreras (MIL) C $4700: 8.49 Proj, 1.13 Score
Francisco Lindor (NYM) SS $5100: 8.12 Proj, 1.11 Score
Sal Frelick (MIL) OF $3800: 8.31 Proj, 1.1 Score
Christian Yelich (MIL) OF $4900: 8.85 Proj, 1.1 Score
DET @ CWS
Projected Game Score:
DET 4.68 - CWS 3.78
DET 55.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.46
2023-2024 Pitcher Stats
Kenta Maeda: 20 GS, 1700 Pitches, 27.3 K%, 6.5 BB%, 13.7 SwStr%, 47.9 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%, 33.6 GB%, 8 Brl%
Michael Soroka: 6 GS, 537 Pitches, 20.0 K%, 8.3 BB%, 10.6 SwStr%, 43.2 Strike%, 38.2 Ball%, 46.0 GB%, 11 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Kenta Maeda (DET): 83 Pitches 4.97 IP, 4.8 H, 2.3 ER, 4.7 K, 1.5 BB, 12.84 FPts
Mike Soroka (CWS): 79 Pitches 5.15 IP, 5.3 H, 2.8 ER, 4.8 K, 1.8 BB, 11.65 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Kenta Maeda - 5.5 strikeouts
Mike Soroka - Prop Not Found
DET Hitter Projections
1. Parker Meadows: 4.49 PA, 0.95 H, 1.68 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.82 FPts
2. Spencer Torkelson: 4.37 PA, 1.03 H, 2.13 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.03 SB, 9.39 FPts
3. Riley Greene: 4.25 PA, 1.09 H, 1.83 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.59 FPts
4. Kerry Carpenter: 4.07 PA, 1.07 H, 1.95 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.74 FPts
5. Mark Canha: 4.02 PA, 0.88 H, 1.37 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.0 FPts
6. Colt Keith: 3.98 PA, 0.87 H, 1.48 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.74 FPts
7. Carson Kelly: 3.63 PA, 0.75 H, 1.19 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.59 FPts
8. Javier Baez: 3.65 PA, 0.83 H, 1.31 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.93 FPts
9. Zach McKinstry: 3.34 PA, 0.69 H, 1.23 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.11 FPts
CWS Hitter Projections
1. Andrew Benintendi: 4.45 PA, 1.06 H, 1.42 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.92 FPts
2. Yoan Moncada: 4.3 PA, 0.98 H, 1.61 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.97 FPts
3. Luis Robert: 4.18 PA, 1.04 H, 2.04 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.62 FPts
4. Eloy Jimenez: 4.17 PA, 0.99 H, 1.72 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.36 FPts
5. Andrew Vaughn: 4.07 PA, 0.95 H, 1.6 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.68 FPts
6. Dominic Fletcher: 3.9 PA, 0.92 H, 1.56 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.74 FPts
7. Braden Shewmake: 3.88 PA, 0.86 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.2 SB, 7.05 FPts
8. Nicky Lopez: 3.58 PA, 0.84 H, 1.08 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.74 FPts
9. Martin Maldonado: 3.34 PA, 0.55 H, 0.99 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.48 FPts
Best Bets
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Parker Meadows (DET) OF $3400: 8.82 Proj, 1.27 Score
Braden Shewmake (CWS) SS $2000: 7.05 Proj, 1.18 Score
Kerry Carpenter (DET) OF $3900: 8.74 Proj, 1.16 Score
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 1B $5000: 9.39 Proj, 1.09 Score
Luis Robert (CWS) OF $5300: 8.62 Proj, 1.09 Score
LAA @ BAL
Projected Game Score:
BAL 4.5 - LAA 4.39
BAL 50.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.89
2023-2024 Pitcher Stats
Griffin Canning: 22 GS, 2177 Pitches, 26.0 K%, 6.5 BB%, 14.1 SwStr%, 48.8 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%, 43.0 GB%, 10 Brl%
Grayson Rodriguez: 23 GS, 2104 Pitches, 25.0 K%, 8.2 BB%, 13.3 SwStr%, 49.7 Strike%, 34.1 Ball%, 46.9 GB%, 7 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Griffin Canning (LAA): 91 Pitches 5.46 IP, 5.2 H, 2.7 ER, 5.2 K, 2.2 BB, 13.26 FPts
Grayson Rodriguez (BAL): 80 Pitches 4.83 IP, 4.3 H, 2.3 ER, 4.8 K, 2.2 BB, 12.67 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Griffin Canning - 5.5 strikeouts
Grayson Rodriguez - 6.5 strikeouts
LAA Hitter Projections
1. Anthony Rendon: 4.43 PA, 0.88 H, 1.28 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.98 FPts
2. Aaron Hicks: 4.31 PA, 0.79 H, 1.14 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.89 FPts
3. Mike Trout: 4.29 PA, 0.98 H, 1.83 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.57 FPts
4. Taylor Ward: 4.24 PA, 0.92 H, 1.44 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.19 FPts
5. Brandon Drury: 4.09 PA, 0.97 H, 1.69 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.25 FPts
6. Nolan Schanuel: 3.93 PA, 0.87 H, 1.36 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.91 FPts
7. Miguel Sano: 3.93 PA, 0.64 H, 1.24 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.54 FPts
8. Logan O'Hoppe: 3.77 PA, 0.89 H, 1.75 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.45 FPts
9. Zach Neto: 3.48 PA, 0.78 H, 1.35 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.24 FPts
BAL Hitter Projections
1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.46 PA, 1.03 H, 1.9 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.07 SB, 9.01 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.41 PA, 1.05 H, 1.78 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.76 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.31 PA, 0.99 H, 1.87 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.4 FPts
4. Ryan Mountcastle: 4.14 PA, 0.95 H, 1.63 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.41 FPts
5. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.9 PA, 0.99 H, 1.6 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.91 FPts
6. Austin Hays: 3.94 PA, 0.91 H, 1.53 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.68 FPts
7. Cedric Mullins II: 3.86 PA, 0.86 H, 1.35 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.09 FPts
8. Jordan Westburg: 3.58 PA, 0.83 H, 1.34 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.29 FPts
9. Ramon Urias: 3.46 PA, 0.75 H, 1.12 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.11 FPts
Best Bets
Grayson Rodriguez BAL - Strikeouts Under 6.5 (-155) - 0.177 value
Nolan Schanuel LAA - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+140) - 0.121 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 3B/SS $5300: 9.01 Proj, 1.16 Score
Adley Rutschman (BAL) C $5000: 8.76 Proj, 1.15 Score
Miguel Sano (LAA) 3B/OF $2000: 6.54 Proj, 1.13 Score
Anthony Santander (BAL) OF $4500: 8.4 Proj, 1.13 Score
Cedric Mullins II (BAL) OF $3800: 7.09 Proj, 1.05 Score
ATL @ PHI
Projected Game Score:
ATL 5.96 - PHI 3.54
ATL 62.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 9.5
2023-2024 Pitcher Stats
Max Fried: 14 GS, 1244 Pitches, 25.7 K%, 5.8 BB%, 12.6 SwStr%, 46.2 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%, 59.2 GB%, 4 Brl%
Aaron Nola: 32 GS, 3087 Pitches, 25.2 K%, 5.7 BB%, 12.8 SwStr%, 49.6 Strike%, 32.8 Ball%, 43.1 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Max Fried (ATL): 87 Pitches 5.45 IP, 5.3 H, 2.4 ER, 5.7 K, 1.3 BB, 15.68 FPts
Aaron Nola (PHI): 87 Pitches 5.31 IP, 5.7 H, 2.9 ER, 5.7 K, 1.3 BB, 13.91 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Max Fried - 5.5 strikeouts
Aaron Nola - 5.5 strikeouts
ATL Hitter Projections
1. Ronald Acuna Jr.: 4.47 PA, 1.31 H, 2.47 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.27 SB, 12.4 FPts
2. Ozzie Albies: 4.38 PA, 1.12 H, 2.05 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.07 SB, 9.17 FPts
3. Austin Riley: 4.29 PA, 1.06 H, 1.95 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.7 FPts
4. Matt Olson: 4.18 PA, 0.98 H, 2.04 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.6 FPts
5. Marcell Ozuna: 4.06 PA, 0.99 H, 2.03 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.68 FPts
6. Michael Harris II: 3.97 PA, 1.17 H, 2.06 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.13 SB, 9.23 FPts
7. Travis d'Arnaud: 3.85 PA, 0.87 H, 1.53 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.49 FPts
8. Orlando Arcia: 3.73 PA, 0.84 H, 1.49 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.61 FPts
9. Jarred Kelenic: 3.45 PA, 0.77 H, 1.45 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.2 FPts
PHI Hitter Projections
1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.36 PA, 0.73 H, 1.48 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.99 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.23 PA, 1.05 H, 1.7 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.71 FPts
3. Alec Bohm: 4.16 PA, 1.0 H, 1.52 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.46 FPts
4. Bryce Harper: 4.01 PA, 0.9 H, 1.57 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.43 FPts
5. Nick Castellanos: 3.95 PA, 0.93 H, 1.58 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.6 FPts
6. J.T. Realmuto: 3.84 PA, 0.87 H, 1.52 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.64 FPts
7. Whit Merrifield: 3.68 PA, 0.84 H, 1.16 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.53 FPts
8. Bryson Stott: 3.61 PA, 0.86 H, 1.25 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.01 FPts
9. Johan Rojas: 3.35 PA, 0.74 H, 1.03 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.19 SB, 5.42 FPts
Best Bets
Max Fried ATL - Walks Under 1.5 (+125) - 0.179 value
Austin Riley ATL - Hitter K Under 1.5 (-125) - 0.114 value
Orlando Arcia ATL - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+205) - 0.104 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) OF $6500: 12.4 Proj, 1.5 Score
Michael Harris II (ATL) OF $4000: 9.23 Proj, 1.26 Score
Matt Olson (ATL) 1B $5900: 9.6 Proj, 1.15 Score
Ozzie Albies (ATL) 2B $5200: 9.17 Proj, 1.11 Score
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) OF $4600: 8.68 Proj, 1.1 Score
CLE @ OAK
Projected Game Score:
CLE 3.68 - OAK 3.44
CLE 51.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 7.12
2023-2024 Pitcher Stats
Tanner Bibee: 25 GS, 2326 Pitches, 24.1 K%, 7.7 BB%, 12.4 SwStr%, 46.6 Strike%, 36.5 Ball%, 37.3 GB%, 6 Brl%
JP Sears: 32 GS, 2867 Pitches, 22.0 K%, 7.0 BB%, 12.7 SwStr%, 47.7 Strike%, 34.7 Ball%, 30.5 GB%, 11 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Tanner Bibee (CLE): 83 Pitches 5.54 IP, 4.0 H, 2.3 ER, 6.5 K, 2.6 BB, 17.78 FPts
JP Sears (OAK): 88 Pitches 5.85 IP, 6.0 H, 2.8 ER, 4.4 K, 1.5 BB, 12.29 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Tanner Bibee - 6.5 strikeouts
JP Sears - 4.5 strikeouts
CLE Hitter Projections
1. Steven Kwan: 4.39 PA, 1.04 H, 1.31 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.8 FPts
2. Jose Ramirez: 4.27 PA, 1.13 H, 1.98 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.86 FPts
3. Ramon Laureano: 4.07 PA, 0.88 H, 1.51 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.24 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.09 PA, 1.02 H, 1.66 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.5 FPts
5. David Fry: 3.71 PA, 0.86 H, 1.57 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.5 FPts
6. Tyler Freeman: 3.65 PA, 0.88 H, 1.29 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.46 FPts
7. Andres Gimenez: 3.75 PA, 0.89 H, 1.41 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.7 FPts
8. Austin Hedges: 3.27 PA, 0.6 H, 0.76 TB, 0.01 HR, 0.02 SB, 3.8 FPts
9. Brayan Rocchio: 3.43 PA, 0.74 H, 1.18 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.65 FPts
OAK Hitter Projections
1. Ryan Noda: 4.2 PA, 0.73 H, 1.31 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.36 FPts
2. Zack Gelof: 4.23 PA, 0.91 H, 1.62 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.72 FPts
3. JJ Bleday: 3.94 PA, 0.63 H, 1.06 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.22 FPts
4. Brent Rooker: 3.9 PA, 0.74 H, 1.39 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.57 FPts
5. Seth Brown: 3.7 PA, 0.77 H, 1.39 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.28 FPts
6. J.D. Davis: 3.75 PA, 0.79 H, 1.3 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.96 FPts
7. Shea Langeliers: 3.72 PA, 0.7 H, 1.31 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.56 FPts
8. Lawrence Butler: 3.38 PA, 0.68 H, 1.14 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.9 FPts
9. Nick Allen: 3.31 PA, 0.66 H, 0.86 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.11 SB, 4.36 FPts
Best Bets
Brayan Rocchio CLE - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+190) - 0.147 value
Tanner Bibee CLE - Walks Over 1.5 (-165) - 0.113 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $5900: 8.86 Proj, 1.12 Score
David Fry (CLE) C $2100: 6.5 Proj, 1.05 Score
Tyler Freeman (CLE) 3B/OF $2400: 6.46 Proj, 1.0 Score
Ramon Laureano (CLE) OF $3700: 7.24 Proj, 1.0 Score
Josh Naylor (CLE) 1B $4600: 7.5 Proj, 0.98 Score
MIN @ KC
Projected Game Score:
MIN 4.78 - KC 3.74
MIN 56.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.52
2023-2024 Pitcher Stats
Seth Lugo: 26 GS, 2377 Pitches, 23.2 K%, 6.0 BB%, 10.1 SwStr%, 47.2 Strike%, 35.0 Ball%, 45.4 GB%, 10 Brl%
Joe Ryan: 29 GS, 2683 Pitches, 29.2 K%, 5.1 BB%, 14.8 SwStr%, 52.6 Strike%, 31.2 Ball%, 33.1 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Seth Lugo (KC): 91 Pitches 5.67 IP, 5.6 H, 2.9 ER, 5.9 K, 1.8 BB, 14.7 FPts
Joe Ryan (MIN): 88 Pitches 5.18 IP, 5.2 H, 2.5 ER, 5.0 K, 1.0 BB, 13.78 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Seth Lugo - 4.5 strikeouts
Joe Ryan - 5.5 strikeouts
MIN Hitter Projections
1. Edouard Julien: 4.3 PA, 0.93 H, 1.72 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.35 FPts
2. Byron Buxton: 4.38 PA, 0.92 H, 1.89 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.41 FPts
3. Max Kepler: 4.2 PA, 1.05 H, 1.99 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.75 FPts
4. Carlos Correa: 4.18 PA, 0.98 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.21 FPts
5. Carlos Santana: 4.14 PA, 0.87 H, 1.45 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.81 FPts
6. Matt Wallner: 3.76 PA, 0.77 H, 1.61 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.06 FPts
7. Ryan Jeffers: 3.91 PA, 0.9 H, 1.64 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.13 FPts
8. Alex Kirilloff: 3.59 PA, 0.94 H, 1.57 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.73 FPts
9. Willi Castro: 3.55 PA, 0.78 H, 1.28 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.45 FPts
KC Hitter Projections
1. Maikel Garcia: 4.34 PA, 1.01 H, 1.51 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.23 FPts
2. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.26 PA, 1.14 H, 2.21 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.84 FPts
3. Vinnie Pasquantino: 4.15 PA, 1.05 H, 1.78 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.97 FPts
4. Salvador Perez: 4.01 PA, 0.95 H, 1.69 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.6 FPts
5. MJ Melendez: 3.95 PA, 0.79 H, 1.48 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.72 FPts
6. Hunter Renfroe: 3.86 PA, 0.74 H, 1.22 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.22 FPts
7. Adam Frazier: 3.49 PA, 0.8 H, 1.11 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.22 FPts
8. Nick Loftin: 3.64 PA, 0.81 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.81 FPts
9. Kyle Isbel: 3.3 PA, 0.69 H, 1.11 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.01 FPts
Best Bets
Adam Frazier KC - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+105) - 0.107 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Edouard Julien (MIN) 2B $3200: 8.35 Proj, 1.26 Score
Max Kepler (MIN) OF $3700: 8.75 Proj, 1.21 Score
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) SS $6300: 9.84 Proj, 1.15 Score
Byron Buxton (MIN) OF $4700: 8.41 Proj, 1.14 Score
Matt Wallner (MIN) OF $2900: 7.06 Proj, 1.08 Score
WSH @ CIN
Projected Game Score:
CIN 5.5 - WSH 4.66
CIN 54.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 10.0
Projected Total: 10.16
2023-2024 Pitcher Stats
Hunter Greene: 21 GS, 2089 Pitches, 30.6 K%, 9.5 BB%, 15.1 SwStr%, 49.8 Strike%, 36.3 Ball%, 35.9 GB%, 9 Brl%
Patrick Corbin: 32 GS, 2922 Pitches, 15.7 K%, 7.2 BB%, 9.7 SwStr%, 40.8 Strike%, 38.5 Ball%, 45.3 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Hunter Greene (CIN): 92 Pitches 5.92 IP, 4.8 H, 2.7 ER, 7.1 K, 2.4 BB, 18.34 FPts
Patrick Corbin (WSH): 84 Pitches 4.95 IP, 5.9 H, 3.0 ER, 4.2 K, 1.7 BB, 9.42 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Hunter Greene - 6.5 strikeouts
Patrick Corbin - 4.5 strikeouts
WSH Hitter Projections
1. C.J. Abrams: 4.6 PA, 1.09 H, 2.02 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.26 SB, 9.93 FPts
2. Lane Thomas: 4.51 PA, 0.98 H, 1.91 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.84 FPts
3. Jesse Winker: 4.1 PA, 0.68 H, 0.98 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.4 FPts
4. Joey Meneses: 4.33 PA, 1.0 H, 1.65 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.36 FPts
5. Joey Gallo: 3.88 PA, 0.44 H, 1.11 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.38 FPts
6. Keibert Ruiz: 4.1 PA, 1.02 H, 1.81 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.75 FPts
7. Eddie Rosario: 3.76 PA, 0.83 H, 1.64 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.21 FPts
8. Ildemaro Vargas: 3.86 PA, 0.89 H, 1.33 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.36 FPts
9. Luis Garcia: 3.59 PA, 0.88 H, 1.47 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.52 FPts
CIN Hitter Projections
1. Jonathan India: 4.35 PA, 1.1 H, 1.93 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.11 SB, 9.39 FPts
2. Spencer Steer: 4.33 PA, 1.07 H, 1.83 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.1 SB, 9.19 FPts
3. Christian Encarnacion-Strand: 4.18 PA, 1.19 H, 2.21 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.03 SB, 9.51 FPts
4. Jeimer Candelario: 4.1 PA, 1.03 H, 1.92 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.7 FPts
5. Santiago Espinal: 3.66 PA, 0.97 H, 1.28 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.38 FPts
6. Elly De La Cruz: 3.92 PA, 0.98 H, 1.76 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.24 SB, 9.05 FPts
7. Stuart Fairchild: 3.46 PA, 0.82 H, 1.51 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.47 FPts
8. Luke Maile: 3.4 PA, 0.89 H, 1.69 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.67 FPts
9. Will Benson: 3.25 PA, 0.75 H, 1.29 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.19 SB, 7.22 FPts
Best Bets
Jonathan India CIN - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+190) - 0.1 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) 1B/3B $4100: 9.51 Proj, 1.43 Score
Jonathan India (CIN) 2B $3900: 9.39 Proj, 1.38 Score
Luke Maile (CIN) C $2400: 7.67 Proj, 1.35 Score
C.J. Abrams (WSH) SS $4800: 9.93 Proj, 1.29 Score
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) SS $5700: 9.05 Proj, 1.22 Score
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