MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

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MLB Data Warehouse
MLB Data Warehouse
MLB DW Slate Preview - May 16

MLB DW Slate Preview - May 16

My rundown of today's MLB slate, including full projections and analysis for each game

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Jon A
May 16, 2025
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MLB Data Warehouse
MLB Data Warehouse
MLB DW Slate Preview - May 16
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Main Slate Preview

Pitchers - Expensive Targets

MacKenzie Gore ($8,600) vs. Orioles

There is some rain in the forecast for this one, so we’ll have to keep an eye on that. But Gore is the model’s top projected pitcher tonight.

He has been extremely, extremely good this year with a 35% K%, a 7.5% BB%, and a 1.86 WHIP+. DraftKings scoring heavily favors strikeouts. Gore leads the league in strikeouts and is third among qualified SP in strikeout rate (Ragans & Gilbert).

As if that wasn’t enough, there’s also this:

Worst Team xwOBA vs. LHP

  1. Orioles .267

  2. Brewers .274

  3. Guardians .274

  4. Angels .283

  5. Twins .290

Check out the splits on these guys dating back to last year:

You can’t ask for a much better matchup for Gore. And the price on DraftKings is an absolute steal at $8,600. I’m not sure what’s going on there.

We just have to hope that the weather holds up. If it looks good, I’m going to have a ton of MacKKKKKKKKKKKenzie Gore.

We’re hitting the paywall now, but there is a ton more below. Become a paid subscriber today to get the rest of this slate preview along with the full projections and everything else I do here!

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