This will be the final regular season slate preview. I will do at least two next week since we’ll have four-game slates to start it off, but quickly, we’ll get down to just one or two games per day, and it will end.
I’m traveling this weekend, so I won’t have time tomorrow or Sunday. Hopefully, we can make this one count.
Carlos Rodon ($9,300) vs. Pirates: We need to be careful to only play pitchers that will get to a full pitch count tonight. That’s not a slam dunk for Rodon since the Yankees are heading to the playoffs with him as their #2 starter. However, Rodon’s first outing of the playoffs likely won’t come until next Saturday, so it would make sense that they’d let him have a normal start here. The Yankees are also playing for the #1 seed, so it’s not a completely meaningless game for them. My guess is 90 pitches for Rodon, which should work against this really bad Pirates lineup. He has a 19.6 projection, the highest on the slate other than deGrom, whose pitch count is really hard to guess at.
Nick Pivetta ($7,900) vs. Rays: The Red Sox are out of it, but I don’t see why they’d limit Pivetta here. They still have to cover at least 27 innings, so they’ll likely take whatever Pivetta can get them. He’s been frustrating this year, but this is a great matchup and he has huge potential with his 29% K% on the year.
Luis Castillo ($9,800) vs. Athletics: This is a must-win game for the Mariners, and they’ll face the Athletics, who might be coming off a bit of a high after that final game in the Coliseum. I’m not factoring that narrative into my mind either; the model likes him as the #4 SP - and the floor is higher with him since we know he won’t have any type of pitch count leash on him in a must-win situation.
Reid Detmers ($6,800) vs. Rangers: Haha
Jacob deGrom ($8,400): If you really just want to lock in a dozen points, I think you can do that with deGrom. He’s thrown 61 and 58 pitches in his two starts, so we’re probably looking at 60-70 pitches. He’s scored 14 and 12 points in those starts, and there’s upside for more here if he can push the pitch count up a notch and have that big strikeout game he’s capable of. He’s not a 25-point threat, so I don’t really want to use him, but on a slate full of uncertainty - it’s not a crazy play.
Dodgers vs. Cal Quantrill: The Dodgers waited until the final weekend of the season to get their nut matchup. They’re up against Quantrill here and projecting way, way ahead of the rest of the field. Freddie Freeman had an injury last night. He seems fine, but won’t play tonight - so keep that in mind.
Yankees vs. Jared Jones: I haven’t wanted to pick on Jones this year, but the command really hasn’t been there for him - and these are the Yankees at home. Jones is a fly-ball pitcher who relies on two pitches, so I doubt it will work very well against Soto and Judge if he doesn’t have his command back.
Diamondbacks vs. Martin Perez: This is a huge series for Arizona. I don’t think that motivation should really factor into our calculations here, but we do know that they won’t be pulling guys out of the lineup to rest them or anything like that. The spot against Perez is great, especially for the righties.
Twins vs. Cade Povich
Blue Jays vs. Adam Aller
Shohei Ohtani ($8,000) vs. Quantrill: This is the highest hitter price in DraftKings history, I think. Even with that price, Ohtani projects for the second-best value on the slate. He should probably be $8,500. I have him for 14.1 DraftKings points, and I believe that’s a new record for my model. I’m playing him!
Ketel Marte ($6,000) vs. Martin Perez: Righty Marte against left-handed pitching is one of the best hitters in the game. He sports a 1.053 OPS with a .430 xwOBA against lefties this year. That’s downright Judge-ian!
Jonatan Clase ($2,600) vs. Oller: Clase tore up the minor leagues, and let’s be honest - Oller isn’t much more than a minor league pitcher. He helps us get to Ohtani with this price at $2,600.
Manuel Margot ($2,600) vs. Povich: Another value here. Margot should lead off tonight against the hittable lefty. He has a .341 xwOBA against lefties this year, so this is a good spot.
Kyle Farmer ($2,500) vs. Povich: I don’t want to go Twins-crazy here, because Povich has been much better of late, and he also is a bit of a lefty-masher (.354 xwOBA).
This is all coming together very nicely. I love it when this happens. Here’s your lineup:
Here are your six prop bets of the night:
Cheers to our final full Friday night slate of the year!
LAD (vs. Cal Quantrill): 84.7 Projected Points
NYY (vs. Jared Jones): 75.02 Projected Points
TOR (vs. Adam Oller): 69.91 Projected Points
ARI (vs. Yu Darvish): 69.34 Projected Points
ATL (vs. Brady Singer): 69.28 Projected Points
LAA (vs. Jacob deGrom): 48.66 Projected Points
CWS (vs. Ty Madden): 53.77 Projected Points
DET (vs. Garrett Crochet): 54.36 Projected Points
KC (vs. Max Fried): 58.17 Projected Points
MIA (vs. Jose Berrios): 60.23 Projected Points
LAD: 84.7 Today, 68.66 Season Average
NYY: 75.02 Today, 67.85 Season Average
MIN: 69.06 Today, 62.46 Season Average
OAK: 63.46 Today, 58.49 Season Average
TOR: 69.91 Today, 65.32 Season Average
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Nathan Lukes: 8.12 Today, 7.63 Previous Max
Shohei Ohtani: 14.25 Today, 13.27 Previous Max
Jacob deGrom $8400 vs. LAA: 21.03 points
Carlos Rodon $9300 vs. PIT: 19.58 points
Nick Pivetta $7900 vs. TB: 17.66 points
Luis Castillo $9800 vs. OAK: 17.08 points
Max Fried $9400 vs. KC: 16.14 points
Ben Casparius $4000 vs. COL: 11.71 points, 2.93 value
Jacob deGrom $8400 vs. LAA: 21.03 points, 2.5 value
Reid Detmers $6800 vs. TEX: 16.03 points, 2.36 value
Nick Pivetta $7900 vs. TB: 17.66 points, 2.24 value
Carlos Rodon $9300 vs. PIT: 19.58 points, 2.11 value
1. Will Smith ($5500) vs. Cal Quantrill: 8.95 points, 1.25 score
2. Jonah Heim ($2700) vs. Reid Detmers: 7.24 points, 1.22 score
3. William Contreras ($5000) vs. Sean Manaea: 8.87 points, 1.13 score
4. Cal Raleigh ($4200) vs. JP Sears: 8.39 points, 1.12 score
5. Alejandro Kirk ($3300) vs. Adam Oller: 7.2 points, 1.09 score
1. Shohei Ohtani ($8000) vs. Cal Quantrill: 14.25 points, 1.81 score
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($5200) vs. Adam Oller: 9.48 points, 1.27 score
3. Spencer Horwitz ($3700) vs. Adam Oller: 8.5 points, 1.22 score
4. Carlos Santana ($3600) vs. Cade Povich: 8.15 points, 1.17 score
5. Pete Alonso ($4800) vs. Frankie Montas: 8.6 points, 1.14 score
1. Jordan Westburg ($4500) vs. Pablo Lopez: 8.87 points, 1.17 score
2. Ketel Marte ($6000) vs. Yu Darvish: 9.02 points, 1.16 score
3. Kyle Farmer ($2500) vs. Cade Povich: 7.08 points, 1.15 score
4. Marcus Semien ($4700) vs. Reid Detmers: 8.34 points, 1.12 score
5. Jonathan Aranda ($3200) vs. Nick Pivetta: 7.53 points, 1.12 score
1. Max Muncy ($5600) vs. Cal Quantrill: 9.65 points, 1.29 score
2. Royce Lewis ($4500) vs. Cade Povich: 8.51 points, 1.2 score
3. Jordan Westburg ($4500) vs. Pablo Lopez: 8.87 points, 1.17 score
4. Manny Machado ($5000) vs. Merrill Kelly: 8.21 points, 1.13 score
5. Matt Chapman ($4400) vs. Miles Mikolas: 8.2 points, 1.11 score
1. Gunnar Henderson ($6100) vs. Pablo Lopez: 10.14 points, 1.32 score
2. Francisco Lindor ($5600) vs. Frankie Montas: 9.85 points, 1.23 score
3. Bobby Witt Jr. ($6500) vs. Max Fried: 9.58 points, 1.17 score
4. Carlos Correa ($4700) vs. Cade Povich: 8.64 points, 1.1 score
5. Tommy Edman ($5000) vs. Cal Quantrill: 8.58 points, 1.08 score
1. Shohei Ohtani ($8000) vs. Cal Quantrill: 14.25 points, 1.81 score
2. Mookie Betts ($6800) vs. Cal Quantrill: 10.99 points, 1.42 score
3. Juan Soto ($6400) vs. Jared Jones: 11.39 points, 1.41 score
4. Aaron Judge ($7000) vs. Jared Jones: 11.69 points, 1.37 score
5. Jonatan Clase ($2600) vs. Adam Oller: 8.43 points, 1.36 score
6. Julio Rodriguez ($4500) vs. JP Sears: 9.2 points, 1.3 score
7. Byron Buxton ($4800) vs. Cade Povich: 9.24 points, 1.29 score
8. Corbin Carroll ($5400) vs. Yu Darvish: 9.8 points, 1.28 score
9. Michael Harris II ($4800) vs. Brady Singer: 9.54 points, 1.28 score
10. Wyatt Langford ($4200) vs. Reid Detmers: 8.98 points, 1.27 score
11. Manuel Margot ($2600) vs. Cade Povich: 7.77 points, 1.25 score
12. Andy Pages ($4100) vs. Cal Quantrill: 8.82 points, 1.24 score
13. Fernando Tatis Jr. ($5100) vs. Merrill Kelly: 9.26 points, 1.23 score
14. Teoscar Hernandez ($5700) vs. Cal Quantrill: 9.76 points, 1.22 score
15. Jackson Chourio ($4500) vs. Sean Manaea: 8.97 points, 1.22 score
CIN 4.58 - CHC 4.26
CIN 51.9% To Win
Vegas O/U: 6.5
Projected Total: 8.84
Jameson Taillon: 27 GS, 2394 Pitches, 18.9 K%, 4.8 BB%, 9.6 SwStr%, 45.9 Strike%, 33.5 Ball%, 40.3 GB%, 7 Brl%
Nick Martinez: 15 GS, 2030 Pitches, 20.8 K%, 3.3 BB%, 12.1 SwStr%, 47.4 Strike%, 32.6 Ball%, 37.2 GB%, 5 Brl%
Jameson Taillon (CHC): 89 Pitches 5.81 IP, 6.1 H, 2.8 ER, 4.9 K, 1.2 BB, 14.13 FPts
Nick Martinez (CIN): 89 Pitches 5.63 IP, 5.7 H, 2.5 ER, 4.9 K, 1.2 BB, 14.09 FPts
Jameson Taillon - 4.5 strikeouts
Nick Martinez - Prop Not Found
1. Jonathan India: 4.43 PA, 1.03 H, 1.7 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.3 FPts
2. Elly De La Cruz: 4.41 PA, 1.09 H, 2.02 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.3 SB, 10.41 FPts
3. Tyler Stephenson: 4.31 PA, 0.99 H, 1.62 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.23 FPts
4. Spencer Steer: 4.22 PA, 0.95 H, 1.63 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.2 FPts
5. TJ Friedl: 4.0 PA, 0.94 H, 1.43 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.16 FPts
6. Ty France: 3.96 PA, 0.97 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.82 FPts
7. Jake Fraley: 3.69 PA, 0.88 H, 1.37 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.94 FPts
8. Santiago Espinal: 3.73 PA, 0.92 H, 1.28 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.06 FPts
9. Noelvi Marte: 3.51 PA, 0.82 H, 1.31 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.05 FPts
1. Ian Happ: 4.57 PA, 1.04 H, 1.84 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.82 FPts
2. Dansby Swanson: 4.45 PA, 1.01 H, 1.67 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.7 FPts
3. Isaac Paredes: 4.4 PA, 0.94 H, 1.61 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.35 FPts
4. Cody Bellinger: 4.28 PA, 1.03 H, 1.66 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.66 FPts
5. Michael Busch: 3.97 PA, 0.85 H, 1.51 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.88 FPts
6. Nico Hoerner: 4.07 PA, 1.04 H, 1.41 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.09 FPts
7. Pete Crow-Armstrong: 3.86 PA, 0.9 H, 1.49 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.21 SB, 7.34 FPts
8. Miguel Amaya: 3.67 PA, 0.81 H, 1.28 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.58 FPts
9. Kevin Alcantara: 3.63 PA, 0.76 H, 1.17 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.52 FPts
Game not on slate
DET 3.18 - CWS 3.08
DET 50.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 6.26
Garrett Crochet: 31 GS, 2333 Pitches, 35.1 K%, 5.5 BB%, 17.7 SwStr%, 53.2 Strike%, 32.2 Ball%, 44.8 GB%, 9 Brl%
Ty Madden: 1 GS, 343 Pitches, 17.2 K%, 8.0 BB%, 12.0 SwStr%, 46.1 Strike%, 35.3 Ball%, 45.3 GB%, 8 Brl%
Garrett Crochet (CWS): 58 Pitches 3.69 IP, 3.0 H, 1.4 ER, 4.7 K, 1.1 BB, 13.24 FPts
Ty Madden (DET): 66 Pitches 4.11 IP, 3.6 H, 1.6 ER, 3.7 K, 1.2 BB, 11.74 FPts
Garrett Crochet - 5.5 strikeouts
Ty Madden - Prop Not Found
1. Nicky Lopez: 4.36 PA, 1.02 H, 1.36 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.42 FPts
2. Luis Robert: 4.32 PA, 0.96 H, 1.67 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.58 FPts
3. Andrew Benintendi: 4.2 PA, 0.99 H, 1.46 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.56 FPts
4. Andrew Vaughn: 4.18 PA, 0.96 H, 1.59 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.59 FPts
5. Gavin Sheets: 3.92 PA, 0.9 H, 1.44 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.3 FPts
6. Miguel Vargas: 3.74 PA, 0.67 H, 1.07 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.27 FPts
7. Dominic Fletcher: 3.68 PA, 0.86 H, 1.19 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.13 FPts
8. Korey Lee: 3.66 PA, 0.69 H, 1.11 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.06 SB, 4.75 FPts
9. Jacob Amaya: 3.52 PA, 0.74 H, 1.15 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.17 FPts
1. Andy Ibanez: 3.98 PA, 0.93 H, 1.43 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.12 FPts
2. Wenceel Perez: 4.19 PA, 0.92 H, 1.43 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.94 FPts
3. Riley Greene: 4.09 PA, 0.89 H, 1.51 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.98 FPts
4. Matt Vierling: 3.93 PA, 0.9 H, 1.43 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.39 FPts
5. Colt Keith: 3.75 PA, 0.9 H, 1.36 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.95 FPts
6. Spencer Torkelson: 3.78 PA, 0.74 H, 1.31 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.74 FPts
7. Trey Sweeney: 3.48 PA, 0.7 H, 1.13 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.42 FPts
8. Jake Rogers: 3.43 PA, 0.67 H, 1.26 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.33 FPts
9. Parker Meadows: 3.19 PA, 0.64 H, 1.08 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.49 FPts
Garrett Crochet CWS - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (+100) - 0.167 value
Matt Vierling DET - Hitter BB Under 0.5 (-170) - 0.111 value
Game not on slate
PHI 4.38 - WSH 3.62
PHI 54.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.0
Ranger Suarez: 26 GS, 2295 Pitches, 23.4 K%, 6.2 BB%, 10.5 SwStr%, 46.4 Strike%, 35.1 Ball%, 52.7 GB%, 5 Brl%
Trevor Williams: 12 GS, 987 Pitches, 22.3 K%, 6.6 BB%, 10.6 SwStr%, 45.2 Strike%, 37.4 Ball%, 43.6 GB%, 7 Brl%
Ranger Suarez (PHI): 93 Pitches 5.81 IP, 6.1 H, 2.6 ER, 4.2 K, 1.5 BB, 12.97 FPts
Trevor Williams (WSH): 81 Pitches 4.62 IP, 5.0 H, 2.4 ER, 3.8 K, 1.5 BB, 10.03 FPts
Ranger Suarez - 4.5 strikeouts
Trevor Williams - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.43 PA, 0.87 H, 1.79 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.7 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.3 PA, 1.09 H, 1.76 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.07 FPts
3. Bryce Harper: 4.22 PA, 1.01 H, 1.75 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.43 FPts
4. Alec Bohm: 4.13 PA, 1.02 H, 1.55 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.99 FPts
5. Nick Castellanos: 4.01 PA, 1.0 H, 1.67 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.25 FPts
6. Bryson Stott: 3.91 PA, 0.95 H, 1.39 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.17 FPts
7. J.T. Realmuto: 3.82 PA, 0.91 H, 1.58 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.83 FPts
8. Brandon Marsh: 3.65 PA, 0.8 H, 1.28 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.59 FPts
9. Austin Hays: 3.35 PA, 0.76 H, 1.25 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.4 FPts
1. Dylan Crews: 4.46 PA, 1.02 H, 1.6 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.21 SB, 8.2 FPts
2. James Wood: 4.33 PA, 1.07 H, 1.68 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.33 FPts
3. Juan Yepez: 4.2 PA, 0.98 H, 1.62 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.8 FPts
4. Jose Tena: 4.03 PA, 1.01 H, 1.5 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.1 FPts
5. Keibert Ruiz: 4.03 PA, 1.0 H, 1.46 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.09 FPts
6. Luis Garcia: 3.91 PA, 1.03 H, 1.52 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.76 FPts
7. Jacob Young: 3.78 PA, 0.91 H, 1.21 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.21 SB, 6.37 FPts
8. Trey Lipscomb: 3.52 PA, 0.77 H, 0.98 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.09 SB, 4.8 FPts
9. Nasim Nunez: 3.51 PA, 0.7 H, 1.01 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.21 SB, 6.08 FPts
Game not on slate
NYY 5.58 - PIT 3.82
NYY 59.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 9.4
Carlos Rodon: 31 GS, 3007 Pitches, 26.6 K%, 7.4 BB%, 14.8 SwStr%, 48.6 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%, 34.6 GB%, 10 Brl%
Jared Jones: 21 GS, 1827 Pitches, 25.8 K%, 7.6 BB%, 15.7 SwStr%, 49.7 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%, 39.4 GB%, 10 Brl%
Carlos Rodon (NYY): 92 Pitches 5.69 IP, 4.5 H, 2.3 ER, 7.0 K, 2.0 BB, 19.58 FPts
Jared Jones (PIT): 79 Pitches 4.84 IP, 4.3 H, 2.6 ER, 5.0 K, 2.5 BB, 12.39 FPts
Carlos Rodon - 6.5 strikeouts
Jared Jones - 5.5 strikeouts
1. Isiah Kiner-Falefa: 4.42 PA, 1.04 H, 1.48 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.87 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.4 PA, 1.0 H, 1.72 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.1 FPts
3. Joey Bart: 4.23 PA, 0.83 H, 1.46 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.63 FPts
4. Andrew McCutchen: 4.22 PA, 0.76 H, 1.37 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.29 FPts
5. Nick Gonzales: 4.13 PA, 0.96 H, 1.58 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.77 FPts
6. Bryan De La Cruz: 4.03 PA, 0.87 H, 1.47 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.3 FPts
7. Jared Triolo: 3.86 PA, 0.74 H, 1.14 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.98 FPts
8. Billy Cook: 3.78 PA, 0.76 H, 1.34 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.83 FPts
9. Liover Peguero: 3.58 PA, 0.71 H, 1.11 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.61 FPts
1. Gleyber Torres: 4.37 PA, 0.97 H, 1.53 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.88 FPts
2. Juan Soto: 4.28 PA, 0.96 H, 1.96 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.07 SB, 11.39 FPts
3. Aaron Judge: 4.18 PA, 0.97 H, 2.21 TB, 0.35 HR, 0.06 SB, 11.69 FPts
4. Austin Wells: 3.96 PA, 0.81 H, 1.49 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.8 FPts
5. Giancarlo Stanton: 4.0 PA, 0.8 H, 1.72 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.89 FPts
6. Jazz Chisholm: 3.83 PA, 0.87 H, 1.59 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.2 SB, 8.45 FPts
7. Jasson Dominguez: 3.79 PA, 0.79 H, 1.37 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.18 SB, 7.54 FPts
8. Anthony Rizzo: 3.65 PA, 0.74 H, 1.2 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.06 FPts
9. Anthony Volpe: 3.45 PA, 0.74 H, 1.18 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.32 FPts
Juan Soto (NYY) OF $6400: 11.39 Proj, 1.41 Score
Aaron Judge (NYY) OF $7000: 11.69 Proj, 1.37 Score
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 2B $4200: 7.88 Proj, 1.1 Score
Billy Cook (PIT) 1B/OF $2300: 6.83 Proj, 1.09 Score
Jazz Chisholm (NYY) 3B $5300: 8.45 Proj, 1.09 Score
TOR 4.92 - MIA 3.7
TOR 57.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.62
Jose Berrios: 30 GS, 2842 Pitches, 19.4 K%, 6.5 BB%, 10.0 SwStr%, 46.2 Strike%, 34.3 Ball%, 43.3 GB%, 8 Brl%
Adam Oller: 6 GS, 615 Pitches, 20.1 K%, 12.2 BB%, 9.8 SwStr%, 42.1 Strike%, 40.2 Ball%, 40.4 GB%, 8 Brl%
Jose Berrios (TOR): 90 Pitches 6.0 IP, 6.5 H, 2.9 ER, 5.6 K, 1.4 BB, 15.25 FPts
Adam Oller (MIA): 87 Pitches 5.63 IP, 5.7 H, 3.0 ER, 3.5 K, 2.8 BB, 9.24 FPts
Jose Berrios - 5.5 strikeouts
Adam Oller - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Xavier Edwards: 4.31 PA, 1.13 H, 1.52 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.25 SB, 8.21 FPts
2. Connor Norby: 4.16 PA, 1.0 H, 1.95 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.99 FPts
3. Jake Burger: 4.19 PA, 1.06 H, 1.98 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.01 FPts
4. Jesus Sanchez: 3.94 PA, 0.96 H, 1.67 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.55 FPts
5. Jonah Bride: 3.91 PA, 0.85 H, 1.29 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.08 FPts
6. Kyle Stowers: 3.74 PA, 0.84 H, 1.42 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.91 FPts
7. Derek Hill: 3.68 PA, 0.83 H, 1.25 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.61 FPts
8. Otto Lopez: 3.61 PA, 0.96 H, 1.43 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.45 FPts
9. Nick Fortes: 3.25 PA, 0.73 H, 1.06 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.42 FPts
1. George Springer: 4.44 PA, 1.0 H, 1.7 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.46 FPts
2. Nathan Lukes: 4.39 PA, 1.1 H, 1.69 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.12 FPts
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.26 PA, 1.12 H, 2.03 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.03 SB, 9.48 FPts
4. Spencer Horwitz: 4.19 PA, 1.02 H, 1.7 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.5 FPts
5. Alejandro Kirk: 4.08 PA, 0.97 H, 1.48 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.2 FPts
6. Addison Barger: 3.85 PA, 0.85 H, 1.52 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.14 FPts
7. Ernie Clement: 3.8 PA, 0.94 H, 1.38 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.33 FPts
8. Jonatan Clase: 3.74 PA, 0.82 H, 1.37 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.32 SB, 8.43 FPts
9. Leo Jimenez: 3.41 PA, 0.77 H, 1.31 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.25 FPts
Jonatan Clase (TOR) OF $2600: 8.43 Proj, 1.36 Score
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 1B $5200: 9.48 Proj, 1.27 Score
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 1B $3700: 8.5 Proj, 1.22 Score
George Springer (TOR) OF $4200: 8.46 Proj, 1.19 Score
Jake Burger (MIA) 1B $4200: 8.01 Proj, 1.12 Score
BOS 4.72 - TB 4.32
BOS 52.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 9.04
Nick Pivetta: 24 GS, 2287 Pitches, 29.1 K%, 6.0 BB%, 12.8 SwStr%, 50.3 Strike%, 33.6 Ball%, 32.8 GB%, 10 Brl%
Taj Bradley: 24 GS, 2223 Pitches, 26.3 K%, 8.3 BB%, 13.9 SwStr%, 48.3 Strike%, 35.5 Ball%, 41.4 GB%, 10 Brl%
Nick Pivetta (BOS): 86 Pitches 5.08 IP, 4.5 H, 2.3 ER, 6.5 K, 1.3 BB, 17.66 FPts
Taj Bradley (TB): 88 Pitches 5.21 IP, 5.1 H, 2.6 ER, 6.4 K, 1.6 BB, 16.12 FPts
Nick Pivetta - 5.5 strikeouts
Taj Bradley - 6.5 strikeouts
1. Yandy Diaz: 4.64 PA, 1.17 H, 1.82 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.95 FPts
2. Brandon Lowe: 4.48 PA, 0.98 H, 1.83 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.26 FPts
3. Junior Caminero: 4.51 PA, 0.99 H, 1.83 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.7 FPts
4. Jonathan Aranda: 4.32 PA, 0.91 H, 1.67 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.53 FPts
5. Jonny DeLuca: 4.19 PA, 0.87 H, 1.34 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.65 FPts
6. Josh Lowe: 3.96 PA, 0.87 H, 1.47 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.25 FPts
7. Christopher Morel: 4.01 PA, 0.8 H, 1.44 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.61 FPts
8. Logan Driscoll: 3.92 PA, 0.85 H, 1.35 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.97 FPts
9. Taylor Walls: 3.62 PA, 0.61 H, 0.94 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.17 SB, 5.7 FPts
1. Jarren Duran: 4.61 PA, 1.18 H, 2.01 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.19 SB, 9.74 FPts
2. Romy Gonzalez: 4.19 PA, 0.91 H, 1.47 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.95 FPts
3. Triston Casas: 4.38 PA, 0.93 H, 1.77 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.72 FPts
4. Tyler O'Neill: 4.31 PA, 0.89 H, 1.76 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.25 FPts
5. Masataka Yoshida: 4.14 PA, 1.13 H, 1.75 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.83 FPts
6. Trevor Story: 4.05 PA, 0.81 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.96 FPts
7. Wilyer Abreu: 3.66 PA, 0.84 H, 1.48 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.07 FPts
8. Connor Wong: 3.81 PA, 0.88 H, 1.37 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.11 FPts
9. Ceddanne Rafaela: 3.64 PA, 0.84 H, 1.39 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.32 FPts
Nick Pivetta BOS - Walks Under 1.5 (+100) - 0.12 value
Jarren Duran (BOS) OF $5300: 9.74 Proj, 1.19 Score
Jonathan Aranda (TB) 1B/2B $3200: 7.53 Proj, 1.12 Score
Triston Casas (BOS) 1B $4300: 8.72 Proj, 1.11 Score
Junior Caminero (TB) 3B $4200: 7.7 Proj, 1.09 Score
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) OF $5000: 8.25 Proj, 1.08 Score
HOU 3.94 - CLE 3.88
HOU 50.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 7.82
Ronel Blanco: 28 GS, 2665 Pitches, 24.6 K%, 10.0 BB%, 14.4 SwStr%, 47.8 Strike%, 36.1 Ball%, 38.9 GB%, 9 Brl%
Joey Cantillo: 7 GS, 618 Pitches, 25.9 K%, 9.1 BB%, 14.1 SwStr%, 45.8 Strike%, 39.2 Ball%, 47.3 GB%, 8 Brl%
Ronel Blanco (HOU): 89 Pitches 5.21 IP, 5.1 H, 2.6 ER, 3.9 K, 2.2 BB, 11.13 FPts
Joey Cantillo (CLE): 80 Pitches 4.64 IP, 4.9 H, 2.2 ER, 3.5 K, 1.4 BB, 10.24 FPts
Ronel Blanco - 4.5 strikeouts
Joey Cantillo - 4.5 strikeouts
1. Jose Altuve: 4.39 PA, 1.07 H, 1.73 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.08 FPts
2. Alex Bregman: 4.29 PA, 1.0 H, 1.65 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.4 FPts
3. Kyle Tucker: 4.22 PA, 0.97 H, 1.77 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.13 SB, 9.02 FPts
4. Yainer Diaz: 4.15 PA, 1.09 H, 1.8 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.31 FPts
5. Jeremy Pena: 4.03 PA, 0.98 H, 1.51 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.78 FPts
6. Victor Caratini: 3.87 PA, 0.83 H, 1.27 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.72 FPts
7. Jake Meyers: 3.76 PA, 0.8 H, 1.33 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.08 FPts
8. Shay Whitcomb: 3.71 PA, 0.79 H, 1.36 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.51 FPts
9. Mauricio Dubon: 3.36 PA, 0.8 H, 1.2 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.18 FPts
1. Steven Kwan: 4.31 PA, 1.03 H, 1.46 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.56 FPts
2. Kyle Manzardo: 4.04 PA, 0.76 H, 1.42 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.56 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.17 PA, 0.98 H, 1.75 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.05 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.12 PA, 0.98 H, 1.73 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.96 FPts
5. Lane Thomas: 3.99 PA, 0.83 H, 1.47 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.16 FPts
6. Andres Gimenez: 3.9 PA, 0.93 H, 1.42 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.83 FPts
7. Will Brennan: 3.51 PA, 0.87 H, 1.29 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.91 FPts
8. Bo Naylor: 3.5 PA, 0.63 H, 1.11 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.44 FPts
9. Brayan Rocchio: 3.36 PA, 0.63 H, 0.97 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.33 FPts
Ronel Blanco HOU - Strikeouts Under 4.5 (+130) - 0.208 value
Joey Cantillo CLE - Strikeouts Under 4.5 (-146) - 0.14 value
Kyle Tucker (HOU) OF $5900: 9.02 Proj, 1.13 Score
Josh Naylor (CLE) 1B $4400: 7.96 Proj, 1.11 Score
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $6600: 9.05 Proj, 1.07 Score
Kyle Manzardo (CLE) 1B $2400: 6.56 Proj, 1.07 Score
Lane Thomas (CLE) OF $4100: 7.16 Proj, 1.03 Score
ATL 4.88 - KC 3.5
ATL 58.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 8.38
Max Fried: 28 GS, 2664 Pitches, 23.0 K%, 7.9 BB%, 11.1 SwStr%, 46.1 Strike%, 36.5 Ball%, 59.5 GB%, 5 Brl%
Brady Singer: 31 GS, 2869 Pitches, 22.2 K%, 6.9 BB%, 11.1 SwStr%, 45.0 Strike%, 37.2 Ball%, 48.0 GB%, 8 Brl%
Max Fried (ATL): 93 Pitches 5.91 IP, 5.8 H, 2.6 ER, 5.5 K, 1.6 BB, 16.14 FPts
Brady Singer (KC): 88 Pitches 5.32 IP, 5.7 H, 2.8 ER, 5.0 K, 1.5 BB, 12.89 FPts
Max Fried - 5.5 strikeouts
Brady Singer - 4.5 strikeouts
1. Tommy Pham: 4.37 PA, 0.96 H, 1.51 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.2 FPts
2. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.29 PA, 1.18 H, 2.1 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.19 SB, 9.58 FPts
3. Salvador Perez: 4.18 PA, 0.99 H, 1.75 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.13 FPts
4. Yuli Gurriel: 4.1 PA, 0.96 H, 1.29 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.25 FPts
5. Freddy Fermin: 3.97 PA, 0.97 H, 1.43 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.2 FPts
6. Hunter Renfroe: 3.79 PA, 0.79 H, 1.28 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.63 FPts
7. Maikel Garcia: 3.71 PA, 0.92 H, 1.35 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.6 FPts
8. Paul DeJong: 3.56 PA, 0.66 H, 1.14 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.91 FPts
9. Garrett Hampson: 3.01 PA, 0.62 H, 0.91 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.09 SB, 4.67 FPts
1. Michael Harris II: 4.42 PA, 1.28 H, 2.18 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.12 SB, 9.54 FPts
2. Ozzie Albies: 4.38 PA, 1.09 H, 1.78 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.24 FPts
3. Marcell Ozuna: 4.27 PA, 1.1 H, 2.12 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.33 FPts
4. Matt Olson: 4.18 PA, 0.97 H, 1.88 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.95 FPts
5. Jorge Soler: 3.99 PA, 0.86 H, 1.66 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.82 FPts
6. Ramon Laureano: 3.8 PA, 0.88 H, 1.56 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.05 FPts
7. Travis d'Arnaud: 3.8 PA, 0.88 H, 1.58 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.73 FPts
8. Gio Urshela: 3.71 PA, 0.95 H, 1.38 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.08 FPts
9. Orlando Arcia: 3.49 PA, 0.77 H, 1.24 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.54 FPts
Michael Harris II ATL - Hitter BB Under 0.5 (-255) - 0.101 value
Michael Harris II (ATL) OF $4800: 9.54 Proj, 1.28 Score
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) SS $6500: 9.58 Proj, 1.17 Score
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) OF $5400: 9.33 Proj, 1.13 Score
Ozzie Albies (ATL) 2B $4600: 8.24 Proj, 1.1 Score
Matt Olson (ATL) 1B $5300: 8.95 Proj, 1.07 Score
LAD 7.1 - COL 4.64
LAD 60.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 11.5
Projected Total: 11.74
Ben Casparius: 0 GS, 71 Pitches, 31.2 K%, 12.5 BB%, 14.1 SwStr%, 54.9 Strike%, 32.4 Ball%, 33.3 GB%, 0 Brl%
Cal Quantrill: 28 GS, 2570 Pitches, 17.1 K%, 10.5 BB%, 10.1 SwStr%, 43.6 Strike%, 38.9 Ball%, 43.6 GB%, 7 Brl%
Ben Casparius (LAD): 65 Pitches 4.15 IP, 3.5 H, 2.0 ER, 4.1 K, 1.8 BB, 11.71 FPts
Cal Quantrill (COL): 85 Pitches 5.09 IP, 5.4 H, 3.3 ER, 3.6 K, 2.9 BB, 7.58 FPts
Ben Casparius - Prop Not Found
Cal Quantrill - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Shohei Ohtani: 4.62 PA, 1.21 H, 2.52 TB, 0.32 HR, 0.27 SB, 14.25 FPts
2. Mookie Betts: 4.44 PA, 1.14 H, 1.99 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.12 SB, 10.99 FPts
3. Teoscar Hernandez: 4.28 PA, 1.09 H, 1.99 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.76 FPts
4. Max Muncy: 4.29 PA, 0.84 H, 1.63 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.65 FPts
5. Will Smith: 4.2 PA, 1.0 H, 1.72 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.95 FPts
6. Tommy Edman: 4.12 PA, 1.04 H, 1.56 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.58 FPts
7. Andy Pages: 3.97 PA, 1.07 H, 1.88 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.82 FPts
8. Gavin Lux: 3.69 PA, 0.91 H, 1.36 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.46 FPts
9. Enrique Hernandez: 3.47 PA, 0.8 H, 1.27 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.24 FPts
1. Charlie Blackmon: 4.59 PA, 1.05 H, 1.64 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.08 FPts
2. Ezequiel Tovar: 4.55 PA, 1.06 H, 1.8 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.77 FPts
3. Brenton Doyle: 4.42 PA, 0.93 H, 1.56 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.17 FPts
4. Ryan McMahon: 4.31 PA, 0.9 H, 1.57 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.01 FPts
5. Michael Toglia: 4.23 PA, 0.78 H, 1.42 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.28 FPts
6. Nolan Jones: 4.09 PA, 0.84 H, 1.39 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.53 FPts
7. Jacob Stallings: 3.92 PA, 0.8 H, 1.27 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.07 FPts
8. Sam Hilliard: 3.78 PA, 0.71 H, 1.32 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.04 FPts
9. Aaron Schunk: 3.45 PA, 0.79 H, 1.27 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.94 FPts
Cal Quantrill COL - Pitcher Hits Under 6.5 (-142) - 0.108 value
Max Muncy LAD - Hitter BB Under 0.5 (+195) - 0.106 value
Mookie Betts LAD - batter_singles Under 0.5 (+145) - 0.104 value
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 1B/OF $8000: 14.25 Proj, 1.81 Score
Mookie Betts (LAD) OF $6800: 10.99 Proj, 1.42 Score
Max Muncy (LAD) 3B $5600: 9.65 Proj, 1.29 Score
Will Smith (LAD) C $5500: 8.95 Proj, 1.25 Score
Andy Pages (LAD) OF $4100: 8.82 Proj, 1.24 Score
NYM 4.86 - MIL 4.54
NYM 51.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 9.4
Sean Manaea: 31 GS, 2905 Pitches, 25.5 K%, 8.5 BB%, 13.0 SwStr%, 49.0 Strike%, 35.0 Ball%, 37.8 GB%, 8 Brl%
Frankie Montas: 29 GS, 2551 Pitches, 22.3 K%, 9.7 BB%, 12.3 SwStr%, 46.5 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%, 41.2 GB%, 9 Brl%
Sean Manaea (NYM): 87 Pitches 5.38 IP, 4.5 H, 2.4 ER, 5.9 K, 2.3 BB, 16.05 FPts
Frankie Montas (MIL): 86 Pitches 5.01 IP, 4.7 H, 2.5 ER, 5.1 K, 2.0 BB, 13.43 FPts
Sean Manaea - 5.5 strikeouts
Frankie Montas - 5.5 strikeouts
1. Francisco Lindor: 4.48 PA, 1.07 H, 1.99 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.16 SB, 9.85 FPts
2. Brandon Nimmo: 4.41 PA, 0.96 H, 1.66 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.73 FPts
3. Starling Marte: 4.18 PA, 0.98 H, 1.52 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.85 FPts
4. Pete Alonso: 4.23 PA, 0.88 H, 1.79 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.6 FPts
5. Jesse Winker: 3.9 PA, 0.81 H, 1.32 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.39 FPts
6. Mark Vientos: 4.0 PA, 0.91 H, 1.78 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.61 FPts
7. Jose Iglesias: 3.82 PA, 1.0 H, 1.38 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.03 FPts
8. Francisco Alvarez: 3.75 PA, 0.79 H, 1.47 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.66 FPts
9. Harrison Bader: 3.44 PA, 0.78 H, 1.24 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.25 FPts
1. Jackson Chourio: 4.43 PA, 1.07 H, 1.84 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.97 FPts
2. Blake Perkins: 4.37 PA, 0.84 H, 1.27 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.63 FPts
3. William Contreras: 4.36 PA, 1.01 H, 1.75 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.87 FPts
4. Gary Sanchez: 4.09 PA, 0.77 H, 1.48 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.18 FPts
5. Willy Adames: 4.15 PA, 0.79 H, 1.52 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.89 FPts
6. Rhys Hoskins: 4.01 PA, 0.78 H, 1.52 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.34 FPts
7. Sal Frelick: 3.79 PA, 0.85 H, 1.13 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.42 FPts
8. Joey Ortiz: 3.73 PA, 0.78 H, 1.26 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.69 FPts
9. Brice Turang: 3.54 PA, 0.77 H, 1.07 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.23 SB, 6.56 FPts
Frankie Montas MIL - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (+105) - 0.117 value
Francisco Lindor (NYM) SS $5600: 9.85 Proj, 1.23 Score
Jackson Chourio (MIL) OF $4500: 8.97 Proj, 1.22 Score
Pete Alonso (NYM) 1B $4800: 8.6 Proj, 1.14 Score
Blake Perkins (MIL) OF $3100: 7.63 Proj, 1.13 Score
William Contreras (MIL) C $5000: 8.87 Proj, 1.13 Score
BAL 4.9 - MIN 4.88
BAL 50.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 9.78
Pablo Lopez: 31 GS, 2875 Pitches, 25.5 K%, 5.1 BB%, 14.1 SwStr%, 49.2 Strike%, 33.1 Ball%, 44.0 GB%, 8 Brl%
Cade Povich: 15 GS, 1310 Pitches, 20.2 K%, 9.7 BB%, 10.6 SwStr%, 46.7 Strike%, 35.8 Ball%, 36.2 GB%, 10 Brl%
Pablo Lopez (MIN): 87 Pitches 5.63 IP, 5.7 H, 2.7 ER, 5.6 K, 1.5 BB, 15.46 FPts
Cade Povich (BAL): 82 Pitches 5.22 IP, 5.0 H, 2.6 ER, 4.1 K, 2.1 BB, 11.3 FPts
Pablo Lopez - 5.5 strikeouts
Cade Povich - 4.5 strikeouts
1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.67 PA, 1.17 H, 2.17 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.1 SB, 10.14 FPts
2. Jordan Westburg: 4.51 PA, 1.13 H, 2.07 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.87 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.46 PA, 1.01 H, 1.94 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.54 FPts
4. Colton Cowser: 4.25 PA, 0.94 H, 1.69 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.17 FPts
5. Adley Rutschman: 4.23 PA, 1.0 H, 1.59 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.43 FPts
6. Ryan Mountcastle: 4.11 PA, 0.97 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.08 FPts
7. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.77 PA, 0.92 H, 1.46 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.49 FPts
8. Ramon Urias: 3.71 PA, 0.83 H, 1.36 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.95 FPts
9. Cedric Mullins II: 3.56 PA, 0.76 H, 1.23 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.55 FPts
1. Manuel Margot: 4.48 PA, 1.07 H, 1.6 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.77 FPts
2. Carlos Correa: 4.52 PA, 1.04 H, 1.8 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.64 FPts
3. Byron Buxton: 4.43 PA, 1.02 H, 2.06 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.07 SB, 9.24 FPts
4. Carlos Santana: 4.46 PA, 0.96 H, 1.62 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.15 FPts
5. Royce Lewis: 4.27 PA, 1.02 H, 1.92 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.51 FPts
6. Kyle Farmer: 3.85 PA, 0.91 H, 1.55 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.08 FPts
7. Austin Martin: 3.85 PA, 0.86 H, 1.21 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.08 FPts
8. Willi Castro: 3.96 PA, 0.89 H, 1.42 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.17 FPts
9. Christian Vazquez: 3.68 PA, 0.81 H, 1.22 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.42 FPts
Cade Povich BAL - Strikeouts Under 4.5 (+104) - 0.113 value
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) SS $6100: 10.14 Proj, 1.32 Score
Byron Buxton (MIN) OF $4800: 9.24 Proj, 1.29 Score
Manuel Margot (MIN) OF $2600: 7.77 Proj, 1.25 Score
Royce Lewis (MIN) 3B $4500: 8.51 Proj, 1.2 Score
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 2B/3B $4500: 8.87 Proj, 1.17 Score
TEX 4.28 - LAA 2.68
TEX 61.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 6.96
Jacob deGrom: 2 GS, 119 Pitches, 31.0 K%, 3.4 BB%, 16.0 SwStr%, 50.4 Strike%, 34.5 Ball%, 33.3 GB%, 11 Brl%
Reid Detmers: 16 GS, 1464 Pitches, 26.4 K%, 10.1 BB%, 14.3 SwStr%, 49.4 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%, 40.7 GB%, 10 Brl%
Jacob deGrom (TEX): 73 Pitches 5.03 IP, 3.7 H, 1.8 ER, 7.3 K, 1.0 BB, 21.03 FPts
Reid Detmers (LAA): 90 Pitches 5.6 IP, 4.8 H, 2.4 ER, 5.9 K, 2.2 BB, 16.03 FPts
Jacob deGrom - 5.5 strikeouts
Reid Detmers - 5.5 strikeouts
1. Marcus Semien: 4.59 PA, 1.04 H, 1.74 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.34 FPts
2. Wyatt Langford: 4.46 PA, 1.04 H, 1.86 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.98 FPts
3. Jonah Heim: 4.38 PA, 0.99 H, 1.64 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.24 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.28 PA, 0.85 H, 1.59 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.55 FPts
5. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.17 PA, 0.87 H, 1.33 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.03 FPts
6. Justin Foscue: 4.08 PA, 0.78 H, 1.27 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.74 FPts
7. Sandro Fabian: 3.96 PA, 0.89 H, 1.47 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.59 FPts
8. Matt Duffy: 3.83 PA, 0.88 H, 1.18 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.59 FPts
9. Jonathan Ornelas: 3.62 PA, 0.73 H, 1.12 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.41 FPts
1. Taylor Ward: 4.08 PA, 0.82 H, 1.47 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.38 FPts
2. Eric Wagaman: 4.03 PA, 0.85 H, 1.51 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.48 FPts
3. Brandon Drury: 3.88 PA, 0.75 H, 1.25 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.18 FPts
4. Logan O'Hoppe: 3.77 PA, 0.76 H, 1.42 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.76 FPts
5. Mickey Moniak: 3.56 PA, 0.69 H, 1.22 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.12 FPts
6. Niko Kavadas: 3.58 PA, 0.61 H, 1.17 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.38 FPts
7. Michael Stefanic: 3.33 PA, 0.7 H, 0.92 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.04 SB, 4.24 FPts
8. Gustavo Campero: 3.43 PA, 0.74 H, 1.26 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.02 FPts
9. Jack Lopez: 3.25 PA, 0.6 H, 0.94 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.06 SB, 4.1 FPts
Jacob deGrom TEX - Strikeouts Over 5.5 (-140) - 0.158 value
Justin Foscue TEX - Hitter BB Over 0.5 (+285) - 0.14 value
Wyatt Langford (TEX) OF $4200: 8.98 Proj, 1.27 Score
Jonah Heim (TEX) C $2700: 7.24 Proj, 1.22 Score
Justin Foscue (TEX) 1B $2100: 6.74 Proj, 1.14 Score
Marcus Semien (TEX) 2B $4700: 8.34 Proj, 1.12 Score
Sandro Fabian (TEX) OF $2000: 6.59 Proj, 1.07 Score
ARI 5.01 - SD 4.82
ARI 51.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.83
Merrill Kelly: 12 GS, 1043 Pitches, 20.1 K%, 6.6 BB%, 10.1 SwStr%, 45.4 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%, 42.2 GB%, 11 Brl%
Yu Darvish: 15 GS, 1181 Pitches, 24.1 K%, 5.9 BB%, 13.1 SwStr%, 49.3 Strike%, 32.6 Ball%, 40.2 GB%, 7 Brl%
Merrill Kelly (ARI): 91 Pitches 5.7 IP, 6.4 H, 3.0 ER, 4.2 K, 1.8 BB, 11.41 FPts
Yu Darvish (SD): 80 Pitches 4.94 IP, 4.9 H, 2.6 ER, 4.2 K, 1.8 BB, 11.27 FPts
Merrill Kelly - 3.5 strikeouts
Yu Darvish - Prop Not Found
1. Luis Arraez: 4.45 PA, 1.37 H, 1.87 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.0 FPts
2. Fernando Tatis Jr.: 4.33 PA, 1.11 H, 1.99 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.12 SB, 9.26 FPts
3. Jurickson Profar: 4.22 PA, 1.02 H, 1.65 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.17 FPts
4. Manny Machado: 4.17 PA, 1.04 H, 1.81 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.21 FPts
5. Jackson Merrill: 4.1 PA, 1.21 H, 2.15 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.1 SB, 9.3 FPts
6. Xander Bogaerts: 3.96 PA, 0.99 H, 1.51 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.19 FPts
7. Jake Cronenworth: 3.85 PA, 0.92 H, 1.52 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.16 FPts
8. Donovan Solano: 3.7 PA, 0.87 H, 1.25 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.87 FPts
9. Kyle Higashioka: 3.27 PA, 0.67 H, 1.21 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.35 FPts
1. Corbin Carroll: 4.57 PA, 1.04 H, 1.84 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.23 SB, 9.8 FPts
2. Ketel Marte: 4.37 PA, 1.05 H, 1.9 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 9.02 FPts
3. Joc Pederson: 4.08 PA, 0.9 H, 1.65 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.31 FPts
4. Christian Walker: 4.19 PA, 0.93 H, 1.76 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.18 FPts
5. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: 4.13 PA, 0.98 H, 1.59 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.07 FPts
6. Jake McCarthy: 4.01 PA, 0.97 H, 1.37 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.18 SB, 7.33 FPts
7. Eugenio Suarez: 3.89 PA, 0.81 H, 1.47 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.59 FPts
8. Gabriel Moreno: 3.76 PA, 0.94 H, 1.47 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.01 FPts
9. Geraldo Perdomo: 3.58 PA, 0.74 H, 1.09 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.03 FPts
Corbin Carroll (ARI) OF $5400: 9.8 Proj, 1.28 Score
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) OF $5100: 9.26 Proj, 1.23 Score
Jackson Merrill (SD) OF $4300: 9.3 Proj, 1.2 Score
Ketel Marte (ARI) 2B $6000: 9.02 Proj, 1.16 Score
Manny Machado (SD) 3B $5000: 8.21 Proj, 1.13 Score
SEA 4.48 - OAK 4.12
SEA 52.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 8.6
Luis Castillo: 30 GS, 2859 Pitches, 24.4 K%, 6.3 BB%, 13.1 SwStr%, 48.6 Strike%, 34.2 Ball%, 40.9 GB%, 8 Brl%
JP Sears: 31 GS, 2755 Pitches, 18.1 K%, 6.3 BB%, 10.7 SwStr%, 45.8 Strike%, 34.6 Ball%, 38.6 GB%, 10 Brl%
Luis Castillo (SEA): 77 Pitches 4.9 IP, 4.1 H, 2.0 ER, 6.0 K, 1.4 BB, 17.08 FPts
JP Sears (OAK): 86 Pitches 5.51 IP, 5.1 H, 2.7 ER, 5.6 K, 1.7 BB, 14.8 FPts
Luis Castillo - Prop Not Found
JP Sears - 4.5 strikeouts
1. Lawrence Butler: 4.35 PA, 1.03 H, 1.93 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.75 FPts
2. Brent Rooker: 4.36 PA, 0.95 H, 1.94 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.75 FPts
3. JJ Bleday: 4.24 PA, 0.86 H, 1.5 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.29 FPts
4. Shea Langeliers: 4.17 PA, 0.85 H, 1.71 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.4 FPts
5. Tyler Soderstrom: 3.91 PA, 0.82 H, 1.53 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.77 FPts
6. Zack Gelof: 3.98 PA, 0.81 H, 1.47 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.99 FPts
7. Seth Brown: 3.72 PA, 0.76 H, 1.4 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.03 FPts
8. Jacob Wilson: 3.64 PA, 0.94 H, 1.57 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.44 FPts
9. Darell Hernaiz: 3.33 PA, 0.68 H, 1.03 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.04 FPts
1. Victor Robles: 4.04 PA, 0.93 H, 1.42 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.21 SB, 7.39 FPts
2. Julio Rodriguez: 4.23 PA, 1.13 H, 2.01 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.14 SB, 9.2 FPts
3. Cal Raleigh: 4.19 PA, 0.93 H, 1.91 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.39 FPts
4. Randy Arozarena: 4.09 PA, 0.93 H, 1.67 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.37 FPts
5. Justin Turner: 3.9 PA, 0.92 H, 1.49 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.79 FPts
6. Jorge Polanco: 3.88 PA, 0.87 H, 1.58 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.96 FPts
7. Mitch Garver: 3.72 PA, 0.72 H, 1.37 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.32 FPts
8. J.P. Crawford: 3.62 PA, 0.81 H, 1.35 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.31 FPts
9. Dylan Moore: 3.34 PA, 0.67 H, 1.26 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.68 FPts
JP Sears OAK - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-110) - 0.138 value
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) OF $4500: 9.2 Proj, 1.3 Score
Randy Arozarena (SEA) OF $4000: 8.37 Proj, 1.19 Score
Lawrence Butler (OAK) OF $4300: 8.75 Proj, 1.17 Score
Cal Raleigh (SEA) C $4200: 8.39 Proj, 1.12 Score
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 2B $3300: 6.96 Proj, 1.01 Score
SF 3.86 - STL 3.82
SF 50.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 7.68
Landen Roupp: 3 GS, 810 Pitches, 22.1 K%, 12.3 BB%, 10.9 SwStr%, 45.4 Strike%, 38.9 Ball%, 47.2 GB%, 5 Brl%
Miles Mikolas: 31 GS, 2613 Pitches, 17.0 K%, 3.4 BB%, 8.1 SwStr%, 47.6 Strike%, 31.4 Ball%, 42.3 GB%, 8 Brl%
Landen Roupp (SF): 81 Pitches 4.95 IP, 4.9 H, 2.3 ER, 4.1 K, 2.0 BB, 11.9 FPts
Miles Mikolas (STL): 84 Pitches 4.57 IP, 5.1 H, 2.3 ER, 4.0 K, 0.7 BB, 11.22 FPts
Landen Roupp - 4.5 strikeouts
Miles Mikolas - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Masyn Winn: 4.51 PA, 1.08 H, 1.53 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.2 FPts
2. Alec Burleson: 4.26 PA, 1.07 H, 1.61 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.24 FPts
3. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.28 PA, 0.93 H, 1.52 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.27 FPts
4. Nolan Arenado: 4.15 PA, 0.98 H, 1.49 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.71 FPts
5. Brendan Donovan: 4.1 PA, 1.03 H, 1.46 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.96 FPts
6. Ivan Herrera: 3.97 PA, 1.01 H, 1.58 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.41 FPts
7. Lars Nootbaar: 3.8 PA, 0.82 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.04 FPts
8. Jordan Walker: 3.66 PA, 0.85 H, 1.4 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.38 FPts
9. Mike Siani: 3.26 PA, 0.69 H, 0.9 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.13 SB, 4.82 FPts
1. Mike Yastrzemski: 4.11 PA, 0.98 H, 1.73 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.17 FPts
2. Heliot Ramos: 4.26 PA, 1.06 H, 1.85 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.69 FPts
3. LaMonte Wade Jr.: 3.93 PA, 0.97 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.2 FPts
4. Matt Chapman: 4.09 PA, 1.03 H, 1.91 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.2 FPts
5. Michael Conforto: 3.92 PA, 1.01 H, 1.72 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.25 FPts
6. Patrick Bailey: 3.88 PA, 0.98 H, 1.48 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.3 FPts
7. Tyler Fitzgerald: 3.7 PA, 0.89 H, 1.43 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.5 FPts
8. Grant McCray: 3.57 PA, 0.74 H, 1.26 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.13 SB, 5.96 FPts
9. Brett Wisely: 3.3 PA, 0.75 H, 1.18 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.06 FPts
Matt Chapman (SF) 3B $4400: 8.2 Proj, 1.11 Score
LaMonte Wade Jr. (SF) 1B $2900: 7.2 Proj, 1.09 Score
Heliot Ramos (SF) OF $4000: 7.69 Proj, 1.04 Score
Ivan Herrera (STL) C $3800: 7.41 Proj, 1.01 Score
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 1B $4100: 7.27 Proj, 0.99 Score
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