MLB Postseason Game Previews - October 7
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
DFS Preview
It’s Saturday, so I don’t have much time to get into writing up this baseball slate, which is too bad because it’s one of the few four-game slates we have left.
But on the DFS side, it’s pretty straight forward, at least by the projections.
Strider leads the way by a mile, and Andrew Heaney is priced like a punt option.
Maybe Heaney should be priced like that, he has not been very good this year and probably won’t throw many pitches (I have him for 75), but $5,800 is so low that I think that’s something to attack.
Offensively, the Braves are back. They are the clear tier-one offense. Tier two is probably HOU/BAL/LAD, and then there’s not a ton to like after that (although I could jump on Rangers bats against Bradish).
DFS Top Plays by Position
Pitchers - Raw Projections
Spencer Strider $11200.0 vs. PHI: 25.31 points
Justin Verlander $8400.0 vs. MIN: 16.27 points
Clayton Kershaw $9100.0 vs. ARI: 13.55 points
Andrew Heaney $5800.0 vs. BAL: 13.53 points
Merrill Kelly $7800.0 vs. LAD: 12.92 points
Pitchers - Top Values
Andrew Heaney $5800.0 vs. BAL: 13.53 points, 2.33 value
Spencer Strider $11200.0 vs. PHI: 25.31 points, 2.26 value
Justin Verlander $8400.0 vs. MIN: 16.27 points, 1.94 value
Ranger Suarez $6100.0 vs. ATL: 11.1 points, 1.82 value
Merrill Kelly $7800.0 vs. LAD: 12.92 points, 1.66 value
Catchers
1. Adley Rutschman ($4600.0) vs. Andrew Heaney: 8.86 points, 1.23 score
2. Will Smith ($4400.0) vs. Merrill Kelly: 7.88 points, 1.11 score
3. Sean Murphy ($4000.0) vs. Ranger Suarez: 7.35 points, 1.05 score
4. Gabriel Moreno ($3100.0) vs. Clayton Kershaw: 6.9 points, 1.03 score
5. J.T. Realmuto ($4300.0) vs. Spencer Strider: 7.1 points, 0.98 score
First Base
1. Ryan Mountcastle ($3800.0) vs. Andrew Heaney: 8.34 points, 1.19 score
2. Freddie Freeman ($6100.0) vs. Merrill Kelly: 9.21 points, 1.13 score
3. Bryce Harper ($5100.0) vs. Spencer Strider: 8.95 points, 1.12 score
4. Matt Olson ($6000.0) vs. Ranger Suarez: 8.7 points, 1.06 score
5. Jose Abreu ($3300.0) vs. Bailey Ober: 6.99 points, 1.03 score
Second Base
1. Mookie Betts ($6200.0) vs. Merrill Kelly: 9.69 points, 1.17 score
2. Ozzie Albies ($5200.0) vs. Ranger Suarez: 9.17 points, 1.11 score
3. Jose Altuve ($5800.0) vs. Bailey Ober: 8.8 points, 1.07 score
4. Jorge Polanco ($4200.0) vs. Justin Verlander: 7.84 points, 1.0 score
5. Ketel Marte ($4500.0) vs. Clayton Kershaw: 8.12 points, 0.97 score
Third Base
1. Austin Riley ($4900.0) vs. Ranger Suarez: 8.83 points, 1.18 score
2. Alex Bregman ($4300.0) vs. Bailey Ober: 8.01 points, 1.11 score
3. Max Muncy ($4600.0) vs. Merrill Kelly: 7.8 points, 1.08 score
4. Gunnar Henderson ($5000.0) vs. Andrew Heaney: 7.58 points, 1.05 score
5. Jorge Polanco ($4200.0) vs. Justin Verlander: 7.84 points, 1.0 score
Shortstop
1. Corey Seager ($6300.0) vs. Kyle Bradish: 8.97 points, 1.1 score
2. Orlando Arcia ($3400.0) vs. Ranger Suarez: 7.47 points, 1.1 score
3. Trea Turner ($5400.0) vs. Spencer Strider: 8.29 points, 1.06 score
4. Gunnar Henderson ($5000.0) vs. Andrew Heaney: 7.58 points, 1.05 score
5. Jorge Mateo ($2800.0) vs. Andrew Heaney: 6.43 points, 1.05 score
Outfield
1. Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6600.0) vs. Ranger Suarez: 12.16 points, 1.53 score
2. Kyle Tucker ($4800.0) vs. Bailey Ober: 9.92 points, 1.36 score
3. Yordan Alvarez ($5600.0) vs. Bailey Ober: 10.38 points, 1.34 score
4. Anthony Santander ($4200.0) vs. Andrew Heaney: 8.43 points, 1.2 score
5. Mookie Betts ($6200.0) vs. Merrill Kelly: 9.69 points, 1.17 score
6. Michael Harris II ($3900.0) vs. Ranger Suarez: 8.15 points, 1.17 score
7. Austin Hays ($3400.0) vs. Andrew Heaney: 7.68 points, 1.15 score
8. Cedric Mullins II ($3800.0) vs. Andrew Heaney: 7.29 points, 1.11 score
9. Kyle Schwarber ($4700.0) vs. Spencer Strider: 8.14 points, 1.1 score
10. Michael Brantley ($3600.0) vs. Bailey Ober: 7.71 points, 1.09 score
11. Marcell Ozuna ($4100.0) vs. Ranger Suarez: 7.82 points, 1.09 score
12. Chas McCormick ($3600.0) vs. Bailey Ober: 7.52 points, 1.08 score
13. Tommy Pham ($3700.0) vs. Clayton Kershaw: 7.52 points, 1.05 score
14. Aaron Hicks ($2800.0) vs. Andrew Heaney: 6.59 points, 1.04 score
15. Adolis Garcia ($4400.0) vs. Kyle Bradish: 7.78 points, 1.04 score
Game by Game Previews
TEX @ BAL
Kyle Bradish has a 25% K% this year, and we should always project lower pitch counts in the postseason. This is game one of a five-game series, so we’re more likely to get the full pitch counts from the starters than if we were later in the series, but I think projecting Bradish to throw 80 pitches is fair in this spot considering everything, and that gives us some pretty high value on the under 5.5 strikeouts for -115.
You’re really rolling the dice with Andrew Heaney, so much of it depends on if he has any command at all - and he was routinely long gone by the fifth inning even in the much less meaningful regular season game, but the guy can get strikeouts, so over 4.5 for +120 is a fine bet (although I doubt I’ll take it myself given how frustrating that guy can be).
Can Semien avoid a strikeout for a big +160 payday? The model likes the price there! His season K% was below 15%, and Bradish is far from an elite strikeout guy at this point.
Projected Game Score:
BAL 4.58 - TEX 4.12
BAL 52.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.7
2023 Pitcher Stats
Andrew Heaney: 28 GS, 2603 Pitches, 23.6 K%, 9.4 BB%, 12.8 SwStr%, 46.9 Strike%, 37.0 Ball%, 41.9 GB%, 10 Brl%
Kyle Bradish: 30 GS, 2639 Pitches, 25.0 K%, 6.6 BB%, 11.9 SwStr%, 46.9 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%, 49.1 GB%, 7 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Andrew Heaney (TEX): 75.0 Pitches 4.82 IP, 4.3 H, 2.3 ER, 5.2 K, 1.7 BB, 13.53 FPts
Kyle Bradish (BAL): 78.0 Pitches 4.74 IP, 4.6 H, 2.3 ER, 4.5 K, 1.6 BB, 12.22 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Andrew Heaney - 4.5 strikeouts
Kyle Bradish - 5.5 strikeouts
TEX Hitter Projections
1. Marcus Semien: 4.34 PA, 1.01 H, 1.64 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.87 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.23 PA, 1.14 H, 2.12 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.97 FPts
3. Robbie Grossman: 4.02 PA, 0.77 H, 1.24 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.56 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.03 PA, 0.88 H, 1.61 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.78 FPts
5. Nathaniel Lowe: 3.97 PA, 0.96 H, 1.51 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.07 FPts
6. Jonah Heim: 3.82 PA, 0.84 H, 1.42 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.14 FPts
7. Leody Taveras: 3.75 PA, 0.92 H, 1.39 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.61 FPts
8. Josh Jung: 3.59 PA, 0.8 H, 1.39 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.85 FPts
9. Evan Carter: 3.42 PA, 0.72 H, 1.23 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.19 FPts
BAL Hitter Projections
1. Austin Hays: 4.58 PA, 1.01 H, 1.72 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.68 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.54 PA, 1.06 H, 1.82 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.86 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.44 PA, 0.99 H, 1.9 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.43 FPts
4. Ryan Mountcastle: 4.26 PA, 1.02 H, 1.87 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.34 FPts
5. Gunnar Henderson: 4.17 PA, 0.88 H, 1.57 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.58 FPts
6. Aaron Hicks: 3.99 PA, 0.78 H, 1.25 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.59 FPts
7. Cedric Mullins II: 3.97 PA, 0.83 H, 1.34 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.2 SB, 7.29 FPts
8. Ramon Urias: 3.78 PA, 0.81 H, 1.29 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.86 FPts
9. Jorge Mateo: 3.37 PA, 0.68 H, 1.11 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.28 SB, 6.43 FPts
Best Bets
Kyle Bradish BAL - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (-115.0) - 0.165 value
Andrew Heaney TEX - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (+120.0) - 0.139 value
Marcus Semien TEX - HitterK Under 0.5 (+160.0) - 0.122 value
Kyle Bradish BAL - Outs Under 15.5 (-115.0) - 0.112 value
Evan Carter TEX - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-180.0) - 0.11 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Adley Rutschman (BAL) C $4600: 8.86 Proj, 1.23 Score
Anthony Santander (BAL) OF $4200: 8.43 Proj, 1.2 Score
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 1B $3800: 8.34 Proj, 1.19 Score
Austin Hays (BAL) OF $3400: 7.68 Proj, 1.15 Score
Cedric Mullins II (BAL) OF $3800: 7.29 Proj, 1.11 Score
MIN @ HOU
DraftKings clearly has a projected base K% for Verlander than I do, so all the unders are popping here on the strikeout front (Verlander and Twins bats). Does the book think Verlander will go into postseason mode or something? You know how I feel about all that nonsense! He posted just a 21.5 K% this year, so there really could be some bias here with people that haven’t paid attention just assuming he’s still a great strikeout guy. I’m going in on the under 6.5 (-110) strikeouts line for Verlander for sure.
We have Yordan over 1.5 H+R+RBI popping here as well. Bailey Ober makes the start for the Twins, which is a little surprising to me given they could go Ryan+Lopez to start the series, but they know what they’re doing. Gotta love Yordan’s chances on the over there - Ober does not walk many hitters, so we should see Yordan putting some balls in play and that usually turns into a lot of box score production.
The Twins posted a 9.4% BB% on the year and an 11.5% mark since September (which more accurately shows the current lineup they’re rolling with now), so that’s probably why the model likes the over 1.5 Verlander walks (+125) here.
Projected Game Score:
HOU 4.96 - MIN 3.78
HOU 56.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 8.74
2023 Pitcher Stats
Justin Verlander: 27 GS, 2602 Pitches, 21.5 K%, 6.7 BB%, 11.1 SwStr%, 47.3 Strike%, 34.4 Ball%, 36.2 GB%, 8 Brl%
Bailey Ober: 26 GS, 2327 Pitches, 25.3 K%, 5.0 BB%, 15.2 SwStr%, 49.8 Strike%, 33.2 Ball%, 34.7 GB%, 10 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Justin Verlander (HOU): 90.0 Pitches 6.01 IP, 5.5 H, 2.8 ER, 6.0 K, 2.0 BB, 16.27 FPts
Bailey Ober (MIN): 83.0 Pitches 5.07 IP, 5.5 H, 2.7 ER, 3.9 K, 1.5 BB, 10.28 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Justin Verlander - 6.5 strikeouts
Bailey Ober - 4.5 strikeouts
MIN Hitter Projections
1. Edouard Julien: 4.13 PA, 0.78 H, 1.38 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.26 FPts
2. Jorge Polanco: 4.22 PA, 0.9 H, 1.67 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.84 FPts
3. Royce Lewis: 4.11 PA, 0.98 H, 1.69 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.78 FPts
4. Max Kepler: 3.93 PA, 0.91 H, 1.64 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.48 FPts
5. Alex Kirilloff: 3.77 PA, 0.91 H, 1.46 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.28 FPts
6. Carlos Correa: 3.81 PA, 0.83 H, 1.41 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.15 FPts
7. Matt Wallner: 3.5 PA, 0.65 H, 1.31 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.86 FPts
8. Ryan Jeffers: 3.62 PA, 0.7 H, 1.25 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.5 FPts
9. Michael A. Taylor: 3.15 PA, 0.62 H, 1.08 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 4.91 FPts
HOU Hitter Projections
1. Jose Altuve: 4.51 PA, 1.07 H, 1.85 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.8 FPts
2. Alex Bregman: 4.5 PA, 1.04 H, 1.71 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.01 FPts
3. Yordan Alvarez: 4.42 PA, 1.17 H, 2.3 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.01 SB, 10.38 FPts
4. Kyle Tucker: 4.29 PA, 1.08 H, 1.94 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.19 SB, 9.92 FPts
5. Jose Abreu: 4.18 PA, 0.96 H, 1.6 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.99 FPts
6. Michael Brantley: 4.11 PA, 1.17 H, 1.79 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.71 FPts
7. Chas McCormick: 3.97 PA, 0.91 H, 1.61 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.52 FPts
8. Jeremy Pena: 3.85 PA, 0.88 H, 1.37 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.23 FPts
9. Martin Maldonado: 3.45 PA, 0.56 H, 1.01 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.41 FPts
Best Bets
Martin Maldonado HOU - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (+115.0) - 0.199 value
Michael A. Taylor MIN - HitterK Under 1.5 (-135.0) - 0.191 value
Yordan Alvarez HOU - H+R+RBI Over 1.5 (-110.0) - 0.183 value
Max Kepler MIN - HitterK Under 0.5 (+190.0) - 0.142 value
Justin Verlander HOU - Walks Over 1.5 (+125.0) - 0.142 value
Justin Verlander HOU - Strikeouts Under 6.5 (+100.0) - 0.111 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Kyle Tucker (HOU) OF $4800: 9.92 Proj, 1.36 Score
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) OF $5600: 10.38 Proj, 1.34 Score
Alex Bregman (HOU) 3B $4300: 8.01 Proj, 1.11 Score
Michael Brantley (HOU) OF $3600: 7.71 Proj, 1.09 Score
Chas McCormick (HOU) OF $3600: 7.52 Proj, 1.08 Score
PHI @ ATL
This has to be the most lop-sided game of the series with the Braves best (Strider) against the Phillies worst (Suarez). But the Phillies have certainly seen a lot of Strider, and we’re tlkaing about one game here - so it’s still unsettling to really lean into any kind of Braves -1.5 or something.
I really don’t see much to bet on here, the lines seem right. So if I’m getting anything on this game I might just go with the Braves to win it or take a shot on that over 8.5, since my model is 1.3 runs above that (it’s usually a half run or so above these games, but it’s way above in this case).
We are also probably missing some lines since this is a night game, so monitor that prop betting sheet today for more stuff to pop up - I’ll update on Twitter.
Projected Game Score:
ATL 5.64 - PHI 4.14
ATL 57.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 9.78
2023 Pitcher Stats
Spencer Strider: 32 GS, 3100 Pitches, 36.9 K%, 7.5 BB%, 20.5 SwStr%, 54.5 Strike%, 32.1 Ball%, 34.9 GB%, 8 Brl%
Ranger Suarez: 22 GS, 2023 Pitches, 22.0 K%, 8.9 BB%, 10.4 SwStr%, 44.5 Strike%, 37.2 Ball%, 48.8 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Spencer Strider (ATL): 95.0 Pitches 6.31 IP, 4.5 H, 2.4 ER, 9.4 K, 2.1 BB, 25.31 FPts
Ranger Suarez (PHI): 85.0 Pitches 5.12 IP, 5.3 H, 2.7 ER, 4.4 K, 1.9 BB, 11.1 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Spencer Strider - 8.5 strikeouts
Ranger Suarez - 3.5 strikeouts
PHI Hitter Projections
1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.78 PA, 0.72 H, 1.59 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.14 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.64 PA, 1.02 H, 1.66 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.2 SB, 8.29 FPts
3. Bryce Harper: 4.5 PA, 0.96 H, 1.71 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.95 FPts
4. Alec Bohm: 4.45 PA, 1.01 H, 1.52 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.77 FPts
5. Bryson Stott: 4.33 PA, 1.0 H, 1.51 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.45 FPts
6. J.T. Realmuto: 4.21 PA, 0.86 H, 1.5 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.1 FPts
7. Nick Castellanos: 4.1 PA, 0.82 H, 1.38 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.97 FPts
8. Brandon Marsh: 3.85 PA, 0.68 H, 1.08 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.82 FPts
9. Johan Rojas: 3.66 PA, 0.67 H, 0.91 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.14 SB, 4.74 FPts
ATL Hitter Projections
1. Ronald Acuna Jr.: 4.61 PA, 1.2 H, 2.01 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.42 SB, 12.16 FPts
2. Ozzie Albies: 4.52 PA, 1.14 H, 1.91 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.13 SB, 9.17 FPts
3. Austin Riley: 4.42 PA, 1.05 H, 1.89 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.83 FPts
4. Matt Olson: 4.31 PA, 0.89 H, 1.67 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.7 FPts
5. Marcell Ozuna: 4.18 PA, 0.92 H, 1.66 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.82 FPts
6. Orlando Arcia: 4.1 PA, 0.96 H, 1.57 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.47 FPts
7. Michael Harris II: 3.97 PA, 1.07 H, 1.66 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.15 FPts
8. Sean Murphy: 3.84 PA, 0.83 H, 1.48 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.35 FPts
9. Kevin Pillar: 3.34 PA, 0.76 H, 1.26 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.68 FPts
Best Bets
Nick Castellanos PHI - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-130.0) - 0.199 value
Ranger Suarez PHI - Outs Over 13.5 (+110.0) - 0.194 value
Brandon Marsh PHI - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-150.0) - 0.133 value
Ranger Suarez PHI - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (-110.0) - 0.125 value
Ronald Acuna Jr. ATL - H+R+RBI Over 1.5 (-155.0) - 0.122 value
Bryce Harper PHI - H+R+RBI Over 1.5 (+110.0) - 0.115 value
Austin Riley ATL - H+R+RBI Over 1.5 (-115.0) - 0.11 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) OF $6600: 12.16 Proj, 1.53 Score
Austin Riley (ATL) 3B $4900: 8.83 Proj, 1.18 Score
Michael Harris II (ATL) OF $3900: 8.15 Proj, 1.17 Score
Bryce Harper (PHI) 1B $5100: 8.95 Proj, 1.12 Score
Ozzie Albies (ATL) 2B $5200: 9.17 Proj, 1.11 Score
ARI @ LAD
I’m pretty much right in line with the books on these pitchers, and no lines are really standing out right. Nobody really gets excited to make bets like James Outman over 0.5 H+R+RBI for -170, but that prop does qualify for a recommendation.
Projected Game Score:
LAD 4.58 - ARI 4.12
LAD 52.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.7
2023 Pitcher Stats
Clayton Kershaw: 23 GS, 1993 Pitches, 25.8 K%, 7.8 BB%, 13.7 SwStr%, 48.8 Strike%, 34.2 Ball%, 48.2 GB%, 9 Brl%
Merrill Kelly: 30 GS, 2803 Pitches, 25.9 K%, 9.4 BB%, 13.2 SwStr%, 48.2 Strike%, 35.3 Ball%, 45.7 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Clayton Kershaw (LAD): 82.0 Pitches 5.02 IP, 4.7 H, 2.3 ER, 4.8 K, 1.7 BB, 13.55 FPts
Merrill Kelly (ARI): 90.0 Pitches 5.53 IP, 5.0 H, 2.7 ER, 5.0 K, 2.7 BB, 12.92 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Clayton Kershaw - 4.5 strikeouts
Merrill Kelly - 4.5 strikeouts
ARI Hitter Projections
1. Ketel Marte: 4.44 PA, 1.06 H, 1.81 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.12 FPts
2. Corbin Carroll: 4.31 PA, 0.99 H, 1.54 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.29 SB, 8.44 FPts
3. Tommy Pham: 4.13 PA, 0.87 H, 1.52 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.52 FPts
4. Christian Walker: 4.11 PA, 0.93 H, 1.81 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.2 FPts
5. Gabriel Moreno: 4.05 PA, 1.03 H, 1.51 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.9 FPts
6. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: 3.93 PA, 0.98 H, 1.61 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.86 FPts
7. Evan Longoria: 3.56 PA, 0.72 H, 1.41 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.15 FPts
8. Emmanuel Rivera: 3.49 PA, 0.82 H, 1.36 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.83 FPts
9. Geraldo Perdomo: 3.46 PA, 0.67 H, 0.91 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.05 FPts
LAD Hitter Projections
1. Mookie Betts: 4.34 PA, 1.05 H, 1.98 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.1 SB, 9.69 FPts
2. Freddie Freeman: 4.27 PA, 1.09 H, 1.84 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.1 SB, 9.21 FPts
3. Will Smith: 4.25 PA, 0.94 H, 1.59 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.88 FPts
4. Max Muncy: 4.08 PA, 0.69 H, 1.39 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.8 FPts
5. J.D. Martinez: 3.99 PA, 0.84 H, 1.61 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.18 FPts
6. Jason Heyward: 3.54 PA, 0.75 H, 1.26 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.09 FPts
7. James Outman: 3.75 PA, 0.73 H, 1.26 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.98 FPts
8. David Peralta: 3.38 PA, 0.78 H, 1.21 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.5 FPts
9. Miguel Rojas: 3.3 PA, 0.77 H, 1.12 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.42 FPts
Best Bets
James Outman LAD - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-170.0) - 0.154 value
Evan Longoria ARI - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-165.0) - 0.13 value
Emmanuel Rivera ARI - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-175.0) - 0.124 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Mookie Betts (LAD) 2B/OF $6200: 9.69 Proj, 1.17 Score
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 1B $6100: 9.21 Proj, 1.13 Score
Will Smith (LAD) C $4400: 7.88 Proj, 1.11 Score
Max Muncy (LAD) 3B $4600: 7.8 Proj, 1.08 Score
Tommy Pham (ARI) OF $3700: 7.52 Proj, 1.05 Score
I’ll be monitoring the prop sheet all day and updating stuff when it pops up on Twitter, happy Saturday everybody thanks for reading!