NFL DFS Week 6 Lineup Review
A review of the NFL DFS lineup I put out for this NFL week
The Lineup
I messed around a little bit with paying up for a QB, but eventually embraced the punt play with Spencer Rattler. I liked Drake Maye a bit more in the write-up, but the $1000 difference ended up being pretty big. I think Rattler had 9-10 of those points in the first half, so the 14.4 was a little bit disappointing, but that’s still a fine total for just $4,000.
The lock plays were Lamb and Ferguson, and I knew I was going to have multiple plays from the Panthers/Falcons game. Bucky Irving also became a lock after Rachaad White was ruled out. Diontae Johnson was always in the lineup, but I didn’t settle on Drake London until later on. I wanted Bijan Robinson but could not find the $600 to get up from Pollard. Bijan scored twice, but Pollard had a good game himself, so it worked out.
The last tweak I made was to get Josh Downs in there after it was reported that Joe Flacco would be the starter. Flacco has been locked on Downs this year, and that was true again yesterday. Those 19.5 points were huge at 3% owned.
The chalk DST smashed. I almost wish DST weren’t a part of the game, it’s so random and silly - but it worked in our favor this time. Playing a DST against your QB isn’t optimal, but when the QB price is $4000, the calculation is a bit different.
The chalk plays on the slate:
Bucky Irving 85%
Bijan Robinson 67%
Drake London 65%
Bucs DST 63%
Tony Pollard 59%
Lamar Jackson 44%
Cade Otton 40%
Jake Ferguson 39%
Darnell Mooney 38%
Diontae Johnson 33%
Tre Tucker 30%
30% of people took an airball from Tucker, who I did not consider because I figured Davante Adams would play. I don’t think I would have ended up on him in any situation.
Results
I got it right this week.
Double Ups: I played just one of these for tracking purposes and cashed, finishing 3600th out of 11,494, that’s in the 31st percentile.
Hundos: Finally got back to cash here, it had been since week one. I finished 13th, 14th, and 19th, that’s slightly more than doubling my money.
Head to Heads: Looks like a bunch of my posted contests didn’t fill, because I only got 35 matchups, winning 29 of them (83%).
Overall: 81% ROI this week.
Weekly ROI Results:
Week 1: +215%
Week 2: +6%
Week 3: -6%
Week 4: -49%
Week 5: -59%
Week 6: +81%Overall: +16%
Weekly Head-to-Head Results
Week 1: 58/58 (100%)
Week 2: 44/51 (86%)
Week 3: 43/59 (73%)
Week 4: 20/58 (35%)
Week 5: 22/66 (33%)
Week 6: 29/35 (83%)Overall: 66%