[NFL] Week 6 MNF Showdown: Bills vs. Jets
A look at the week six Monday Night Showdown featuring the Bills and Jets
Tracker Update
We lost it all on Thursday night and came down to a 12.5% ROI for the year, and we’re underwater in the tournaments.
We once again have the Jets in a primetime spot, and we’ve seen the Bills a couple of times this year already, as well. The Bills are a 1.5-point favorite on the road in a game with a 41.5 total.
Khalil Shakir is questionable. It seems to lean more towards him not playing, but it truly could go either way. His status doesn’t massively change things, but he is a significant player. He’s tied with Dalton Kincaid with 4.8 targets per game.
Quarterbacks
This isn’t a great spot for Josh Allen ($11,000), and he’s been far from Superman in this offense this year.
And yet, we cannot fade a quarterback with this kind of upside both with the arm and the legs in a Showdown. It’s simply not a thing we can do unless the price is at like $14,000 or something - which it is not.
Aaron Rodgers ($9,000) is $2,000 cheaper than Allen, but much worse. He’s been under 20 fantasy points in four of his five games, and unlikely Allen does not have a 30+ point ceiling. He’s maxed out at 281 passing yards and 26 rushing yards, most often being under two rushing yards. The Bills have allowed the fourth-least yards per pass attempt in the league at 6.2. Rodgers is far from a must-play.
Running Backs
Breece Hall ($9,400) has scored 6.7 and 3.8 fantasy points in his last two games. Coming into this season, I would not have thought that possible in a two-game span where he did not get hurt. He’s averaged just 2.98 yards per carry this year and has exceeded 50 receiving yards just once.
The good news is that he’s not losing the job to backup Braelon Allen ($5,400); the game scripts have just been sideways, and they haven’t seemed to run block very well. The projection is still nice on Hall, and the price is falling a bit - so we’re going to want to jump back in on him. He has a 20-25 touch upside here, and he’s certainly a big-play threat. I’m in on Hall, especially since the Bills defense is most beatable on the ground.
On the Buffalo side, it’s been James Cook ($10,200)’s backfield. He has 70 attempts, while nobody else has more than 26. The pass game roll hasn’t been great, but it’s not been awful either, with 11-123-1 in five games.
He’s clearly too expensive here, and that will keep him out of the optimal lineup.