Projection Powered Player Props - April 21
Stuart Durst is back with four props to get your week started the right way!
Hope everyone had a fantastic Easter! We are back after a nice weekend coming off a 3-0 sweep on Friday! Lets keep that momentum going today!
Robbie Ray o5.5 Strikeouts
Price: -120
Book: Draftkings
Projection: 6.6
Edge: 8%
Betting on Robbie Ray can be a bit of a mixed bag, but I like the matchup against the Brewers today. There are two things we always know to be true about Ray, he will strike out plenty of people but he will also walk hitters at an insane rate. The model happens to like him to do both again today!
The Brewers have faced a couple high powered lefties, and given up some pretty big numbers. They allowed 7+ strikeouts to Ragans, Rodon, Bubic, and Skubal in this short season already. I’m not saying Robbie Ray is on that level, but he’s a high powered strikeout or bust lefty arm which fits the archetype of pitcher that has had success in this matchup.
The Brewers have the most total strikeouts vs LHP this season, and despite the fact that they see a lot of pitches, they walk at the 8th lowest rate in baseball. Ray struggles in that department, but he also has 7 strikeouts in back to back outings despite not making it 5 innings in either outing.