DFS & Betting Game Previews - September 5th
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
The NFL season is upon us! Check out the intro post and the week one projections here!
It’s been a few days since we’ve gotten one of these out - sorry about that! But here we go, another great Tuesday night slate of games.
Slate Preview 9/5/2023
DFS Preview
Most Team Fantasy Point Projections
ATL (vs. Miles Mikolas): 77.84 Projected Points
STL (vs. Mike Soroka): 74.47 Projected Points
SEA (vs. Connor Phillips): 71.6 Projected Points
NYY (vs. Alex Faedo): 70.86 Projected Points
ARI (vs. Kyle Freeland): 70.33 Projected Points
Least Team Fantasy Point Projections
PIT (vs. Brandon Woodruff): 54.04 Projected Points
MIA (vs. Clayton Kershaw): 55.43 Projected Points
MIN (vs. Tanner Bibee): 55.71 Projected Points
OAK (vs. Chris Bassitt): 56.23 Projected Points
LAD (vs. Jesus Luzardo): 56.97 Projected Points
Team Projections vs. Season Averages
STL: 74.47 Today, 66.27 Season Average
ARI: 70.33 Today, 62.8 Season Average
SEA: 71.6 Today, 64.68 Season Average
ATL: 77.84 Today, 71.09 Season Average
NYY: 70.86 Today, 64.57 Season Average
Today Max Projection Players
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Brandon Woodruff: 21.66 Today, 20.69 Previous Max
Dean Kremer: 16.01 Today, 14.77 Previous Max
Lars Nootbaar: 9.75 Today, 9.74 Previous Max
J.P. Crawford: 8.65 Today, 8.56 Previous Max
DFS Top Plays by Position
Pitchers - Raw Projections
Gerrit Cole $12000.0 vs. DET: 20.84 points
Dylan Cease $8800.0 vs. KC: 19.72 points
Chris Bassitt $9700.0 vs. OAK: 17.96 points
Reid Detmers $7600.0 vs. BAL: 16.37 points
Dean Kremer $8600.0 vs. LAA: 16.01 points
Pitchers - Top Values
Dylan Cease $8800.0 vs. KC: 19.72 points, 2.24 value
Brandon Pfaadt $6900.0 vs. COL: 15.22 points, 2.21 value
Reid Detmers $7600.0 vs. BAL: 16.37 points, 2.15 value
Dean Kremer $8600.0 vs. LAA: 16.01 points, 1.86 value
Chris Bassitt $9700.0 vs. OAK: 17.96 points, 1.85 value
Catchers
1. Patrick Bailey ($3100.0) vs. Kyle Hendricks: 7.99 points, 1.38 score
2. Willson Contreras ($4000.0) vs. Mike Soroka: 8.35 points, 1.3 score
3. Francisco Alvarez ($3500.0) vs. Patrick Corbin: 7.7 points, 1.27 score
4. Gabriel Moreno ($2700.0) vs. Kyle Freeland: 7.13 points, 1.27 score
5. Alejandro Kirk ($3200.0) vs. Ken Waldichuk: 7.3 points, 1.22 score
First Base
1. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($5100.0) vs. Ken Waldichuk: 9.01 points, 1.32 score
2. Pete Alonso ($5000.0) vs. Patrick Corbin: 9.19 points, 1.32 score
3. LaMonte Wade Jr. ($3500.0) vs. Kyle Hendricks: 8.43 points, 1.29 score
4. Christian Walker ($4500.0) vs. Kyle Freeland: 8.93 points, 1.28 score
5. Trey Cabbage ($2500.0) vs. Dean Kremer: 7.54 points, 1.24 score
Second Base
1. Nolan Gorman ($4400.0) vs. Mike Soroka: 9.25 points, 1.31 score
2. Ketel Marte ($5000.0) vs. Kyle Freeland: 9.07 points, 1.2 score
3. Whit Merrifield ($4400.0) vs. Ken Waldichuk: 8.18 points, 1.18 score
4. Davis Schneider ($4600.0) vs. Ken Waldichuk: 9.02 points, 1.15 score
5. Jose Altuve ($6200.0) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 9.01 points, 1.14 score
Third Base
1. Evan Longoria ($2900.0) vs. Kyle Freeland: 7.76 points, 1.36 score
2. Nolan Gorman ($4400.0) vs. Mike Soroka: 9.25 points, 1.31 score
3. Mark Vientos ($2500.0) vs. Patrick Corbin: 7.03 points, 1.24 score
4. Nolan Arenado ($5200.0) vs. Mike Soroka: 8.78 points, 1.23 score
5. Ryan McMahon ($4600.0) vs. Brandon Pfaadt: 8.87 points, 1.21 score
Shortstop
1. Francisco Lindor ($4900.0) vs. Patrick Corbin: 8.86 points, 1.32 score
2. Bobby Witt Jr. ($6300.0) vs. Dylan Cease: 9.85 points, 1.25 score
3. Anthony Volpe ($3700.0) vs. Alex Faedo: 7.71 points, 1.23 score
4. Tim Anderson ($3000.0) vs. Brady Singer: 7.34 points, 1.17 score
5. Kyren Paris ($2300.0) vs. Dean Kremer: 6.71 points, 1.11 score
Outfield
1. Aaron Judge ($6700.0) vs. Alex Faedo: 11.72 points, 1.58 score
2. Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6800.0) vs. Miles Mikolas: 11.7 points, 1.44 score
3. Lars Nootbaar ($4500.0) vs. Mike Soroka: 9.75 points, 1.37 score
4. Tommy Pham ($3500.0) vs. Kyle Freeland: 8.65 points, 1.35 score
5. Joc Pederson ($4000.0) vs. Kyle Hendricks: 9.08 points, 1.29 score
6. Yordan Alvarez ($6100.0) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 10.09 points, 1.27 score
7. George Springer ($4700.0) vs. Ken Waldichuk: 8.83 points, 1.26 score
8. Kyle Tucker ($6000.0) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 9.83 points, 1.25 score
9. Fernando Tatis Jr. ($5900.0) vs. Michael Lorenzen: 9.58 points, 1.24 score
10. Trey Cabbage ($2500.0) vs. Dean Kremer: 7.54 points, 1.24 score
11. Jasson Dominguez ($3000.0) vs. Alex Faedo: 8.34 points, 1.23 score
12. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3800.0) vs. Kyle Freeland: 8.34 points, 1.23 score
13. Tyler O'Neill ($3600.0) vs. Mike Soroka: 7.92 points, 1.21 score
14. Mike Yastrzemski ($3000.0) vs. Kyle Hendricks: 7.56 points, 1.21 score
15. Whit Merrifield ($4400.0) vs. Ken Waldichuk: 8.18 points, 1.18 score
Game by Game Previews
MIN @ CLE
Projected Game Score:
CLE 3.56 - MIN 3.36
CLE 51.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 6.92
2023 Pitcher Stats
Tanner Bibee: 22 GS, 2065 Pitches, 24.2 K%, 7.7 BB%, 12.3 SwStr%, 46.4 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%, 36.3 GB%, 6 Brl%
Sonny Gray: 26 GS, 2399 Pitches, 24.2 K%, 7.9 BB%, 12.7 SwStr%, 46.1 Strike%, 35.8 Ball%, 48.6 GB%, 6 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Tanner Bibee (CLE): 93.0 Pitches 5.85 IP, 5.0 H, 2.5 ER, 5.9 K, 2.2 BB, 16.35 FPts
Sonny Gray (MIN): 85.0 Pitches 5.17 IP, 5.2 H, 2.2 ER, 4.0 K, 1.6 BB, 11.84 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Tanner Bibee - 6.5 strikeouts
Sonny Gray - 4.5 strikeouts
MIN Hitter Projections
1. Edouard Julien: 4.14 PA, 0.78 H, 1.36 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.71 FPts
2. Jorge Polanco: 4.26 PA, 0.94 H, 1.74 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.87 FPts
3. Royce Lewis: 4.1 PA, 0.9 H, 1.48 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.75 FPts
4. Max Kepler: 3.96 PA, 0.88 H, 1.58 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.02 FPts
5. Carlos Correa: 3.93 PA, 0.84 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.99 FPts
6. Matt Wallner: 3.71 PA, 0.66 H, 1.31 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.63 FPts
7. Christian Vazquez: 3.68 PA, 0.81 H, 1.19 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.22 FPts
8. Joey Gallo: 3.38 PA, 0.43 H, 0.96 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.8 FPts
9. Willi Castro: 3.42 PA, 0.72 H, 1.13 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.15 SB, 5.72 FPts
CLE Hitter Projections
1. Steven Kwan: 4.53 PA, 1.18 H, 1.57 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.74 FPts
2. Jose Ramirez: 4.41 PA, 1.11 H, 1.84 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.1 FPts
3. Josh Naylor: 4.31 PA, 1.14 H, 1.91 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.95 FPts
4. Kole Calhoun: 4.16 PA, 0.83 H, 1.38 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.02 FPts
5. Andres Gimenez: 4.11 PA, 0.99 H, 1.56 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.37 FPts
6. Gabriel Arias: 3.87 PA, 0.71 H, 1.14 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.25 FPts
7. Will Brennan: 3.81 PA, 1.06 H, 1.48 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.39 FPts
8. Bo Naylor: 3.7 PA, 0.66 H, 1.02 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.05 SB, 4.87 FPts
9. Myles Straw: 3.53 PA, 0.76 H, 0.98 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.15 SB, 5.36 FPts
Best Bets
Sonny Gray MIN - Outs Under 17.5 (+125.0) - 0.26 value
Matt Wallner MIN - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-175.0) - 0.112 value
Joey Gallo MIN - HitterK Under 1.5 (+110.0) - 0.112 value
Tanner Bibee CLE - Outs Over 15.5 (-135.0) - 0.103 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $14100: 9.1 Proj, 0.96 Score
Josh Naylor (CLE) 1B $13500: 7.95 Proj, 0.79 Score
Jorge Polanco (MIN) 2B $12600: 7.87 Proj, 0.79 Score
Royce Lewis (MIN) 3B $12900: 6.75 Proj, 0.76 Score
Steven Kwan (CLE) OF $11100: 7.74 Proj, 0.76 Score
MIL @ PIT
Projected Game Score:
MIL 4.34 - PIT 3.2
MIL 57.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.54
2023 Pitcher Stats
Brandon Woodruff: 7 GS, 647 Pitches, 32.2 K%, 6.6 BB%, 15.3 SwStr%, 53.0 Strike%, 33.1 Ball%, 36.7 GB%, 8 Brl%
Andre Jackson: 3 GS, 681 Pitches, 24.4 K%, 5.7 BB%, 12.6 SwStr%, 48.6 Strike%, 33.5 Ball%, 35.2 GB%, 12 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Brandon Woodruff (MIL): 96.0 Pitches 6.2 IP, 4.8 H, 2.4 ER, 7.9 K, 1.9 BB, 21.66 FPts
Andre Jackson (PIT): 77.0 Pitches 4.76 IP, 4.5 H, 2.3 ER, 4.2 K, 1.9 BB, 11.17 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Brandon Woodruff - 7.5 strikeouts
Andre Jackson - 3.5 strikeouts
MIL Hitter Projections
1. Christian Yelich: 4.48 PA, 1.05 H, 1.64 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.18 SB, 9.13 FPts
2. William Contreras: 4.41 PA, 1.03 H, 1.8 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.09 FPts
3. Carlos Santana: 4.29 PA, 0.89 H, 1.55 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.61 FPts
4. Sal Frelick: 4.14 PA, 0.88 H, 1.24 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.27 FPts
5. Willy Adames: 4.06 PA, 0.85 H, 1.54 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.21 FPts
6. Rowdy Tellez: 3.85 PA, 0.81 H, 1.49 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.87 FPts
7. Mark Canha: 3.84 PA, 0.86 H, 1.35 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.69 FPts
8. Brice Turang: 3.63 PA, 0.75 H, 1.09 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.13 SB, 5.99 FPts
9. Andruw Monasterio: 3.34 PA, 0.72 H, 1.06 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.68 FPts
PIT Hitter Projections
1. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4.53 PA, 0.99 H, 1.48 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.06 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.4 PA, 1.0 H, 1.7 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.53 FPts
3. Josh Palacios: 4.02 PA, 0.82 H, 1.31 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.88 FPts
4. Jack Suwinski: 4.15 PA, 0.62 H, 1.24 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.52 FPts
5. Connor Joe: 4.11 PA, 0.76 H, 1.18 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.86 FPts
6. Endy Rodriguez: 4.05 PA, 0.74 H, 1.18 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.39 FPts
7. Liover Peguero: 3.85 PA, 0.71 H, 1.14 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.42 FPts
8. Alfonso Rivas: 3.61 PA, 0.69 H, 0.99 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.86 FPts
9. Ji Hwan Bae: 3.47 PA, 0.74 H, 1.02 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.15 SB, 5.52 FPts
Best Bets
Brice Turang MIL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-190.0) - 0.127 value
Alfonso Rivas PIT - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-130.0) - 0.127 value
Jack Suwinski PIT - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-175.0) - 0.106 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Christian Yelich (MIL) OF $5100: 9.13 Proj, 1.21 Score
Rowdy Tellez (MIL) 1B $2500: 6.87 Proj, 1.19 Score
William Contreras (MIL) C $4900: 8.09 Proj, 1.15 Score
Carlos Santana (MIL) 1B $3800: 7.61 Proj, 1.08 Score
Mark Canha (MIL) OF $2700: 6.69 Proj, 1.07 Score
SEA @ CIN
Projected Game Score:
SEA 5.36 - CIN 4.16
SEA 56.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 10.5
Projected Total: 9.52
2023 Pitcher Stats
Bryce Miller: 20 GS, 1676 Pitches, 23.1 K%, 4.9 BB%, 13.4 SwStr%, 49.6 Strike%, 32.0 Ball%, 32.1 GB%, 11 Brl%No MLB data available for Connor Phillips
Pitcher Projections
Bryce Miller (SEA): 90.0 Pitches 5.72 IP, 5.4 H, 2.7 ER, 6.3 K, 1.4 BB, 16.69 FPts
Connor Phillips (CIN): 66.0 Pitches 4.4 IP, 3.7 H, 2.2 ER, 4.9 K, 2.4 BB, 12.12 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Bryce Miller - 5.5 strikeouts
Connor Phillips - 4.5 strikeouts
SEA Hitter Projections
1. J.P. Crawford: 4.52 PA, 0.95 H, 1.43 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.65 FPts
2. Julio Rodriguez: 4.44 PA, 1.07 H, 1.91 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.25 SB, 10.22 FPts
3. Teoscar Hernandez: 4.36 PA, 0.98 H, 1.8 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.6 FPts
4. Cal Raleigh: 4.25 PA, 0.8 H, 1.66 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.22 FPts
5. Eugenio Suarez: 4.15 PA, 0.75 H, 1.41 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.43 FPts
6. Ty France: 4.02 PA, 0.98 H, 1.52 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.12 FPts
7. Dominic Canzone: 3.84 PA, 1.01 H, 1.84 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.3 FPts
8. Mike Ford: 3.57 PA, 0.63 H, 1.24 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.63 FPts
9. Josh Rojas: 3.38 PA, 0.71 H, 1.08 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.43 FPts
CIN Hitter Projections
1. Jake Fraley: 4.3 PA, 0.94 H, 1.68 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.63 FPts
2. TJ Friedl: 4.28 PA, 1.01 H, 1.57 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.7 FPts
3. Spencer Steer: 4.26 PA, 0.96 H, 1.71 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.88 FPts
4. Elly De La Cruz: 4.17 PA, 0.87 H, 1.52 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.18 SB, 7.42 FPts
5. Hunter Renfroe: 4.04 PA, 0.9 H, 1.66 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.0 FPts
6. Christian Encarnacion-Strand: 3.9 PA, 0.95 H, 1.61 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.55 FPts
7. Will Benson: 3.59 PA, 0.74 H, 1.31 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.52 FPts
8. Noelvi Marte: 3.71 PA, 0.81 H, 1.34 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.25 FPts
9. Luke Maile: 3.19 PA, 0.71 H, 1.25 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.23 FPts
Best Bets
Bryce Miller SEA - Outs Over 15.5 (-105.0) - 0.131 value
Will Benson CIN - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-175.0) - 0.126 value
Bryce Miller SEA - Strikeouts Over 5.5 (+105.0) - 0.118 value
Eugenio Suarez SEA - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-145.0) - 0.116 value
Luke Maile CIN - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-160.0) - 0.103 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) OF $6500: 10.22 Proj, 1.28 Score
Teoscar Hernandez (SEA) OF $4400: 8.6 Proj, 1.26 Score
Dominic Canzone (SEA) OF $3200: 8.3 Proj, 1.24 Score
Jake Fraley (CIN) OF $4300: 8.63 Proj, 1.19 Score
Cal Raleigh (SEA) C $4800: 8.22 Proj, 1.16 Score
BOS @ TB
Projected Game Score:
TB 4.44 - BOS 3.74
TB 54.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.18
2023 Pitcher Stats
Zach Eflin: 26 GS, 2158 Pitches, 25.5 K%, 3.2 BB%, 11.7 SwStr%, 49.4 Strike%, 31.1 Ball%, 51.5 GB%, 9 Brl%
Kutter Crawford: 17 GS, 1592 Pitches, 24.4 K%, 6.4 BB%, 14.0 SwStr%, 49.1 Strike%, 33.4 Ball%, 36.0 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Zach Eflin (TB): 80.0 Pitches 5.02 IP, 4.7 H, 2.2 ER, 5.3 K, 1.0 BB, 14.85 FPts
Kutter Crawford (BOS): 70.0 Pitches 4.44 IP, 3.6 H, 2.0 ER, 5.1 K, 1.6 BB, 13.66 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Zach Eflin - 5.5 strikeouts
Kutter Crawford - 4.5 strikeouts
BOS Hitter Projections
1. Wilyer Abreu: 4.31 PA, 0.9 H, 1.67 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.76 FPts
2. Rafael Devers: 4.17 PA, 1.05 H, 1.98 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.29 FPts
3. Justin Turner: 4.06 PA, 0.97 H, 1.59 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.81 FPts
4. Triston Casas: 3.93 PA, 0.81 H, 1.52 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.01 FPts
5. Adam Duvall: 3.8 PA, 0.75 H, 1.5 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.12 FPts
6. Masataka Yoshida: 3.8 PA, 1.0 H, 1.54 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.61 FPts
7. Trevor Story: 3.71 PA, 0.77 H, 1.37 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.34 FPts
8. Enmanuel Valdez: 3.16 PA, 0.7 H, 1.29 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.31 FPts
9. Connor Wong: 3.19 PA, 0.64 H, 1.11 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 4.73 FPts
TB Hitter Projections
1. Yandy Diaz: 4.54 PA, 1.15 H, 1.81 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.31 FPts
2. Brandon Lowe: 4.41 PA, 0.92 H, 1.76 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.25 FPts
3. Randy Arozarena: 4.42 PA, 0.97 H, 1.67 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.72 FPts
4. Josh Lowe: 4.21 PA, 0.98 H, 1.69 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.23 FPts
5. Isaac Paredes: 4.12 PA, 0.84 H, 1.45 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.59 FPts
6. Luke Raley: 3.88 PA, 0.8 H, 1.49 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.81 FPts
7. Taylor Walls: 3.9 PA, 0.68 H, 1.08 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.27 FPts
8. Jonathan Aranda: 3.85 PA, 0.84 H, 1.48 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.74 FPts
9. Rene Pinto: 3.61 PA, 0.62 H, 1.17 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.05 FPts
Best Bets
Zach Eflin TB - Outs Under 17.5 (-105.0) - 0.232 value
Trevor Story BOS - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-180.0) - 0.108 value
Rene Pinto TB - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-145.0) - 0.103 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Brandon Lowe (TB) 2B $4500: 8.25 Proj, 1.21 Score
Josh Lowe (TB) OF $4100: 8.23 Proj, 1.2 Score
Randy Arozarena (TB) OF $5500: 8.72 Proj, 1.18 Score
Jonathan Aranda (TB) 1B $2200: 6.74 Proj, 1.16 Score
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) OF $2800: 7.76 Proj, 1.16 Score
LAD @ MIA
Projected Game Score:
LAD 3.42 - MIA 3.14
LAD 52.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 6.56
2023 Pitcher Stats
Jesus Luzardo: 27 GS, 2520 Pitches, 28.3 K%, 7.0 BB%, 15.2 SwStr%, 48.7 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%, 41.8 GB%, 10 Brl%
Clayton Kershaw: 19 GS, 1694 Pitches, 26.6 K%, 6.7 BB%, 14.2 SwStr%, 49.6 Strike%, 33.4 Ball%, 47.8 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Jesus Luzardo (MIA): 94.0 Pitches 5.77 IP, 5.2 H, 2.4 ER, 6.2 K, 1.8 BB, 16.65 FPts
Clayton Kershaw (LAD): 78.0 Pitches 4.72 IP, 4.6 H, 2.0 ER, 4.7 K, 1.0 BB, 13.53 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Jesus Luzardo - 5.5 strikeouts
Clayton Kershaw - 4.5 strikeouts
LAD Hitter Projections
1. Mookie Betts: 4.27 PA, 1.05 H, 2.05 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.01 FPts
2. Freddie Freeman: 4.21 PA, 1.05 H, 1.8 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.05 FPts
3. Will Smith: 4.18 PA, 0.9 H, 1.5 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.85 FPts
4. Amed Rosario: 4.03 PA, 1.02 H, 1.54 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.93 FPts
5. Chris Taylor: 3.83 PA, 0.63 H, 1.15 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.74 FPts
6. Enrique Hernandez: 3.78 PA, 0.75 H, 1.2 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.14 FPts
7. Miguel Rojas: 3.59 PA, 0.86 H, 1.27 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.69 FPts
8. James Outman: 3.56 PA, 0.63 H, 1.06 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.41 FPts
9. Austin Barnes: 3.28 PA, 0.58 H, 0.86 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.15 FPts
MIA Hitter Projections
1. Luis Arraez: 4.27 PA, 1.18 H, 1.55 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.47 FPts
2. Jorge Soler: 4.2 PA, 0.87 H, 1.8 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.29 FPts
3. Josh Bell: 4.1 PA, 0.92 H, 1.54 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.63 FPts
4. Jake Burger: 3.97 PA, 0.93 H, 1.81 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.13 FPts
5. Bryan De La Cruz: 3.92 PA, 0.91 H, 1.46 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.06 FPts
6. Jazz Chisholm: 3.66 PA, 0.75 H, 1.27 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.19 SB, 6.17 FPts
7. Jon Berti: 3.58 PA, 0.83 H, 1.19 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.22 SB, 6.12 FPts
8. Yuli Gurriel: 3.58 PA, 0.83 H, 1.14 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.93 FPts
9. Nick Fortes: 3.31 PA, 0.71 H, 1.07 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.04 SB, 4.63 FPts
Best Bets
Jesus Luzardo MIA - Outs Over 15.5 (+100.0) - 0.156 value
Clayton Kershaw LAD - Walks Under 1.5 (-135.0) - 0.154 value
Will Smith LAD - HitterK Under 0.5 (+195.0) - 0.106 value
Jesus Luzardo MIA - Walks Under 2.5 (-165.0) - 0.102 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Mookie Betts (LAD) 2B/OF $6600: 9.01 Proj, 1.14 Score
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 1B $6400: 8.05 Proj, 1.03 Score
Amed Rosario (LAD) 2B/SS $4000: 6.93 Proj, 0.96 Score
Jake Burger (MIA) 3B $4500: 7.13 Proj, 0.96 Score
Will Smith (LAD) C $5600: 6.85 Proj, 0.93 Score
DET @ NYY
Projected Game Score:
NYY 4.97 - DET 3.48
NYY 58.9% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.45
2023 Pitcher Stats
Gerrit Cole: 28 GS, 2766 Pitches, 27.1 K%, 6.4 BB%, 13.2 SwStr%, 49.6 Strike%, 34.1 Ball%, 40.3 GB%, 9 Brl%
Alex Faedo: 11 GS, 928 Pitches, 20.6 K%, 7.3 BB%, 10.8 SwStr%, 47.2 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%, 35.9 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Gerrit Cole (NYY): 94.0 Pitches 5.9 IP, 4.8 H, 2.3 ER, 7.4 K, 1.7 BB, 20.84 FPts
Alex Faedo (DET): 68.0 Pitches 4.09 IP, 3.7 H, 2.0 ER, 3.8 K, 1.9 BB, 9.73 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Gerrit Cole - 7.5 strikeouts
Alex Faedo - 4.5 strikeouts
DET Hitter Projections
1. Akil Baddoo: 4.15 PA, 0.81 H, 1.29 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.18 SB, 7.07 FPts
2. Zach McKinstry: 4.21 PA, 0.84 H, 1.47 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.03 FPts
3. Spencer Torkelson: 4.29 PA, 0.84 H, 1.54 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.0 FPts
4. Miguel Cabrera: 4.1 PA, 0.9 H, 1.31 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.79 FPts
5. Kerry Carpenter: 3.95 PA, 0.95 H, 1.79 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.43 FPts
6. Matt Vierling: 3.92 PA, 0.86 H, 1.24 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.88 FPts
7. Parker Meadows: 3.87 PA, 0.8 H, 1.45 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.64 FPts
8. Javier Baez: 3.66 PA, 0.8 H, 1.3 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.78 FPts
9. Jake Rogers: 3.4 PA, 0.63 H, 1.17 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.11 FPts
NYY Hitter Projections
1. D.J. LeMahieu: 4.37 PA, 0.96 H, 1.48 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.54 FPts
2. Aaron Judge: 4.29 PA, 1.03 H, 2.32 TB, 0.37 HR, 0.08 SB, 11.72 FPts
3. Jasson Dominguez: 4.19 PA, 0.86 H, 1.52 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.34 FPts
4. Giancarlo Stanton: 4.05 PA, 0.84 H, 1.75 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.0 SB, 8.02 FPts
5. Gleyber Torres: 3.99 PA, 0.97 H, 1.63 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.0 FPts
6. Anthony Volpe: 3.89 PA, 0.8 H, 1.44 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.71 FPts
7. Austin Wells: 3.78 PA, 0.8 H, 1.39 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.93 FPts
8. Everson Pereira: 3.65 PA, 0.77 H, 1.31 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.43 FPts
9. Oswald Peraza: 3.42 PA, 0.71 H, 1.04 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.17 FPts
Best Bets
Parker Meadows DET - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-165.0) - 0.145 value
Jake Rogers DET - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-130.0) - 0.119 value
Javier Baez DET - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-170.0) - 0.114 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Aaron Judge (NYY) OF $6700: 11.72 Proj, 1.58 Score
Anthony Volpe (NYY) SS $3700: 7.71 Proj, 1.23 Score
Jasson Dominguez (NYY) OF $3000: 8.34 Proj, 1.23 Score
Austin Wells (NYY) C $2500: 6.93 Proj, 1.18 Score
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) OF $4600: 8.02 Proj, 1.17 Score
NYM @ WSH
Projected Game Score:
NYM 4.47 - WSH 3.78
NYM 54.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.25
2023 Pitcher Stats
Jose Quintana: 8 GS, 749 Pitches, 17.9 K%, 10.3 BB%, 9.5 SwStr%, 42.1 Strike%, 39.3 Ball%, 42.9 GB%, 5 Brl%
Patrick Corbin: 27 GS, 2495 Pitches, 16.0 K%, 7.1 BB%, 9.5 SwStr%, 41.2 Strike%, 38.0 Ball%, 45.2 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Jose Quintana (NYM): 95.0 Pitches 5.79 IP, 6.2 H, 2.7 ER, 4.2 K, 1.5 BB, 12.24 FPts
Patrick Corbin (WSH): 99.0 Pitches 5.9 IP, 6.8 H, 3.2 ER, 3.9 K, 1.7 BB, 10.15 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Jose Quintana - 4.5 strikeouts
Patrick Corbin - 4.5 strikeouts
NYM Hitter Projections
1. Brandon Nimmo: 4.34 PA, 1.07 H, 1.67 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.74 FPts
2. Francisco Lindor: 4.25 PA, 1.07 H, 1.92 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.86 FPts
3. Jeff McNeil: 4.17 PA, 1.08 H, 1.44 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.59 FPts
4. Pete Alonso: 4.08 PA, 1.01 H, 2.06 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.03 SB, 9.19 FPts
5. Francisco Alvarez: 3.97 PA, 0.93 H, 1.8 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.7 FPts
6. Mark Vientos: 3.74 PA, 0.93 H, 1.68 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.03 FPts
7. Ronny Mauricio: 3.76 PA, 0.97 H, 1.68 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.13 FPts
8. Jonathan Arauz: 3.63 PA, 0.79 H, 1.23 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.32 FPts
9. Tim Locastro: 3.41 PA, 0.71 H, 1.02 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.16 SB, 5.62 FPts
WSH Hitter Projections
1. C.J. Abrams: 4.53 PA, 1.0 H, 1.5 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.23 SB, 7.54 FPts
2. Lane Thomas: 4.44 PA, 1.07 H, 1.81 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.16 FPts
3. Joey Meneses: 4.36 PA, 1.12 H, 1.79 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.44 FPts
4. Keibert Ruiz: 4.26 PA, 1.09 H, 1.64 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.22 FPts
5. Carter Kieboom: 4.16 PA, 0.89 H, 1.34 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.2 FPts
6. Alex Call: 3.97 PA, 0.78 H, 1.17 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.35 FPts
7. Ildemaro Vargas: 3.94 PA, 0.98 H, 1.5 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.19 FPts
8. Michael Chavis: 3.37 PA, 0.73 H, 1.16 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.84 FPts
9. Jacob Young: 3.57 PA, 0.79 H, 1.2 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.05 FPts
Best Bets
Jose Quintana NYM - Walks Under 1.5 (+150.0) - 0.148 value
Francisco Alvarez NYM - HitterK Under 0.5 (+185.0) - 0.121 value
Pete Alonso NYM - HitterK Under 0.5 (+155.0) - 0.12 value
Ronny Mauricio NYM - HitterK Under 0.5 (+130.0) - 0.103 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Pete Alonso (NYM) 1B $5000: 9.19 Proj, 1.32 Score
Francisco Lindor (NYM) SS $4900: 8.86 Proj, 1.32 Score
Francisco Alvarez (NYM) C $3500: 7.7 Proj, 1.27 Score
Mark Vientos (NYM) 3B $2500: 7.03 Proj, 1.24 Score
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) OF $4300: 7.74 Proj, 1.06 Score
STL @ ATL
Projected Game Score:
ATL 5.84 - STL 5.52
ATL 51.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 10.5
Projected Total: 11.36
2023 Pitcher Stats
Michael Soroka: 5 GS, 477 Pitches, 17.6 K%, 8.4 BB%, 10.3 SwStr%, 43.0 Strike%, 37.5 Ball%, 47.3 GB%, 10 Brl%
Miles Mikolas: 29 GS, 2626 Pitches, 16.0 K%, 4.7 BB%, 8.2 SwStr%, 46.2 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%, 38.8 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Mike Soroka (ATL): 77.0 Pitches 5.12 IP, 5.4 H, 3.0 ER, 4.6 K, 2.2 BB, 11.08 FPts
Miles Mikolas (STL): 99.0 Pitches 5.83 IP, 7.0 H, 3.4 ER, 4.4 K, 1.4 BB, 10.58 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Mike Soroka - Prop Not Found
Miles Mikolas - 3.5 strikeouts
STL Hitter Projections
1. Lars Nootbaar: 4.51 PA, 1.04 H, 1.87 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.75 FPts
2. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.41 PA, 1.01 H, 1.78 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.99 FPts
3. Nolan Gorman: 4.32 PA, 0.96 H, 1.92 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.05 SB, 9.25 FPts
4. Nolan Arenado: 4.21 PA, 1.07 H, 1.94 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.78 FPts
5. Willson Contreras: 4.12 PA, 0.93 H, 1.68 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.35 FPts
6. Tyler O'Neill: 4.06 PA, 0.89 H, 1.59 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.92 FPts
7. Tommy Edman: 3.89 PA, 0.95 H, 1.46 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.24 SB, 8.12 FPts
8. Jordan Walker: 3.75 PA, 0.91 H, 1.48 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.2 FPts
9. Masyn Winn: 3.58 PA, 0.78 H, 1.17 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.11 FPts
ATL Hitter Projections
1. Ronald Acuna Jr.: 4.45 PA, 1.29 H, 2.19 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.35 SB, 11.7 FPts
2. Ozzie Albies: 4.34 PA, 1.13 H, 1.9 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.93 FPts
3. Austin Riley: 4.25 PA, 1.15 H, 2.07 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.99 FPts
4. Matt Olson: 4.16 PA, 1.05 H, 2.09 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.01 SB, 9.67 FPts
5. Marcell Ozuna: 4.02 PA, 1.01 H, 1.9 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.35 FPts
6. Eddie Rosario: 3.74 PA, 0.98 H, 1.68 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.5 FPts
7. Sean Murphy: 3.82 PA, 0.94 H, 1.71 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.53 FPts
8. Orlando Arcia: 3.69 PA, 0.96 H, 1.55 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.88 FPts
9. Michael Harris II: 3.46 PA, 1.05 H, 1.73 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.29 FPts
Best Bets
Miles Mikolas STL - Outs Over 15.5 (+115.0) - 0.207 value
Miles Mikolas STL - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (+110.0) - 0.171 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) OF $6800: 11.7 Proj, 1.44 Score
Lars Nootbaar (STL) OF $4500: 9.75 Proj, 1.37 Score
Nolan Gorman (STL) 2B/3B $4400: 9.25 Proj, 1.31 Score
Willson Contreras (STL) C $4000: 8.35 Proj, 1.3 Score
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 1B $5300: 8.99 Proj, 1.24 Score
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